• 제목/요약/키워드: Project risk assessment

검색결과 233건 처리시간 0.032초

PROGRAMMATIC AND PROJECT-LEVEL RISKS: ESTABLISHING A RISK MANAGEMENT PROCESS FOR MIDDLE EAST PLANT PROJECTS

  • G. Edward Gibson Jr.;John Walewski;SangBum Kim;Clayton Ingam;Hamid Hajian
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 3th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.1000-1014
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    • 2009
  • Research sponsored by the Korean Government investigated the establishment of a risk management process by Korean contractors involved with plant projects in the Middle East. This research effort builds upon the work completed by the Construction Industry Institute (CII), called the International Project Risk Assessment (IPRA) tool and method, and also explored how CII's Project Definition Rating Index (PDRI) could be incorporated to improve project planning by addressing risks and scope development issues. Specific findings and recommendations were developed including the creation of the Contractor Critical Areas of Concern (CCAC) risk screening tool for Korean contractors pursuing Middle East oil and gas projects.

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소각로 건설사업에 대한 건강영향평가 사례연구 - 중금속 흡입에 따른 인체 위해성 평가 - (A Case Study of Health Impact Assessment on Incinerator Construction Project - Human Risk Assessment due to Inhalation Exposure to Heavy Metals -)

  • 김영하;최상기;이영수
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.11-19
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    • 2009
  • We conducted human risk assessment due to inhalation exposure to heavy metals emitted from incinerator. The process of health impact assessment(HIA) on incinerator is as follows: The first step is to presume and calculate the amount of heavy metals emitted using emission factor. The second step is to conduct an exposure assessment using the K-SCREEN model which is used for predicting the concentration in a conservative method. The last step is to carry out a risk assessment on carcinogenic and non-carcinogenic substances. This study revealed that rank of carcinogenic human risk was $Cr^{+6}$ > As > Ni > Cd, and values of human risk assessment on carcinogenic and non-carcinogenic substances is lower than the US criteria for risk assessment except $Cr^{+6}$. It is expected that the technique of HIA, especially human risk assessment on heavy metals, would be applied to the incinerator construction project. In addition, more systematic studies are needed to overcome some weak points and limits found in this study.

베이지안넷 기반의 프로젝트 일정리스크 평가 (Project Schedule Risk Assessment Based on Bayesian Nets)

  • 성홍석;박철순
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제39권1호
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    • pp.9-16
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    • 2016
  • The project schedule risk in the engineering and facility construction industry is increasingly considered as important management factor because the risks in terms of schedule or deadline may significantly affect the project cost. Especially, the project-based operating companies attempt to find the best estimate of the project completion time for use at their proposals, and therefore, usually have much interest in accurate estimation of the duration of the projects. In general, the management of projects schedule risk is achieved by modeling project schedule with PERT/CPM techniques, and then performing risk assessment with simulation such as Monte-Carlo simulation method. However, since these approaches require the accumulated executional data, which are not usually available in project-based operating company, and, further, they cannot reflect various schedule constraints, which usually are met during the project execution, the project managers have difficulty in preparing for the project risks in advance of their occurrence in the project execution. As these constraints may affect time and cost which role as the crucial evaluation factors to the quality of the project result, they must be identified and described in advance of their occurrence in the project management. This paper proposes a Bayesian Net based methodology for estimating project schedule risk by identifying and enforcing the project risks and its response plan which may occur in storage tank engineering and construction project environment. First, we translated the schedule network with the project risks and its response plan into Bayesian Net. Second, we analyzed the integrated Bayesian Net and suggested an estimate of project schedule risk with simulation approach. Finally, we applied our approach to a storage tank construction project to validate its feasibility.

INFLUENCE FACTOR-BASED RISK ASSESSMENT METHODOLOGY FOR CONSTRUCITON

  • Hyunsoo Kim;Hyunsoo Lee;Moonseo Park;Kwang-pyo Lee
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 3th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.1231-1236
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    • 2009
  • Many work-related risk factors can cause construction site hazards. Therefore, safety management begins with measuring the magnitude of risk involved in a project. This study proposes a methodology for risk assessment of major trades at a particular construction site. To assess risk, this methodology integrates hazard severity and frequency, and their magnitude is calculated based on actual work-site hazards. This methodology also considers the influence factors that affect the frequency of work-related hazards. To select the appropriate influence factors, a two step approach is deployed. First, the predominant factors are identified through a literature review. Second, a selective process filters out the influence factors that are difficult to analyze quantitatively, and these extracted factors are weighted using expert surveys. Finally, the factors are combined and a quantitative risk assessment methodology is proposed.

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RISK FRAMEWORK FOR NEXT GENERATION NUCLEAR POWER PLANT CONSTRUCTION

  • John Walewski ;Stuart Anderson;Jaeheum Yeon;Amy Kim
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 5th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.451-458
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    • 2013
  • This research documents the initial findings and recommendations for developing a risk management tool to assess and quantify the risks associated with the construction of the next generation of nuclear power plants. The proposed tool builds upon the Construction Industry Institute's International Project Risk Assessment (IPRA) Best Practice. This paper provides an overview of the investigation to assess the unique risk elements pertaining to nuclear power plant construction and documents the preliminary findings from historical project performance data to better understand the function and use of the IPRA's Relative Impact value.

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Concept Selection of NPP Construction Delay Risk Assessment Methodology Using Systems Engineering Approach

  • Hossen, Muhammed Mufazzal;Kang, Sunkoo;Jung, JC;Kim, Jonghyun
    • 시스템엔지니어링학술지
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.9-24
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    • 2015
  • Construction industry faces a lot of inherent uncertainties and issues and the construction phase of nuclear power project is not free from this risk. This paper investigates promising methodologies to be used on nuclear power plant (NPP) construction schedule delay risk assessment by using entry level systems engineering approach. This study contains how the initial concept for the risk assessment methodology has been developed. In this point of view, this work structured on three main phases: needs analysis (NA), concept exploration (CE), and concept definition (CD) through systems engineering (SE) approach. Traditionally, the SE process is applied to technical development programs but this study opens up a new avenue that SE can also be successfully applied to the development and optimization of the risk assessment model. This study provides a rational and systematic process for developing and selecting the best risk assessment model. This paper selects analytic hierarchy process (AHP) method to assess NPP construction schedule delay risk for international project. As conclusion, the proposed concept and selected method can discriminate successfully and clearly among schedule delay risk assessment methods.

Risk Analysis on Offshore Windfarm Industry in South Korea: Based on the Jeonnam Offshore Windfarm Project

  • Kim, Tae Hyun;Kim, Yea-Sang;Chin, Sangyoon;Pallesen, Kristian
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 9th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.204-212
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    • 2022
  • Recently, the Korean government has been actively promoting the smart city as their strategic agenda. However, to build smart cities that are greener, the authors believe it is essential to rapidly transit conventional energy sources such as fossil fuels to renewable energy. Although there is a big potential for Offshore wind in Korea, there has not been a full-scale commercial offshore wind farm until today. Since Korea is relatively a new market compared to the EU, it can be risky for developers. The authors will introduce risk management best practices in the offshore wind industry applicable to the Korean environment. This paper will mainly introduce an offshore wind project size of 99 MW. The project is expecting a Finance Close (FC) in Q3 2022, so the project team has prepared a risk register with over 150 risks and levers throughout the project lifecycle. Overall risks include risks with Development Expenditure (DEVEX) impact, a Capital Expenditure (CAPEX) impact, and an Operating Expenditure (OPEX) impact. Based on the identified risks, a more qualitative assessment of Cost and Schedule Impact was conducted. In conclusion, a Monte Carlo simulation was performed to propose a quantitative risk assessment to evaluate a benchmark contingency of the project cost.

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Internet 기반의 터널 시공 위험도 관리 시스템 개발 (Development of An Internet-Based Tunnel Construction Risk Management System)

  • 유충식;김재훈;박영진;유정훈
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지반공학회 2002년도 봄 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.679-686
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    • 2002
  • A substantial portion of the cost of a tunnelling project in urban environments is, therefore, devoted to prevent ground movement. Therefore, prediction of ground movements and assessment of risk of damage to adjacent buildings has become an essential part of the planning, design, and construction of a tunnelling project in the urban environments. An internet-based tunnelling-induced ground movements and building damage assessment system (IT-TURIMS) was developed and implemented to Daegu Metro Subway Line tunnel construction project in Korea. This paper describes the concept and implementation of IT-TURIMS. Practical significance of tunnelling risk assessment is also discussed.

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도로터널 방재시스템 개발 - 자연환기를 수행하는 중규모 도로터널의 정량적 위험도평가관한 연구 - (Development of safety system for Road Tunnel - The study of Quantitative risk assessment for middle scale road tunnel with natural ventilation system -)

  • 유지오;신현준;김종원
    • 대한설비공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한설비공학회 2008년도 동계학술발표대회 논문집
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    • pp.67-70
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    • 2008
  • As a part of the project on road tunnel fire safety system development, Quantitative Risk Assessment program was developed. In this study, We carried out Quantitative Risk Assessment with this program by using a factor of cross passage interval, warning announcement time and congestion ratio etc for 1km tunnel with natural ventilation. In the case of 250m below of cross passage interval, Risk value due to warning announcement time was a slightly changed. but if cross passage interval is more than 250m, expected fatalities in the same HRR(heat release rate) was sharp increased. As a result, Quantitative Risk Assessment program which was developed in this research project is possible to risk assessment with ventilation type, cross passage for evacuation and detection system response property etc. hereafter, this program look forward to use as a tool for road tunnel performance based design.

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사전 프로젝트 리스크 평가와 프로젝트 성과와의 관계에 관한 탐색적 연구 (An Exploratory Study on the Relationship with Previous Project Risk Evaluation and Project Performance)

  • 김호상;양경식
    • 서비스연구
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.70-92
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    • 2022
  • 프로젝트에 대한 리스크 평가는 프로젝트의 성과를 사전에 판단할 수 있기 때문에 프로젝트를 수행하는 기업의 입장에서 사업수행 이전에 진행하는 활동 중 가장 중요한 활동이다. 본 연구는 이러한 프로젝트 리스크 평가가 사업 수행 성과 및 고객만족도에 어떠한 영향관계를 가지는 지 분석하기 위해 기술 및 일정 등과 같은 전통적인 리스크 요인과 재무적, 전략적, 특별 리스크 등과 같이 기업에서 활용하는 리스크 요인을 종합하여 리스크 평가를 위한 요인을 마련하였다. 분석을 위해 전체 134개 공공 및 민간 프로젝트에 대한 사전 리스크 평가 결과와 사업 수행성과 및 고객만족도 등 프로젝트 수행 결과에 대한 정보를 수집하였다. 분석 결과 도출된 리스크 요인들은 비즈니스 성과 및 고객 만족도에 어느정도 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났으나, 리스크가 반드시 성과에 부(-)의 영향을 미치지는 않다는 결과도 나타났다. 이는 리스크에 대한 관리 수준에 따라 프로젝트 성과가 영향 받는다는 것을 의미하는 것으로, 향후 연구에서는 리스크에 대한 관리 수준과 프로젝트 성과와의 관계에 대한 실증적인 연구가 필요할 것으로 판단된다.