• Proceedings of the Korean Society for Quality Management Conference
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• 2004.04a
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• pp.436-441
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• 2004

Knowing the time of the process change could lead to quicker identification of the responsible special cause and less process down time, and it could help to reduce the probability of incorrectly identifying the special cause. In this paper, we propose a generalized maximum likelihood estimate. (MLE) of the process change point when a control chart with variable sample size (VSS) scheme signals a change in the process mean, and evaluate the performance of this estimator when it mi used with a VSS EWMA chart.

• Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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• 2002.11a
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• pp.109-114
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• 2002

In this paper we propose a change-point estimator with left and right regressions using the sample Fourier coefficients on the orthonormal bases. The asymptotic properties of the proposed change-point estimator are established. The limiting distribution and the consistency of the estimator are derived.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.14 no.1
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• pp.155-167
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• 2007

Knowing the time of the process change could lead to quicker identification of the responsible special cause and less process down time, and it could help to reduce the probability of incorrectly identifying the special cause. In this paper, we propose the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for the process change point when a control chart is used in monitoring the mean of a process in which the observations can be modeled as an AR(1) process plus an additional random error. The performance of the proposed MLE is compared to the performance of the built-in estimator when they are used in EWMA charts based on the residuals. The results show that the proposed MLE provides good performance in terms of both accuracy and precision of the estimator.

• Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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• 2005.05a
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• pp.191-196
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• 2005

Knowing the time of the process change could lead to quicker identification of the responsible special cause and less process down time, and it could help to reduce the probability of incorrectly identifying the special cause. In this paper, we propose a MLE of the process change point when control charts with the fixed sampling rate (FSR) scheme or the variable sampling rate (VSR) scheme monitor a process to detect changes in the process mean and/or variance of a normal quality variable.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.16 no.3
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• pp.511-518
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• 2009

We consider the problem of testing for change and estimating the unknown change-point in a sequence of time-ordered observations from the binomial and Poisson distributions. Including the likelihood ratio test, Gombay and Horvath (1990) tests are studied and the proposed change-point estimator is derived from their test statistic. A power study of tests and a comparison study of change-point estimators are done via simulation.

• Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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• v.32 no.1
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• pp.11-19
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• 2009

A number of trend test methods, i.e., Military Handbook test and Laplace test etc., have been applied to investigate recurrent failures trend in repairable systems. Existing methods provide information about only existence of trend in the system. In this paper, we propose a new change-point test based on the Schwarz Information Criterion(SIC). The change-point approach is more informative than other trend test methods in that it provides the number of change-points and the location of change-points if it exists, as well as the existence of change-point for recurrent failures. The change-point test is applied to nine 300MW generating units operated in East China. We confirm that the change-point test has a potential for establishing optimal preventive maintenance policy by detecting change-point of failure rate.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
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• v.15 no.2
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• pp.151-160
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• 2011

Typically, it is hard to find a closed form solution of option pricing formula under an asset governed by a change point process. In this paper we derive a closed-form solution of the valuation function for an American perpetual put option under an asset having a change point. Structural changes are formulated through a change-point process with a Markov chain. The modified smooth-fit technique is used to obtain the closed-form valuation function. We also guarantee the optimality of the solution via the proof of a corresponding verification theorem. Numerical examples are included to illustrate the results.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.9 no.1
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• pp.75-86
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• 2002

We consider the problem of estimating the change-point in mean change model with one change-point. Gombay and Huskova(1998) derived a class of change-point estimators with the score function of rank. A change-point estimator with the log score function of rank is suggested and is shown to be involved in the class of Gombay and Huskova(1988). The simulation results show that the proposed estimator has smaller rose, larger proportion of matching the true change-point than the other estimators considered in the experiment when the change-point occurs in the middle of the sample.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.14 no.2
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• pp.443-457
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• 2007

This paper deals with the problem of testing the existence of change in mean and estimating the change-point using nonparametric bootstrap technique. A test statistic using Gombay and Horvath (1990)'s functional form is applied to derive a test statistic and nonparametric change-point estimator with bootstrapping idea. Achieved significance level of the test is calculated for the proposed test to show the evidence against the null hypothesis. MSE and percentiles of the bootstrap change-point estimators are given to show the distribution of the proposed estimator in simulation.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.31 no.4
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• pp.533-543
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• 2002

In this paper we propose a change-point estimator with left and right regressions using the sample Fourier coefficients on the orthonormal bases. The window size is different according to the data in the left side and in the right side at each point. The asymptotic properties of the proposed change-point estimator are established. The limiting distribution and the consistency of the estimator are derived.