• Title/Summary/Keyword: Process Variable Prediction

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An Application of Case-Based Reasoning in Forecasting a Successful Implementation of Enterprise Resource Planning Systems : Focus on Small and Medium sized Enterprises Implementing ERP (성공적인 ERP 시스템 구축 예측을 위한 사례기반추론 응용 : ERP 시스템을 구현한 중소기업을 중심으로)

  • Lim Se-Hun
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.77-94
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    • 2006
  • Case-based Reasoning (CBR) is widely used in business and industry prediction. It is suitable to solve complex and unstructured business problems. Recently, the prediction accuracy of CBR has been enhanced by not only various machine learning algorithms such as genetic algorithms, relative weighting of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) input variable but also data mining technique such as feature selection, feature weighting, feature transformation, and instance selection As a result, CBR is even more widely used today in business area. In this study, we investigated the usefulness of the CBR method in forecasting success in implementing ERP systems. We used a CBR method based on the feature weighting technique to compare the performance of three different models : MDA (Multiple Discriminant Analysis), GECBR (GEneral CBR), FWCBR (CBR with Feature Weighting supported by Analytic Hierarchy Process). The study suggests that the FWCBR approach is a promising method for forecasting of successful ERP implementation in Small and Medium sized Enterprises.

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A Study on the Geometric Error Prediction of Workpiece in Turning (선삭가공에서 공작물의 형상오차 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Mun-Jae;Kim, Dong-Hyeon;Lee, Choon-Man
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.9-15
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    • 2011
  • Any relative deformation between the cutting tool and the workpiece at machining point results directly in geometric and dimensional errors. The sources of relative deformations between the cutting tool and the workpiece at the contact point may be due to vibration, thermal deformation and cutting forces. In this paper, geometric error prediction of workpiece in turning has been investigated. To reach this goal, turning experiments are carried out according to selected cutting conditions. The variable cutting conditions are cutting speed, depth of cut and feed rate. The results will be useful as a guidance to select cutting conditions to improve the geometrical accuracy.

Optimization of VIGA Process Parameters for Power Characteristics of Fe-Si-Al-P Soft Magnetic Alloy using Machine Learning

  • Sung-Min, Kim;Eun-Ji, Cha;Do-Hun, Kwon;Sung-Uk, Hong;Yeon-Joo, Lee;Seok-Jae, Lee;Kee-Ahn, Lee;Hwi-Jun, Kim
    • Journal of Powder Materials
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.459-467
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    • 2022
  • Soft magnetic powder materials are used throughout industries such as motors and power converters. When manufacturing Fe-based soft magnetic composites, the size and shape of the soft magnetic powder and the microstructure in the powder are closely related to the magnetic properties. In this study, Fe-Si-Al-P alloy powders were manufactured using various manufacturing process parameter sets, and the process parameters of the vacuum induction melt gas atomization process were set as melt temperature, atomization gas pressure, and gas flow rate. Process variable data that records are converted into 6 types of data for each powder recovery section. Process variable data that recorded minute changes were converted into 6 types of data and used as input variables. As output variables, a total of 6 types were designated by measuring the particle size, flowability, apparent density, and sphericity of the manufactured powders according to the process variable conditions. The sensitivity of the input and output variables was analyzed through the Pearson correlation coefficient, and a total of 6 powder characteristics were analyzed by artificial neural network model. The prediction results were compared with the results through linear regression analysis and response surface methodology, respectively.

Analysis Modeling of Variable Goods Value to extract Key Influencers based on Time series Big Data (시계열 Big Data에 기반한 핵심영향인자 추출을 위한 변동재화 가치 분석 Modeling)

  • Kwon-Woong Kim;Young-Gon Kim
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.185-191
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    • 2023
  • Research to analyze the future prediction of value is being conducted in various. However, it was found through the research results of each field that such future value analysis has too many variables according to each field, so the accuracy of the prediction result is low, and it is difficult to find objective key influencing factors that affect the result. In particular, since objective standards for the importance of various influencing factors have not been established, the key influencing factors have been judged and applied based on the researcher's subjectivity. Accordingly, there is a need for a reasonable process model for extracting key influencing factors that affect the prediction of volatility goods value that can be objectively applied in various fields. In this study, process modeling for extracting key influencing factors was conducted in seven steps, and the method for extracting key influencing factors was explained in detail in each step. In addition, as a result of simulation by applying Ni metal among the major variable goods in the field of raw materials using the proposed modeling, the predicted value by the existing method was 0.872% and the predicted value by applying the modeling of this study was 0.864%. conformance was confirmed.

A Study of Angular Distortion at the Fillet Welding (Fillet 용접시 크기에 따른 각변형량의 고찰)

  • Lim, Dong-Yang;Lee, Jeong-Soo
    • Special Issue of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • 2007.09a
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    • pp.22-25
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    • 2007
  • Angular distortion in welding process is decided by the various variables. We can make the prediction of welding distortion in similar reality by the analysis of data through many specimen tests. However it is difficult that prediction of welding distortion applies to the ship building. We can establish that angular distortion varies directly as the specimen size. And, it makes clear distortion's difference between constraint and unconstraint, according to the change of a plate thickness.

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A Prediction Method Combining Clustering Method and Stepwise Regression (군집분석 기법과 단계별 회귀모델을 결합한 예측 방법)

  • Chong Il-gyo;Jun Chi-Hyuck
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2002.05a
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    • pp.949-952
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    • 2002
  • A regression model is used in predicting the response variable given predictor variables However, in case of large number of predictor variables, a regression model has some problems such as multicollinearity, interpretation of the functional relationship between the response and predictors and prediction accuracy. A clustering method and stepwise regression could be used to reduce the amount of data by grouping predictors having similar properties and by selecting the subset of predictors. respectively. This paper proposes a prediction method combining clustering method and stepwise regression. The proposed method fits a global model and local models and predicts responses given new observations by using both models. The paper also compares the performance of proposed method with stepwise regression via a real data of ample obtained in a steel process.

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Severity Prediction of Sleep Respiratory Disease Based on Statistical Analysis Using Machine Learning (머신러닝을 활용한 통계 분석 기반의 수면 호흡 장애 중증도 예측)

  • Jun-Su Kim;Byung-Jae Choi
    • IEMEK Journal of Embedded Systems and Applications
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.59-65
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    • 2023
  • Currently, polysomnography is essential to diagnose sleep-related breathing disorders. However, there are several disadvantages to polysomnography, such as the requirement for multiple sensors and a long reading time. In this paper, we propose a system for predicting the severity of sleep-related breathing disorders at home utilizing measurable elements in a wearable device. To predict severity, the variables were refined through a three-step variable selection process, and the refined variables were used as inputs into three machine-learning models. As a result of the study, random forest models showed excellent prediction performance throughout. The best performance of the model in terms of F1 scores for the three threshold criteria of 5, 15, and 30 classified as the AHI index was about 87.3%, 90.7%, and 90.8%, respectively, and the maximum performance of the model for the three threshold criteria classified as the RDI index was approx 79.8%, 90.2%, and 90.1%, respectively.

Predicting flux of forward osmosis membrane module using deep learning (딥러닝을 이용한 정삼투 막모듈의 플럭스 예측)

  • Kim, Jaeyoon;Jeon, Jongmin;Kim, Noori;Kim, Suhan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.93-100
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    • 2021
  • Forward osmosis (FO) process is a chemical potential driven process, where highly concentrated draw solution (DS) is used to take water through semi-permeable membrane from feed solution (FS) with lower concentration. Recently, commercial FO membrane modules have been developed so that full-scale FO process can be applied to seawater desalination or water reuse. In order to design a real-scale FO plant, the performance prediction of FO membrane modules installed in the plant is essential. Especially, the flux prediction is the most important task because the amount of diluted draw solution and concentrate solution flowing out of FO modules can be expected from the flux. Through a previous study, a theoretical based FO module model to predict flux was developed. However it needs an intensive numerical calculation work and a fitting process to reflect a complex module geometry. The idea of this work is to introduce deep learning to predict flux of FO membrane modules using 116 experimental data set, which include six input variables (flow rate, pressure, and ion concentration of DS and FS) and one output variable (flux). The procedure of optimizing a deep learning model to minimize prediction error and overfitting problem was developed and tested. The optimized deep learning model (error of 3.87%) was found to predict flux better than the theoretical based FO module model (error of 10.13%) in the data set which were not used in machine learning.

A Computing Method of a Process Coefficient in Prediction Model of Plate Temperature using Neural Network (신경망을 이용한 판온예측모델내 공정상수 설정 방법)

  • Kim, Tae-Eun;Lee, Haiyoung
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.28 no.11
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    • pp.51-57
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    • 2014
  • This paper presents an algorithmic type computing technique of process coefficient in predicting model of temperature for reheating furnace and also suggests a design method of neural network model to find an adequate value of process coefficient for arbitrary operating conditions including test conditons. The proposed neural network use furnace temperature, line speed and slab information as input variables, and process coefficient is output variable. Reasonable process coefficients can be obtained by an algorithmic procedure proposed in this paper using process data gathered at test conditons. Also, neural network model output equal process coefficient under same input conditions. This means that adquate process coefficients can be found by only computing neural network model without additive test even if operating conditions vary.

Correlation and Simple Linear Regression (상관성과 단순선형회귀분석)

  • Pak, Son-Il;Oh, Tae-Ho
    • Journal of Veterinary Clinics
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.427-434
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    • 2010
  • Correlation is a technique used to measure the strength or the degree of closeness of the linear association between two quantitative variables. Common misuses of this technique are highlighted. Linear regression is a technique used to identify a relationship between two continuous variables in mathematical equations, which could be used for comparison or estimation purposes. Specifically, regression analysis can provide answers for questions such as how much does one variable change for a given change in the other, how accurately can the value of one variable be predicted from the knowledge of the other. Regression does not give any indication of how good the association is while correlation provides a measure of how well a least-squares regression line fits the given set of data. The better the correlation, the closer the data points are to the regression line. In this tutorial article, the process of obtaining a linear regression relationship for a given set of bivariate data was described. The least square method to obtain the line which minimizes the total error between the data points and the regression line was employed and illustrated. The coefficient of determination, the ratio of the explained variation of the values of the independent variable to total variation, was described. Finally, the process of calculating confidence and prediction interval was reviewed and demonstrated.