• 제목/요약/키워드: Probability of survival

검색결과 249건 처리시간 0.024초

On the member reliability of wind force-resisting steel frames designed by EN and ASCE rules of load combinations

  • Kudzys, Antanas;Kudzys, Algirdas
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제12권5호
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    • pp.425-439
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    • 2009
  • The expediency of revising universal rules for the combination of gravity and lateral actions of wind force-resisting steel structures recommended by the Standards EN 1990 and ASCE/SEI 7-05 is discussed. Extreme wind forces, gravity actions and their combinations for the limit state design of structures are considered. The effect of statistical uncertainties of extreme wind pressure and steel yield strength on the structural safety of beam-column joints of wind force-resisting multistory steel frames designed by the partial factor design (PFD) and the load and resistance factor design (LRFD) methods is demonstrated. The limit state criterion and the performance process of steel frame joints are presented and considered. Their long-term survival probability analysis is based on the unsophisticated method of transformed conditional probabilities. A numerical example illustrates some discrepancies in international design standards and the necessity to revise the rule of universal combinations of loads in wind and structural engineering.

대형 버스의 전복 해석과 측정법 (Rollover Analysis and Measurement of a Large-sized Bus)

  • 정태은
    • 한국자동차공학회논문집
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    • 제5권6호
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    • pp.148-154
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    • 1997
  • The safety problems of buses have been arisen due to the increasing of road traffic. Occupant injuries are always possible in the rollover accident and the frontal impact. Thus the structure of bus should have sufficient strength to protect passengers under accidental loads. ECE(Economic Commission for Europe) regulation No.66 prescribes that the superstructure of the vehicle shall be sufficient strength for passengers' surviving and the residual space shall be preserved in the passenger compartment during and after the standard rollover accident situation. Rollover test and simulation on a large-sized bus was completed according to the regulation. The coordinates of the points on the bus were measured by photogrammetry system. The rollover situation was revived by structural crashes simulation software, PAM-CRASH, and it was checked that the structure still complied with the requirements of residual space during rollover situation. The residual space was preserved during rollover, so it was proved that the structure of the investigated bus had much probability of survival in rollover accidents.

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Analysis of Feature Variables for Breast Cancer Diagnosis

  • Jung, Yong Gyu;Kim, Jang Il;Sihn, Sung Chul;Heo, Jun
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.36-39
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    • 2013
  • It is becoming more important as the growing of health information and increasing in cancer patients diagnose over the time gradually. Among the various types of cancer, we focuses on breast cancer diagnosis. The accuracy of breast cancer diagnosis is increasing when the diagnosis is based on evidence and statistics. To do this we use the weka data mining tools and analysis algorithms significantly associated with the decision tree uses rules. In addition, the data pre-processing and cross-validation are used to increase the reliability of the results. The number and cause of the disease becomes important to increase evidence-based medical doctors. As the evidence-based medical, the data obtained from patients in the past through the disease by calculating the probability for future patients to diagnose and predict disease and treatment plan. It can be found by improving the survival rate plays an important role.

Dynamics of Resonant Energy Transfer in OH Vibrations of Liquid Water

  • Yang, Mi-No
    • Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • 제33권3호
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    • pp.885-892
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    • 2012
  • Energy transfer dynamics of excited vibrational energy of OH stretching bonds in liquid water is theoretically studied. With time-dependent vibrational Hamiltonian obtained from a mixed quantum/classical calculation, we construct a master equation describing the energy transfer dynamics. Survival probability predicted by the master equation is compared with numerically exact one and we found that incoherent picture of energy transfer is reasonably valid for long-time population dynamics. Within the incoherent picture, we assess the validity of independent pair approximation (IPA) often introduced in the theoretical models utilized in the analysis of experimental data. Our results support that the IPA is almost perfectly valid as applied for the vibrational energy transfer in liquid water. However, proper incorporation of radial and orientational correlations between two OH bonds is found to be critical for a theory to be quantitatively valid. Consequently, it is suggested that the Forster model should be generalized by including the effects of the pair correlations in order to be applied for vibrational energy transfer in liquid water.

Reproductive Pattern of the Epifaunal Amphipod Pontogeneia rostrata (Crustacea) on Dolsando Sandy Shore in Korea

  • Yu, Ok-Hwan;Jeong, Seung-Jin;Suh, Hae-Lip
    • Ocean Science Journal
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    • 제43권3호
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    • pp.127-133
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    • 2008
  • Reproductive patterns of an epifaunal amphipod, Pontogeneia rostrata, were studied on Dolsando sandy shore in Korea. The life history pattern was iteroparous, with recruitment mainly occurring from winter to spring. The sex ratio was malebiased, especially during breeding periods. The mean body length of females was significantly larger than that of males. Brood size and egg volume were positively related to the body length of ovigerous females. There was no significant difference in brood size between successive breeding periods, but egg volumes were significantly higher in early winter (December) than in late spring breeding (May and June), increasing the probability of survival to hatching. These traits contribute to more reproductive potential in early winter than in late spring breeding. The mean brood size of epifaunal P. rostrata was larger but the mean egg volume smaller than that of infaunal amphipods in this sampling area. We suggest that reproductive effort for epifaunal species may be proportionally greater than for infaunal species in risky environments.

수정 유전자 알고리듬을 이용한 중복방문, 다중차고 차량경로문제 (A Vehicle Routing Problem with Double-Trip and Multiple Depots by using Modified Genetic Algorithm)

  • 전건욱;심재영
    • 산업공학
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    • 제17권spc호
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    • pp.28-36
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    • 2004
  • The main purpose of this study is to find out the optimal solution of the vehicle routing problem considering heterogeneous vehicle(s), double-trips, and multi depots. This study suggests a mathematical programming model with new numerical formula which considers the amount of delivery and sub-tour elimination and gives optimal solution by using OPL-STUDIO(ILOG). This study also suggests modified genetic algorithm which considers the improvement of the creation method for initial solution, application of demanding point, individual and last learning method in order to find excellent solution, survival probability of infeasible solution for allowance, and floating mutation rate for escaping from local solution. The suggested modified genetic algorithm is compared with optimal solution of the existing problems. We found the better solution rather than the existing genetic algorithm. The suggested modified genetic algorithm is tested by Eilon and Fisher data(Eilon 22, Eilon 23, Eilon 30, Eilon 33, and Fisher 10), respectively.

Application of Arbitrary Lagrangian-Eulerian Technique for Air Explosion Structural Analysis for Naval Ships Using LS-DYNA

  • Kim Jae-Hyun;Shin Hyung-Cheol;Park Myung-Kyu
    • Journal of Ship and Ocean Technology
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.38-46
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    • 2005
  • Survivability improvement method for naval ship design has been continually developed. In order to design naval ships considering survivability, it is demanded that designers should establish reasonable damage conditions by air explosion. Explosion may induce local damage as well as global collapse to the ship. Therefore possible damage conditions should be realistically estimated in the design stage. In this study the authors used ALE technique, one of the structure-fluid interaction techniques, to simulate air explosion and investigated survival capability of damaged naval ships. Lagrangian-Eulerian coupling algorithm, equation of the state for explosive and air, and simple calculation method for explosive loading were also reviewed. It is shown that air explosion analysis using ALE technique can evaluate structural damage after being attacked. This procedure can be applied to the real structural design quantitatively by calculating surviving time and probability.

유도탄 탄두의 전방구조물 완충효과 연구 (Study on Shock Absorb Effect in front Section of Missile Warhead)

  • 염기선
    • 한국군사과학기술학회지
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.118-125
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    • 2004
  • In anti-ship missile, the seeker and guidance control units are located in front of warhead. When the missile hits target, these structures play an important role to warhead structure like a shock absorber Because the shock waves are attenuated, the survival probability of warhead increases which guarantees the explosive train. In this thesis the role of frontal sections is studies. The theoretical analysis and numerical analyses using LS-DYNA code are performed. To prove the effect of shock absorber, the penetration test using subscale prototype warhead are executed.

Fixed-accuracy confidence interval estimation of P(X > c) for a two-parameter gamma population

  • Zhuang, Yan;Hu, Jun;Zou, Yixuan
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제27권6호
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    • pp.625-639
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    • 2020
  • The gamma distribution is a flexible right-skewed distribution widely used in many areas, and it is of great interest to estimate the probability of a random variable exceeding a specified value in survival and reliability analysis. Therefore, the study develops a fixed-accuracy confidence interval for P(X > c) when X follows a gamma distribution, Γ(α, β), and c is a preassigned positive constant through: 1) a purely sequential procedure with known shape parameter α and unknown rate parameter β; and 2) a nonparametric purely sequential procedure with both shape and rate parameters unknown. Both procedures enjoy appealing asymptotic first-order efficiency and asymptotic consistency properties. Extensive simulations validate the theoretical findings. Three real-life data examples from health studies and steel manufacturing study are discussed to illustrate the practical applicability of both procedures.

Direct Calculation Method for Excited-state Diffusion-influenced Reversible Reactions with an External Field

  • Reigh, Shang Yik;Kim, Hyo-Joon
    • Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • 제33권3호
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    • pp.1015-1019
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    • 2012
  • The direct calculation method is generalized to the excited-state diffusion-influenced reversible reaction of a neutral and a charged particle under an external field with two different lifetimes and quenching in three dimensions. The present method provides an alternative way to calculate the binding probability density functions and the survival probabilities from the corresponding irreversible results. The solutions are obtained as the series solutions by the diagonal approximation due to the anisotropy of the unidirectional external field. The numerical results are found to be in good agreement with those of the previous study [S. Y. Reigh et al. J. Chem. Phys. 132, 164112 (2010)] within a weak field limit. The solutions of two approaches show qualitatively the same overall behavior including the power laws at long times.