• 한국융합학회논문지
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• 제10권11호
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• pp.303-308
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• 2019

본 연구에서는 지진하중에 대한 구조물의 동적해석 과정에서 실제적이고 신뢰성 있는 확률 통계적 지진응답 결과를 얻기 위해 로그정규분포 기반 지진응답 도출 방안을 제안하였다. 이를 위해 미국지질조사국(USGS)에서 제시한 로스앤젤레스 지역 지진재해도에 따라 50년 동안의 발생 초과확률이 2%, 5%, 10%인 30개 지진데이터들을 활용하였다. 해석 대상으로서는 기본적인 동적거동 파악을 위해 단자유도계를 선정, 이의 고유진동주기 별 응답을 나타내는 응답 스팩트럼을 도식하여 응답 추이를 분석하였다. 최종적으로 도출된 로그정규분포 기반 응답의 경우 기존의 정규분포 기반 응답에 비해 모든 고유주기 영역에서 상대적으로 낮은 응답을 보였다. 제안된 로그정규분포 기반의 지진응답 평가는 성능기반내진설계를 위한 경제적 평가 방식으로서의 대안이 될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• 한국지진공학회논문집
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• 제20권7_spc호
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• pp.461-472
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• 2016

Damage potential has been investigated for a domestic metropolitan railway bridge subjected to 2016 Gyeongju earthquake which has been reported as the strongest earthquake in Korea. For this purpose, nonlinear static pushover analyses for the bridge piers have been carried out to evaluate ductility capacities. Then, the capacities have been compared with those suggested by Railway Design Standards of Korea. This comparison shows that all piers possess enough safety margins. Nonlinear dynamic time-history analysis has also been conducted to estimate both displacement and shear force demands for the bridge subjected to ground motions recorded at stations in near of Gyeongju. Maximum demands reveal that response under the ground motions remains essentially in elastic. In addition, for a further assessment of the bridge under the Gyeongju earthquake, fragility analyses have been performed using those ground motions. The fragility results indicate that the recorded earthquakes do not significantly affect the damage exceedance probability of the bridge piers.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제13권6호
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• pp.531-538
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• 2017

In this paper, the seismic behavior of BRBF structures is studied and compared with special concentric braced frames (SCBF). To this purpose, three BRBF and three SCBF structures with 3, 5 and 10 stories are designed based on AISC360-5 and modelled using OpenSees. These structures are loaded in accordance with ASCE/SEI 7-10. Incremental nonlinear dynamic analysis (IDA) are performed on these structures for 28 different accelerograms and the median IDA curves are used to compare seismic capacity of these two systems. Results obtained, indicates that BRBF systems provide higher capacity for the target performance level in comparison with SCBF systems. And structures with high altitude (in this study, 5 and 10 stories) with the possibility of exceeding the collapse prevention performance level, further than lower altitude (here 3 floors) structures.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제34권6호
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• pp.586-595
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• 2002

The Seismic probabilistic risk assessment (SPRA) or seismic margin assessment (SMA) have been used for the seismic safety evaluation of nuclear power plant structures and equipments. For the SPRA or SMA, the reference response spectrum should be defined. The site-specific median spectrum has been generally used for the seismic fragility analysis of structures and equipments in a Korean nuclear power plant Since the site-specific spectrum has been developed based on the peak ground motion parameter, the site-specific response spectrum does not represent the same probability of exceedance over the entire frequency range of interest. The uniform hazard spectrum is more appropriate to be used in seismic probabilistic risk assessment than the site- specific spectrum. A method for modifying the seismic fragility parameters that are calculated based on the site-specific median spectrum is described. This simple method was developed to incorporate the effects of the uniform hazard spectrum. The seismic fragility parameters of typical NPP components are modified using the uniform hazard spectrum. The modification factor is used to modify the original fragility parameters. An example uniform hazard spectrum is developed using the available seismic hazard data for the Korean nuclear power plant (NPP) site. This uniform hazard spectrum is used for the modification of fragility parameters.

• Smart Structures and Systems
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• 제24권4호
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• pp.491-506
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• 2019

Literature regarding concrete walls reinforced by super elastic shape memory alloy (SMA) bars is rather limited. The seismic behavior of a system concurrently including a distinct steel reinforced concrete (RC) wall, as well as another wall reinforced by super elastic SMA at the first story, and steel rebar at upper stories, would be an interesting matter. In this paper, the seismic response of such a COMBINED system is compared to a conventional system with steel RC concrete walls (STEEL-Rein.) and also to a wall system with SMA rebar at the first story and steel rebar at other stories ( SMA-Rein.). Nonlinear time history analysis at maximum considered earthquake (MCE) and design bases earthquake (DBE) levels is conducted and the main responses like maximum inter-story drift ratio and residual inter-story drift ratio are investigated. Furthermore, incremental dynamic analysis is used to accomplish probabilistic seismic studies by creating fragility curves. Results demonstrated that the SMA-Rein. system, subjected to DBE and MCE ground motions, has almost zero and 0.27% residual maximum inter-story drifts, while the values for the COMBINED system are 0.25% and 0.51%. Furthermore, fragility curves show that using SMA rebar at the base of all walls causes a larger probability of exceedance 3% inter-story drift limit state compared to the COMBINED system. Static push over analysis demonstrated that the strength of the COMBINED model is almost 0.35% larger than that of the two other models, and its general post-yielding stiffness is also approximately twice the corresponding stiffness of the two other models.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제39권7호
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• pp.575-581
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• 2006

본 연구에서는 강우로 인한 유출 유량의 수질 조절 시스템의 경제적인 설계절차를 제시하였다. 유출수의 수질 조절 시스템 계획을 위해서는 전 기간치의 국지 연속강우기록에 대한 강우-유출 과정의 모의를 하여야 한다. 본 연구에서 강우의 확률분포는 지수감소함수를 따른다고 가정하여 적용함으로서 비 초과확률 분포를 설명할 수 있는 정규곡선을 유도하였다. 또한 유출수의 수질 조절시스템의 저류용량 및 유량 결정을 위하여 월류 위험도를 기반으로 최적곡선을 유도하였다. 최적 저류용량 및 유량의 적용성을 강우 유출 모형인 ILLUDAS에 의한 분석결과와 비교하였으며 본 연구에서와 같이 최적 CSOs(Combined Sewer Overflows)을 지역별로 유도하게 되면 강우로 인한 유출 유량의 수질 조절시스템을 적은 노력과 시간으로 위험도를 기반으로 계획에 이용 될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제39권3호
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• pp.275-288
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• 2006

본 연구에서는 GDAPS(T213) 중기 기상 수치예보 자료를 활용한 ESP (Ensemble Streamflow Prediction) 기법을 개발하여 미래에 발생할 수 있는 댐 유입량의 중장기적 확률예측을 위해 초과 확률구간별 댐 유입량을 예측하고 RPSS 검증기법으로 예측결과의 정확도를 분석하였다. 개발된 ESP시스템을 적용한 결과 일단위 개념의 확률예보는 높은 불확실성을 내포할 수 있고, 중장기 확률예보에 초점을 맞추어 1, 3, 7일 등의 예측시간 해상도에 대한 ESP정확도의 민감도를 분석한 결과 예측시간 해상도 간격이 증가할수록 예측결과의 불확실성이 감소하면서 그 정확도가 전반적으로 증가함을 살펴볼 수 있었다. 이러한 결과를 바탕으로 GDAPS 자료를 활용한 1주 단위의 한달(28일)예보를 수행한 ESP 결과는 각 초과 확률구간 분포의 적절한 증가 및 감소로 인하여 그 시간적 변동성이 안정적으로 예측되고 예측결과의 불확실성을 감소시킬 수 있어 그 활용가치가 높은 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 관점에서 본 연구의 ESP 시스템은 중장기적 측면에서 GDAPS 자료의 활용가치를 높일 수 있고, 기존 ESP 결과보다 향상된 정확도로 댐 유입량을 예측할 수 있으므로 실시간 댐 유입량 예측에 적용한다면 수자원 관리 차원에서 유용한 수단이 될 수 있을 것이다.

• Geomechanics and Engineering
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• 제16권4호
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• pp.435-448
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• 2018

In order to make reliable earthquake-resistant design of civil engineering structures, one of the most important considerations in a region with high seismicity is to pay attention to the local soil condition of regions. It is aimed in the current study at specifying dynamic soil characteristics of Kirikkale city center conducting the 1-D equivalent linear and non-linear site response analyses. Due to high vulnerability and seismicity of the city center of Kirikkale surrounded by active many faults, such as the North Anatolian Fault (NAF), the city of Kirikkale is classified as highly earthquake-prone city. The first effort to determine critical site response parameter is to perform the seismic hazard analyses of the region through the earthquake record catalogues. The moment magnitude of the city center is obtained as $M_w=7.0$ according to the recorded probability of exceedance of 10% in the last 50 years. Using the data from site tests, the 1-D equivalent linear (EL) and nonlinear site response analyses (NL) are performed with respect to the shear modulus reduction and damping ratio models proposed in literature. The important engineering parameters of the amplification ratio, predominant site period, peak ground acceleration (PGA) and spectral acceleration values are predicted. Except for the periods between the period of T=0.2-1.0 s, the results from the NL are obtained to be similar to the EL results. Lower spectral acceleration values are estimated in the locations of the city where the higher amplification ratio is attained or vice-versa. Construction of high-rise buildings with modal periods higher than T=1.0 s are obtained to be suitable for the city of Kirikkale. The buildings at the city center are recommended to be assessed with street survey rapid structural evaluation methods so as to mitigate seismic damages. The obtained contour maps in this study are estimated to be effective for visually characterizing the city in terms of the considered parameters.

• Structural Monitoring and Maintenance
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• 제10권1호
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• pp.87-105
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• 2023

Seismic regulations have been updated from time to time to accommodate an increase in seismic hazards. Comparison of seismic fragility of the existing bridges in Indonesia from different historical periods since the era before 1990 will be the basis for seismic assessment of the bridge stock in Indonesia, most of which are located in earthquake-prone areas, especially those built many years ago with outdated regulations. In this study, seismic fragility curves were developed using incremental non-linear time history analysis and more holistically according to the actual strength of concrete and steel material in Indonesia to determine the uncertainty factor of structural capacity, βc. From the research that has been carried out, based on the current seismic load in SNI 2833:2016/Seismic Map 2017 (7% probability of exceedance in 75 years), the performance level of the bridge in the era before SNI 2833:2016 was Operational-Life Safety whereas the performance level of the bridge designed with SNI 2833:2016 was Elastic - Operational. The potential for more severe damage occurs in greater earthquake intensity. Collapse condition occurs at As = F_PGA x PGA value of bridge Era I = 0.93 g; Era II = 1.03 g; Era III = 1.22 g; Era IV = 1.54 g. Furthermore, the fragility analysis was also developed with geometric variations in the same bridge class to see the effect of these variations on the fragility, which is the basis for making bridge risk maps in Indonesia.

• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제59권1호
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• pp.31-43
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• 2017

Recent studies about irrigation water use have focused on agricultural reservoir operation in irrigation period. At the same time, it is significant to store water resource in reservoir during non-irrigation period in order to secure sufficient water in early growing season. In this study, Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 4.5, 8.5 scenarios with the Global Climate Model (GCM) of The Second Generation Earth System Model (CanESM2) were downscaled with bias correlation method. Cumulative precipitation during non-irrigation season, October to March, was analyzed. Interaction between cumulative precipitation and carry-over storage was analyzed with linear regression model for ten study reservoirs. Using the regression model, reservoir drought response ability was evaluated with expression of excess and deficiency. The results showed that future droughts will be more severe than past droughts. Especially in case of non-exceedance probability of 10%, drought in southern region seemed to be serious. Nine study reservoirs showed deficiency range from 10% to 55%, which turned out to be vulnerable for future drought. Only Jang-Chan reservoir was secure for early growing season in spite of drought with deficiency of 8% and -2%. The results of this study represents current agricultural reservoirs have vulnerability for the upcoming drought.