• Computers and Concrete
• /
• 제19권6호
• /
• pp.725-736
• /
• 2017

This paper presents the two-, three-, and four-lane transverse reduction factor based on FEA method, probability theory, and the recently actual traffic flow data. A total of 72 composite girder bridges with various spans, number of lanes, loading mode, and bridge type are analyzed with time-varying static load FEA method by ANSYS, and the probability models of vehicle load effects at arbitrary-time point are developed. Based on these probability models, in accordance to the principle of the same exceeding probability, the multi-lane transverse reduction factor of these composite girder bridges and the relationship between the multi-lane transverse reduction factor and the span of bridge are determined. Finally, the multi-lane transverse reduction factor obtained is compared with those from AASHTO LRFD, BS5400, JTG D60 or Eurocode. The results show that the vehicle load effect at arbitrary-time point follows lognormal distribution. The two-, three-, and four-lane transverse reduction factors calculated by using FEA method and probability respectively range between 0.781 and 1.027, 0.616 and 0.795, 0.468 and 0.645. Furthermore, a correlation between the FEA and AASHTO LRFD, BS5400, JTG D60 or Eurocode transverse reduction factors is made for composite girder bridges. For the two-, three-, and four-lane bridge cases, the Eurocode code underestimated the FEA transverse reduction factors by 27%, 25% and 13%, respectively. This underestimation is more pronounced in short-span bridges. The AASHTO LRFD, BS5400 and JTG D60 codes overestimated the FEA transverse reduction factors. The FEA results highlight the importance of considering span length in determining the multi-lane transverse reduction factors when designing two-lane or more composite girder bridges. This paper will assist bridge engineers in quantifying the adjustment factors used in analyzing and designing multi-lane composite girder bridges.

• 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국방재학회 2008년도 정기총회 및 학술발표대회
• /
• pp.679-682
• /
• 2008

Probability precipitation is one of the most important factor for designing the hydrology structures. Probability precipitation is calculated based on the frequency analysis on each durations of annual maximum rainfall data. For frequency analysis we need a conversion factor between the rain data per random-time interval and fixed-time-interval. In this study, the minutely precipitation data on observatory of the Meteorological Administration are used for 37 stations. Therefore, we should conversion factors between the rain data per minute and fixed-time-interval.

• 한국해안해양공학회지
• /
• 제13권1호
• /
• pp.9-17
• /
• 2001

신뢰성 해석을 위한 직접계산법을 이용하여 경사제 피복재의 파괴확률이 안전계수의 함수로 산정되었다. 신뢰함수를 수립하기 위하여 현재 설계에서 가장 많이 적용되고 있는 Hudson 공식을 사용하였다. 제체의 경사, 피복재의 종류, 쇄파 및 비쇄파 그리고 각 확률변수의 상관성에 따른 안전계수와 파괴확률의 관계가 제시되었다. 또한 신뢰함수에 포함된 각 확률변수의 변동계수에 따른 영향이 민감도 분석을 통하여 정량적으로 해석되었다.

• Geomechanics and Engineering
• /
• 제36권6호
• /
• pp.631-640
• /
• 2024

In the traditional slope stability analysis, ignoring the spatial variability of slope soil will lead to inaccurate analysis. In this paper, the K-L series expansion method is adopted to simulate random field of soil strength parameters. Based on Random Limit Equilibrium Method (RLEM), the influence of variation coefficient and fluctuation range on reliability of soil slope supported by micro-pile is investigated. The results show that the fluctuation ranges and the variation coefficients significantly influence the failure probability of soil slope supported by micro-pile. With the increase of fluctuation range of soil strength parameters, the mean safety factor of the slope increases slightly. The failure probability of the soil slope increases with the increase of fluctuation range when the mean safety factor of the slope is greater than 1. The failure probability of the slope increases by nearly 8.5% when the fluctuation range is increased from δ_v=2 m to δ_v =8 m. With the increase of the variation coefficient of soil strength parameters, the mean safety factor of the slope decreases slightly, and the probability of failure of soil slope increases accordingly. The failure probability of the slope increases by nearly 31% when the variation coefficient increases from COV_c=0.2, COV_φ=0.05 to COV_c=0.5, COV_φ=0.2.

• 대한안전경영과학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 대한안전경영과학회 2008년도 춘계학술대회
• /
• pp.295-299
• /
• 2008

This paper discusses tests of factor effect or contrast by the use of saturated design $k^n$ factorial design. The nine nonparametric rank measures in normality test using normal probability pot are proposed. Length's PSE(Pseduo Standard Error) test [4] which relies on the concept of effect sparsity is also introduced and extended to the margin of error(ME) and Simultaneous margin of error(SME).

• 대한토목학회논문집
• /
• 제29권6C호
• /
• pp.251-258
• /
• 2009

본 연구에서는 모래다짐말뚝 (SCP)로 개량된 연약점토지반상의 성토시공에 있어서 최적설계조건에 대해 현행 설계법과 손실평가함수 및 1차 근사 2계 모멘트법 (AFOSM)에 기초한 신뢰성 설계법으로 비교 검토하였다. 결과를 요약하면 다음과 같다. 1) 안전율(Fs)와 파괴확률($P_F$)는 심한 비선형 관계를 나타냈고, Fs가 1.2로 증가함에 따라 $P_F$는 약 1%까지 급격한 감소를 나타낸 후, 안전율의 증가와 더불어 $P_F$는 점진적으로 감소하였다. 현행 설계법상의 기준 안전율 1.2는 둘의 관계에 있어서 일종의 임계값이며, 이들의 관계가 적절히 고려되어 정립되었다고 판단된다. 2) 최소기대총비용을 나타내는 안전율은 1.15부근으로 현행설계기준 1.2에 다소 못미치는 값으로 나타났고, 파괴확률은 1% 정도로 다소 컸다. 3) 응력분담비 n과 모래의 내부마찰각 ${\phi}$의 민감도가 연약층의 초기비배수강도 관련 변수들의 민감도보다 더 크게 나타났다. 이것은 n과 ${\phi}$의 변동 특성이 보다 해석결과에 큰 영향을 준다는 것과 이들 변동 특성은 SCP 개량지반상의 성토안정해석에 반드시 고려되어야 함을 의미한다. 4) 설계기준안전율 1.2 이상(파괴확률 0.1-0.3% 이하)에서 New Failure Point는 평균치에서 표준편차의 1~2배 가량 떨어져 있는 값을 나타냈다.

• Wind and Structures
• /
• 제35권1호
• /
• pp.21-34
• /
• 2022

Gust factor is an important parameter for the conversion between peak gust wind and mean wind speed used for the structural design and wind-related hazard mitigation. The gust factor of typhoon wind is observed to show a significant dispersion and some differences with large-scale weather systems, e.g., monsoons and extratropical cyclones. In this study, insitu measurement data captured by 13 meteorological towers during a strong typhoon Morakot are collected to investigate the statistical characteristics, height and wind speed dependency of the gust factor. Onshore off-sea and off-land winds are comparatively studied, respectively to characterize the underlying terrain effects on the gust factor. The theoretical method of peak factor based on Gaussian assumption is then introduced to compare the gust factor profiles observed in this study and given in some building codes and standards. The results show that the probability distributions of gust factor for both off-sea winds and off-land winds can be well described using the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution model. Compared with the off-land winds, the off-sea gust factors are relatively smaller, and the probability distribution is more leptokurtic with longer tails. With the increase of height, especially for off-sea winds, the probability distributions of gust factor are more peaked and right-tailed. The scatters of gust factor decrease with the mean wind speed and height. AS/NZ's suggestions are nearly parallel with the measured gust factor profiles below 80m, while the fitting curve of off-sea data below 120m is more similar to AIJ, ASCE and EU.

• 천문학회지
• /
• 제31권1호
• /
• pp.27-37
• /
• 1998

We have made semi-analytical studies to investigate the configurations of caustics and the probability distribution of the flux factor K for the binary microlensing including external shears. A parametric equation of critical curve is derived in a 4th order complex polynomial. We present the topological dependencies of the caustics for selected gamma parameters (0, 0.3, 0.6, 1.3, 2.0, and 2.5) and convergence terms (0., 0.4, 0.8, 1.2, 1.6, and 2.0). For the purpose of analyzing the efficiency of High Amplification Event (HAE) on each caustics, we examine the probability distribution of the flux factor by a Monte Carlo method. Changing the separation of the binary system from 0.8 to 1.3 (in normalied unit), we examine the probability distribution of the K-values in various gamma parameters. The relationship between gamma parameters, seperations and their probabilties of the flux factor K have been studied. Our results show that the relatively higher K values (K>1.5) are increased as increasing the separation of the binary system. We therfore conclude that, in the N-body microlensing, the probabilities of higher HAEs are inversely proportional to the star density as well. We also point out that the present research might be used as a preliminary step toward investigating heavy N-body microlensing simulations.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
• /
• 제42권1호
• /
• pp.121-129
• /
• 2012

All contemporary seismic Codes have adopted smooth design acceleration response spectra, which have derived by statistical analysis of many elastic response spectra of natural accelerograms. The above smooth design spectra are characterized by two main branches, an horizontal branch that is 2.5 times higher than the peak ground acceleration, and a declining parabolic branch. According to Eurocode EN/1998, the period range of the horizontal, flat branch is extended from 0.1 s, for rock soils, up to 0.8 s for softer ones. However, from many natural recorded accelerograms of important earthquakes, the real spectral amplification factor appears to be much higher than 2.5 and this means that the spectrum leads to an unsafe seismic design of the structures. This point is an issue open to question and it is the object of the present study. In the present paper, the spectral amplification factor of the smooth design acceleration spectra is re-calculated on the grounds of a known "reliability index" for a desired probability of exceedance. As a pilot scheme, the seismic area of Greece is chosen, as it is the most seismically hazardous area in Europe. The accelerograms of the 82 most important earthquakes, which have occurred in Greece during the last 38 years, are used. The soil categories are taken into account according to EN/1998. The results that have been concluded from these data are compared with the results obtained from other strong earthquakes reported in the World literature.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
• /
• 제14권1호
• /
• pp.13-19
• /
• 2013

국내 승용차용 삼원촉매의 경우 열적 내구성을 만족시키지 못하고 조기 파손되는 사례가 증가하고 있다. 이것은 차량의 배기가스 정화장치의 신뢰성에 치명적 손상을 유발시키므로 삼원촉매의 내구성 평가 모델을 파악할 필요가 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 세라믹 모노리스 담체에서 발생되는 열응력을 구한 뒤 강도저하계수모델과 파손확률을 기초로 삼원촉매의 열적 내구성을 평가하였다.