• Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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• v.4 no.2 s.10
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• pp.52-57
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• 2000

This paper suggests the evaluation sheet to ensure the objective and detailed information based on a classification table of PIF (Performance Influencing Factor). And this paper shows the results of HEP(Human Error Probability), using a quantitative method with the evaluated data as a result of estimating the likelihood of . human errors in the gas industry facility together with the evaluation sheet. Finally, these results are programmed to be operated in personal computer so that field workers an apply it in easy and convenient manner. The results of this study offer two key benefits; sharing reliable information on human errors with the Data Base and establishing a strategy to reduce human errors as well as to improve working proficiency.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.28 no.5B
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• pp.515-524
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• 2008

An estimation of reliable probability precipitation is one of the most important processes for reasonable hydrologic structure design. A probability precipitation has been calculated by frequency analysis using annual maximum rainfall series on the each duration among the observed rainfall data. Annual maximum rainfall series have abstracted on hourly rainfall data or daily rainfall data. So, there is necessary to proper conversion factor between the fixed and sliding durations. Therefore, in this study, conversion factors on the each duration between fixed and sliding durations have calculated using minutely data compared to hourly and daily data of 37 stations observed by Meteorological Administration in Korea. Also, regression equations were computed by regression analysis of conversion factors on the each duration. Consequently, conversion factors were used basis data for calculations of stable probability precipitation.

• Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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• v.42 no.6
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• pp.819-832
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• 2012

Purpose: This study was conducted to identify risk factors that influence the probability and severity of elder abuse in community-dwelling older adults. Methods: This study was a cross-sectional descriptive study. Self-report questionnaires were used to collect data from community-dwelling Koreans, 65 and older (N=416). Logistic regression, negative binomial regression and zero-inflated negative binomial regression model for abuse count data were utilized to determine risk factors for elder abuse. Results: The rate of older adults who experienced any one category of abuse was 32.5%. By zero-inflated negative binomial regression analysis, the experience of verbal-psychological abuse was associated with marital status and family support, while the experience of physical abuse was associated with self-esteem, perceived economic stress and family support. Family support was found to be a salient risk factor of probability of abuse in both verbal-psychological and physical abuse. Self-esteem was found to be a salient risk factor of probability and severity of abuse in physical abuse alone. Conclusion: The findings suggest that tailored prevention and intervention considering both types of elder abuse and target populations might be beneficial for preventative efficiency of elder abuse.

• The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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• v.8 no.1
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• pp.5-12
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• 1989

This paper is concerned with the characteristics on the statistical parameters of vibration signal from bearing with changing its operating conditions as well as the spreading of faults. The rms, Kurtosis, crest factor, probability of exceedance and probability density function have been chose as the statistical parameters. To characterize of each, vibration signals have been recorded from four ball tester at different loads, operation speeds and time. The values of the statistical parameters for each frequency band have been calculated after A/D conversion and digital filtering of the recorded signals. It has been found that unlike rms values the statistical parameters such as Kurtosis etc. are almost unchanging with the change of the operating conditions such as load and speed. This suggests that the statistical parameters may be used for determining the development of faults independent of the operating conditions. In fact, the statistical parameters deviate considerably from their respective normal values when the faults developed under load conditions in the samples, conforming the suggestion.

• Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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• v.17 no.2
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• pp.54-59
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• 2003

The characteristics of the parameters for the probability distribution of fatigue crack growth life, using the non-Gaussian random process simulation method is investigated. In this paper, the material resistance to fatigue crack growth is treated as a spatial random process, which varies randomly on the crack surface. Using the previous experimental data, the crack length equals the number of cycle curves that are simulated. The results are obtained for constant stress intensity factor range conditions with stress ratios of R=0.2, three specimen thickness of 6, 12 and 18mm, and the four stress intensity level. The probability distribution function of fatigue crack growth life seems to follow the 3-parameter Wiubull,, showing a slight dependence on specimen thickness and stress intensity level. The shape parameter, $\alpha$, does not show the dependency of thickness and stress intensity level, but the scale parameter, $\beta$, and location parameter, ${\gamma}$, are decreased by increasing the specimen thickness and stress intensity level. The slope for the stress intensity level is larger than the specimen thickness.

• Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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• 2003.07a
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• pp.230-233
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• 2003

In this paper, it is shown that, in DS/CDMA mobile systems, halving or doubling the spreading factor (HSF or DSE) when retransmission is requested possibly improves the throughput. Given transmit power, DSF essentially decreases probability of packet error (PPE) by increasing the signal energy per information bit. It, however, doubles the time duration needed for transmitting the original packet. On the other hand, HSF increases PPE. It, however halves the time duration required to carry the original packet. Thus, the efficiency of HSF or DSF as a retransmission strategy depends on the amount of increased or reduced PPE after HSF or DSF is selected. With achieving given residual error probability (REP) in CDMA systems, the effective throughput is evaluated in this paper to find conditions with which HSF or DSF achieves better performance than using the original one. Analytic results show that HSF or DSF performs better when relatively small or big changes in their PPE's are present, respectively.

• Journal of Wetlands Research
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• v.5 no.1
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• pp.41-52
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• 2003

The flood damage reduction studies have been performed by the channel improvement plan and the levee has mainly constructed with the freeboard concept. However, the freeboard concept might be an inappropriate choice as a safety factor of the levee because many uncertainties are involved in the procedure of the channel improvement plan studies. So, we considered the uncertainties In the discharge-probability, stage-discharge, and stage-damage functions and estimate the expected annual damage. The Monte Carlo technique for uncertainty analysis is used. As our results, the expected annual damage with uncertainty shows the larger value than without uncertainty. Since the expected annual damage with uncertainty already considers the safety factor it is the proper result. However, the expected annual damage without uncertainty does not consider the safety factor yet. Thus, if the expected annual damage without uncertainty considers the freeboard concept, it could be compared with the expected annual damage with uncertainty for the evaluation of the overestimation or underestimation of the levee construction.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.37 no.9
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• pp.759-769
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• 2004

This study proposes a new methodology to derive the areal reduction factor (ARF) using mixed probability density functions. Estimation of ARFs requires using the simultaneous rainfall data over the basin, which is rarely available in general. The new methodology Proposed in this study uses more available daily rainfall data during a given period, so the mixed probability density functions should be introduced to explain both the rainfall intermittency and variability. This study applied the mixed gamma distribution for the derivation of ARFs for the Keum river basin, and found that the new method is easier for application as well as it provides very comparable results.

• Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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• v.13 no.6
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• pp.712-723
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• 2007

The objective of this paper is to search the factors inducing the visitors to revisit in Bangeo Festival of Jeju region. To get this objective, this study analyzed the data with the Multinomial Logit Model applied dependent variable to intention of revisit. As a result, 'festival program' factor is the most important thing and if the factor increases by 1 unit, the probability of 'revisit' can be increased by 5.255 times than the probability of 'no revisit'. Secondly, the next significant factors are 'festival convenience' and 'festival recognition in advance'. So the providers of the festival will intend to prepare the festival focused on the important factor proposed by this results.

• Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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• v.37 no.1
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• pp.165-171
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• 2014

We develop an optimization algorithm for a periodic review inventory system under a stochastic budget constraint. While most conventional studies on the periodic review inventory system consider a simple budget limit in terms of the inventory investment being less than a fixed budget, this study adopts more realistic assumption in that purchasing costs are paid at the time an order is arrived. Therefore, probability is employed to express the budget constraint. That is, the probability of total inventory investment to be less than budget must be greater than a certain value assuming that purchasing costs are paid at the time an order is arrived. We express the budget constraint in terms of the Lagrange multiplier and suggest a numerical method to obtain optional values of the cycle time and the safety factor to the system. We also perform the sensitivity analysis in order to investigate the dependence of important quantities on the budget constraint. We find that, as the amount of budget increases, the cycle time and the average inventory level increase, whereas the Lagrange multiplier decreases. In addition, as budget increases, the safety factor increases and reaches to a certain level. In particular, we derive the condition for the maximum safety factor.