• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probabilistic Method.

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A C0 finite element investigation for buckling of shear deformable laminated composite plates with random material properties

  • Singh, B.N.;Iyengar, N.G.R.;Yadav, D.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.53-74
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    • 2002
  • Composites exhibit larger dispersion in their material properties compared to conventional materials due to larger number of parameters associated with their manufacturing processes. A $C^0$ finite element method has been used for arriving at an eigenvalue problem using higher order shear deformation theory for initial buckling of laminated composite plates. The material properties have been modeled as basic random variables. A mean-centered first order perturbation technique has been used to find the probabilistic characteristics of the buckling loads with different edge conditions. Results have been compared with Monte Carlo simulation, and those available in literature.

A stochastic adaptive pushover procedure for seismic assessment of buildings

  • Jafari, Mohammad;Soltani, Masoud
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.477-492
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    • 2018
  • Recently, the adaptive nonlinear static analysis method has been widely used in the field of performance based earthquake engineering. However, the proposed methods are almost deterministic and cannot directly consider the seismic record uncertainties. In the current study an innovative Stochastic Adaptive Pushover Analysis, called "SAPA", based on equivalent hysteresis system responses is developed to consider the earthquake record to record uncertainties. The methodology offers a direct stochastic analysis which estimates the seismic demands of the structure in a probabilistic manner. In this procedure by using a stochastic linearization technique in each step, the equivalent hysteresis system is analyzed and the probabilistic characteristics of the result are obtained by which the lateral force pattern is extracted and the actual structure is pushed. To compare the results, three different types of analysis have been considered; conventional pushover methods, incremental dynamic analysis, IDA, and the SAPA method. The result shows an admirable accuracy in predicting the structure responses.

A method to evaluate the risk-based robustness index in blast-influenced structures

  • Abdollahzadeh, Gholamreza;Faghihmaleki, Hadi
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.47-54
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    • 2017
  • Introduction of robustness index in the structure is done in three ways: deterministic robustness index, probabilistic robustness index, and risk-based robustness index. In past decades, there have been numerous researches to evaluate robustness index in both deterministic and probabilistic ways. In this research, by using a risk analysis, a risk-based robustness index has been defined for the structure. By creating scenarios in accordance with uncertainty parameters of critical and unexpected gas blast accident, a new method has been suggested for evaluating risk-based robustness index. Finally, a numerical example for the evaluation of risk-based robustness index of a four-storey reinforced concrete moment frame, designed and built based on Eurocode 8 code, has been presented with results showing a lower risk of robustness.

Calculation of Total Transfer Capability Considering Uncertainty of Weather (불확실한 날씨 상태를 고려한 총 송전용량 계산)

  • Park, Jin-Wook;Kim, Kyu-Ho;Shin, Dong-Joon;Kim, Jin-O
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2005.07a
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    • pp.199-201
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    • 2005
  • This paper proposes a method to evaluate the TTC by considering uncertainty of weather. Impact of the contingency on the system performance could not be addressed in a deterministic way because of the random nature of the system equipment outage and the increase of outage probability according to weather condition. For this reasons, probabilistic approach is necessary to realize evaluation of TTC. This method uses a sequential MCS. In sequential simulation, the chronological behavior of the system is simulated by sampling sequence of the system operating states based on the probability distribution of the component state duration. Therefor, MCS is used to accomplish the probabilistic calculation of TTC with consideration of weather condition.

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A Study on the Probabilistic Production Costing Simulation using Fast Hartley Transform - with considering Hydro and Pumped-Storage Plants - (고속 Hartley 변환을 이용한 확률론적 발전 시뮬레이션에 관한 연구 -수력 및 양수발전기의 운전을 고려한 경우-)

  • Song, K.Y.;Choi, J.S.;Kim, Y.H.
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1989.11a
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    • pp.194-196
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    • 1989
  • The production costing plays a key role in power system expansion and operations planning especially for the calculation of expected energy, loss of load probability and unserved energy. Therefore, it is crucial to develope a probabilistic production costing algorithm which gives sufficiently precise results within a reasonable computational time. In this respect, a number of methods of solving production simulation have been proposed. In previous paper we proposed the method used Fast Hartley Transform in convolution process with considering only the thermal units. In this paper, the method considering the scheduling of pumped-storage plants and hydro plants with energy constraints is proposed.

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Analysis of Fatigue Life and Fracture Toughness Using Probabilistic Finite Element Method (확률 유한요소해석법을 이용한 피로수명 및 강도해석)

  • 이현우;오세종
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.1448-1454
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    • 1994
  • Data which gathered and used in the field of fatigue and fracture mechanics have a lot of uncertainties. In this case, those uncertainties will make scatter band in evaluation of fatigue life and fracture toughness. Thus, the probabilistic analysis of these data will be needed. For determining the fatigue life in mixed mode, using crack direction law and fatigue crack growth law, the problem is studied as a constrained life minimization. Stress intensity factor(SIF) is computed by approximate solution table(Ewalds/Wanhill 1984) and 0th order PFEM. The variance of fatigue life and SIF are computed by differentiation of tabulated approximate solution and 1st order PFEM. And these are used for criterion of design values, principal parameter determination and modelling. The problem of center cracked plate is solved for checking the PFEM model which is influenced by various parameters like as initial crack length, final crack length, two fatigue parameters in Paris Equation and applied stress.

Probabilistic real-time updating for geotechnical properties evaluation

  • Ng, Iok-Tong;Yuen, Ka-Veng;Dong, Le
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.54 no.2
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    • pp.363-378
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    • 2015
  • Estimation of geotechnical properties is an essential but challenging task since they are major components governing the safety and reliability of the entire structural system. However, due to time and budget constraints, reliable geotechnical properties estimation using traditional site characterization approach is difficult. In view of this, an alternative efficient and cost effective approach to address the overall uncertainty is necessary to facilitate an economical, safe and reliable geotechnical design. In this paper a probabilistic approach is proposed for real-time updating by incorporating new geotechnical information from the underlying project site. The updated model obtained from the proposed method is advantageous because it incorporates information from both existing database and the site of concern. An application using real data from a site in Hong Kong will be presented to demonstrate the proposed method.

A Study on the Optimum Design of Base Isolated Structures (I) (면진 구조물의 최적설계에 관한 연구(I))

  • 정정훈;김병현;양용진
    • Proceedings of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea Conference
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    • 2001.09a
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    • pp.339-347
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    • 2001
  • A probabilistic optimum design method of the base isolation system consisting of linear spring, viscous damper and frictional element is presented. For the probabilistic approach, the base excitation is assumed to be a stationary Gaussian filtered random process. For optimum design, the objective function and constraints are derived based on the stochastic responses of the system. As a numerical example, the optimum design problem of a three-story base isolated shear type structure is formulated and solved by the sequential quadratic programming method. As a result, the effects of variation of design variables such as parameters of the base isolation system and the mass of base on the objective function and constraints are investigated and the optimum parameters of the base isolation system under study are derived.

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Protectability Evaluation of Distance Relay based on a Probabilistic Method for Transmission Network (오차확률 가반 송전계통 보호계전기 보호도 평가방법 연구)

  • Zhang, Wen-Hao;Choi, Myeon-Song;Lee, Seung-Jae
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2008.07a
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    • pp.29-30
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    • 2008
  • This paper defines a concept of "protectability" for the performance evaluation of distance relay considering its sensitivity and selectivity. The paper starts from the probabilistic modeling of the errors, and based on this model, a detailed explanation of protectability calculation for each zone of the distance relay is presented. An effect of the Weighting Rate and the Measurement Deviation on the protectability evaluation is also given. By considering this effect, the optimization of relay setting can be realized. The proposed method is applied to a typical model system to show its effectiveness.

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Reliability Based Topology Optimization of Compliant Mechanisms (컴플라이언트 메커니즘의 신뢰성 기반 위상최적설계)

  • Im, Min-Gyu;Park, Jae-Yong;Han, Seog-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Technology Engineers
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.826-833
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    • 2010
  • Electric-thermal-structural actuated compliant mechanisms are mechanisms onto which electric voltage drop is applied as input instead of force. This mechanism is based on thermal expansion of material while being heated. Compliant mechanisms are designed subjected to electric charge input using BESO(bi-directional evolutionary structural optimization) method. Reliability-based topology optimization (RBTO) is applied to the topology design of actuators. performance measure approach (PMA), which has probabilistic constraints that are formulated in terms of the reliability index, is adopted to evaluate the probabilistic constraints. In this study, BESO method is used to obtain optimal topology of compliant mechanisms from initial design domain. PMA approach is used to evaluate reliability index. The procedure has been tested in numerical applications and compared with the results obtained by other methods to validate these approaches.