• 제목/요약/키워드: Prior Error Estimator

검색결과 28건 처리시간 0.038초

구조동역학 문제에서 전단계 오차추정치를 이용한 자동시간간격 조정 알고리듬 (An Automatic Time Stepping Algorithm Using a Prior Error Estimator in Structural Dynamics)

  • 조은형;정진태
    • 소음진동
    • /
    • 제9권6호
    • /
    • pp.1240-1246
    • /
    • 1999
  • A prior error estimator which is solving structural dynamic problems and which is based on the generalized-method, is developed. Since the proposed error estimator is computed with only previous information, the time step size can be adaptively selected without the feedback mechanism. This paper shows that the automatic time stepping algorithm using the error estimator performs an efficient time integration. To verify its efficiency, several examples are numerically investigated.

  • PDF

A Comparative Study for Several Bayesian Estimators Under Squared Error Loss Function

  • Kim, Yeong-Hwa
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • 제16권2호
    • /
    • pp.371-382
    • /
    • 2005
  • The paper compares the performance of some widely used Bayesian estimators such as Bayes estimator, empirical Bayes estimator, constrained Bayes estimator and constrained Bayes estimator by means of a new measurement under squared error loss function for the typical normal-normal situation. The proposed measurement is a weighted sum of the precisions of first and second moments. As a result, one can gets the criterion according to the size of prior variance against the population variance.

  • PDF

Estimation of the parameter in an Exponential Distribution using a LINEX Loss

  • 우정수;이화정;은갑숙
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • 제13권2호
    • /
    • pp.1-10
    • /
    • 2002
  • A Bayes estimator of the scale parameter in an exponential distribution will be considered by a LINEX error, then the risk of the Bayes estimator using a LINEX loss will be compared with that of a Bayes estimator using a square error.

  • PDF

A Comparative Study for Several Bayesian Estimators Under Balanced Loss Function

  • Kim, Yeong-Hwa
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • 제17권2호
    • /
    • pp.291-300
    • /
    • 2006
  • In this research, the performance of widely used Bayesian estimators such as Bayes estimator, empirical Bayes estimator, constrained Bayes estimator and constrained empirical Bayes estimator are compared by means of a measurement under balanced loss function for the typical normal-normal situation. The proposed measurement is a weighted sum of the precisions of first and second moments. As a result, one can gets the criterion according to the size of prior variance against the population variance.

  • PDF

Bayesian estimation for the exponential distribution based on generalized multiply Type-II hybrid censoring

  • Jeon, Young Eun;Kang, Suk-Bok
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • 제27권4호
    • /
    • pp.413-430
    • /
    • 2020
  • The multiply Type-II hybrid censoring scheme is disadvantaged by an experiment time that is too long. To overcome this limitation, we propose a generalized multiply Type-II hybrid censoring scheme. Some estimators of the scale parameter of the exponential distribution are derived under a generalized multiply Type-II hybrid censoring scheme. First, the maximum likelihood estimator of the scale parameter of the exponential distribution is obtained under the proposed censoring scheme. Second, we obtain the Bayes estimators under different loss functions with a noninformative prior and an informative prior. We approximate the Bayes estimators by Lindleys approximation and the Tierney-Kadane method since the posterior distributions obtained by the two priors are complicated. In addition, the Bayes estimators are obtained by using the Markov Chain Monte Carlo samples. Finally, all proposed estimators are compared in the sense of the mean squared error through the Monte Carlo simulation and applied to real data.

A Sequential Approach for Estimating the Variance of a Normal Population Using Some Available Prior Information

  • Samawi, Hani M.;Al-Saleh, Mohammad F.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
    • /
    • 제31권4호
    • /
    • pp.433-445
    • /
    • 2002
  • Using some available information about the unknown variance $\sigma$$^2$ of a normal distribution with mean $\mu$, a sequential approach is used to estimate $\sigma$$^2$. Two cases have been considered regarding the mean $\mu$ being known or unknown. The mean square error (MSE) of the new estimators are compared to that of the usual estimator of $\sigma$$^2$, namely, the sample variance based on a sample of size equal to the expected sample size. Simulation results indicates that, the new estimator is more efficient than the usual estimator of $\sigma$$^2$whenever the actual value of $\sigma$$^2$ is not too far from the prior information.

Pooling shrinkage estimator of reliability for exponential failure model using the sampling plan (n, C, T)

  • Al-Hemyari, Z.A.;Jehel, A.K.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
    • /
    • 제12권1호
    • /
    • pp.61-77
    • /
    • 2011
  • One of the most important problems in the estimation of the parameter of the failure model, is the cost of experimental sampling units, which can be reduced by using any prior information available about ${\theta}$, and devising a two-stage pooling shrunken estimation procedure. We have proposed an estimator of the reliability function (R(t)) of the exponential model using two-stage time censored data when a prior value about the unknown parameter (${\theta}$) is available from the past. To compare the performance of the proposed estimator with the classical estimator, computer intensive calculations for bias, mean squared error, relative efficiency, expected sample size and percentage of the overall sample size saved expressions, were done for varying the constants involved in the proposed estimator (${\tilde{R}}$(t)).

  • PDF

Accuracy Measures of Empirical Bayes Estimator for Mean Rates

  • Jeong, Kwang-Mo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • 제17권6호
    • /
    • pp.845-852
    • /
    • 2010
  • The outcomes of counts commonly occur in the area of disease mapping for mortality rates or disease rates. A Poisson distribution is usually assumed as a model of disease rates in conjunction with a gamma prior. The small area typically refers to a small geographical area or demographic group for which very little information is available from the sample surveys. Under this situation the model-based estimation is very popular, in which the auxiliary variables from various administrative sources are used. The empirical Bayes estimator under Poissongamma model has been considered with its accuracy measures. An accuracy measure using a bootstrap samples adjust the underestimation incurred by the posterior variance as an estimator of true mean squared error. We explain the suggested method through a practical dataset of hitters in baseball games. We also perform a Monte Carlo study to compare the accuracy measures of mean squared error.

Estimation of the exponentiated half-logistic distribution based on multiply Type-I hybrid censoring

  • Jeon, Young Eun;Kang, Suk-Bok
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • 제27권1호
    • /
    • pp.47-64
    • /
    • 2020
  • In this paper, we derive some estimators of the scale parameter of the exponentiated half-logistic distribution based on the multiply Type-I hybrid censoring scheme. We assume that the shape parameter λ is known. We obtain the maximum likelihood estimator of the scale parameter σ. The scale parameter is estimated by approximating the given likelihood function using two different Taylor series expansions since the likelihood equation is not explicitly solved. We also obtain Bayes estimators using prior distribution. To obtain the Bayes estimators, we use the squared error loss function and general entropy loss function (shape parameter q = -0.5, 1.0). We also derive interval estimation such as the asymptotic confidence interval, the credible interval, and the highest posterior density interval. Finally, we compare the proposed estimators in the sense of the mean squared error through Monte Carlo simulation. The average length of 95% intervals and the corresponding coverage probability are also obtained.

Bayesian Estimations of the Smaller and Larger for Two Pareto Scale Parameters

  • Woo, Jungsoo;Lee, Changsoo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • 제7권3호
    • /
    • pp.829-836
    • /
    • 2000
  • We shall derive Bayes estimators for he smaller and larger of two Pareto scale parameters with a common known shape parameter when the order of the scales is unknown and sample sizes are equal under squared error loss function. Also, we shall obtain biases and man squared errors for proposed Bayes estimators, and compare numerically performances for the proposed Bayes estimators.

  • PDF