• 제목/요약/키워드: Price Risk

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Does Investor Sentiment Influence Stock Price Crash Risk? Evidence from Saudi Arabia

  • ALNAFEA, Maryam;CHEBBI, Kaouther
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.143-152
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    • 2022
  • This paper examines the relationship between investor sentiment and the risk of a stock price crash at the firm level. Our dataset includes 131 firms listed on the Saudi stock exchange (Tadawul) from 2011 to 2019, as well as 953 firm-year observations. To evaluate crash risk, we employ two distinct proxies and propose an index for measuring firm-level sentiment which we use for the first time in our study. The average turnover rate, price-earnings ratio, and overnight return are the three sentiment proxies we utilize in our index. Our findings show that high levels of investor emotion increase managers' proclivity to withhold unfavorable news from investors, which aggravates the risk of a stock price crash. We undertake cross-sectional regressions by sector to ensure the robustness of our findings, and our findings are confirmed. After accounting for any endogeneity issues with the GMM technique, the results remain the same. Furthermore, we analyze the liquidity effect by dividing our sample into subsamples with better and worse liquidity and find that firms with worse liquidity have a considerably greater positive impact of investor mood. Overall, our findings help investors and regulators recognize the significance of this downside risk and how to manage it in the stock market.

변동성위험프리미엄을 이용한 일중변동성매도전략의 수익성에 관한 연구 (Profitability of Intra-day Short Volatility Strategy Using Volatility Risk Premium)

  • 김선웅;최흥식;배민근
    • 경영과학
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.33-41
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    • 2010
  • A lot of researches find negative volatility risk premium in options market. We can make a trading profit by exploiting the negative volatility premium. This study proposes negative volatility risk premium hypotheses in the KOSPI 200 stock price index options market and empirically test the proposed hypotheses with intra-day short straddle strategy. This strategy sells both at-the-money call option and at-the-money put option at market open and exits the position at market close. Using MySQL 5.1, we create our database with 1 minute option price data of the KOSPI 200 index options from 2004 to 2009. Empirical results show that negative volatility risk premium exists in the KOSPI 200 stock price index options market. Furthermore, intra-day short straddle strategy consistently produces annual profits except one year.

Influence of Perceived Quality, Price, Risk, and Brand Image on Perceived Value for Smartphone's Consumers in a Developing Country

  • Samadou, Sourou Essono;Kim, Gyu-Bae
    • 동아시아경상학회지
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    • 제6권3호
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    • pp.37-47
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    • 2018
  • Purpose - This paper investigates the major determinants of consumer decision making for smartphone's consumers in a developing country in Africa especially in Gabon. Analysis of Perceived Quality, Perceived Price, Perceived Risk, Brand Image, Perceived Value, and Purchase Intention Research design and methodology - In order to proceed the empirical research, online survey was done via email and social media network and data was collected from 289 random respondents. Therefore, to assess the reliability, the validity and test hypothesis Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS) version 21 was used. Results - After data collection and analysis, results have proved that brand image, perceived price does influence perceived quality, and perceived quality negatively influence perceived risk. The results also show perceived risk along with brand image, perceived price and quality could not influence perceived value. The findings also indicate that perceived value slightly influence purchase intentions. Conclusions - The results of the study show that it is essential to develop an understanding of value in the purchasing process. This study should also provide a glimpse to both marketers and manufacturers about consumers' perceptions towards smartphones.

Differences in Perceived Risk and Product Attitudes : Focus on Korea and Thailand Consumers

  • Kim, Moon-Jung;Kim, Eun-Hee
    • 산경연구논집
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    • 제8권6호
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    • pp.41-49
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    • 2017
  • Purpose - The purpose of this research is to examine the differences and interaction effects of perceived risk and product attitudes between Korea and Thailand consumers in accordance with price discount and product types. Research design, data, and methodology - A questionnaire survey was conducted in Korea and Thailand. There were a total of 327questionnaires received, and 322 of them were valid. Respondents consisted of 163 Koreans and 159 Thai consumers. Each question is measured in a Likert-type five-point scale. To verify the difference and interaction effects of perceived risk and product attitudes, ANOVA analysis was carried out. Results - This research found that the perceived risk of Thailand consumers in accordance with price discount and product types is confirmed to be larger than Korean consumers. The difference of product attitudes of Thailand consumers is higher than those of Korean consumers. Thus, product attitudes in accordance with country type and price discount types are verified with the interaction effect. The difference of product attitudes in accordance with price discount type and product types are not founded. The main effect was not verified. Conclusions - The finding of this study can be used as useful information to Korean and Thai retailers looking to enter the global market.

A study on the nash equilibrium of the price of insurance

  • Min, Jae-Hyung
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한산업공학회/한국경영과학회 1992년도 춘계공동학술대회 발표논문 및 초록집; 울산대학교, 울산; 01월 02일 May 1992
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    • pp.403-412
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    • 1992
  • This note examines a situation where a risk-neutral insurer and a risk-averse individual (prospective insured) negotiate to reach an arbitration point of the price of insurance over the terms of an insurance contract in order to maximize their respective self-interests. The situation is modeled as a Nash bargaining problem. We analyze the dependence of the price of insurance, which is determined by the Nash solution, on the parameters such as the size of insured loss, the probability of a loss, the degree of risk-aversion of the insured, and the riskiness of loss distribution.

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특수관계자 거래가 주가급락에 미치는 영향 (The Effect of Related Party Transactions on Crash Risk)

  • 유혜영
    • 산경연구논집
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    • 제9권6호
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    • pp.49-55
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    • 2018
  • Purpose - This paper examines the effect of related party transactions on crash firm-specific stock price crash risk. Ownership of a typical Korean conglomerate is concentrated in a single family. In those entities, management and board positions are often filled by family members. Therefore, a dominant shareholder can benefit from related party transactions. In Korea, firms have to report related party transactions in financial statement footnotes. However, those are not disclosed in detail. The more related party transactions are the greater information risk. Thus, companies with related party transactions are likely to experience stock price crashes. Research design, data, and methodology - 2,598 firm-year observations are used for the main analysis. Those samples are from TS2000 database from 2009 to 2013, and the database covers KOSPI-listed firms in Korea. The proxy for related party transactions (RTP) is calculated by dividing total transactions to the related-party by total sales. A dummy variable is used as a dependent variable (CRASH) in the regression model. Logistic regression is used to explain the relationship between related party transactions and crash risk. Then, the sample was separated into two groups; tunneling firms and propping firms. The relation between related party transactions and crash risk variances with features of the transaction were investigated. Results - Using a sample of KOSPI-listed firms in TS2000 database for the period of 2009-2013, I find that stock price crash risk increases as the trade volume of related-party transactions increases. Specifically, I find that the coefficient of RPT is significantly positive, supporting the prediction. In addition, this relationship is strong and robust in tunneling firms. Conclusions - The results report that firms with related party transactions are more likely to experience stock price crashes. The results mean that related party transactions increase the possibility of future stock price crashes by enlarging information asymmetry between controlling shareholders and minority shareholders. In case of tunneling, it could be seen that related party transactions are positively associated with stock crash risk. The result implies that the characteristic of the transaction influences crash risk. This study is related to a literature that investigates the effect of related party transactions on the stock market.

소셜커머스 외식상품 재이용의도의 영향요인 - 지각된 위험과 가격의식성을 중심으로 - (Factors Influencing the Reuse Intention of Social Commerce Foodservice Product - Perceived Risk and Price Consciousness -)

  • 전현모;권나경
    • 한국조리학회지
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.114-127
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    • 2016
  • 본 연구에서는 소셜커머스를 이용하는 외식소비자들을 대상으로 재이용의도에 영향을 미치는 요인으로 지각된 위험과 상품구매 시 가격을 고려하는 정도인 가격의식성을 제시하여 영향관계를 검증해 보고자 한다. 이러한 검증결과를 통해 외식소비자들의 소셜커머스에 대한 행동의도를 파악하여 외식소셜커머스 관련 업체들의 마케팅전략 수립 시 활용할 수 있는 유용한 실무적 시사점을 제공하는데 본 연구의 목적을 두고자 한다. 연구의 공간적 범위와 조사대상은 소셜커머스에서 외식상품을 구매한 경험이 있는 전국의 20세 이상 남녀 내국인 거주자로 하였으며, 표본추출을 위한 소셜커머스 업체는 연간 방문자 수 기준으로 2014년 쇼핑 앱 순위에서 1위를 차지한 쿠팡으로 선정하였다. 조사대상자 중에서 쿠팡을 이용해 외식상품을 구매한 경험이 있는 지를 사전질문을 통해 파악한 후 경험이 있다고 응답한 사람을 대상으로 설문조사를 실시하였다. 연구결과, 정보위험과 개인보안위험, 심리적 위험, 시간손실위험은 재이용의도에 부정적인 영향이 있는 것으로 나타났으나 사회적 위험과 재무적 위험은 아무런 영향을 미치지 않는 것으로 나타났다. 가격의식성은 재이용의도에 긍정적인 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 외식소비자들의 지속적인 소셜커머스 이용에 영향을 미치는 요인으로 지각된 위험과 가격의식성의 중요성을 규명하였다.

구매가격 변동 하에서 초기재고 재분배를 통한 위험회피 재고모형의 효율화 (Improving a Risk-Averse Price-Fluctuating Inventory Model by Reallocating Initial Inventories)

  • 박찬규
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제38권2호
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    • pp.95-115
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    • 2013
  • In traditional inventory models, purchase prices of raw materials are assumed to be fixed and have no effect on the optimal choice of inventory policies. However, when purchase prices fluctuate continuously over time, inventory costs are heavily affected by purchasing prices. Risk-averse inventory model decides order quantity and ordering time by considering not just purchase prices but also the risk from the discrepancy between estimated prices and realized prices. In this paper, we propose a myopic inventory policy which incorporates price risk into deciding ordering time and quantities. While the existing risk-averse model has no mechanism to reallocate inventories already purchased for a specific future period, the revised one reallocates initial inventories of each period to other future periods so that it can avoid purchasing raw materials at high prices. Experimental results demonstrate that the revised model outperforms the existing one in respect of total cost and variability.

확률변동성 모형을 적용한 해운산업의 벙커가격과 환율 리스크 추정 (Application to the Stochastic Modelling of Risk Measurement in Bunker Price and Foreign Exchange Rate on the Maritime Industry)

  • 김현석
    • 한국항만경제학회지
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    • 제34권1호
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    • pp.99-110
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    • 2018
  • 본 연구는 해운기업의 주요 비용요인 벙커 가격과 환율의 불확실성으로 인한 재무적 리스크를 수치화하는 방법론을 2010년 1월 1일부터 2018년 1월 31일까지의 일별자료를 대상으로 적용한다. 기하브라운 운동 (Geometric Brownian Motion 이하 GBM)과 이를 확장한 조건부 이분산성(heteroskedasticity) 및 점프 확산 프로세스(jump diffusion process)에 의존하는 모형으로부터 추정한 현금 흐름 리스크 추정치는 다음 세 가지 학술적 기여로 요약할 수 있다. 첫째, 운임수익률과 같은 단일 변수에 의존한 리스크 분석을 벙커가격과 환율 수익률 변동성과 같이 복합요인으로부터 발생하는 영향으로 분석을 확장하였다. 둘째, 개별기업 수준에서 벙커가격과 환율 리크스 관리의 필요성을 민감도 분석을 통해 현금흐름수준으로 제시하였다. 마지막으로 분석결과가 제시하는 리스크 규모를 근거로 해운기업은 리스크 관리를 위한 수단으로 무엇이 적절한가를 고민해야 할 필요성이 있음을 제기한다.

의류상품평가에 대한 외재적 단서의 영향 (The Effect of Extrinsinc Cues on the Clothing Products Evaluation)

  • 이선재
    • 복식
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    • 제43권
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    • pp.125-142
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    • 1999
  • This research was aimed to present a model of clothing products evaluation nd to classify the effect of extrinsic cues on clothing products evaluation. In order to accomplish following subjects were established. First it is to find the effect of extrinsic cues -price brand store - on perceived quality perceived risk perceived value and purchase intention of clothing products. Second it is to formulate a model of clothing products evaluation and find the relation among the variables such as extrinsic cues perceived quality perceived risk perceived value and purchase intention. This research was mainly divided into theoretical and empirical part. In the theoretical part previous theories and studies on clothing products cues clothing products evaluation perceived quality perceived risk and perceived value were examined to establish a research model and to present a theoretical frame for clothing products evaluation. In the empirical research a questionnaire was developed and statistical data were collected from during July 1997. The subjects were 862 women in the age of 20-35 living in Seoul and kyungki region. SAS and LISREL were used to analyze the collected data. frequency percentage factor analysis ANOVA duncan test correlation analysis regression analysis and LISREL were applied. The results of this research are as follows: First perceived quality consists of performance quality external quality and utility quality in a form of multi dimensional structural. Perceived risk is structured by social/resultant risk financial/fashionable risk and performance/management risk. Second this research proved that extrinsic cues are influenced by each individual variable and extrinsic cues interact with each other through the variable. The perceived quality is influenced most by price Among the perceived risk social/resultant risk by brand financial/fashionable risk by price and performance/management risk by store. respectively. Perceived value is inflenced by price and brand. Third in evaluating process consumer use extrinsic cues to first formulate perceived quality and perceived risk of clothing products and then formulate perceived value ot decide on purchase intention.

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