• 제목/요약/키워드: Price Risk

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주가지수선물의 헤징거래 (Hedging Transaction in the Stock Index Futures)

  • 윤석곤
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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    • 제3권4호
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    • pp.139-144
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    • 1998
  • 국내 자본시장의 개방으로 주가변동에 따른 위험분산 외국의 단기성자금에 의한 국내증권시장의 교란을 억제하고 투자활성화를 위해 도입된 주가지수선물의 헤징은 다른 종류의 금융선물 및 상품선물거래 도입을 촉진하게 될 것이고 이는 결국 국내 금융기관 국제경쟁력을 높이고 우리 금융시장 선진화를 앞당기는데 기여할 것이다. 또한 위험분산기능과가격발전기능을 통해 경제안정과 경제활동 원활화에도 큰 도움을 줄 것으로 기대된다. 결국주가지수선물시대가 열림에 따라 국내 주식시장에 따라 지수편입종목의 거래량 확대, 선물지수의 변동으로 초래될 주식시장의 변화에 대해서도 보다 높은 관심을 가져야 할 것으로 판단된다.

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Optimal ESS Investment Strategies for Energy Arbitrage by Market Structures and Participants

  • Lee, Ho Chul;Kim, Hyeongig;Yoon, Yong Tae
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.51-59
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    • 2018
  • Despite the advantages of energy arbitrage using energy storage systems (ESSs), the high cost of ESSs has not attracted storage owners for the arbitrage. However, as the costs of ESS have decreased and the price volatility of the electricity market has increased, many studies have been conducted on energy arbitrage using ESSs. In this study, the existing two-period model is modified in consideration of the ESS cost and risk-free contracts. Optimal investment strategies that maximize the sum of external effects caused by price changes and arbitrage profits are formulated by market participants. The optimal amounts of ESS investment for three types of investors in three different market structures are determined with game theory, and strategies in the form of the mixed-complementarity problem are solved by using the PATH solver of GAMS. Results show that when all market participants can participate in investment simultaneously, only customers invest in ESSs, which means that customers can obtain market power by operating their ESSs. Attracting other types of ESS investors, such as merchant storage owners and producers, to mitigate market power can be achieved by increasing risk-free contracts.

Impacts of Ownership Structure on Systemic Risk of Listed Companies in Vietnam

  • VU, Van Thi Thuy;PHAN, Nghia Trong;DANG, Hung Ngoc
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.107-117
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    • 2020
  • The research objective of the paper is to clarify the factors influencing system risks of listed companies in Vietnam, with a focus on clarifying the relationship and quantifying the impacts of ownership structure on systemic risk of listed companies. The data used in this study included financial statements and stock price data of listed companies on the Ho Chi Minh City Stock Exchange and Hanoi Stock Exchange of Vietnam stock market in the period from 2010 to 2017. The paper used the method of estimation in establising the regression models to choose among three models: Random Effect Model, Fixed Effect Model or Pooled OLS for regression using Stata statistical software. The research results showed that state ownership and ownership by foreign investors were positively related to systemic risk, while ownership by domestic investors had a reverse relationship with systemic risk of listed companies in Vietnam. In addition, as a control variable, both company size and profitability had an effect on the systemic risk of listed companies in the research sample. Based on the research results, the authors interpreted some of the implications in order to minimize systemic risks in the operation of listed companies in Vietnam.

종이소재 패션제품 구매결정에서의 지각된 위험 - 줌치한지 종이소재 가방과 지갑 제품을 중심으로 - (Perceived risks in purchase decision of paper fashion products - Focusing on bags and wallets made with Jumchi-Hanji papers -)

  • 홍희숙;김혜성
    • 복식문화연구
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.450-470
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    • 2018
  • This study examined the risk components and risk types perceived in the context of purchasing decisions of paper fashion products. This study also identified the levels of perceived risk by consumers and the differences between age groups in risk perception. First, qualitative data were collected through a focus group interview with 7 Korean females in their 20s to 50s. The interviewees were presented with two types of paper materials (undyed and dyed Jumchi-Hanji) and products (bags and wallets) made with the papers. The interviewees mentioned 11 risk components which were classified into five types of risks: performance (easily torn/lack of durableness, lint/pilling/wear-out, lack of water-resistant, no washability, and deformation and discoloration over time), social-psychological (old and traditional image), aesthetic (lack of design diversity, unsatisfactory appearance due to repair), financial (expensive price, lack of usability in daily life) and time/convenience (difficulty in handling) risks. Based on the results of the interview, a measurement for evaluating the risk perception of paper fashion products was developed. Second, quantitative data were collected from 64 Korean women in their 20s to 50s using the measurement. Respondents who were presented with the paper materials and the products perceived the performance risk more strongly than the social-psychological risk and aesthetic risk. In addition, differences between age groups were found: younger respondents perceived performance risk and social-psychological risk more strongly than older respondents, but older respondents perceived financial risk more than younger respondents. Based on this study, strategies for the risk reduction of paper fashion products were proposed.

Exports of SMEs against Risk? Theory and Evidence from Foreign Exchange Risk Insurance Schemes in Korea

  • Lee, Seo-Young
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • 제23권5호
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    • pp.87-101
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    • 2019
  • Purpose - This paper examines the effectiveness of the foreign exchange risk insurance system in the promotion of SME exports in Korea. The purpose of this study is to analyze the short-term and long-term responses of SME exports to foreign exchange risk insurance support policies. Based on these empirical studies, we would like to present some operational improvements to the operation of the foreign exchange risk insurance system. Design/methodology - In order to analyze the effect of exchange risk insurance on the exports of SMEs, a VAR model consisting of foreign exchange risk insurance underwriting values, export relative price, and domestic demand pressure, including export volume, was established. The study began with tests of the stationarity of time series data. The unit root tests showed that all concerned variables were non-stationary. Accordingly, the results of the cointegration test showed that the tested variables are not cointegrated. Finally, an impulse response function and variance decomposition analysis were conducted to analyze the impulse of foreign exchange risk insurance on exports of SMEs. Findings - As a result of estimating the VAR (1) model, foreign exchange risk insurance was found to be significant at a 1% significance level for SME' export promotion. In the impulse response analysis, SMEs' export response to the impulse of foreign exchange risk insurance showed that exports gradually increased until the third quarter, and then slowed down. However, the impulse did not disappear, and appeared continuously. Originality/value - This study analyzed the effect of foreign exchange insurance on exports of SMEs by applying the VAR model. In particular, this study is the first to analyze the short-term and long-term effects of foreign exchange risk insurance on exports of SMEs. The empirical evidence in the current study have a policy implication for the policy authority to support and promote the foreign exchange risk insurance in the effect of exchange rate volatility on Korea' export SMEs.

소규모 건설 프로젝트에서의 공사예비비 산정방법에 관한 연구 (A Study on Estimating the Contingency Cost of Small Construct Project)

  • 송진우;표영민;박성호;이상범
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2004년도 학술.기술논문발표회
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    • pp.113-117
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    • 2004
  • We need the contingency cost in order to deal with the uncertainty to be accompanied inevitably at the construction and an every kind risk not to forecast in advance. And also the contingency colt needed for the change order and we need it for reduction of the delay and reduce the trouble between owner and constructor. This study, through checking and analyzing the risk factor, in the step of domestic construction, suggests optimal management reserve to specific business about the contract type and the scale. The main results of this research are summarized as follow. First, I investigated the recognition about the contingency cost, grasped the risk to be happened at the construction step and found out the frequency occurrence, through making up question to engineer are carrying out their job in the domestic construction. Second, I computed optimal contingency cost rate by the statistics investigation, and proposed an improvement plan and problem when compute a contingency cost.

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상황과 소비자 특성의 지각된 위험, 상점속성의 중요도 및 상점선택행동에 대한 영향 (Interactive Effects of Situation and Personal Characteristics on Perceived Risk, Importance of Store Attributes and Store-Type Choice)

  • 홍희숙
    • 한국의류학회지
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    • 제20권5호
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    • pp.877-892
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    • 1996
  • The purpose of this was to test the interactive effects of usage situation and personal characteristics on perceived risk, importance of store attributes and store-type choice. The data were collected via a questionnaire from 601 housewives of ages 20's∼ 50's living in Seoul, Korea, and analyzed by factor analysis and repeated measure two-way ANOVA. The results of this study were as follows: First, the interactive effect of age and situation on economic risk was significant. Second, the significant infraction of age and situation on importance of product price/variety was found, and there were significant intractions of education and situation on importance of service/convenience, discount policy and product information sources/promotion. Third, the interactive effects of situation and personal characteristics (age, income, education or job) on store-type choice (brand chain store, discount store, department store, designer boutique, local store or a wholesale market) were significant.

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CAPM에서 $\beta$계수이외의 변수가 시장의 이상현상에 미치는 영향 (The effect of the variables with the exception of $\beta$ on and abnormal phenomenon of the stockmarket in CAPM)

  • 이재범
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.231-239
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    • 1999
  • CAPM explains the rate of return for the risk asset by $\beta$, systematic risk. There are some assumption in CAPM. But CAPM can not explain the movement of stock price sufficiently due to limitation of the assumptions. Therefore many scholars study which variables with the exception of $\beta$ effect on the rate of return of risk asset for supplementing this limitation by using PER, size of firm etc.. But it will be natural that PER, size of firm etc. to be determinant factors of $\beta$ also effect on the abnormal rate of return, because PER, size of firm etc. used in their studies already effect on determination of $\beta$, . That is, the determinant factors of $\beta$ effect on determination of abnormal rate of return according as $\beta$, effects on abnormal rate of return. Therefore, this study tests empirically how the determinant factors of $\beta$, effect on determination of$\beta$, ,and how $\beta$ and the determinant factor of $\beta$ effect on the abnormal rate of return in CAPM.

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개별주식선물을 이용한 시스템트레이딩 헤징전략의 성과분석 (A Study on the Strategies of Hedging System Trading Using Single-Stock Futures)

  • 김선웅;최흥식;김남현
    • 경영과학
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    • 제31권1호
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    • pp.49-61
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    • 2014
  • We investigate the hedging effectiveness of incorporating single-stock futures into the corresponding stocks. Investing in only stocks frequently causes too much risk when market volatility suddenly rises. We found that single-stock futures help reduce the variance and risk levels of the corresponding stocks invested. We use daily prices of Korean stocks and their corresponding futures for the time period from December 2009 to August 2013 to test the hedging effect. We also use system trading technique that uses automatic trading program which also has several simulation functions. Moving average strategy, Stochastic's strategy, Larry William's %R strategy have been considered for hedging strategy of the futures. Hedging effectiveness of each strategy was analyzed by percent reduction in the variance between the hedged and the unhedged variance. The results clearly showed that examined hedging strategies reduce price volatility risk compared to unhedged portfolio.

반복매매모형을 활용한 서울시 오피스 벤치마크 가격지수 개발 및 시험적 적용 연구 (The Development and Application of Office Price Index for Benchmark in Seoul using Repeat Sales Model)

  • 류강민;송기욱
    • 토지주택연구
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.33-46
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    • 2020
  • As the fastest growing office transaction volume in Korea, there's been a need for development of indicators to accurately diagnose the office capital market. The purpose of this paper is experimentally calculate to the office price index for effective benchmark indices in Seoul. The quantitative methodology used a Case-Shiller Repeat Sales Model (1991), based on actual multiple office transaction dataset with over minimum 1,653 ㎡ from Q3 1999 to 4Q 2019 in the case of 1,536 buildings within Seoul Metropolitan. In addition, the collected historical data and spatial statistical analysis tools were treated with the SAS 9.4 and ArcGIS 10.7 programs. The main empirical results of research are briefly summarized as follows; First, Seoul office price index was estimated to be 344.3 point (2001.1Q=100.0P) at the end of 2019, and has more than tripled over the past two decades. it means that the sales price of office per 3.3 ㎡ has consistently risen more than 12% every year since 2000, which is far above the indices for apartment housing index, announced by the MOLIT (2009). Second, between quarterly and annual office price index for the two-step estimation of the MIT Real Estate Research Center (MIT/CRE), T, L, AL variables have statistically significant coefficient (Beta) all of the mode l (p<0.01). Third, it was possible to produce a more stable office price index against the basic index by using the Moore-Penrose's pseoudo inverse technique at low transaction frequency. Fourth, as an lagging indicators, the office price index is closely related to key macroeconomic indicators, such as GDP(+), KOSPI(+), interest rates (5-year KTB, -). This facts indicate that long-term office investment tends to outperform other financial assets owing to high return and low risk pattern. In conclusion, these findings are practically meaningful to presenting an new office price index that increases accuracy and then attempting to preliminary applications for the case of Seoul. Moreover, it can provide sincerely useful benchmark about investing an office and predicting changes of the sales price among market participants (e.g. policy maker, investor, landlord, tenant, user) in the future.