• Title/Summary/Keyword: Predictive decision tree

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Identification of subgroups with poor lipid control among patients with dyslipidemia using decision tree analysis: the Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey from 2019 to 2021 (의사결정나무 분석을 이용한 이상지질혈증 유병자의 지질관리 취약군 예측: 2019-2021년도 국민건강영양조사 자료)

  • Hee Sun Kim;Seok Hee Jeong
    • Journal of Korean Biological Nursing Science
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.131-142
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: The aim of this study was to assess lipid levels and to identify groups with poor lipid control group among patients with dyslipidemia. Methods: Data from 1,399 Korean patients with dyslipidemia older than 20 years were extracted from the Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Complex sample analysis and decision-tree analysis were conducted with using SPSS for Windows version 27.0. Results: The mean levels of total cholesterol (TC), triglyceride (TG), low density lipoprotein-cholesterol (LDL-C), and high density lipoprotein cholesterol were 211.38±1.15 mg/dL, 306.61±1.15 mg/dL, 118.48±1.08 mg/dL, and 42.39±1.15 mg/dL, respectively. About 61% of participants showed abnormal lipid control. Poor glycemic control groups (TC ≥ 200 mg/dL or TG ≥ 150 mg/dL or LDL-C ≥ 130 mg/dL) were identified through seven different pathways via decision-tree analysis. Poor lipid control groups were categorized based on patients' characteristics such as gender, age, education, dyslipidemia medication adherence, perception of dyslipidemia, diagnosis of myocardial infarction or angina, diabetes mellitus, perceived health status, relative hand grip strength, hemoglobin A1c, aerobic exercise per week, and walking days per week. Dyslipidemia medication adherence was the most significant predictor of poor lipid control. Conclusion: The findings demonstrated characteristics that are predictive of poor lipid control and can be used to detect poor lipid control in patients with dyslipidemia.

Data Mining for Knowledge Management in a Health Insurance Domain

  • Chae, Young-Moon;Ho, Seung-Hee;Cho, Kyoung-Won;Lee, Dong-Ha;Ji, Sun-Ha
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 2000
  • This study examined the characteristicso f the knowledge discovery and data mining algorithms to demonstrate how they can be used to predict health outcomes and provide policy information for hypertension management using the Korea Medical Insurance Corporation database. Specifically this study validated the predictive power of data mining algorithms by comparing the performance of logistic regression and two decision tree algorithms CHAID (Chi-squared Automatic Interaction Detection) and C5.0 (a variant of C4.5) since logistic regression has assumed a major position in the healthcare field as a method for predicting or classifying health outcomes based on the specific characteristics of each individual case. This comparison was performed using the test set of 4,588 beneficiaries and the training set of 13,689 beneficiaries that were used to develop the models. On the contrary to the previous study CHAID algorithm performed better than logistic regression in predicting hypertension but C5.0 had the lowest predictive power. In addition CHAID algorithm and association rule also provided the segment characteristics for the risk factors that may be used in developing hypertension management programs. This showed that data mining approach can be a useful analytic tool for predicting and classifying health outcomes data.

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Corporate Corruption Prediction Evidence From Emerging Markets

  • Kim, Yang Sok;Na, Kyunga;Kang, Young-Hee
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.13-40
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    • 2021
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study is to predict corporate corruption in emerging markets such as Brazil, Russia, India, and China (BRIC) using different machine learning techniques. Since corruption is a significant problem that can affect corporate performance, particularly in emerging markets, it is important to correctly identify whether a company engages in corrupt practices. Design/methodology/approach - In order to address the research question, we employ predictive analytic techniques (machine learning methods). Using the World Bank Enterprise Survey Data, this study evaluates various predictive models generated by seven supervised learning algorithms: k-Nearest Neighbour (k-NN), Naïve Bayes (NB), Decision Tree (DT), Decision Rules (DR), Logistic Regression (LR), Support Vector Machines (SVM), and Artificial Neural Network (ANN). Findings - We find that DT, DR, SVM and ANN create highly accurate models (over 90% of accuracy). Among various factors, firm age is the most significant, while several other determinants such as source of working capital, top manager experience, and the number of permanent full-time employees also contribute to company corruption. Research implications or Originality - This research successfully demonstrates how machine learning can be applied to predict corporate corruption and also identifies the major causes of corporate corruption.

A Matchmaking System Adjusting the Mate-Selection Criteria based on a User's Behaviors using the Decision Tree (고객의 암묵적 이상형을 반영하여 배우자 선택기준을 동적으로 조정하는 온라인 매칭 시스템: 의사결정나무의 활용을 중심으로)

  • Park, Yoon-Joo
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.115-129
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    • 2012
  • A matchmaking system is a type of recommender systems that provides a set of dating partners suitable for the user by online. Many matchmaking systems, which are widely used these days, require users to specify their preferences with regards to ideal dating partners based on criteria such as age, job and salary. However, some users are not aware of their exact preferences, or are reluctant to reveal this information even if they do know. Also, users' selection standards are not fixed and can change according to circumstances. This paper suggests a new matchmaking system called Decision Tree based Matchmaking System (DTMS) that automatically adjusts the stated standards of a user by analyzing the characteristics of the people the user chose to contact. AMMS provides recommendations for new users on the basis of their explicit preferences. However, as a user's behavioral records are accumulated, it begins to analyze their hidden implicit preferences using a decision tree technique. Subsequently, DTMS reflects these implicit preferences in proportion to their predictive accuracy. The DTMS is regularly updated when a user's data size increases by a set amount. This paper suggests an architecture for the DTMS and presents the results of the implementation of a prototype.

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Application of Data Mining Techniques to Explore Predictors of HCC in Egyptian Patients with HCV-related Chronic Liver Disease

  • Omran, Dalia Abd El Hamid;Awad, AbuBakr Hussein;Mabrouk, Mahasen Abd El Rahman;Soliman, Ahmad Fouad;Aziz, Ashraf Omar Abdel
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.381-385
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    • 2015
  • Background:Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the second most common malignancy in Egypt. Data mining is a method of predictive analysis which can explore tremendous volumes of information to discover hidden patterns and relationships. Our aim here was to develop a non-invasive algorithm for prediction of HCC. Such an algorithm should be economical, reliable, easy to apply and acceptable by domain experts. Methods: This cross-sectional study enrolled 315 patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) related chronic liver disease (CLD); 135 HCC, 116 cirrhotic patients without HCC and 64 patients with chronic hepatitis C. Using data mining analysis, we constructed a decision tree learning algorithm to predict HCC. Results: The decision tree algorithm was able to predict HCC with recall (sensitivity) of 83.5% and precession (specificity) of 83.3% using only routine data. The correctly classified instances were 259 (82.2%), and the incorrectly classified instances were 56 (17.8%). Out of 29 attributes, serum alpha fetoprotein (AFP), with an optimal cutoff value of ${\geq}50.3ng/ml$ was selected as the best predictor of HCC. To a lesser extent, male sex, presence of cirrhosis, AST>64U/L, and ascites were variables associated with HCC. Conclusion: Data mining analysis allows discovery of hidden patterns and enables the development of models to predict HCC, utilizing routine data as an alternative to CT and liver biopsy. This study has highlighted a new cutoff for AFP (${\geq}50.3ng/ml$). Presence of a score of >2 risk variables (out of 5) can successfully predict HCC with a sensitivity of 96% and specificity of 82%.

Predictive Analysis of Problematic Smartphone Use by Machine Learning Technique

  • Kim, Yu Jeong;Lee, Dong Su
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.213-219
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    • 2020
  • In this paper, we propose a classification analysis method for diagnosing and predicting problematic smartphone use in order to provide policy data on problematic smartphone use, which is getting worse year after year. Attempts have been made to identify key variables that affect the study. For this purpose, the classification rates of Decision Tree, Random Forest, and Support Vector Machine among machine learning analysis methods, which are artificial intelligence methods, were compared. The data were from 25,465 people who responded to the '2018 Problematic Smartphone Use Survey' provided by the Korea Information Society Agency and analyzed using the R statistical package (ver. 3.6.2). As a result, the three classification techniques showed similar classification rates, and there was no problem of overfitting the model. The classification rate of the Support Vector Machine was the highest among the three classification methods, followed by Decision Tree and Random Forest. The top three variables affecting the classification rate among smartphone use types were Life Service type, Information Seeking type, and Leisure Activity Seeking type.

Characterizing Patterns of Experience of Harmful Shops among Adolescents Using Decision Tree Models (데이터마이닝을 이용한 청소년 유해업소 출입경험에 영향을 주는 요인)

  • Sohn, Aeree
    • Korean Journal of Health Education and Promotion
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.15-26
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    • 2014
  • Objective: This study was conducted in order to explore the predictive model of the experience of harmful shops in middle and high school students. Methods: The survey was conducted using a self-administered questionnaire method online via the homepage of the education ministry's student health information center. Participants were 1,888 middle school students and 1,563 high school students from 107 schools in Korea. The collected data were processed using the SPSS classification trees 18.0 program and examined using data mining decision tree model. Results: In this study, 6.9% of all subjects were found to have been to sex industry harmful place and 81.8% game place. The results revealed that smoking, living with parents, and school grade were significant predictors for experience of sex industry harmful place. The perception of study disrupts, drinking, living with parents, stress, and satisfaction of school life were significant predictors for experience of game harmful place. Conclusions: These results suggest that an educational approach should be developed by tailored conditions to prevent the access to harmful shops.

An application of datamining approach to CQI using the discharge summary (퇴원요약 데이터베이스를 이용한 데이터마이닝 기법의 CQI 활동에의 황용 방안)

  • 선미옥;채영문;이해종;이선희;강성홍;호승희
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.289-299
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    • 2000
  • This study provides an application of datamining approach to CQI(Continuous Quality Improvement) using the discharge summary. First, we found a process variation in hospital infection rate by SPC (Statistical Process Control) technique. Second, importance of factors influencing hospital infection was inferred through the decision tree analysis which is a classification method in data-mining approach. The most important factor was surgery followed by comorbidity and length of operation. Comorbidity was further divided into age and principal diagnosis and the length of operation was further divided into age and chief complaint. 24 rules of hospital infection were generated by the decision tree analysis. Of these, 9 rules with predictive prover greater than 50% were suggested as guidelines for hospital infection control. The optimum range of target group in hospital infection control were Identified through the information gain summary. Association rule, which is another kind of datamining method, was performed to analyze the relationship between principal diagnosis and comorbidity. The confidence score, which measures the decree of association, between urinary tract infection and causal bacillus was the highest, followed by the score between postoperative wound disruption find postoperative wound infection. This study demonstrated how datamining approach could be used to provide information to support prospective surveillance of hospital infection. The datamining technique can also be applied to various areas fur CQI using other hospital databases.

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Selecting the Best Prediction Model for Readmission

  • Lee, Eun-Whan
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.45 no.4
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    • pp.259-266
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    • 2012
  • Objectives: This study aims to determine the risk factors predicting rehospitalization by comparing three models and selecting the most successful model. Methods: In order to predict the risk of rehospitalization within 28 days after discharge, 11 951 inpatients were recruited into this study between January and December 2009. Predictive models were constructed with three methods, logistic regression analysis, a decision tree, and a neural network, and the models were compared and evaluated in light of their misclassification rate, root asymptotic standard error, lift chart, and receiver operating characteristic curve. Results: The decision tree was selected as the final model. The risk of rehospitalization was higher when the length of stay (LOS) was less than 2 days, route of admission was through the out-patient department (OPD), medical department was in internal medicine, 10th revision of the International Classification of Diseases code was neoplasm, LOS was relatively shorter, and the frequency of OPD visit was greater. Conclusions: When a patient is to be discharged within 2 days, the appropriateness of discharge should be considered, with special concern of undiscovered complications and co-morbidities. In particular, if the patient is admitted through the OPD, any suspected disease should be appropriately examined and prompt outcomes of tests should be secured. Moreover, for patients of internal medicine practitioners, co-morbidity and complications caused by chronic illness should be given greater attention.

Exploring Machine Learning Classifiers for Breast Cancer Classification

  • Inayatul Haq;Tehseen Mazhar;Hinna Hafeez;Najib Ullah;Fatma Mallek;Habib Hamam
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.860-880
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    • 2024
  • Breast cancer is a major health concern affecting women and men globally. Early detection and accurate classification of breast cancer are vital for effective treatment and survival of patients. This study addresses the challenge of accurately classifying breast tumors using machine learning classifiers such as MLP, AdaBoostM1, logit Boost, Bayes Net, and the J48 decision tree. The research uses a dataset available publicly on GitHub to assess the classifiers' performance and differentiate between the occurrence and non-occurrence of breast cancer. The study compares the 10-fold and 5-fold cross-validation effectiveness, showing that 10-fold cross-validation provides superior results. Also, it examines the impact of varying split percentages, with a 66% split yielding the best performance. This shows the importance of selecting appropriate validation techniques for machine learning-based breast tumor classification. The results also indicate that the J48 decision tree method is the most accurate classifier, providing valuable insights for developing predictive models for cancer diagnosis and advancing computational medical research.