• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction rate

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The Characteristics of Elementary School Students' Prediction Changes by the Suggestion Types for Situation in Repeated Anomalous Situation - Focused on Buoyancy - (반복되는 불일치 상황에서 상황 제시 방법에 따라 초등학생들이 예상을 바꾸는 특성)

  • Jeon, Ah-Reum;Noh, SukGoo;Park, Jae-Keun
    • Journal of Korean Elementary Science Education
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.298-310
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze the characteristics of elementary school students' prediction changes by the suggestion types in a multiple anomalous situation. We investigated the responses, the rate and time of changing prediction, and cognitive conflicts of the students when repeated anomalous situation was suggested in experimental or logical way in science classes focused on buoyancy. As the anomalous situation was repeated, the students to change the prediction increased in number and also the rates to choose the correct prediction became higher. The group who was exposed in experimental way changed their prediction more than in logical way. In addition, when we classified the students to change the prediction by types, the group in experimental way showed higher rate of NM, MM type and FFT type. With anomalous situation repeated, cognitive conflicts of the students has been gradually declining in both groups. But it seemed that the group in experimental way experienced higher mental conflicts. In particular, as students changed the prediction more and arrived at the correct answer after changing their prediction, all the more so. It is concluded that the degree of students' changing prediction and experiencing cognitive conflict can be different according to the suggestion types for situation. Therefore the correlation with cognitive conflict factors can be also observed with the types of students' reactions.

A Study on the Reliability and Maintainability Analysis Process for Aircraft Hydraulic System (항공기용 유압 시스템 신뢰도 및 정비도 분석 프로세스 고찰)

  • Han, ChangHwan;Kim, KeunBae
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Systems Engineering
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.105-112
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    • 2016
  • An aircraft must be designed to minimize system failure rate for obtaining the aircraft safety, because the aircraft system failure causes a fatal accident. The safety of the aircraft system can be predicted by analyzing availability, reliability, and maintainability of the system. In this study, the reliability and the maintainability of the hydraulic system are analysed except the availability, and therefore the reliability and the maintainability analysis process and the results are presented for a helicopter hydraulic system. For prediction of the system reliability, the failure rate model presented in MIL-HDBK-217F is used, and MTBF is calculated by using the Part Stress Analysis Prediction and quality/temperature/environmental factors described in NPRD-95 and MIL-HDBK-338B. The maintainability is predicted by FMECA(Failure Mode, Effect & Criticality Analysis) based on MIL-STD-1629A.

Sensor Density for Full-View Problem in Heterogeneous Deployed Camera Sensor Networks

  • Liu, Zhimin;Jiang, Guiyan
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.15 no.12
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    • pp.4492-4507
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    • 2021
  • In camera sensor networks (CSNs), in order to better identify the point, full-view problem requires capture any facing direction of target (point or intruder), and its coverage prediction and sensor density issues are more complicated. At present, a lot of research supposes that a large number of homogeneous camera sensors are randomly distributed in a bounded square monitoring region to obtain full-view rate which is close to 1. In this paper, we deduce the sensor density prediction model in heterogeneous deployed CSNs with arbitrary full-view rate. Aiming to reduce the influence of boundary effect, we introduce the concepts of expanded monitoring region and maximum detection area. Besides, in order to verify the performance of the proposed sensor density model, we carried out different scenarios in simulation experiments to verify the theoretical results. The simulation results indicate that the proposed model can effectively predict the sensor density with arbitrary full-view rate.

A Study on the Limit Heat Release Rate for the Prediction on Fire Characteristics in the Compartment Space (구획공간의 화재성상 예측을 위한 한계 열방출률에 관한 문헌고찰)

  • Huh, Ye-Rim;Lee, Byeong-Heun;Kwon, Young-Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2020.11a
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    • pp.111-112
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    • 2020
  • In the case of, the ignition of flammable external materials by the radiant flame and the accompanying fire in the upper layer are occurring every year, and in the case of the Flashover prediction formula, the limit is reached through the surface area of the space and the factor. Predicts heat release rate. In this study, the critical heat release rate of each prediction formula was calculated based on the ISO 9705 model.

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Low-complexity Local Illuminance Compensation for Bi-prediction mode (양방향 예측 모드를 위한 저복잡도 LIC 방법 연구)

  • Choi, Han Sol;Byeon, Joo Hyung;Bang, Gun;Sim, Dong Gyu
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.463-471
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    • 2019
  • This paper proposes a method for reducing the complexity of LIC (Local Illuminance Compensation) for bi-directional inter prediction. The LIC performs local illumination compensation using neighboring reconstruction samples of the current block and the reference block to improve the accuracy of the inter prediction. Since the weight and offset required for local illumination compensation are calculated at both sides of the encoder and decoder using the reconstructed samples, there is an advantage that the coding efficiency is improved without signaling any information. Since the weight and the offset are obtained in the encoding prediction step and the decoding step, encoder and decoder complexity are increased. This paper proposes two methods for low complexity LIC. The first method is a method of applying illumination compensation with offset only in bi-directional prediction, and the second is a method of applying LIC after weighted average step of reference block obtained by bidirectional prediction. To evaluate the performance of the proposed method, BD-rate is compared with BMS-2.0.1 using B, C, and D classes of MPEG standard experimental image under RA (Random Access) condition. Experimental results show that the proposed method reduces the average of 0.29%, 0.23%, 0.04% for Y, U, and V in terms of BD-rate performance compared to BMS-2.0.1 and encoding/decoding time is almost same. Although the BD-rate was lost, the calculation complexity of the LIC was greatly reduced as the multiplication operation was removed and the addition operation was halved in the LIC parameter derivation process.

Channel Reservation Scheme Using Wiener Prediction Theory for Cognitive Radio Networks (무선 인지 네트워크에서 위너예측 이론에 의한 예약채널 할당기법)

  • Lee, Jin-Yi
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.757-763
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    • 2011
  • This paper presents a channel reservation scheme using Wiener prediction model in order to reduce the rate of forced termination of cognitive users in cognitive radio networks. The proposed method uses Wiener prediction model to predict the number of radio channel required by the reappearance of primary users, and then calculates and reserves the number of channels that cognitive users demand for their spectrum handoff. Through the simulation we investigate cognitive users' forced termination rate and blocking rate with and without channel reservation. In addition we show the bandwidth utilization efficiency for both cases. The results show that the proposed scheme can reduce the forced termination rate of cognitive users at the cost of slightly increasing in blocking rate. Also it is seen that there is little difference in bandwidth utilization efficiency for both cases.

Comparison of QSAR mutagenicity prediction data with Ames test results (Ames test 결과와 QSAR을 이용한 변이원성예측치와의 비교)

  • 양숙영;맹승희;이종윤;이용욱;정호근;정해원;유일재
    • Environmental Mutagens and Carcinogens
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.21-25
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    • 2000
  • Recently there is increasing interest in the use of structure activity relationships for predicting the biological activity of chemicals. The reasons for the interest include the decrease cost and time per chemical as compared with animal or cell system for identifying toxicological effects of chemicals and the reduction in the use of animals for toxicological testing. This study is to test the validity of the mutagenicity data generated from QSAR (Quantitative Structure Activity Relationship) program. Thirty chemicals, which had been evaluated by Ames test during 1997-1999, were assessed with TOPKAT QSAR mutagenicity prediction module. Among 30chemicals experimented, 28 were negative and 2 were positive for Ames test. On the contrary, 23 chemicals showed the high confidence level indicating high prediction rate in mutagenicity evaluation, and 7 chemicals showed the lsow to moderate confidence level indicating low prediction in mutagenicity evaluation. Overall mutagenicity prediction rate was 77% (23/30). The prediction rates for non-mutagenic chemicals were 79% (22/28) and mutagenic chemicals were 50% (1/2). QSAR could be a useful tool in providing toxicological data for newly introduced chemicals or in furnishing data for MSDS or in determining the dose in toxicity testing for chemicals with no known toxicological data.

A Study of Freshman Dropout Prediction Model Using Logistic Regression with Shift-Sigmoid Classification Function (시프트 시그모이드 분류함수를 가진 로지스틱 회귀를 이용한 신입생 중도탈락 예측모델 연구)

  • Kim Donghyung
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.137-146
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    • 2023
  • The dropout of university freshmen is a very important issue in the financial problems of universities. Moreover, the dropout rate is one of the important indicators among the external evaluation items of universities. Therefore, universities need to predict dropout students in advance and apply various dropout prevention programs targeting them. This paper proposes a method to predict such dropout students in advance. This paper is about a method for predicting dropout students. It proposes a method to select dropouts by applying logistic regression using a shift sigmoid classification function using only quantitative data from the first semester of the first year, which most universities have. It is based on logistic regression and can select the number of prediction subjects and prediction accuracy by using the shift sigmoid function as an classification function. As a result of the experiment, when the proposed algorithm was applied, the number of predicted dropout subjects varied from 100% to 20% compared to the actual number of dropout subjects, and it was found to have a prediction accuracy of 75% to 98%.

Accurate Prediction of Real-Time MPEG-4 Variable Bit Rate Video Traffic

  • Lee, Kang-Yong;Kim, Moon-Seong;Jang, Hee-Seon;Cho, Kee-Seong
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.823-825
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    • 2007
  • In this letter, we propose a novel algorithm to predict MPEG-coded real-time variable bit rate (VBR) video traffic. From the frame size measurement, the algorithm extracts the statistical property of video traffic and utilizes it for the prediction of the next frame for I-, P-, and B- frames. The simulation results conducted with real-world MPEG-4 VBR video traces show that the proposed algorithm is capable of providing more accurate prediction than those in the research literature.

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A Mathematical Model on the Absorption Rate of Carbon-Dioxide in Mixed Gas During the Transient State of Rotary Type Absorbers (과도상태의 회전형 흡수기에서 혼합기체 중 이산화탄소 흡수량 계산 모델)

  • Paik, Hyun-Jong
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.26 no.12
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    • pp.1729-1737
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    • 2002
  • A mathematical model for the prediction of carbon-dioxide absorption rate during the transient state of rotary type absorber is developed. The rotary type absorber operates using a fast rotating porous structure and clean water. The model for the transient state rotary type absorbers is based on the steady state model of packed tower absorber. The paper manipulates the operating data of an arbitrary quasi-steady state condition of rotary type absorber for the determination of the coefficients involved in the model developed. The prediction accuracy is evaluated from the measured data of rotary type absorber operated under fast transient state. The measured data include the mole fraction of carbon dioxide in mixed gas and the pressure of absorber. The relative error in carbon dioxide prediction is estimated to be 20% at maximum. The model is successfully applied for the prediction of the behavior of a closed cycle diesel engine.