• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction rate

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A study on road ice prediction algorithm model and road ice prediction rate using algorithm model (도로 노면결빙 판정 알고리즘 연구와 알고리즘을 활용한 도로 결빙 적중률 연구)

  • Kang, Moon-Seok;Lim, Hee-Seob;Kwak, A-Mi-Roo;Lee, Geun-hee
    • Journal of the Korean Applied Science and Technology
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    • v.38 no.6
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    • pp.1355-1369
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    • 2021
  • This study improved the algorithm for the road ice prediction algorithm and analyzed the prediction rate when comparing actual field measurement data and algorithm prediction value. For analysis, road and weather conditions were measured in Geumdong-ri, Sinbuk-myeon, Pocheon-si. First algorithm selected previous research result algorithm. And the 4th algorithm was improved according to the actual freezing conditions and measured values. Finally, five algorithms were developed: freezing by condensation, freezing by precipitation, freezing by snow, continuous freezing, and freezing by wind speed. When forecasting using an algorithm at the Pocheon site, the freezing hit rate was improved to 93.2%. When calculating the combination ratio for the algorithm. the algorithm for freezing due to condensation and the continuation of the frozen state accounted for 95.7%.

Shelf-life prediction of fresh ginseng packaged with plastic films based on a kinetic model and multivariate accelerated shelf-life testing

  • Jong-Jin Park;Jeong-Hee Choi;Kee-Jai Park;Jeong-Seok Cho;Dae-Yong Yun;Jeong-Ho Lim
    • Food Science and Preservation
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.573-588
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study was to monitor changes in the quality of ginseng and predict its shelf-life. As the storage period of ginseng increased, some quality indicators, such as water-soluble pectin (WSP), CDTA-soluble pectin (CSP), cellulose, weight loss, and microbial growth increased, while others (Na2CO3-soluble pectin/NSP, hemicellulose, starch, and firmness) decreased. Principal component analysis (PCA) was performed using the quality attribute data and the principal component 1 (PC1) scores extracted from the PCA results were applied to the multivariate analysis. The reaction rate at different temperatures and the temperature dependence of the reaction rate were determined using kinetic and Arrhenius models, respectively. Among the kinetic models, zeroth-order models with cellulose and a PC1 score provided an adequate fit for reaction rate estimation. Hence, the prediction model was constructed by applying the cellulose and PC1 scores to the zeroth-order kinetic and Arrhenius models. The prediction model with PC1 score showed higher R2 values (0.877-0.919) than those of cellulose (0.797-0.863), indicating that multivariate analysis using PC1 score is more accurate for the shelf-life prediction of ginseng. The predicted shelf-life using the multivariate accelerated shelf-life test at 5, 20, and 35℃ was 40, 16, and 7 days, respectively.

Fatigue Life Evaluation of Spot Weldments of SPC Sheet Including Strain Rate Effect (변형률속도효과를 고려한 일반냉연강판 점용접부의 피로수명평가)

  • Song, Joon-Hyuk;Nah, Seok-Chan;Yu, Hyo-Sun;Kang, Hee-Yong;Yang, Sung-Mo
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.48-53
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    • 2006
  • A methodology is described for predicting the fatigue life of the resistance spot weldment including strain rate effect. Because it is difficult to perform a physical failure test with high strain rate, an analytical method is necessary to get the mechanical properties of various strain rate, To this end, quasi-static tensile-shear tests at several strain rate were performed on spot weldments of SPC. These test provided the empirical data with the strain rate. With these results, we formulated the function of fatigue life prediction using the lethargy coefficient which is the global material property from tensile test. And, we predicted the fatigue life of spot weldment at dynamic strain rate. To confirm this method for fatigue life prediction, analytical results were compared with the experimental fatigue data.

A TCP-Friendly Control Method using Neural Network Prediction Algorithm (신경회로망 예측 알고리즘을 적용한 TCP-Friednly 제어 방법)

  • Yoo, Sung-Goo;Chong, Kil-To
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2006.04a
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    • pp.105-107
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    • 2006
  • As internet streaming data increase, transport protocol such as TCP, TGP-Friendly is important to study control transmission rate and share of Internet bandwidth. In this paper, we propose a TCP-Friendly protocol using Neural Network for media delivery over wired Internet which has various traffic size(PTFRC). PTFRC can effectively send streaming data when occur congestion and predict one-step ahead round trip time and packet loss rate. A multi-layer perceptron structure is used as the prediction model, and the Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm is used as a traning algorithm. The performance of the PTFRC was evaluated by the share of Bandwidth and packet loss rate with various protocols.

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Analysis of Wear Proccess in Sliding Contact by X-ray Diffraction (X선회절에 의한 미끄럼접촉시 발생하는 마모과정의 해석(제1보 : 저경도강의 적용))

  • 이한영
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Tribologists and Lubrication Engineers Conference
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    • 1999.11a
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    • pp.19-24
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    • 1999
  • Understanding of wear mode and prediction of wear rate of parts in sliding contact are very important in field of meterial design relating with wear resistant. This paper has been undertaken to analyze the possibility of elucidation of wear mode and prediction of wear rate for annealed steel in sliding contact using the X-ray diffraction. The sliding wear test with various velocities using pin-on-disc machine and the X-ray diffraction test on the worn surface have been carried out. The results have been shown that the magnitude of residual stress and half-value breadth on the worn surface have a good correlation with wear mode. The difference between before and after test of half-value breadth on worn surface has been shown to be exponential relation with wear rate in the same wear mode.

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Air Flow Prediction and Experiment by T-Method According to Duct Layout on House Ventilation System (주택환기시스템의 덕트 Layout에 따른 T-Method의 풍량 예측 및 실험)

  • Joo, Sung-Yong;Yee, Jurng-Jae
    • Proceedings of the SAREK Conference
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    • 2008.06a
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    • pp.523-528
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    • 2008
  • The accurate distribution of flow rate has been a very important part to control the air change rate since introduction of house ventilation system. An inappropriate selection of fan due to incorrect prediction of pressure loss in duct brings energy loss. In the previous study the pressure loss of general spiral duct was measured and database was constructed for finding correct loss factors in fitting upper stream. The purpose of this study is to compare and investigate the error range of flow rate by applying T-Method to bilateral symmetry and asymmetry layout of duct. The results of this study are as following. It is demanded to decide accurate size under duct design for house ventilation system. Because the small amount of Flow rate was considered at that time. The error range was 3.17% on case1 and 3.52% on case2. The error range difference was 0.35%.

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Design and Implementation of a Knowledge - Based Wage Rate Prediction System (지식기반 임금예측시스템 설계와 구축사례)

  • Jo, Jae-Hui
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.3-31
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    • 1994
  • Potential employers considering locations for production or service facilities typically equire detailed advance knowledge of the wages they will be expected to offer for workers in various occupational categories. The State of Missouri s Department of Labor and Industrial Relations is often contacted by organizations requesting such information. The current wage rate survey approach, initiated in 1988, allows the Department to predict an appropriate wage rate for a given occupation in certain counties, adjusted for changes in the Consumer Price Index (CPI). However, both Department employees and firms have indicated that improved prediction responsiveness and accuracy are desirable. A major deficiency of the current approach is its inability to predict wages for unsurveyed counties. This paper describes a knowledge-based system (KBS), currently in the prototype testing stage, that is expected to supplement the wage rate survey in the near future.

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Analysis of Moving Heat Source for Laser Assisted Machining of Plate by Feed Rate Control (이송속도 조절에 의한 평판 레이저 보조가공의 이동 열원해석)

  • Kim, Kwang-Sun;Lee, Choon-Man
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.28 no.12
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    • pp.1341-1346
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    • 2011
  • Currently, many researches are carried out for laser assisted machining, which is one of the important fields in materials difficult to process. However, a prediction of heat source is difficult because of moving heat source. In this paper, a thermal analysis of laser assisted machining of plate by change of heat source size is performed, and preheating temperature by adjusting the feed rate is controlled. It was recognized that the maximum preheating temperature increases according to the decrease in heat source size, and feed rate need to adjust as high speed. The results of this analysis can be used as a reference for preheating temperature prediction in laser assisted milling.

Simulation-Based Prediction of Steady Turning Ability of a Symmetrical Underwater Vehicle Considering Interactions Between Yaw Rate and Drift/Rudder Angle

  • Park, Jeong-Hoon;Shin, Myung-Sub;Jeon, Yun-Ho;Kim, Yeon-Gyu
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.99-112
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    • 2021
  • The prediction of maneuverability is very important in the design process of an underwater vehicle. In this study, we predicted the steady turning ability of a symmetrical underwater vehicle while considering interactions between the yaw rate and drift/rudder angle through a simulation-based methodology. First, the hydrodynamic force and moment, including coupled derivatives, were obtained by computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations. The feasibility of CFD results were verified by comparing static drift/rudder simulations to vertical planar motion mechanism (VPMM) tests. Turning motion simulations were then performed by solving 2-degree-of-freedom (DOF) equations with CFD data. The turning radius, drift angle, advance, and tactical diameter were calculated. The results show good agreement with sea trial data and the effects on the turning characteristics of coupled interaction terms, especially between the yaw rate and drift angle.

Hot Spot Prediction Method for Improving the Performance of Consistent Hashing Shared Web Caching System (컨시스턴스 해슁을 이용한 분산 웹 캐싱 시스템의 성능 향상을 위한 Hot Spot 예측 방법)

  • 정성칠;정길도
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.29 no.5B
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    • pp.498-507
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    • 2004
  • The fast and Precise service for the users request is the most important in the World Wide Web. However, the lest service is difficult due to the rapid increase of the Internet users recently. The Shared Web Caching (SWC) is one of the methods solving this problem. The performance of SWC is highly depend on the hit rate and the hit rate is effected by the memory size, processing speed of the server, load balancing and so on. The conventional load balancing is usually based on the state history of system, but the prediction of the state of the system can be used for the load balancing that will further improve the hit rate. In this study, a Hot Spot Prediction Method (HSPM) has been suggested to improve the throughputs of the proxy. The predicted hot spots, which is the item most frequently requested, should be predicted beforehand. The result show that the suggested method is better than the consistent hashing in the point of the load balancing and the hit rate.