• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction rate

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Two Machine Learning Models for Mobile Phone Battery Discharge Rate Prediction Based on Usage Patterns

  • Chantrapornchai, Chantana;Nusawat, Paingruthai
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.436-454
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    • 2016
  • This research presents the battery discharge rate models for the energy consumption of mobile phone batteries based on machine learning by taking into account three usage patterns of the phone: the standby state, video playing, and web browsing. We present the experimental design methodology for collecting data, preprocessing, model construction, and parameter selections. The data is collected based on the HTC One X hardware platform. We considered various setting factors, such as Bluetooth, brightness, 3G, GPS, Wi-Fi, and Sync. The battery levels for each possible state vector were measured, and then we constructed the battery prediction model using different regression functions based on the collected data. The accuracy of the constructed models using the multi-layer perceptron (MLP) and the support vector machine (SVM) were compared using varying kernel functions. Various parameters for MLP and SVM were considered. The measurement of prediction efficiency was done by the mean absolute error (MAE) and the root mean squared error (RMSE). The experiments showed that the MLP with linear regression performs well overall, while the SVM with the polynomial kernel function based on the linear regression gives a low MAE and RMSE. As a result, we were able to demonstrate how to apply the derived model to predict the remaining battery charge.

Prediction of Solvent Effects on Rate Constant of [2+2] Cycloaddition Reaction of Diethyl Azodicarboxylate with Ethyl Vinyl Ether Using Artificial Neural Networks

  • Habibi-Yangjeh, Aziz;Nooshyar, Mahdi
    • Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.139-145
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    • 2005
  • Artificial neural networks (ANNs), for a first time, were successfully developed for the modeling and prediction of solvent effects on rate constant of [2+2] cycloaddition reaction of diethyl azodicarboxylate with ethyl vinyl ether in various solvents with diverse chemical structures using quantitative structure-activity relationship. The most positive charge of hydrogen atom (q$^+$), dipole moment ($\mu$), the Hildebrand solubility parameter (${\delta}_H^2$) and total charges in molecule (q$_t$) are inputs and output of ANN is log k$_2$ . For evaluation of the predictive power of the generated ANN, the optimized network with 68 various solvents as training set was used to predict log k$_2$ of the reaction in 16 solvents in the prediction set. The results obtained using ANN was compared with the experimental values as well as with those obtained using multi-parameter linear regression (MLR) model and showed superiority of the ANN model over the regression model. Mean square error (MSE) of 0.0806 for the prediction set by MLR model should be compared with the value of 0.0275 for ANN model. These improvements are due to the fact that the reaction rate constant shows non-linear correlations with the descriptors.

Efficient Prediction-based Video Rate Control Technique (효과적인 예측 기반 비디오 비트율 제어 기법)

  • 김진열;김영로;고성제
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.24 no.10A
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    • pp.1555-1562
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    • 1999
  • Various video rate control techniques have been proposed for the transmission of video under fixed channel capacity. In most techniques, the coding parameters and quantizer scaling factors are determined based on information derived from previously coded data. In this paper, an successfully used for video rate-control. Experimental results show that the proposed prediction-based rate control scheme can efficiently regulate the bit-rate caused by dramatic scene change and have better PSNR performance than the TM5 rate control mechanism.

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A Study on Development of Korean Failure Rate Databook (한국형 고장률 데이터 북 개발에 대한 연구)

  • Paik, Soonheum;Lim, Jae-hak
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.305-315
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: The purpose of this research is to propose procedure and methodology for developing failure rate databook which is suitable for Korean operation environment. Methods: To this end, we investigate failure databooks used in foreign countries and study the procedure and methodology for collecting failure data, organizing the data, estimating failure rate and summarizing results. Results: We develop the procedure of development of failure databook, the items for data collection, database schema of part details and part summary and contents of failure databook by considering the application environment in Korea. Conclusion: The results of our research could be utilized for the development of Korean failure rate databook and research of reliability prediction model and could ultimately contribute to improve the accuracy of reliability prediction.

A Study of Traffic Accident Analysis Model on Highway in Accordance with the Accident Rate of Trucks (화물차사고 비율에 따른 고속도로 교통사고 분석모형에 대한 연구)

  • Yang, Sung-Ryong;Yoon, Byoung-jo;Ko, Eun-Hyeok
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.570-576
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    • 2017
  • Trucks take up more portions than cars on highways. Due to this, road use relatively diminish and it serves locally as a threatening factor to nearby drivers. Baggage car accident has distinct characteristics so that it needs the application of different analysis opposed to ordinary accidents. Accident prediction model, one of accident analyses, is used to predict the numbers of accident in certain parts, establish traffic plans as well as accident prevention methods, and diagnose the danger of roads. Thus, this study aims to apply the accident rate of baggage car on highways and calculate the correction factor to be put in the accident prediction models. Accident data based on highway was collected and traffic amounts and accident documents between 2014 and 2016 were utilized. The author developed an accident prediction model based on numbers of annual accidents and set mean annual and daily traffic amounts. This study intends to identify the practical accident prediction model on highway and present an appropriate solution by comparing the prediction model in accords with the accident rate between baggage cars.

Stock prediction analysis through artificial intelligence using big data (빅데이터를 활용한 인공지능 주식 예측 분석)

  • Choi, Hun
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.25 no.10
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    • pp.1435-1440
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    • 2021
  • With the advent of the low interest rate era, many investors are flocking to the stock market. In the past stock market, people invested in stocks labor-intensively through company analysis and their own investment techniques. However, in recent years, stock investment using artificial intelligence and data has been widely used. The success rate of stock prediction through artificial intelligence is currently not high, so various artificial intelligence models are trying to increase the stock prediction rate. In this study, we will look at various artificial intelligence models and examine the pros and cons and prediction rates between each model. This study investigated as stock prediction programs using artificial intelligence artificial neural network (ANN), deep learning or hierarchical learning (DNN), k-nearest neighbor algorithm(k-NN), convolutional neural network (CNN), recurrent neural network (RNN), and LSTMs.

Prediction on the Economic Activity Level of the Elderly in South Korea - Focusing on Machine Learning Method Combined with Forecast Combination - (우리나라 고령층의 경제활동 수준 예측 - 머신러닝 기법과 연계한 예측조합법을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Jeong-Woo
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.237-247
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    • 2022
  • This study predicts the economic activity level of the elderly in Korea using various machine learning methods. While the previous studies mainly focused on testing the relationship between the economic activity level and the life satisfaction or the social security system, this study aims at the accurate prediction on the economic activity level of the elderly using various machine learning methods and the forecast combination. Dependent variables such as the activity rate, employment rate, etc and independent variables such as the income, average wage, etc compose the dataset in this study. Five different machine learning methods and two forecast combinations are applied to the given dataset. The prediction performances of the machine learning method and the forecast combination varied across the dependent variables and prediction intervals, but it was found that the forecast combination was relatively superior to other methods in terms of the stability of prediction. This study has significance in that it accurately predicted the economic activity level of the elderly and achieved the stability of the prediction, raising practicality from a policy perspective.

Prediction Model of Rain Attenuation for Ka-Band Satellite Communication (Ka-대역 위성 통신의 위한 강우에 의한 전파 감쇠 예측 모델)

  • 우병훈;강희조
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.6 no.7
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    • pp.1038-1043
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    • 2002
  • The demand for multimedia service using Ka-band satellite communication are growing rapi이y. So, in this paper, we have analyzed rain attenuation with typical model, and proposed prediction model of rain attenuation in high frequency(over 20[GHz]). Path loss model by rain attenuation is based upon rain rate of representative region(6 cities). Proposed prediction model of rain attenuation and parameter of satellite link can be available for the Ka-band satellite communication.

Development of penetration rate prediction model using shield TBM excavation data (쉴드 TBM 현장 굴진데이터를 이용한 굴착속도 예측모델 개발)

  • La, You-Sung;Kim, Myung-In;Kim, Bumjoo
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.519-534
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    • 2019
  • Mechanized tunneling methods, including shield TBM, have been increasingly used for tunnel construction because of their relatively low vibration and noise levels as well as low risk of rock-falling accidents. In the excavation using the shield TBM, it is important to design penetration rate appropriately. In present study, both subsurface investigation data and shield TBM excavation data, produced for and during ${\bigcirc}{\bigcirc}{\sim}{\bigcirc}{\bigcirc}$ high-speed railway construction, were analyzed and used to compare with shield TBM penetration rates calculated using existing penetrating rate prediction models proposed by several foreign researchers. The correlation between thrust force per disk cutter and uniaxial compressive strength was also examined and, based on the correlation analysis, a simple prediction model for penetration rate was derived. The prediction results using the existing prediction models showed approximately error rates of 50~500%, whereas the results from the simple model proposed from this study showed an error rate of 15% in average. It may be said, therefore, that the proposed model has higher applicability for shield TBM construction in similar ground conditions.

Prediction Model of Real Estate ROI with the LSTM Model based on AI and Bigdata

  • Lee, Jeong-hyun;Kim, Hoo-bin;Shim, Gyo-eon
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.19-27
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    • 2022
  • Across the world, 'housing' comprises a significant portion of wealth and assets. For this reason, fluctuations in real estate prices are highly sensitive issues to individual households. In Korea, housing prices have steadily increased over the years, and thus many Koreans view the real estate market as an effective channel for their investments. However, if one purchases a real estate property for the purpose of investing, then there are several risks involved when prices begin to fluctuate. The purpose of this study is to design a real estate price 'return rate' prediction model to help mitigate the risks involved with real estate investments and promote reasonable real estate purchases. Various approaches are explored to develop a model capable of predicting real estate prices based on an understanding of the immovability of the real estate market. This study employs the LSTM method, which is based on artificial intelligence and deep learning, to predict real estate prices and validate the model. LSTM networks are based on recurrent neural networks (RNN) but add cell states (which act as a type of conveyer belt) to the hidden states. LSTM networks are able to obtain cell states and hidden states in a recursive manner. Data on the actual trading prices of apartments in autonomous districts between January 2006 and December 2019 are collected from the Actual Trading Price Disclosure System of the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport (MOLIT). Additionally, basic data on apartments and commercial buildings are collected from the Public Data Portal and Seoul Metropolitan Government's data portal. The collected actual trading price data are scaled to monthly average trading amounts, and each data entry is pre-processed according to address to produce 168 data entries. An LSTM model for return rate prediction is prepared based on a time series dataset where the training period is set as April 2015~August 2017 (29 months), the validation period is set as September 2017~September 2018 (13 months), and the test period is set as December 2018~December 2019 (13 months). The results of the return rate prediction study are as follows. First, the model achieved a prediction similarity level of almost 76%. After collecting time series data and preparing the final prediction model, it was confirmed that 76% of models could be achieved. All in all, the results demonstrate the reliability of the LSTM-based model for return rate prediction.