• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction of variables

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Truck Weight Estimation using Operational Statistics at 3rd Party Logistics Environment (운영 데이터를 활용한 제3자 물류 환경에서의 배송 트럭 무게 예측)

  • Yu-jin Lee;Kyung Min Choi;Song-eun Kim;Kyungsu Park;Seung Hwan Jung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.45 no.4
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    • pp.127-133
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    • 2022
  • Many manufacturers applying third party logistics (3PLs) have some challenges to increase their logistics efficiency. This study introduces an effort to estimate the weight of the delivery trucks provided by 3PL providers, which allows the manufacturer to package and load products in trailers in advance to reduce delivery time. The accuracy of the weigh estimation is more important due to the total weight regulation. This study uses not only the data from the company but also many general prediction variables such as weather, oil prices and population of destinations. In addition, operational statistics variables are developed to indicate the availabilities of the trucks in a specific weight category for each 3PL provider. The prediction model using XGBoost regressor and permutation feature importance method provides highly acceptable performance with MAPE of 2.785% and shows the effectiveness of the developed operational statistics variables.

TANFIS Classifier Integrated Efficacious Aassistance System for Heart Disease Prediction using CNN-MDRP

  • Bhaskaru, O.;Sreedevi, M.
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.22 no.10
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    • pp.171-176
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    • 2022
  • A dramatic rise in the number of people dying from heart disease has prompted efforts to find a way to identify it sooner using efficient approaches. A variety of variables contribute to the condition and even hereditary factors. The current estimate approaches use an automated diagnostic system that fails to attain a high level of accuracy because it includes irrelevant dataset information. This paper presents an effective neural network with convolutional layers for classifying clinical data that is highly class-imbalanced. Traditional approaches rely on massive amounts of data rather than precise predictions. Data must be picked carefully in order to achieve an earlier prediction process. It's a setback for analysis if the data obtained is just partially complete. However, feature extraction is a major challenge in classification and prediction since increased data increases the training time of traditional machine learning classifiers. The work integrates the CNN-MDRP classifier (convolutional neural network (CNN)-based efficient multimodal disease risk prediction with TANFIS (tuned adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system) for earlier accurate prediction. Perform data cleaning by transforming partial data to informative data from the dataset in this project. The recommended TANFIS tuning parameters are then improved using a Laplace Gaussian mutation-based grasshopper and moth flame optimization approach (LGM2G). The proposed approach yields a prediction accuracy of 98.40 percent when compared to current algorithms.

Study on the Anthropometric and Body Composition Indices for Prediction of Cold and Heat Pattern

  • Mun, Sujeong;Park, Kihyun;Lee, Siwoo
    • The Journal of Korean Medicine
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.185-196
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    • 2021
  • Objectives: Many symptoms of cold and heat patterns are related to the thermoregulation of the body. Thus, we aimed to study the association of cold and heat patterns with anthropometry/body composition. Methods: The cold and heat patterns of 2000 individuals aged 30-55 years were evaluated using a self-administered questionnaire. Results: Among the anthropometric and body composition variables, body mass index (-0.37, 0.39) and fat mass index (-0.35, 0.38) had the highest correlation coefficients with the cold and heat pattern scores after adjustment for age and sex in the cold-heat group, while the correlation coefficients were relatively lower in the non-cold-heat group. In the cold-heat group, the most parsimonious model for the cold pattern with the variables selected by the best subset method and Lasso included sex, body mass index, waist-hip ratio, and extracellular water/total body water (adjusted R2 = 0.324), and the model for heat pattern additionally included age (adjusted R2 = 0.292). Conclusions: The variables related to obesity and water balance were the most useful for predicting cold and heat patterns. Further studies are required to improve the performance of prediction models.

Using GA based Input Selection Method for Artificial Neural Network Modeling Application to Bankruptcy Prediction (유전자 알고리즘을 활용한 인공신경망 모형 최적입력변수의 선정 : 부도예측 모형을 중심으로)

  • 홍승현;신경식
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 1999.10a
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    • pp.365-373
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    • 1999
  • Recently, numerous studies have demonstrated that artificial intelligence such as neural networks can be an alternative methodology for classification problems to which traditional statistical methods have long been applied. In building neural network model, the selection of independent and dependent variables should be approached with great care and should be treated as a model construction process. Irrespective of the efficiency of a learning procedure in terms of convergence, generalization and stability, the ultimate performance of the estimator will depend on the relevance of the selected input variables and the quality of the data used. Approaches developed in statistical methods such as correlation analysis and stepwise selection method are often very useful. These methods, however, may not be the optimal ones for the development of neural network models. In this paper, we propose a genetic algorithms approach to find an optimal or near optimal input variables for neural network modeling. The proposed approach is demonstrated by applications to bankruptcy prediction modeling. Our experimental results show that this approach increases overall classification accuracy rate significantly.

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Classification and prediction of the effects of nutritional intake on diabetes mellitus using artificial neural network sensitivity analysis: 7th Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey

  • Kyungjin Chang;Songmin Yoo;Simyeol Lee
    • Nutrition Research and Practice
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.1255-1266
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    • 2023
  • BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to predict the association between nutritional intake and diabetes mellitus (DM) by developing an artificial neural network (ANN) model for older adults. SUBJECTS/METHODS: Participants aged over 65 years from the 7th (2016-2018) Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey were included. The diagnostic criteria of DM were set as output variables, while various nutritional intakes were set as input variables. An ANN model comprising one input layer with 16 nodes, one hidden layer with 12 nodes, and one output layer with one node was implemented in the MATLAB® programming language. A sensitivity analysis was conducted to determine the relative importance of the input variables in predicting the output. RESULTS: Our DM-predicting neural network model exhibited relatively high accuracy (81.3%) with 11 nutrient inputs, namely, thiamin, carbohydrates, potassium, energy, cholesterol, sugar, vitamin A, riboflavin, protein, vitamin C, and fat. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, the neural network sensitivity analysis method based on nutrient intake demonstrated a relatively accurate classification and prediction of DM in the older population.

An Analysis on Prediction of Computer Entertainment Behavior Using Bayesian Inference (베이지안 추론을 이용한 컴퓨터 오락추구 행동 예측 분석)

  • Lee, HyeJoo;Jung, EuiHyun
    • The Journal of Korean Association of Computer Education
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.51-58
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    • 2018
  • In order to analyze the prediction of the computer entertainment behavior, this study investigated the variables' interdependencies and their causal relations to the computer entertainment behavior using Bayesian inference with the Korean Children and Youth Panel Survey data. For the study, Markov blanket was extracted through General Bayesian Network and the degree of influences was investigated by changing the variables' probabilities. Results showed that the computer entertainment behavior was significantly changed depending on adjusting the values of the related variables; school learning act, smoking, taunting, fandom, and school rule. The results suggested that the Bayesian inference could be used in educational filed for predicting and adjusting the adolescents' computer entertainment behavior.

Call Admission Control Using Adaptive-MMOSPRED for Resource Prediction in Wireless Networks (무선망의 자원예측을 위한 Adaptive-MMOSPRED 기법을 사용한 호 수락제어)

  • Lee, Jin-Yi
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.22-27
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    • 2008
  • This paper presents adaptive-MMOSPRED method for prediction of resource demands requested by multimedia calls, and shows the performance of the call admission control based on proposed resource prediction method in multimedia wireless networks. The proposed method determines (I-CDP) random variables of the standard normal distribution by using LMS algorithm that minimize errors of prediction in resource demands, while parameters in an existing method are constant all through the prediction time. Our simulation results show that prediction error in adaptive-MMOSPRED method is much smaller than in fixed-MMOSPRED method. Also we can see via simulation the CAC performance based on the proposed method improves the new call blocking performance compared with the existing method under the desired handoff dropping probability.

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Application of Variable Selection for Prediction of Target Concentration

  • 김선우;김연주;김종원;윤길원
    • Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.525-527
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    • 1999
  • Many types of chemical data tend to be characterized by many measured variables on each of a few observations. In this situation, target concentration can be predicted using multivariate statistical modeling. However, it is necessary to use a few variables considering size and cost of instrumentation, for an example, for development of a portable biomedical instrument. This study presents, with a spectral data set of total hemoglobin in whole blood, the possibility that modeling using only a few variables can improve predictability compared to modeling using all of the variables. Predictability from the model using three wavelengths selected from all possible regression method was improved, compared to the model using whole spectra (whole spectra: SEP = 0.4 g/dL, 3-wavelengths: SEP=0.3 g/dL). It appears that the proper selection of variables can be more effective than using whole spectra for determining the hemoglobin concentration in whole blood.

Prediction Research on Cyber Learners' Course Satisfaction and Learning Persistence

  • JOO, Young Ju;JOUNG, Sunyoung;KIM, Hae Jin
    • Educational Technology International
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.85-110
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    • 2015
  • This study investigated whether college students' self-efficacy, learning strategy utilization, academic burnout, and school support predict course satisfaction and learning persistence. To this end, self-efficacy, learning strategy utilization, academic burnout, and school support were used as prediction variables; and course satisfaction and learning persistence, as criterion variables. The subjects were 178 students who registered for online and mobile "Culture and Art History" courses at K online university. They participated in an online survey. Multiple regression analysis revealed that self-efficacy and learning strategy utilization positively predicted course satisfaction and learning persistence, academic burnout negatively predicted them, and school support predicted neither. Accordingly, we suggest that raising self-efficacy and learning strategy utilization, and reducing academic burnout in the learning environment will improve the course satisfaction and learning persistence of online learners.