• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction of variables

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Public Service Good Health Advertising: Effects of Elaboration Likelihood and Construal Level on Consumer Attitudes (보건 관련 공익광고에서 정교화가능성과 해석수준이 광고태도에 미치는 영향)

  • Park, Jong-Chul;Kim, Kyung-Jin
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.67-79
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    • 2014
  • Purpose - This study aims to accomplish three major research goals. First, it strives to change consumers' focus from peripheral routes to a central route of public service advertising related to the good health policy, without problematic effects, by influencing consumers' knowledge or involvement. Second, this study examines the elaboration likelihood model (ELM) and construal level theory (CLT). Specifically, we consider that the central route of ELM might correspond with the focal goal of CLT. Third, this study analyzes ELM through CLT. That is, ELM predicted that low involvement would take the peripheral route, and high involvement would take the central route. Research design, data, and methodology - This study consisted of three experiments. The first experiment had a 2×2 between-subject design. The subjects were university students and the research period was approximately one year. The first independent variable was the involvement of the overweight issue; this variable was measured and split by the median. The second independent variable was the temporal distance (near vs. distant future); this variable was manipulated. The second experiment also had a 2×2 between-subject design. The first variable was the involvement of cervical adenocarcinoma prevention, and was considered already manipulated by sex. Specifically, males had a low involvement of the disease, but females had high involvement. The second independent variable was priming (power vs. submissive). Power priming would induce abstract thinking, but submissive priming would take concrete processing. The third experiment had a 2×2×2 between-subject design. The first variable was cognitive depletion, and was manipulated by memorizing 9-digit numbers. The second and third independent variables were involvement and abstract thinking induction, such as prior experiments. Data were collected through questionnaires, and were analyzed by an SPSS program. Major hypotheses were tested by examining the interaction effects through ANOVA. Results - Major findings are as follows. First, even for low-involved consumers in the overweight category, distant future manipulation induced them to focus not on the peripheral route but on the central route of the public service advertisement. This result does not correspond to the typical ELM prediction. Second, under power priming, low-involved males of the cervical adenocarcinoma category focused on the peripheral route because of the induction to abstract thinking. This result replicated the first experiment, and confirmed the theoretical robustness. Third, high-involved females focused not on the central but on the peripheral route under the mixed condition of cognitive depletion and near future manipulation. Depletion consumed cognitive resources, and the processing mode of consumers changed from systematic to heuristic. Conclusions - ELM needs to be complemented through CLT in context of public service good health advertising. Specifically, the involvement of ELM may impact consumers' thinking mode (abstract vs. concrete), and the interaction effects may influence consumers' focus on advertising (central vs. peripheral route). This study's limitations were bounded subjects, limited stimuli, and somewhat weak external validity.

The validation of Periotest values for the evaluation of orthodontic mini-implants' stability (즉시 부하 교정용 미니임플랜트의 안정성 평가를 위한 Periotest$^{(R)}$의 유효성)

  • Cha, Jung-Yul;Yu, Hyung-Seog;Hwang, Chung-Ju
    • The korean journal of orthodontics
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.167-175
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    • 2010
  • Objective: The aim of this study was to validate the Periotest values for the prediction of orthodontic mini-implants' stability. Methods: Sixty orthodontic mini-implants (7.0 mm $\times$ $\emptyset1.45$ mm; ACR, Biomaterials Korea, Seoul, Korea) were inserted into the buccal alveolar bone of 5 twelve month-old beagle dogs. Insertion torque (IT) and Periotest values (PTV) were measured at the installation procedure, and removal torque (RT) and PTV were recorded after 12 weeks of orthodontic loading. To correlate PTV with variables, the cortical bone thickness (mm) and bone mineral density (BMD) within the cortical bone and total bone area were calculated with the help of CT scanning. Results: The BMD and cortical bone thickness in mandibular alveolus were significantly higher than those of the maxilla (p < 0.05). The PTV values ranged from -3.2 to 4.8 for 12 weeks of loading showing clinically stable mini-implants. PTV at insertion was significantly correlated with IT (-0.51), bone density (-0.48), cortical bone thickness (-0.42) (p < 0.05) in the mandible, but showed no correlation in the maxilla. PTV before removal was significantly correlated with RT (-0.66) (p < 0.01) in the mandible. Conclusions: These results show that the periotest is a useful method for the evaluation of mini-implant stability, but it can only be applied to limited areas with thick cortical and high density bone such as the mandible.

Estimation of Heading Date for Rice Cultivars Using ORYZA (v3) (ORYZA (v3) 모델을 사용한 벼 품종별 출수기 예측)

  • Hyun, Shinwoo;Kim, Kwang Soo
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.246-251
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    • 2017
  • Crop models have been used to predict a heading date for efficient management of fertilizer application. Recently, the ORYZA (v3) model was developed to improve the ORYZA2000 model, which has been used for simulation of rice growth in Korea. Still, little effort has been made to assess applicability of the ORYZA (v3) model to rice farms in Korea. The objective of this study was to evaluate reliability of heading dates predicted using the the ORYZA (v3) model, which would indicate applicability of the model to a decision support system for fertilizer application. Field experiments were conducted from 2015-2016 at the Rural Development Administration (RDA) to obtain rice phenology data. Shindongjin cultivar which is mid-late maturity type was grown under a conventional fertilizer management, e.g., application of fertilizer at the rate of 11 Kg N/10a. Another set of heading dates was obtained from annual reports at experiment farms operated by the National Institute of Crop Science and Agricultural Technology Centers in each province. The input files for the ORYZA (v3) model were prepared using weather and soil data collected from the Korean Meteorology Administration (KMA) and the Korean Soil Information System, respectively. Input parameters for crop management, e.g., transplanting date and planting density, were set to represent management used for the field experiment. The ORYZA (v3) model predicted heading date within 1 day for two seasons. The crop model also had a relatively small error in prediction of heading date for three ecotypes of rice cultivars at experiment farms where weather input data were obtained from a near-by weather station. Those results suggested that the ORYZA (v3) model would be useful for development of a decision support system for fertilizer application when reliable input data for weather variables become available.

Multiple Linear Regression Analysis of PV Power Forecasting for Evaluation and Selection of Suitable PV Sites (태양광 발전소 건설부지 평가 및 선정을 위한 선형회귀분석 기반 태양광 발전량 추정 모델)

  • Heo, Jae;Park, Bumsoo;Kim, Byungil;Han, SangUk
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.126-131
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    • 2019
  • The estimation of available solar energy at particular locations is critical to find and assess suitable locations of PV sites. The amount of PV power generation is however affected by various geographical factors (e.g., weather), which may make it difficult to identify the complex relationship between affecting factors and power outputs and to apply findings from one study to another in different locations. This study thus undertakes a regression analysis using data collected from 172 PV plants spatially distributed in Korea to identify critical weather conditions and estimate the potential power generation of PV systems. Such data also include solar radiation, precipitation, fine dust, humidity, temperature, cloud amount, sunshine duration, and wind speed. The estimated PV power generation is then compared to the actual PV power generation to evaluate prediction performance. As a result, the proposed model achieves a MAPE of 11.696(%) and an R-squred of 0.979. It is also found that the variables, excluding humidity, are all statistically significant in predicting the efficiency of PV power generation. According, this study may facilitate the understanding of what weather conditions can be considered and the estimation of PV power generation for evaluating and determining suitable locations of PV facilities.

Potential Habitats and Change Prediction of Machilus thunbergii Siebold & Zucc. in Korea by Climate Change (기후변화에 따른 한반도 후박나무의 잠재 생육지 및 변화예측)

  • Yun, Jong-Hak;Nakao, Katsuhiro;Park, Chan-Ho;Lee, Byoung-Yoon
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.903-910
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    • 2011
  • The research was carried out in order to find climate factors which determine the distribution of Machilus thunbergii, and the potential habitats under the current climate and three climate change scenario by using classification tree (CT) model. Four climate factors; the minimum temperature of the coldest month (TMC), the warmth index (WI), summer precipitation (PRS), and winter precipition (PRW) : were used as independent variables for the model. The model of distribution for Machilus thunbergii (Mth-model) constructed by CT analysis showed that minimum temperature of the coldest month (TMC) is a major climate factor in determining the distribution of M. thunbergii. The area above the $-3.3^{\circ}C$ of TMC revealed high occurrence probability of the M. thunbergii. Potential habitats was predicted $9,326km^2$ under the current climate and $61,074{\sim}67,402km^2$(South Korea: $58,419{\sim}61,137km^2$, North Korea: $2,655{\sim}6,542km^2$) under the three climate change scenarios (CCCMA-A2, CSIRO-A2, HADCM3-A2). The Potential habitats was to predicted increase by 51~56%(South Korea: 49~51%, North Korea: 2~5%) under the three climate change scenarios. The potential expand of M. thunbergii habitats has been expected that it is competitive with warm-temperate deciduous broadleaf forest. M. thunbergii is evaluated as the indicator of climate change in Korea and it is necessary for M. thunbergii to monitor of potential habitats.

Flexural-Shear Behavior of Beam Members according to the Spacing of Stirrups and Tension Steel Ratio (스터럽간격과 인장철근비에 따른 고강도 콘크리트 보의 파괴거동)

  • Park, Hoon-Gyu;An, Young-Ki;Jang, Il-Young;Choi, Goh-Il
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.513-521
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    • 2003
  • Existing tests results have shown that confining the concrete compression region with closed stirrups improves the ductility and load-carrying capacity of beams. However, only few researchers have attempted to utilize the beneficial effects of the presence of these stirrups in design. This paper presents the result of experimental studies on the load-deflection behavior and the strengthening effect of laterally confined structural high-strength concrete beam members in which confinement stirrups have been introduced into the compression regions. Fifteen tests were conducted on full-scale beam specimens having concrete compressive strength of 41 MPa and 61 MPa. Different spacing of stirrups(0.25∼1.0d) and amount of tension steel($0.55{\sim}0.7{\rho}_b$) as major variables were investigated. And also, this study present an appropriate shear equation for decision of ultimate failure modes of high-strength concrete beams according to stirrup spacing. The equation is based on interaction between shear strength and displacement ductility. Prediction of failure mode from presented method and comparison with test results are also presenteded

Transpiration Prediction of Sweet Peppers Hydroponically-grown in Soilless Culture via Artificial Neural Network Using Environmental Factors in Greenhouse (온실의 환경요인을 이용한 인공신경망 기반 수경 재배 파프리카의 증산량 추정)

  • Nam, Du Sung;Lee, Joon Woo;Moon, Tae Won;Son, Jung Eek
    • Journal of Bio-Environment Control
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.411-417
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    • 2017
  • Environmental and growth factors such as light intensity, vapor pressure deficit, and leaf area index are important variables that can change the transpiration rate of plants. The objective of this study was to compare the transpiration rates estimated by modified Penman-Monteith model and artificial neural network. The transpiration rate of paprika (Capsicum annuum L. cv. Fiesta) was obtained by using the change in substrate weight measured by load cells. Radiation, temperature, relative humidity, and substrate weight were collected every min for 2 months. Since the transpiration rate cannot be accurately estimated with linear equations, a modified Penman-Monteith equation using compensated radiation (Shin et al., 2014) was used. On the other hand, ANN was applied to estimating the transpiration rate. For this purpose, an ANN composed of an input layer using radiation, temperature, relative humidity, leaf area index, and time as input factors and five hidden layers was constructed. The number of perceptons in each hidden layer was 512, which showed the highest accuracy. As a result of validation, $R^2$ values of the modified model and ANN were 0.82 and 0.94, respectively. Therefore, it is concluded that the ANN can estimate the transpiration rate more accurately than the modified model and can be applied to the efficient irrigation strategy in soilless cultures.

Statistical Methods to Evaluate the Occurrence Probability of Exotic Fish in Japan (일본 서식 외래 담수어종의 서식확률 평가를 위한 통계기법 연구)

  • Han, Mi-Deok;Chung, Wook-Jin
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.195-202
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    • 2011
  • This study analyzed and modeled the relationships between the probabilities of two exotic species occurrence (i.e. largemouth bass and blue gill) and environmental factors such as climatic and geographical variables using Generalized Additive Models (GAM), Generalized Liner Models and Classification Tree Analysis (CTA). The most moderate occurrence probability of largemouth bass was predicted using GAM with an area under the curve (ADC) of 0.88 and Kappa of 0.42, while those of blue gill was suggested by using CTA with an AUC of 0.92 and Kappa of 0.44. The most significant environmental variable in terms of changes in deviance for both species was the annual air temperature for the occurrence probability. Dams had stronger effect on the occurrence of largemouth bass than blue gill. Model development and prediction for the occurrence probability of fish species and richness are necessary to prevent further spread of exotic fishes such as largemouth bass and blue gill because they can threaten habitats of native river ecosystem through various mechanisms.

The new approach to maxillary and mandibular anterior dental arch forms - The prediction to maxillary and mandibular anterior occlusal relationship by computer program (상하악 전치부 치열궁 형태에 대한 새로운 접근 - 컴퓨터 프로그램을 이용한 상하악 전치부 교합관계에 대한 예측)

  • Ha, Man-Hee;Yang, Hoon-Cheol;Kim, Gi-Tae;Son, Woo-Sung
    • The korean journal of orthodontics
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    • v.32 no.1 s.90
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    • pp.43-49
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    • 2002
  • When we deal with maxillary and mandibular anterior dental arches showing problems in occlusal relation and aesthetics caused by malformations of teeth and congenital missing, et al during the orthodontic treatment, we could not often decide the functional occlusion by only relying on the orthodontic treatment. If orthodontists can predict what kinds of treatments are needed for functional occlusion in maxillary and mandibular anterior dental arches, they can not only effectively treat patients but also facilitate the cooperation with other field during the treatment, Our previous research showed the correlation among intercanine width, segment depth and arch perimeter by using the Korean normal occlusion model. At this time, we produced the computer application program by taking advantage of this correlation. And then, we applied this program to setting up the treatment plans for 2 patients with the damaged maxillary and mandibular dentures. With the help of this program, we could not only easily acquire the information about the change of variables required by treatment plans but also intercanine width, segment depth and arch perimeter. Later, if we can the information about the relationship between the change of the angle of incisors depending on facial types and arch forms and, in addition, can acquire the appropriate intercanine width, we can have the ability to produce the 3 dimensional occlusogram for the anterior dental arch forms.

Distribution Pattern of Pinus densiflora and Quercus Spp. Stand in Korea Using Spatial Statistics and GIS (공간통계와 GIS를 이용한 소나무림과 참나무류림의 분포패턴)

  • Lee, Chong-Soo;Lee, Woo-Kyun;Yoon, Jeong-Ho;Song, Chul-Chul
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.95 no.6
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    • pp.663-671
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    • 2006
  • This study was performed for exploring the spatial distribution pattern of Pinus densiflora and Quercus spp. in Korea. Firstly, the spatial distribution map of Pinus densiflora and Quercus spp. was prepared in grid of $100m{\times}100m$ at national level, using digital forest type map and actual vegetation map. And thematic maps for topography, climate, and soil were also prepared in the raster form of $100m{\times}100m$. Through GIS based spatial analysis of the digital distribution map of Pinus densiflora and Quercus spp. and thematic maps, the spatial characteristics of Pinus densiflora and Quercus spp. distribution was explored in relation to the environmental factors such as topography, climate, and soil. And the occurrence frequency models of Pinus densiflora and Quercus spp. were derived. Pinus densiflora occurs more often than Quercus spp. at low elevation, low slope gradient, and high temperature areas. In addition, Pinus densiflora is mainly distributed at shallow and well-drained loamy soil from igneous rocks. In contrast, Quercus spp. is more common at shallow and well-drained loamy soil from metamorphic rocks. As a result, the prediction model for the spatial distribution of Pinus densiflora and Quercus spp. by topographical variables has proven successful with high statistical significance. The result of this study can contribute to rational management of Pinus densiflora and Quercus spp. stand in Korea, considering environmental factors such as topography, climate, and soil.