• 제목/요약/키워드: Prediction of variables

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Vulnerability Assessment for Fine Particulate Matter (PM2.5) in the Schools of the Seoul Metropolitan Area, Korea: Part II - Vulnerability Assessment for PM2.5 in the Schools (인공지능을 이용한 수도권 학교 미세먼지 취약성 평가: Part II - 학교 미세먼지 범주화)

  • Son, Sanghun;Kim, Jinsoo
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.37 no.6_2
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    • pp.1891-1900
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    • 2021
  • Fine particulate matter (FPM; diameter ≤ 2.5 ㎛) is frequently found in metropolitan areas due to activities associated with rapid urbanization and population growth. Many adolescents spend a substantial amount of time at school where, for various reasons, FPM generated outdoors may flow into indoor areas. The aims of this study were to estimate FPM concentrations and categorize types of FPM in schools. Meteorological and chemical variables as well as satellite-based aerosol optical depth were analyzed as input data in a random forest model, which applied 10-fold cross validation and a grid-search method, to estimate school FPM concentrations, with four statistical indicators used to evaluate accuracy. Loose and strict standards were established to categorize types of FPM in schools. Under the former classification scheme, FPM in most schools was classified as type 2 or 3, whereas under strict standards, school FPM was mostly classified as type 3 or 4.

Verification of Mid-/Long-term Forecasted Soil Moisture Dynamics Using TIGGE/S2S (TIGGE/S2S 기반 중장기 토양수분 예측 및 검증)

  • Shin, Yonghee;Jung, Imgook;Lee, Hyunju;Shin, Yongchul
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.61 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2019
  • Developing reliable soil moisture prediction techniques at agricultural regions is a pivotal issue for sustaining stable crop productions. In this study, a physically-based SWAP(Soil-Water-Atmosphere-Plant) model was suggested to estimate soil moisture dynamics at the study sites. ROSETTA was also integrated to derive the soil hydraulic properties(${\alpha}$, n, ${\Theta}_r$, ${\Theta}_s$, $K_s$) as the input variables to SWAP based on the soil information(Sand, Silt and Clay-SSC, %). In order to predict the soil moisture dynamics in future, the mid-term TIGGIE(THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble) and long-term S2S(Subseasonal to Seasonal) weather forecasts were used, respectively. Our proposed approach was tested at the six study sites of RDA(Rural Development Administration). The estimated soil moisture values based on the SWAP model matched the measured data with the statistics of Root Mean Square Error(RMSE: 0.034~0.069) and Temporal Correlation Coefficient(TCC: 0.735~0.869) for validation. When we predicted the mid-/long-term soil moisture values using the TIGGE(0~15 days)/S2S(16~46 days) weather forecasts, the soil moisture estimates showed less variations during the TIGGE period while uncertainties were increased for the S2S period. Although uncertainties were relatively increased based on the increased leading time of S2S compared to those of TIGGE, these results supported the potential use of TIGGE/S2S forecasts in evaluating agricultural drought. Our proposed approach can be useful for efficient water resources management plans in hydrology, agriculture, etc.

Utilizing On-Chain Data to Predict Bitcoin Prices based on LSTM (On-Chain Data를 활용한 LSTM 기반 비트코인 가격 예측)

  • An, Yu-Jin;Oh, Ha-Young
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.25 no.10
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    • pp.1287-1295
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    • 2021
  • During the past decade, it seems apparent that Bitcoin has been the best performing asset class. Even without a centralized authority that takes control over, Bitcoin, which started off with basically no value at all, reached around 65000 dollars in 2021, showing a movement that will definitely go down in history. Thus, even those who were skeptical of Bitcoin's intangible nature are stacking bitcoin as a huge part of their portfolios. Bitcoin's exponential growth in value also caught the attention of traditional banking and investment firms. Along with the spotlight Bitcoin is getting from the investment world, research using macro-economic variables and investor sentiment to explain Bitcoin's price movement has shown progress. However, previous studies do not make use of On-Chain Data, which are data processed using transaction data in Bitcoin's blockchain network. Therefore, in this paper, we will be utilizing LSTM, a method widely used for time-series data prediction, with On-Chain Data to predict the price of Bitcoin.

Application Verification of AI&Thermal Imaging-Based Concrete Crack Depth Evaluation Technique through Mock-up Test (Mock-up Test를 통한 AI 및 열화상 기반 콘크리트 균열 깊이 평가 기법의 적용성 검증)

  • Jeong, Sang-Gi;Jang, Arum;Park, Jinhan;Kang, Chang-hoon;Ju, Young K.
    • Journal of Korean Association for Spatial Structures
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.95-103
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    • 2023
  • With the increasing number of aging buildings across Korea, emerging maintenance technologies have surged. One such technology is the non-contact detection of concrete cracks via thermal images. This study aims to develop a technique that can accurately predict the depth of a crack by analyzing the temperature difference between the crack part and the normal part in the thermal image of the concrete. The research obtained temperature data through thermal imaging experiments and constructed a big data set including outdoor variables such as air temperature, illumination, and humidity that can influence temperature differences. Based on the collected data, the team designed an algorithm for learning and predicting the crack depth using machine learning. Initially, standardized crack specimens were used in experiments, and the big data was updated by specimens similar to actual cracks. Finally, a crack depth prediction technology was implemented using five regression analysis algorithms for approximately 24,000 data points. To confirm the practicality of the development technique, crack simulators with various shapes were added to the study.

Mapping Poverty Distribution of Urban Area using VIIRS Nighttime Light Satellite Imageries in D.I Yogyakarta, Indonesia

  • KHAIRUNNISAH;Arie Wahyu WIJAYANTO;Setia, PRAMANA
    • Asian Journal of Business Environment
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.9-20
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: This study aims to map the spatial distribution of poverty using nighttime light satellite images as a proxy indicator of economic activities and infrastructure distribution in D.I Yogyakarta, Indonesia. Research design, data, and methodology: This study uses official poverty statistics (National Socio-economic Survey (SUSENAS) and Poverty Database 2015) to compare satellite imagery's ability to identify poor urban areas in D.I Yogyakarta. National Socioeconomic Survey (SUSENAS), as poverty statistics at the macro level, uses expenditure to determine the poor in a region. Poverty Database 2015 (BDT 2015), as poverty statistics at the micro-level, uses asset ownership to determine the poor population in an area. Pearson correlation is used to identify the correlation among variables and construct a Support Vector Regression (SVR) model to estimate the poverty level at a granular level of 1 km x 1 km. Results: It is found that macro poverty level and moderate annual nighttime light intensity have a Pearson correlation of 74 percent. It is more significant than micro poverty, with the Pearson correlation being 49 percent in 2015. The SVR prediction model can achieve the root mean squared error (RMSE) of up to 8.48 percent on SUSENAS 2020 poverty data.Conclusion: Nighttime light satellite imagery data has potential benefits as alternative data to support regional poverty mapping, especially in urban areas. Using satellite imagery data is better at predicting regional poverty based on expenditure than asset ownership at the micro-level. Light intensity at night can better describe the use of electricity consumption for economic activities at night, which is captured in spending on electricity financing compared to asset ownership.

Verification on stock return predictability of text in analyst reports (애널리스트 보고서 텍스트의 주가예측력에 대한 검증)

  • Young-Sun Lee;Akihiko Yamada;Cheol-Won Yang;Hohsuk Noh
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.36 no.5
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    • pp.489-499
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    • 2023
  • As sharing of analyst reports became widely available, reports generated by analysts have become a useful tool to reduce difference in financial information between market participants. The quantitative information of analyst reports has been used in many ways to predict stock returns. However, there are relatively few domestic studies on the prediction power of text information in analyst reports to predict stock returns. We test stock return predictability of text in analyst reports by creating variables representing the TONE from the text. To overcome the limitation of the linear-model-assumption-based approach, we use the random-forest-based F-test.

Effects of Clinical Nurses' Social Support, Self-efficacy and Job Stress on Health Promoting Behaviors (임상간호사의 사회적 지지, 자기효능감, 직무스트레스가 건강증진행위에 미치는 영향)

  • Se-Si-Ra Kim;Eun-A Kim
    • Journal of the Korean Applied Science and Technology
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    • v.41 no.2
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    • pp.424-435
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    • 2024
  • This study aimed to confirm the effect of social support, self-efficacy, and job stress of clinical nurses on health promoting behaviors. The subjects of this study were 345 clinical nurses with more than 6 months of experience working at three general hospitals located in G city. Collected data were analyzed by descriptive statistics, t-test, ANOVA, Pearson correlation, and multiple regression analysis using SPSS 26.0 program. As a result, the prediction factors influencing health promoting behaviors were social support(𝛽=.36, p<.001), self-efficacy(𝛽=.35, p<.001), job stress(𝛽=-.09, p=.018), having breakfast four times a week or more(𝛽=.20, p<.001), and perceived health status is good(𝛽=.20, p=.001) or average(𝛽=.20, p<.001). And the explanatory power on health promoting behaviors from these variables was 49%(F=26.57, p<.001). Therefore, it is necessary to reflect programs and policies to improve the health promoting behaviors of clinical nurses.

Regarding a Shear Strengthening of an Epoxy Mortar Panel for RC Beam Without Shear Strengthening Reinforcing Bar (전단보강철근이 없는 RC보에 대한 에폭시 모르타르 패널의 전단보강에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Sang-Ho;Cho, Min-Su;Heo, Jae-Sang
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.135-146
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    • 2008
  • In this study, the effect of epoxy mortar panel as the shear strengthening material of reinforced concrete beam is investigated by loading test. The main variables are the kind of strengthening material, the amount of reinforcement and the spacing of CFS(Carbon Fiber Sheet) stirrups. The design method to use epoxy mortar panel as shear strengthening of reinforced concrete beam took the shear capacity as the form of the sum of $V_c$, $V_s$, $V_{sheet}$ and $V_p$. By making a comparison between the values calculated by the proposed shear strength prediction formula and those from the loading test results, the mean value was 1.10 and the standard deviation was 8.16%.

The development of four efficient optimal neural network methods in forecasting shallow foundation's bearing capacity

  • Hossein Moayedi;Binh Nguyen Le
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.151-168
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    • 2024
  • This research aimed to appraise the effectiveness of four optimization approaches - cuckoo optimization algorithm (COA), multi-verse optimization (MVO), particle swarm optimization (PSO), and teaching-learning-based optimization (TLBO) - that were enhanced with an artificial neural network (ANN) in predicting the bearing capacity of shallow foundations located on cohesionless soils. The study utilized a database of 97 laboratory experiments, with 68 experiments for training data sets and 29 for testing data sets. The ANN algorithms were optimized by adjusting various variables, such as population size and number of neurons in each hidden layer, through trial-and-error techniques. Input parameters used for analysis included width, depth, geometry, unit weight, and angle of shearing resistance. After performing sensitivity analysis, it was determined that the optimized architecture for the ANN structure was 5×5×1. The study found that all four models demonstrated exceptional prediction performance: COA-MLP, MVO-MLP, PSO-MLP, and TLBO-MLP. It is worth noting that the MVO-MLP model exhibited superior accuracy in generating network outputs for predicting measured values compared to the other models. The training data sets showed R2 and RMSE values of (0.07184 and 0.9819), (0.04536 and 0.9928), (0.09194 and 0.9702), and (0.04714 and 0.9923) for COA-MLP, MVO-MLP, PSO-MLP, and TLBO-MLP methods respectively. Similarly, the testing data sets produced R2 and RMSE values of (0.08126 and 0.07218), (0.07218 and 0.9814), (0.10827 and 0.95764), and (0.09886 and 0.96481) for COA-MLP, MVO-MLP, PSO-MLP, and TLBO-MLP methods respectively.

Application of the Neural Network to Predict the Adolescents' Computer Entertainment Behavior (청소년의 컴퓨터 오락추구 행동을 예측하기 위한 신경망 활용)

  • Lee, Hyejoo;Jung, Euihyun
    • The Journal of Korean Association of Computer Education
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.39-48
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    • 2013
  • This study investigates the predictive model of the adolescents' computer entertainment behavior using neural network with the KYPS data (3449 in the junior high school; 1725 boys and 1724 girls). This study compares the results of neural network(model 1) to the logistic regression model and neural network(model 2) with the exact same variables used in logistic regression. The results reveal that the prediction of neural network model 1 is the highest among three models and with gender, computer use time, family income, the number of close friends, the number of misdeed friends, individual study time, self-control, private education time, leisure time, self-belief, stress, adaptation to school, and study related worries, the neural network model 1 predicts the computer entertainment behavior more efficiently. These results suggest that the neural network could be used for diagnosing and adjusting the adolescents' computer entertainment behavior.

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