• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction of temperature and humidity

Search Result 263, Processing Time 0.025 seconds

Multivariate Time Series Analysis for Rainfall Prediction with Artificial Neural Networks

  • Narimani, Roya;Jun, Changhyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2021.06a
    • /
    • pp.135-135
    • /
    • 2021
  • In water resources management, rainfall prediction with high accuracy is still one of controversial issues particularly in countries facing heavy rainfall during wet seasons in the monsoon climate. The aim of this study is to develop an artificial neural network (ANN) for predicting future six months of rainfall data (from April to September 2020) from daily meteorological data (from 1971 to 2019) such as rainfall, temperature, wind speed, and humidity at Seoul, Korea. After normalizing these data, they were trained by using a multilayer perceptron (MLP) as a class of the feedforward ANN with 15,000 neurons. The results show that the proposed method can analyze the relation between meteorological datasets properly and predict rainfall data for future six months in 2020, with an overall accuracy over almost 70% and a root mean square error of 0.0098. This study demonstrates the possibility and potential of MLP's applications to predict future daily rainfall patterns, essential for managing flood risks and protecting water resources.

  • PDF

Correlation of Critical Air Temperature for Frost Delay on a Cold Plate (냉각면 평판에서 착상 지연을 위한 임계공기온도 상관식)

  • Kim, Jung-Soo;Kim, Yoo-Yil;Kim, Ook-Joong;Lee, Kwan-Soo
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
    • /
    • v.30 no.12 s.255
    • /
    • pp.1188-1195
    • /
    • 2006
  • This paper examines the critical air temperature at which frost formation does not occur on a cold plate in order to improve the efficiency of a heat pump. The critical air temperature on test points is obtained from numerical analysis and a correlation of the critical air temperature is derived as a function of frosting factors (air absolute humidity, air velocity, and cold plate temperature) by least square method. Experiments are carried out to verify the correlation proposed in this study, and the prediction obtained with the correlation agrees well with the experimental data. Based on the correlation, we propose the non-frosting regions according to frosting factors.

A study of lifetime prediction of PV module using damp heat test (고온고습 시험을 이용한 실리콘 태양전지 모듈의 수명 예측 연구)

  • Oh, Won Wook;Kang, Byung Jun;Park, Nochang;Tark, Sung Ju;Kim, Young Do;Kim, Donghwan
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 2011.11a
    • /
    • pp.63.1-63.1
    • /
    • 2011
  • To analyze the phenomenon of corrosion in the PV module, we experimented damp heat test at $85^{\circ}C$/85% relative humidity(RH) and $65^{\circ}C$/85% RH for 2,000 hours, respectively. We used 30 mini-modules designed of 6inch one cell. Despite of 2,000 hours test, measured $P_{max}$ is not reached failure which is defined less than 80% compared to initial $P_{max}$. Therefore, we calculate proper curve fitting over 2,000 hours. Data less than 80% $P_{max}$ is found and B10 lifetime is calculated by the number of failure specimens and weibull distribution. Using B10 lifetime that the point of failure rate 10% and Peck's model, the predictable equation of lifetime was derived under temperature and humidity condition.

  • PDF

Study on IR Signature Characteristics for different Transmittance over the Korean South Sea during Summer and Winter Seasons (거제도 해양의 여름 및 겨울철 환경에서 거리에 따른 대기투과도를 고려한 함정의 적외선 신호 특성 분석)

  • Choi, Jun-Hyuk;Kim, Jung-Ho;Jung, In-Hwa;Lee, Phil-Ho;Kim, Tae-Kuk
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
    • /
    • v.13 no.2
    • /
    • pp.320-327
    • /
    • 2010
  • The IR signature data of a ship is mainly affected by location, meteorological conditions(atmosphere temperature, wind direction and velocity, humidity etc.), atmospheric transmittance, solar position and ship surface temperature etc. The IR signatures received by a remote sensor at a given temperature and wavelength region is consisted of the self-emitted component directly from the object surface, the reflected component of the solar irradiation at the object surface, and the scattered component by the atmosphere without ever reaching the object surface. Computer simulations for prediction of the IR signatures of ships are very useful to examine the effects of various sensor positions. In this paper, we have acquired the IR signature for different sensor positions by using computer program for prediction of the IR signatures. The numerical results show that the IR signature contrast as compared to the background sea considering the meteorological conditions, solar and sky irradiations.

A Basic Study on the Development of Compressive Strength Prediction System for Blast Furnace Slag Contained Concrete using IoT Sensor (IoT센서를 이용한 고로슬래그 혼입 콘크리트의 압축강도 예측 시스템 개발에 관한 기초 연구)

  • Kim, Han-Sol;Jang, Jong-Min;Min, Tae-Beom;Lee, Han-Seung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
    • /
    • 2020.06a
    • /
    • pp.58-59
    • /
    • 2020
  • The change of temperature and humidity in early-age concrete has a great influence on the durability of the structure. In this study, a reliable wireless sensor network system and a concrete embedded type Compressive strength prediction sensor were designed using the Arduino platform. The accuracy of the compressive strength prediction sensor was verified through a mock-up experiment, and it was confirmed that the experiment had sufficient accuracy to be used in the field environment.

  • PDF

A Study on the Prediction Method of Condensation on the Curtain Wall of the High-rise Apartment Unit (초고층 아파트의 커튼월 결로 예측 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Im, Jeong-Hui
    • Journal of the Korea Construction Safety Engineering Association
    • /
    • s.41
    • /
    • pp.88-101
    • /
    • 2007
  • Recently, the condensation of walls often occurring in domestic high-rise apartment buildings is an important problem. The main purpose of this study is to develop the prediction method for the surface condensation on curtain wall in high-rise apartment buildings. Therefore, in this study, we first analyzed exterior climate factors through the analysis of the Seoul climate data and predicted the change of indoor temperature by using Apache program to find the cause of the condensation state and to prevent condensation. Also, according to this result, exterior climate factors and interior factors, which caused the condensation, was examined. The thermal performance of the curtain wall and the range of potential condensation were analyzed to focus on high-rise apartment buildings through computer simulation programs. The results are as $follows;^1$) The frame edge of curtain wall has a higher U-value than in the center by $30%^2$) Because of stack effect, the rooms on the higher floor have a lower external ventilation rate resulting to a higher relative humidity3) Installing a ventilation system($20m^3$/h. person) makes it possible to have a higher external ventilation rate, resulting to a lower relative humidity.

  • PDF

A Study on forest fires Prediction and Detection Algorithm using Intelligent Context-awareness sensor (상황인지 센서를 활용한 지능형 산불 이동 예측 및 탐지 알고리즘에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hyeng-jun;Shin, Gyu-young;Woo, Byeong-hun;Koo, Nam-kyoung;Jang, Kyung-sik;Lee, Kang-whan
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
    • /
    • v.19 no.6
    • /
    • pp.1506-1514
    • /
    • 2015
  • In this paper, we proposed a forest fires prediction and detection system. It could provide a situation of fire prediction and detection methods using context awareness sensor. A fire occurs wide range of sensing a fire in a single camera sensor, it is difficult to detect the occurrence of a fire. In this paper, we propose an algorithm for real-time by using a temperature sensor, humidity, Co2, the flame presence information acquired and comparing the data based on multiple conditions, analyze and determine the weighting according to fire in complex situations. In addition, it is possible to differential management of intensive fire detection and prediction for required dividing the state of fire zone. Therefore we propose an algorithm to determine the prediction and detection from the fire parameters as an temperature, humidity, Co2 and the flame in real-time by using a context awareness sensor and also suggest algorithm that provide the path of fire diffusion and service the secure safety zone prediction.

Negative Ion Generation Index according to Altitude in the Autumn of Pine Forest in Gyeongju Namsan (경주 남산 소나무림의 가을철 해발고도별 음이온 발생지수)

  • Kim, Jeong Ho;Yoon, Ji Hun;Lee, Sang Hoon;Choi, Won Jun;Yoon, Yong Han
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
    • /
    • v.32 no.4
    • /
    • pp.413-424
    • /
    • 2018
  • The study analyzed the effects of topographic structures and altitude in mountainous parks in Mt. Namsan in Gyeongju on the generation of anions. The temperature was at ridge ($9.82^{\circ}C$) > valley ($8.44^{\circ}C$), the relative humidity valley (59.01 %) > ridge (58.64 %), the solar radiation ridge ($34.40W/m^2$) > valley($14.69W/m^2$), the wind speed ridge (0.63m/s) > valley(0.37m/s), and the negative ion valley($636.81ea/cm^3$) > ridge($580.04ea/cm^3$). In the valley, the correlation with altitude was verified for the temperature, relative humidity, solar radiation, and negative ion generation in the valley. The relative humidity, solar radiation, and negative ion indicated a positive correlation while the temperature had a negative correlation. In the ridge, the correlation with altitude was verified for the temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, solar radiation, and negative ion generation. The relative humidity, solar radiation, and negative ion generation indicated a positive correlation while the temperature and wind speed had a negative correlation. The regression analysis showed the prediction equation of y=-0.006x+9.663 (x=altitude, y=temperature) in the valley and y=-0.009x+11.595 (x=altitude, y=temperature) in the ridge for the temperature, y=0.027x+53.561 (x=altitude, y=relative humidity) in the valley and y=0.008x+56.646 (x=altitude, y=relative humidity) in the ridges for the relative humidity, and y=0.027x+53.561 (x=altitude, y=negative Ion generation) in the valley and y= 0.008x+56.646 (x=altitude, y=negative Ion generation) in the ridge for the negative ion generation.

Investigation of Analysis Effects of ASCAT Data Assimilation within KIAPS-LETKF System (앙상블 자료동화 시스템에서 ASCAT 해상풍 자료동화가 분석장에 미치는 효과 분석)

  • Jo, Youngsoon;Lim, Sujeong;Kwon, In-Hyuk;Han, Hyun-Jun
    • Atmosphere
    • /
    • v.28 no.3
    • /
    • pp.263-272
    • /
    • 2018
  • The high-resolution ocean surface wind vector produced by scatterometer was assimilated within the Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter (LETKF) in Korea Institute of Atmospheric Prediction Systems (KIAPS). The Advanced Scatterometer (ASCAT) on Metop-A/B wind data was processed in the KIAPS Package for Observation Processing (KPOP), and a module capable of processing surface wind observation was implemented in the LETKF system. The LETKF data assimilation cycle for evaluating the performance improvement due to ASCAT observation was carried out for approximately 20 days from June through July 2017 when Typhoon Nepartak was present. As a result, we have found that the performance of ASCAT wind vector has a clear and beneficial effect on the data assimilation cycle. It has reduced analysis errors of wind, temperature, and humidity, as well as analysis errors of lower troposphere wind. Furthermore, by the assimilation of the ASCAT wind observation, the initial condition of the model described the typhoon structure more accurately and improved the typhoon track prediction skill. Therefore, we can expect the analysis field of LETKF will be improved if the Scatterometer wind observation is added.

Development of the Surface Forest Fire Behavior Prediction Model Using GIS (GIS를 이용한 지표화 확산예측모델의 개발)

  • Lee, Byungdoo;Chung, Joosang;Lee, Myung-Bo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
    • /
    • v.94 no.6
    • /
    • pp.481-487
    • /
    • 2005
  • In this study, a GIS model to simulate the behavior of surface forest fires was developed on the basis of forest fire growth prediction algorithm. This model consists of three modules for data-handling, simulation and report writing. The data-handling module was designed to interpret such forest fire environment factors as terrain, fuel and weather and provide sets of data required in analyzing fire behavior. The simulation module simulates the fire and determines spread velocity, fire intensity and burnt area over time associated with terrain slope, wind, effective humidity and such fuel condition factors as fuel depth, fuel loading and moisture content for fire extinction. The module is equipped with the functions to infer the fuel condition factors from the information extracted from digital vegetation map sand the fuel moisture from the weather conditions including effective humidity, maximum temperature, precipitation and hourly irradiation. The report writer has the function to provide results of a series of analyses for fire prediction. A performance test of the model with the 2002 Chungyang forest fire showed the predictive accuracy of 61% in spread rate.