• 제목/요약/키워드: Prediction of inflow

검색결과 192건 처리시간 0.023초

상류형 풍력 터빈의 주요 소음원과 방사소음에 대한 실험적/이론적 고찰 (Experimental and Theoretical Study on Main Noise Sources and Its Radiations of Upwind Wind Turbines)

  • 이광세;정철웅;신수현;정성수
    • 한국소음진동공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국소음진동공학회 2010년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.72-73
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, the main noise sources and its radiated noise levels of upwind horizontal-axis wind turbines are experimentally and theoretically investigated. Theoretical predictions for indentifying the dominant source locations are made by using the empirical noise prediction model of Brooks et al. (1989) for the airfoil self noise. Through the comparison of theoretical results with the experimental results, turbulence-boundary-layer-trailing-edge (TBL-TE) noise is revealed to be the dominant source over all frequency range and separation and stall (S-S) noise is possibly important in the relative lower frequency range compared with TBL-TE noise.

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Multiple Box 수질모형에 의한 해남호 수질예측 (I) - 수질부 모형의 개발과 적용 - (Prediction of Water Quality in Haenam Estuary Reservoir Using Multiple Box Model (I) -Development and Application of Water Quality Subroutines-)

  • 신승수;권순국
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제32권3호
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    • pp.116-129
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    • 1990
  • A rational management of water resources in estuary reservoirs necessiates the prediction of water quality. In this study, a multiple box model for the water quality prediction was developed as a tool for the purpose of examining an adequate way to improve and maintain the water quality. Some submodels that are suitable for simulating the mixing behavior of pollutant materials in a lake were considered in this model. The model was appiled for predicting water qualities of Haenam Esturay Reservoir. The result from this study can be summarized as follows : 1.A water quality simulation model that can predict the 10-day mean value of water qualities was developed by adding some submodels that simulate the concentrations of chlorophyll-a, BOD, T-P and T-N to the existing Multiple Box Model representing the mixing and circulating of materials by the hydarulic action. 2.As input data for the model developed, the climatic data including precipitation, solar radiation, temperature, cloudness, wind speed and relative humidity, and the water buget records including the pumping discharge and the releasing discharge by drainage gate were ollected. The hydrologic data for the inflow discharge from the watershed was obtained by simulation with the aid of USDAUL-74/SNUA watershed model. Also the water quality data were measured at streams and the reservoir. 3.As a result of calibration and verification test by using four comonents of water quality such as Chlorophyll-a, BOD, T-P and T-N, it was found that the correlation coefficeints between the observed and the simulated water qualities showed greater than 0.6, therefore the capability of the model to simulate the water quality was proved. 4.The result based on the model application showed that the water quality of the Haenam Estuary Reservoir varies seasonally with the harmonic trend, however the water quality is good in winter and get worse in summer. Also it may be concluded that the current grarde of water quality in the Heanam Esutary Reservoir is ranked as grade 4 suitable only for the agricultutal use.

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삽교호 유입량 예측을 위한 LSTM 모형의 적용성 평가 (Evaluation of LSTM Model for Inflow Prediction of Lake Sapgye)

  • 황병기
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.287-294
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    • 2021
  • 삽교호로 유입하는 곡교천 유역의 홍수시 유출량을 추정하기 위해서 Tensorflow를 활용하여 파이썬 기반의 LSTM 모형을 구축하였다. 층의 깊이가 성능에 미치는 영향을 분석하기 위해, 은닉층의 깊이를 2, 4, 6층으로 증가시키면서, 선행시간 1시간부터 5시간까지 예측을 수행하였으며, 은닉층의 개수가 4개일 때가 가장 우수한 성능을 나타내었다. 학습에 사용하는 입력자료의 길이 즉, 시퀀스길이가 모형의 성능에 미치는 영향을 파악하고자 시퀀스길이를 3시간, 5시간, 7시간으로 증가시키면서 모형을 실행한 결과, 시퀀스길이가 3시간 일 때, 전 시간대에 걸쳐 예측 성능이 우수한 것으로 분석되었다. 모형 검증에서 극한 강우 3건에 대하여 예측을 수행한 결과 선행시간 1시간에 대하여 평균 NSE 0.96 이상의 높은 정확도를 나타내었으며, 선행시간 2시간 이상에 대하여 정확도는 점차적으로 낮아지는 것으로 확인되었다. 결론적으로 시퀀스길이 3시간을 사용하여 선행시간 1시간에 대한 예측을 수행한다면 곡교천 강청 관측소의 홍수위를 높은 수준의 정확도로 예측할 수 있음을 확인하였다.

WRF 모형에서 한반도 여름철 강수 예측에 모의영역이 미치는 영향 (Effect of Model Domain on Summer Precipitation Predictions over the Korean Peninsula in WRF Model)

  • 김형규;이혜영;김주완;이승우;부경온;이송이
    • 대기
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    • 제31권1호
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    • pp.17-28
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    • 2021
  • We investigated the impact of domain size on the simulated summer precipitation over the Korean Peninsula using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. Two different domains are integrated up to 72-hours from 29 June 2017 to 28 July 2017 when the Changma front is active. The domain sizes are adopted from previous RDAPS (Regional Data Assimilation and Prediction System) and current LDAPS (Local Data Assimilation and Prediction System) operated by the Korea Meteorological Administration, while other model configurations are fixed identically. We found that the larger domain size showed better prediction skills, especially in precipitation forecast performance. This performance improvement is particularly noticeable over the central region of the Korean Peninsula. Comparisons of physical aspects of each variable revealed that the inflow of moisture flux from the East China Sea was well reproduced in the experiment with a large model domain due to a more realistic North Pacific high compared to the small domain experiment. These results suggest that the North Pacific anticyclone could be an important factor for the precipitation forecast during the summer-time over the Korean Peninsula.

단기 예측강우와 댐 유입량 예측 적용성에 관한 연구 (Study on the Short-Term Rainfall and their Dam Inflow Application)

  • 변동현;김진훈;배덕효
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2008년도 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.1063-1067
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    • 2008
  • 최근 국지적 집중호우로 인한 인명과 재산피해가 증가하고 있는 실정이며 이러한 피해를 경감하기 위한 하나의 방책으로써 홍수예경보 시스템 구축에 관한 관심이 증가하고 있다. 기존의 홍수예보 시스템은 강우의 실제 관측치를 모형의 입력자료로 하여 홍수유출을 계산함으로 인해 예보시간이 촉박하였다. 실시간 강우를 이용하여 유출계산을 수행하고 그 결과가 위험하다고 판단될 때 홍수예경보를 하므로 집중호우와 같은 악기상 조건에서는 적용에 한계가 있다. 따라서 정확한 기상예보를 활용한 기상-수자원 연계기법을 개발하여 홍수예경보 시스템에 적용한다면 악기상 감시예측기술의 향상과 더불어 재해의 방지차원에서 매우 유용한 대책이 될 것이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 단기 예측강우의 국내유역 적용성 여부를 검토하기 위해 30km의 공간 해상도를 가진 단기지역예보모델인 RDAPS(Regional Data Assimilation and Prediction System) 강수자료를 활용하여 기상학적 및 수문학적 정확도를 분석하였으며, 이를 바탕으로 예측강수의 높은 활용성이 기대되는 실제 한강수계의 주요 댐 지점에 HEC-1 모형을 이용하여 댐 유입량을 산정하고 그 적용성을 평가하고자 한다.

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앙상블 기법을 이용한 안동댐 유입량 예측 (Prediction of Andong Reservoir Inflow Using Ensemble Technique)

  • 강민석;유명수;이재응
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제34권3호
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    • pp.795-804
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    • 2014
  • 본 연구에서는 앙상블유량예측기법과 SWAT 모형을 이용하여 안동댐의 2011년 7월~9월의 각 댐유입량 예측을 실행하였으며 월별 및 순별 분석을 수행하였다. 또한 정확한 분석을 위해 기상청의 월별 및 순별 강우예보자료를 이용한 가중값 부여방법을 사용하였다. 분석 결과 기상청에서 발표한 강우 예측 구간이 실제 강우 구간과 동일하면 PDF-Ratio 가중값 부여방법이 가장 높은 정확성을 보이며, 과거 강우발생 구간 통계 중 높은 구간이 실제 강우 구간과 동일하다면 수정 PDF-Ratio 가중값 부여방법이 가장 높은 정확성을 보였다. 이는 기상청 예측이 맞지 않은 경우에도 과거 강우발생 구간의 빈도에 따라 정확성을 높일 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 반대로 기상청의 예측이 실제와 다르면서 과거 강우발생 구간 통계에서도 낮은 구간의 강우가 발생하면 균일 가중값 부여방법의 정확성이 가장 높게 분석되었다.

중심정맥관 삽입 시 발생하는 공기유입량의 예측: 실험연구 (Prediction of air inflow during central venous catheter insertion: experimental study)

  • 정효재;김양원;박창민;박철호;강지훈;윤유상
    • 대한응급의학회지
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    • 제29권6호
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    • pp.641-648
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    • 2018
  • Objective: This study examined the incidence and amount of air inflow during central venous catheter (CVC) insertion. Methods: This study was an experimental study aimed at designing an apparatus to implement blood vessel and blood flow in the human body. A 1.5-m long core tube with a Teflon tube, suction rubber tube, and polyvinyl chloride tube were made. This core tube was assumed to be the blood vessel of the human body. Blood was replaced with a saline solution. The saline solution was placed higher than the core tube and flowed into the inside of the tube by gravity. The CVC was injected 15-cm deep into the core tube. The air was collected through a 3-way valve into the upper tube. The experiments were carried out by differentiating the pressure in the tube, CVC insertion step, and diameter of the end of the catheter. The experiment was repeated 10 times under the same conditions. Results: The amount of air decreased with increasing pressure applied to the tube. Air was not generated when the syringe needle was injected, and the amount of air increased with increasing size of the distal end catheter. Conclusion: To minimize the possibility of air embolism, it is necessary to close the distal end catheter at the earliest point as soon as possible.

Large eddy simulation of wind loads on a long-span spatial lattice roof

  • Li, Chao;Li, Q.S.;Huang, S.H.;Fu, J.Y.;Xiao, Y.Q.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.57-82
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    • 2010
  • The 486m-long roof of Shenzhen Citizens Centre is one of the world's longest spatial lattice roof structures. A comprehensive numerical study of wind effects on the long-span structure is presented in this paper. The discretizing and synthesizing of random flow generation technique (DSRFG) recently proposed by two of the authors (Huang and Li 2008) was adopted to produce a spatially correlated turbulent inflow field for the simulation study. The distributions and characteristics of wind loads on the roof were numerically evaluated by Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) methods, in which Large Eddy Simulation (LES) and Reynolds Averaged Navier-Stokes Equations (RANS) Model were employed. The main objective of this study is to explore a useful approach for estimations of wind effects on complex curved roof by CFD techniques. In parallel with the numerical investigation, simultaneous pressure measurements on the entire roof were made in a boundary layer wind tunnel to determine mean, fluctuating and peak pressure coefficient distributions, and spectra, spatial correlation coefficients and probability characteristics of pressure fluctuations. Numerical results were then compared with these experimentally determined data for validating the numerical methods. The comparative study demonstrated that the LES integrated with the DSRFG technique could provide satisfactory prediction of wind effects on the long-span roof with complex shape, especially on separation zones along leading eaves where the worst negative wind-induced pressures commonly occur. The recommended LES and inflow turbulence generation technique as well as associated numerical treatments are useful for structural engineers to assess wind effects on a long-span roof at its design stage.

An Analysis of Precipitation Systems Developed near Jeju Island in Korea during the Summer Monsoon, 2006

  • Jang, Sang-Min;Gu, Ji-Young;Lee, Dong-In;Jeong, Jong-Hoon;Park, Sung-Hwa;Uyeda, Hiroshi
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제33권5호
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    • pp.377-394
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    • 2012
  • To elucidate the mechanism associated with the development of heavy precipitation system, a field experiment was carried out in Jejudo (or Jeju Island) and Marado, Korea from 22 June to 12 July 2006. The synoptic atmospheric conditions were analyzed using the National Centers for Environmental Prediction-National Center for Atmospheric Research's (NCEP/NCAR) reanalyzed data, weather maps, and sounding data. The kinematic characteristics of each precipitation system were investigated by dual Doppler radar analysis. During the field experiment, data of four precipitation events with more than 20 mm rainfall were collected. In F case (frontal precipitation), a typical Changma front was dominant and the observation field was fully saturated. However there was no convective instability near the surface. LF case (low pressure accompanied with Changma front) showed strong convective instability near the surface, while a strong convergence corresponded to the low pressure from China accompanied with Changma front. In FT case (Changma front indirectly influenced by typhoon), the presence of a convective instability indicated the transport of near surface, strong additional moisture from the typhoon 'EWINIAR'. The convergence wind field was ground to be located at a low level. The convective instability was not significant in T case (precipitation of the typhoon 'EWINIAR'), since the typhoon passed through Jejudo and the Changma front was disappeared toward the northeastern region of the Korean peninsula. The kinematic (convergence and divergence) characteristics of wind fields, convective instability, and additional moisture inflow played important roles in the formation and development of heavy precipitation.

영일만 유입오염부하량의 계절 변동에 관한 연구 (Seasonal Variation of Pollutant load flowing into Yeong-Il bay)

  • 윤한삼;이인철;류청로;박종화
    • 한국해양공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국해양공학회 2002년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.100-107
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    • 2002
  • This study investigates the seasonal variation and spatial distribution characteristics of pollutant load, as executing the quantity valuation of pollutant load inflowing into Yeong-Il bay from on-land including the Hyeong-san river. Annual total pollutant generating rate from Yeong-Il bay region are 202ton to BOD, 620ton to SS, 42ton to T-N, 16ton to T-P respectively, if expressly point out, pollutant generating rate from the Hyeong-san river is the greatest, which BOD ratio is 78.2%, SS 88.5%, T-N 62.5%, T-P 73.1%. As calculating Tank model with input value of daily precipitation and evaporation of 2001 year in drainage basin of the Hyeong-san river, Estimated result of the annual total river discharge effluencing from this river is $830{\times}106m^3$. As result to estimating annual total effluence rate outflowing at the rivers from each drainage basins, annual total inflow pollutant rate are BOD 10,633ton, SS 19,302ton, T-N 15,369ton, T-P 305ton. The III basin which is population congestion region of the Pohang-city drain away a good many pollutant load than the V basin including the Neang-Chun with wide drainage area. Especially, a great many T-N than T-P inflow into Yeong-Il bay. The accumulation of pollutant load effluenced from on-land will happen on at the inner coast region of Yeong-Il bay, finally we would make a prediction that the water quality will take a bad turn.

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