• 제목/요약/키워드: Prediction Error Method

검색결과 1,124건 처리시간 0.028초

PREDICTION OF DIAMETRAL CREEP FOR PRESSURE TUBES OF A PRESSURIZED HEAVY WATER REACTOR USING DATA BASED MODELING

  • Lee, Jae-Yong;Na, Man-Gyun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제44권4호
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    • pp.355-362
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    • 2012
  • The aim of this study was to develop a bundle position-wise linear model (BPLM) to predict Pressure Tube (PT) diametral creep employing the previously measured PT diameters and operating conditions. There are twelve bundles in a fuel channel, and for each bundle a linear model was developed by using the dependent variables, such as the fast neutron fluences and the bundle coolant temperatures. The training data set was selected using the subtractive clustering method. The data of 39 channels that consist of 80 percent of a total of 49 measured channels from Units 2, 3, and 4 of the Wolsung nuclear plant in Korea were used to develop the BPLM. The data from the remaining 10 channels were used to test the developed BPLM. The BPLM was optimized by the maximum likelihood estimation method. The developed BPLM to predict PT diametral creep was verified using the operating data gathered from Units 2, 3, and 4. Two error components for the BPLM, which are the epistemic error and the aleatory error, were generated. The diametral creep prediction and two error components will be used for the generation of the regional overpower trip setpoint at the corresponding effective full power days. The root mean square (RMS) errors were also generated and compared to those from the current prediction method. The RMS errors were found to be less than the previous errors.

Joint Blind Data/Channel Estimation Based on Linear Prediction

  • Ahn, Kyung-Seung;Byun, Eul-Chool;Baik, Heung-Ki
    • 대한전자공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전자공학회 2001년도 제14회 신호처리 합동 학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.869-872
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    • 2001
  • Blind identification and equalization of communication channel is important because it does not need training sequence, nor does it require a priori channel information. So, we can increase the bandwidth efficiency. The linear prediction error method is perhaps the most attractive in practice due to the insensitive to blind channel estimator and equalizer length mismatch as well as for its simple adaptive algorithms. In this paper, we propose method for fractionally spaced blind equalizer with arbitrary delay using one-step forward prediction error filter from second-order statistics of the received signals for SIMO channel. Our algorithm utilizes the forward prediction error as training sequences for data estimation and desired signal for channel estimation.

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광디스크 드라이브를 위한 강인 제어기 설계 (Robust Servo System for Optical Disk Drive Systems)

  • 박범호;정정주;표현봉;박용우
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2003년도 학술회의 논문집 정보 및 제어부문 B
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    • pp.380-383
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    • 2003
  • This paper proposes a new and simple input prediction method for robust servo system. This servo system uses robust tracking control system based on both Coprime Factorization(CF) and Zero Phase Error Tracking control system. The CF control system can be designed simply and systematically. Moreover, this system has not only stability but also robustness and disturbance rejection ability The optical disk tracking servo system can detect only the tracking error. So the new and simple input prediction system proposed in this paper estimates the reference input signal from the tracking error. Numerical simulation results show that the proposed method is effective.

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Application for Measuring the Glucose, Ammonia nitrogen, and Tylosin Concentration using Near Infrared Spectroscopy

  • Kim, Jong-Soo;Cho, Hoon
    • 환경위생공학
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.19-25
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    • 2008
  • For measurement of tylosin, ammonia nitrogen, and glucose concentration during the culture of Streptomyces fradiae using Near Infrared Spectroscopy, the calibration using various mathematical models was performed and then, based on the linear model, the validation was carried out. In the case of sucrose concentration using the MLR method, the Standard Error of Prediction and Multiple correlation coefficient were 1.97, and 0.991, respectively. In the case of ammonia nitrogen concentration using the PLSR method, the Standard Error of Prediction and Multiple correlation coefficient were 0.13, and 0.990, respectively. In the case of tylosin concentration using the PLSR method, the standard Error of Prediction and Multiple correlation coefficient were 0.54, and 0.984, respectively.

Adaptive Compensation Method Using the Prediction Algorithm for the Doppler Frequency Shift in the LEO Mobile Satellite Communication System

  • You, Moon-Hee;Lee, Seong-Pal;Han, Young-Yearl
    • ETRI Journal
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.32-39
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    • 2000
  • In low earth orbit (LEO) satellite communication systems, more severe phase distortion due to Doppler shift is frequently detected in the received signal than in cases of geostationary earth orbit (GEO) satellite systems or terrestrial mobile systems. Therefore, an estimation of Doppler shift would be one of the most important factors to enhance performance of LEO satellite communication system. In this paper, a new adaptive Doppler compensation scheme using location information of a user terminal and satellite, as well as a weighting factor for the reduction of prediction error is proposed. The prediction performance of the proposed scheme is simulated in terms of the prediction accuracy and the cumulative density function of the prediction error, with considering the offset variation range of the initial input parameters in LEO satellite system. The simulation results showed that the proposed adaptive compensation algorithm has the better performance accuracy than Ali's method. From the simulation results, it is concluded the adaptive compensation algorithm is the most applicable method that can be applied to LEO satellite systems of a range of altitude between 1,000 km and 2,000 km for the general error tolerance level, M = 250 Hz.

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오차 패턴 모델링을 이용한 Hybrid 데이터 마이닝 기법 (A Hybrid Data Mining Technique Using Error Pattern Modeling)

  • 허준;김종우
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제30권4호
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    • pp.27-43
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    • 2005
  • This paper presents a new hybrid data mining technique using error pattern modeling to improve classification accuracy when the data type of a target variable is binary. The proposed method increases prediction accuracy by combining two different supervised learning methods. That is, the algorithm extracts a subset of training cases that are predicted inconsistently by both methods, and models error patterns from the cases. Based on the error pattern model, the Predictions of two different methods are merged to generate final prediction. The proposed method has been tested using practical 10 data sets. The analysis results show that the performance of proposed method is superior to the existing methods such as artificial neural networks and decision tree induction.

태양광 발전량 예측을 위한 빅데이터 처리 방법 개발 (Development of Solar Power Output Prediction Method using Big Data Processing Technic)

  • 정재천;송치성
    • 시스템엔지니어링학술지
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.58-67
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    • 2020
  • A big data processing method to predict solar power generation using systems engineering approach is developed in this work. For developing analytical method, linear model (LM), support vector machine (SVN), and artificial neural network (ANN) technique are chosen. As evaluation indices, the cross-correlation and the mean square root of prediction error (RMSEP) are used. From multi-variable comparison test, it was found that ANN methodology provides the highest correlation and the lowest RMSEP.

Prediction of Error due to Eccentricity of Hole in Hole-Drilling Method Using Neural Network

  • Kim, Cheol;Yang, Won-Ho
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • 제16권11호
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    • pp.1359-1366
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    • 2002
  • The measurement of residual stresses by the hole-drilling method has been used to evaluate residual stresses in structural members. In this method, eccentricity can usually occur between the hole center and rosette gage center. In this study, we obtained the magnitude of the error due to eccentricity of a hole through the finite element analysis. To predict the magnitude of the error due to eccentricity of a hole in the biaxial residual stress field, it could be learned through the back propagation neural network. The prediction results of the error using the trained neural network showed good agreement with FE analyzed results.

역전파신경망을 이용한 구멍뚫기법의 편심 오차 예측 (Prediction for the Error due to Role Eccentricity in Hole-drilling Method Using Backpropagation Neural Network)

  • 김철;양원호;허성필;정기현
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.436-444
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    • 2002
  • The measurement of residual stresses by the hole-drilling method has been commonly used to evaluate residual stresses in structural members. In this method, eccentricity can usually occur between the hole center and rosette gage center. In this study, the error due to the hole eccentricity is predicted using the artificial neural network. The neural network has trained training examples of stress ratio, normalized eccentricity, off-centered direction and stress error using backpropagation learning process. The prediction results of the error using the trained neural network are good agreement with FE analyzed ones.

궤환 제어를 이용한 시스템 규명 (System identification using the feedback loop)

  • 정훈상;박영진
    • 한국소음진동공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국소음진동공학회 2001년도 추계학술대회논문집 I
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    • pp.409-412
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    • 2001
  • Identification of systems operating in closed loop has long been of prime interest in industrial applications. The fundamental problem with closed-loop data is the correlation between the unmeasurable noise and the input. This is the reason why several methods that work in open loop fail when applied to closed-loop data. The prediction error based approaches to the closed-loop system are divided to direct method and indirect method. Both of direct and indirect methods are known to be applied to the closed-loop data without critical modification. But the direct method induces the bias error in the experimental frequency response function and this bias error may deteriorates the parameter estimation performance

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