• 산업기술연구
• /
• 제28권B호
• /
• pp.199-207
• /
• 2008

A linear wind prediction program, WAsP, was employed to predict wind speed at two different sites located in complex terrain in South Korea. The reference data obtained at locations more than 7 kilometers away from the prediction sites were used for prediction. The predictions from the linear model were compared with the measured data at the two prediction sites. Two compensation methods such as a self-prediction error method and a delta ruggedness index (RIX) method were used to improve the wind speed prediction from WAsP and showed a good possibility. The wind speed prediction errors reached within 3.5 % with the self prediction error method, and within 10% with the delta RIX method. The self prediction error method can be used as a compensation method to reduce the wind speed prediction error in WAsP.

• 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국신재생에너지학회 2008년도 추계학술대회 논문집
• /
• pp.268-273
• /
• 2008

A linear wind prediction program, WAsP, was employed to predict wind speed at two different sites located in complex terrain in South Korea. The reference data obtained at locations more than 7 kilometers away from the prediction sites were used for prediction. The predictions from the linear model were compared with the measured data at the two prediction sites. Two compensation methods such as a self-prediction error method and a delta ruggedness index (RIX) method were used to improve the wind speed prediction from WAsP and showed a good possibility. The wind speed prediction errors reached within 3.5 % with the self prediction error method, and within 10% with the delta RIX method. The self prediction error method can be used as a compensation method to reduce the wind speed prediction error in WAsP.

• 전기학회논문지
• /
• 제59권6호
• /
• pp.1159-1166
• /
• 2010

To improve prediction quality of a nonlinear prediction system, the system's capability for uncertainty of nonlinear data should be satisfactory. This paper presents a TSK fuzzy prediction system that can consider and deal with the uncertainty of nonlinear data sufficiently. In the design procedures of the proposed system, HCBKA(Hierarchical Correlationship-Based K-means clustering Algorithm) was used to generate the accurate fuzzy rule base that can control output according to input efficiently, and the first-order difference method was applied to reflect various characteristics of the nonlinear data. Also, multiple prediction systems were designed to analyze the prediction tendencies of each difference data generated by the difference method. In addition, to enhance the prediction quality of the proposed system, an error compensation method was proposed and it compensated the prediction error of the systems suitably. Finally, the prediction performance of the proposed system was verified by simulating two typical time series examples.

• 한국방송∙미디어공학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국방송공학회 2009년도 IWAIT
• /
• pp.263-266
• /
• 2009

When video packets are transmitted over error-prone networks, the leaky prediction can be used to mitigate the effect of error propagation. The leaky factor provides trade-off between coding efficiency and error resilience in the leaky prediction. In this paper, we propose an improved leaky prediction method where the leaky factor is adaptively determined for each frame by minimizing the estimated end-to-end distortion at the encoder. Experimental results show that the proposed method with the adaptive leaky factor shows the better performance of the error robustness as compared with the conventional method.

• 한국정보통신학회논문지
• /
• 제3권4호
• /
• pp.907-914
• /
• 1999

This paper studies on the model identification of electro-hydraulic servo systems, which are composed of servo valves, double-rod cylinder and load mass. The identified plant is described as a discrete-time ARX or ARMAX model which is respectively obtained from the identification algorithms of least square error method, instrumental variable method and prediction error method. where a nominal model and the variation of model parameters are quantitatively evaluated.

• International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
• /
• 제9권4호
• /
• pp.327-332
• /
• 2009

This paper proposes a method to improve the accuracy of a short-term electrical load forecasting (STLF) system based on neuro-fuzzy models. The proposed method compensates load forecasts based on the error obtained during the previous prediction. The basic idea behind this approach is that the error of the current prediction is highly correlated with that of the previous prediction. This simple compensation scheme using error information drastically improves the performance of the STLF based on neuro-fuzzy models. The viability of the proposed method is demonstrated through the simulation studies performed on the load data collected by Korea Electric Power Corporation (KEPCO) in 1996 and 1997.

• 대한전자공학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 대한전자공학회 2001년도 하계종합학술대회 논문집(1)
• /
• pp.69-72
• /
• 2001

Blind equalization of transmission channel is important in communication areas and signal processing applications because it does not need training sequence, nor does it require a priori channel information. Recently, Tong et al. proposed solutions for this problem exploit the diversity induced by antenna array or time oversampling, leading to the second order statistics techniques, fur example, subspace method, prediction error method, and so on. The linear prediction error method is perhaps the most attractive in practice due to the insensitive to blind equalizer length mismatch as well as for its simple adaptive filter implementation. Unfortunately, the previous one-step prediction error method is known to be limited in arbitrary delay. In this paper, we induce the optimal delay, and propose the adaptive blind equalizer with multi-step linear prediction using RLS-type algorithm. Simulation results are presented to demonstrate the proposed algorithm and to compare it with existing algorithms.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
• /
• 제15권2호
• /
• pp.255-264
• /
• 2008

공변량 값이 주어졌을 때 반응변수의 값을 예측하는 데에는 평균제곱오차를 최소로 하는 것을 고려하는 것이 보통이지만, 최근 Park과 Shin (2005), Jones 등 (2007) 등에서 평균제곱오차대신 평균제곱상대오차에 기반한 예측을 연구한바 있다. 이 논문에서는 Jones 등 (2007)의 방법을 대체할 새로운 비모수적 예측법을 제안하고, 제안된 방법의 유효성을 뒷받침하는 간단한 모의실험 결과를 제공한다.

• 한국정밀공학회지
• /
• 제25권5호
• /
• pp.52-59
• /
• 2008

The accuracy of the machine tools is degraded because of thermal error of structure due to thermal variation. To improve the accuracy of a machine tools, measurement and prediction of thermal error is very important. The main part of thermal source is spindle due to high speed with friction. The thermal error of spindle is very important because it is over 10% in total thermals errors. In this paper, the suitable thermal error prediction technology for machine tools with open architecture controller is developed and implemented to machine tools. Two thermal error prediction technologies, neural network and multi-linear regression, are investigated in several methods. The multi-linear regression method is more effective for implementation to CNC. The developed thermal error prediction technology is implemented on the internal function of CNC.

• 디지털산업정보학회논문지
• /
• 제5권3호
• /
• pp.141-145
• /
• 2009

In this paper, we propose an efficient lossless compression algorithm using spatial and temporal information. The proposed method obtains higher lossless compression of images than other lossless compression techniques. It is divided into two parts, a motion adaptation based predictor part and a residual error coding part. The proposed nonlinear predictor can reduce prediction error by learning from its past prediction errors. The predictor decides the proper selection of the spatial and temporal prediction values according to each past prediction error. The reduced error is coded by existing context coding method. Experimental results show that the proposed algorithm has better performance than those of existing context modeling methods.