• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction Algorithms

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A Study on the Prediction of Mortality Rate after Lung Cancer Diagnosis for Men and Women in 80s, 90s, and 100s Based on Deep Learning (딥러닝 기반 80대·90대·100대 남녀 대상 폐암 진단 후 사망률 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Kyung-Keun Byun;Doeg-Gyu Lee;Se-Young Lee
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.87-96
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    • 2023
  • Recently, research on predicting the treatment results of diseases using deep learning technology is also active in the medical community. However, small patient data and specific deep learning algorithms were selected and utilized, and research was conducted to show meaningful results under specific conditions. In this study, in order to generalize the research results, patients were further expanded and subdivided to derive the results of a study predicting mortality after lung cancer diagnosis for men and women in their 80s, 90s, and 100s. Using AutoML, which provides large-scale medical information and various deep learning algorithms from the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service, five algorithms such as Decision Tree, Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, XGBoost, and Logistic Registration were created to predict mortality rates for 84 months after lung cancer diagnosis. As a result of the study, men in their 80s and 90s had a higher mortality prediction rate than women, and women in their 100s had a higher mortality prediction rate than men. And the factor that has the greatest influence on the mortality rate was analyzed as the treatment period.

Defect Prediction Using Machine Learning Algorithm in Semiconductor Test Process (기계학습 알고리즘을 이용한 반도체 테스트공정의 불량 예측)

  • Jang, Suyeol;Jo, Mansik;Cho, Seulki;Moon, Byungmoo
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers
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    • v.31 no.7
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    • pp.450-454
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    • 2018
  • Because of the rapidly changing environment and high uncertainties, the semiconductor industry is in need of appropriate forecasting technology. In particular, both the cost and time in the test process are increasing because the process becomes complicated and there are more factors to consider. In this paper, we propose a prediction model that predicts a final "good" or "bad" on the basis of preconditioning test data generated in the semiconductor test process. The proposed prediction model solves the classification and regression problems that are often dealt with in the semiconductor process and constructs a reliable prediction model. We also implemented a prediction model through various machine learning algorithms. We compared the performance of the prediction models constructed through each algorithm. Actual data of the semiconductor test process was used for accurate prediction model construction and effective test verification.

Software Quality Classification using Bayesian Classifier (베이지안 분류기를 이용한 소프트웨어 품질 분류)

  • Hong, Euy-Seok
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.211-221
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    • 2012
  • Many metric-based classification models have been proposed to predict fault-proneness of software module. This paper presents two prediction models using Bayesian classifier which is one of the most popular modern classification algorithms. Bayesian model based on Bayesian probability theory can be a promising technique for software quality prediction. This is due to the ability to represent uncertainty using probabilities and the ability to partly incorporate expert's knowledge into training data. The two models, Na$\ddot{i}$veBayes(NB) and Bayesian Belief Network(BBN), are constructed and dimensionality reduction of training data and test data are performed before model evaluation. Prediction accuracy of the model is evaluated using two prediction error measures, Type I error and Type II error, and compared with well-known prediction models, backpropagation neural network model and support vector machine model. The results show that the prediction performance of BBN model is slightly better than that of NB. For the data set with ambiguity, although the BBN model's prediction accuracy is not as good as the compared models, it achieves better performance than the compared models for the data set without ambiguity.

Evolutionary Computing Driven Extreme Learning Machine for Objected Oriented Software Aging Prediction

  • Ahamad, Shahanawaj
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.232-240
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    • 2022
  • To fulfill user expectations, the rapid evolution of software techniques and approaches has necessitated reliable and flawless software operations. Aging prediction in the software under operation is becoming a basic and unavoidable requirement for ensuring the systems' availability, reliability, and operations. In this paper, an improved evolutionary computing-driven extreme learning scheme (ECD-ELM) has been suggested for object-oriented software aging prediction. To perform aging prediction, we employed a variety of metrics, including program size, McCube complexity metrics, Halstead metrics, runtime failure event metrics, and some unique aging-related metrics (ARM). In our suggested paradigm, extracting OOP software metrics is done after pre-processing, which includes outlier detection and normalization. This technique improved our proposed system's ability to deal with instances with unbalanced biases and metrics. Further, different dimensional reduction and feature selection algorithms such as principal component analysis (PCA), linear discriminant analysis (LDA), and T-Test analysis have been applied. We have suggested a single hidden layer multi-feed forward neural network (SL-MFNN) based ELM, where an adaptive genetic algorithm (AGA) has been applied to estimate the weight and bias parameters for ELM learning. Unlike the traditional neural networks model, the implementation of GA-based ELM with LDA feature selection has outperformed other aging prediction approaches in terms of prediction accuracy, precision, recall, and F-measure. The results affirm that the implementation of outlier detection, normalization of imbalanced metrics, LDA-based feature selection, and GA-based ELM can be the reliable solution for object-oriented software aging prediction.

Chaotic Time Series Prediction using Extended Fuzzy Entropy Clustering (확장된 퍼지엔트로피 클러스터링을 이용한 카오스 시계열 데이터 예측)

  • 박인규
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 2000.06c
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    • pp.5-8
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, we propose new algorithms for the partition of input space and the generation of fuzzy control rules. The one consists of Shannon and extended fuzzy entropy function, the other consists of adaptive fuzzy neural system with back propagation teaming rule. The focus of this scheme is to realize the optimal fuzzy rule base with the minimal number of the parameters of the rules, reducing the complexity of the system. The proposed algorithm is tested with the time series prediction problem using Mackey-Glass chaotic time series.

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A Study on Model Identification of Electro-Hydraulic Servo Systems (전기-유압 서보 시스템의 모델규명에 관한 연구)

  • 엄상오;황이철;박영산
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.907-914
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    • 1999
  • This paper studies on the model identification of electro-hydraulic servo systems, which are composed of servo valves, double-rod cylinder and load mass. The identified plant is described as a discrete-time ARX or ARMAX model which is respectively obtained from the identification algorithms of least square error method, instrumental variable method and prediction error method. where a nominal model and the variation of model parameters are quantitatively evaluated.

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An Analysis of Artificial Intelligence Algorithms Applied to Rock Engineering (암반공학분야에 적용된 인공지능 알고리즘 분석)

  • Kim, Yangkyun
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.25-40
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    • 2021
  • As the era of Industry 4.0 arrives, the researches using artificial intelligence in the field of rock engineering as well have increased. For a better understanding and availability of AI, this paper analyzed the types of algorithms and how to apply them to the research papers where AI is applied among domestic and international studies related to tunnels, blasting and mines that are major objects in which rock engineering techniques are applied. The analysis results show that the main specific fields in which AI is applied are rock mass classification and prediction of TBM advance rate as well as geological condition ahead of TBM in a tunnel field, prediction of fragmentation and flyrock in a blasting field, and the evaluation of subsidence risk in abandoned mines. Of various AI algorithms, an artificial neural network is overwhelmingly applied among investigated fields. To enhance the credibility and accuracy of a study result, an accurate and thorough understanding on AI algorithms that a researcher wants to use is essential, and it is expected that to solve various problems in the rock engineering fields which have difficulty in approaching or analyzing at present, research ideas using not only machine learning but also deep learning such as CNN or RNN will increase.

Courses Recommendation Algorithm Based On Performance Prediction In E-Learning

  • Koffi, Dagou Dangui Augustin Sylvain Legrand;Ouattara, Nouho;Mambe, Digrais Moise;Oumtanaga, Souleymane;ADJE, Assohoun
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.148-157
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    • 2021
  • The effectiveness of recommendation systems depends on the performance of the algorithms with which these systems are designed. The quality of the algorithms themselves depends on the quality of the strategies with which they were designed. These strategies differ from author to author. Thus, designing a good recommendation system means implementing the good strategies. It's in this context that several research works have been proposed on various strategies applied to algorithms to meet the needs of recommendations. Researchers are trying indefinitely to address this objective of seeking the qualities of recommendation algorithms. In this paper, we propose a new algorithm for recommending learning items. Learner performance predictions and collaborative recommendation methods are used as strategies for this algorithm. The proposed performance prediction model is based on convolutional neural networks (CNN). The results of the performance predictions are used by the proposed recommendation algorithm. The results of the predictions obtained show the efficiency of Deep Learning compared to the k-nearest neighbor (k-NN) algorithm. The proposed recommendation algorithm improves the recommendations of the learners' learning items. This algorithm also has the particularity of dissuading learning items in the learner's profile that are deemed inadequate for his or her training.

Joint Blind Data/Channel Estimation Based on Linear Prediction

  • Ahn, Kyung-Seung;Byun, Eul-Chool;Baik, Heung-Ki
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 2001.09a
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    • pp.869-872
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    • 2001
  • Blind identification and equalization of communication channel is important because it does not need training sequence, nor does it require a priori channel information. So, we can increase the bandwidth efficiency. The linear prediction error method is perhaps the most attractive in practice due to the insensitive to blind channel estimator and equalizer length mismatch as well as for its simple adaptive algorithms. In this paper, we propose method for fractionally spaced blind equalizer with arbitrary delay using one-step forward prediction error filter from second-order statistics of the received signals for SIMO channel. Our algorithm utilizes the forward prediction error as training sequences for data estimation and desired signal for channel estimation.

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ADS-B based Trajectory Prediction and Conflict Detection for Air Traffic Management

  • Baek, Kwang-Yul;Bang, Hyo-Choong
    • International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.377-385
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    • 2012
  • The Automatic Dependent Surveillance Broadcast (ADS-B) system is a key component of CNS/ATM recommended by the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) as the next generation air traffic control system. ADS-B broadcasts identification, positional data, and operation information of an aircraft to other aircraft, ground vehicles and ground stations in the nearby region. This paper explores the ADS-B based trajectory prediction and the conflict detection algorithm. The multiple-model based trajectory prediction algorithm leads accurate predicted conflict probability at a future forecast time. We propose an efficient and accurate algorithm to calculate conflict probability based on approximation of the conflict zone by a set of blocks. The performance of proposed algorithms is demonstrated by a numerical simulation of two aircraft encounter scenarios.