• Title/Summary/Keyword: Predicting situation

Search Result 137, Processing Time 0.024 seconds

The Renovation for Improving House Environment of an Old Independent House (노후 단독주택의 주거환경 개선을 위한 리노베이션)

  • 정희정;윤갑근
    • Journal of the Korean housing association
    • /
    • v.13 no.4
    • /
    • pp.11-17
    • /
    • 2002
  • During the rapid economic growth, many buildings have been built unfaithfully. As a result, the buildings have finished their role in 10 years with dangerous structural elements and deteriorative facilities. This study planned to renovate an old independent house as an original and individual interior space which is its advantage. A house is not the place to eat and sleep, but multiple space with various functions, such as shelter, working, rest, and education. The purpose of this study was to make house environment useful and comfortable by understanding such a situation and by predicting future problems.

A Study on Development of Bus Arrival Time Prediction Algorithm by using Travel Time Pattern Recognition (통행시간 패턴인식형 버스도착시간 예측 알고리즘 개발 연구)

  • Chang, Hyunho;Yoon, Byoungjo;Lee, Jinsoo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.39 no.6
    • /
    • pp.833-839
    • /
    • 2019
  • Bus Information System (BIS) collects information related to the operation of buses and provides information to users through predictive algorithms. Method of predicting through recent information in same section reflects the traffic situation of the section, but cannot reflect the characteristics of the target line. The method of predicting the historical data at the same time zone is limited in forecasting peak time with high volatility of traffic flow. Therefore, we developed a pattern recognition bus arrival time prediction algorithm which could be overcome previous limitation. This method recognize the traffic pattern of target flow and select the most similar past traffic pattern. The results of this study were compared with the BIS arrival forecast information history of Seoul. RMSE of travel time between estimated and observed was approximately 35 seconds (40 seconds in BIS) at the off-peak time and 40 seconds (60 seconds in BIS) at the peak time. This means that there is data that can represent the current traffic situation in other time zones except for the same past time zone.

ARMA-based data prediction method and its application to teleoperation systems (ARMA기반의 데이터 예측기법 및 원격조작시스템에서의 응용)

  • Kim, Heon-Hui
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • v.41 no.1
    • /
    • pp.56-61
    • /
    • 2017
  • This paper presents a data prediction method and its application to haptic-based teleoperation systems. In general, time delays inevitably occur during data transmission in a network environment, which degrades the overall performance of haptic-based teleoperation systems. To address this situation, this paper proposes an autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model-based data prediction algorithm for estimating model parameters and predicting future data recursively in real time. The proposed method was applied to haptic data captured every 5 ms while bilateral haptic interaction was carried out by two users with an object in a virtual space. The results showed that the prediction performance of the proposed method had an error of less than 1 ms when predicting position-level data 100 ms ahead.

Information Behavior in COVID-19 Prevention: Does Anxiety among Indonesian Mothers Have an Effect?

  • Zahara, Nadia;Hidayat, Z.
    • Journal of Information Science Theory and Practice
    • /
    • v.10 no.4
    • /
    • pp.23-37
    • /
    • 2022
  • The pandemic of Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has contributed more challenges for mothers as the family's primary caregiver in overcoming the widespread infection. Pandemic-related information is essential for mothers to reduce uncertainty as well as to maintain the health of family members during this unprecedented situation. Adopting the framework of the Situational Theory of Problem Solving, this study extends the theory by, first, testing the mediating role of COVID-19 anxiety on mothers' information seeking and information forwarding, referred to as active communication action of problem solving, as well as preventive behavior; and second, by predicting the effect of information seeking on preventive behavior. Referring to an online survey from 371 Indonesian mothers, the findings suggest that in terms of direct effect, only problem recognition was found to have no significant effect on situational motivation. The results suggest that Indonesian mothers perceive COVID-19 as personally relevant so that they are motivated to solve the problem by seeking and forwarding related information. In addition, COVID-19 anxiety was found to play a significant role in predicting information seeking, information forwarding, and preventive behavior. The result of this study is expected to give insights for risk communicators and health professionals in Indonesia in communicating COVID-19, particularly to mothers.

An Efficient Algorithm to Develop Model for Predicting Bead Width in Butt Welding

  • Kim, I.S.;Son, J.S.
    • International Journal of Korean Welding Society
    • /
    • v.1 no.2
    • /
    • pp.12-17
    • /
    • 2001
  • With the advance of the robotic welding process, procedure optimization that selects the welding procedure and predicts bead width that will be deposited is increased. A major concern involving procedure optimization should define a welding procedure that can be shown to be the best with respect to some standard and chosen combination of process parameters, which give an acceptable balance between production rate and the scope of defects for a given situation. This paper presents a new algorithm to establish a mathematical model f3r predicting bead width through a neural network and multiple regression methods, to understand relationships between process parameters and bead width, and to predict process parameters on bead width for GMA welding process. Using a series of robotic arc welding, additional multi-pass butt welds were carried out in order to verify the performance of the neural network estimator and multiple regression methods as well as to select the most suitable model. The results show that not only the proposed models can predict the bead width with reasonable accuracy and guarantee the uniform weld quality, but also a neural network model could be better than the empirical models.

  • PDF

An Application of the Smart Beta Portfolio Model: An Empirical Study in Indonesia Stock Exchange

  • WASPADA, Ika Putera;SALIM, Dwi Fitrizal;FARISKA, Putri
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • v.8 no.9
    • /
    • pp.45-52
    • /
    • 2021
  • Stock price fluctuations affect investor returns, particularly, in this pandemic situation that has triggered stock market shocks. As a result of this situation, investors prefer to move their money into a safer portfolio. Therefore, in this study, we approach an efficient portfolio model using smart beta and combining others to obtain a fast method to predict investment stock returns. Smart beta is a method to selects stocks that will enter a portfolio quickly and concisely by considering the level of return and risk that has been set according to the ability of investors. A smart beta portfolio is efficient because it tracks with an underlying index and is optimized using the same techniques that active portfolio managers utilize. Using the logistic regression method and the data of 100 low volatility stocks listed on the Indonesia stock exchange from 2009-2019, an efficient portfolio model was made. It can be concluded that an efficient portfolio is formed by a group of stocks that are aggressive and actively traded to produce optimal returns at a certain level of risk in the long-term period. And also, the portfolio selection model generated using the smart beta, beta, alpha, and stock variants is a simple and fast model in predicting the rate of return with an adjusted risk level so that investors can anticipate risks and minimize errors in stock selection.

Transformer-Based MUM-T Situation Awareness: Agent Status Prediction (트랜스포머 기반 MUM-T 상황인식 기술: 에이전트 상태 예측)

  • Jaeuk Baek;Sungwoo Jun;Kwang-Yong Kim;Chang-Eun Lee
    • The Journal of Korea Robotics Society
    • /
    • v.18 no.4
    • /
    • pp.436-443
    • /
    • 2023
  • With the advancement of robot intelligence, the concept of man and unmanned teaming (MUM-T) has garnered considerable attention in military research. In this paper, we present a transformer-based architecture for predicting the health status of agents, with the help of multi-head attention mechanism to effectively capture the dynamic interaction between friendly and enemy forces. To this end, we first introduce a framework for generating a dataset of battlefield situations. These situations are simulated on a virtual simulator, allowing for a wide range of scenarios without any restrictions on the number of agents, their missions, or their actions. Then, we define the crucial elements for identifying the battlefield, with a specific emphasis on agents' status. The battlefield data is fed into the transformer architecture, with classification headers on top of the transformer encoding layers to categorize health status of agent. We conduct ablation tests to assess the significance of various factors in determining agents' health status in battlefield scenarios. We conduct 3-Fold corss validation and the experimental results demonstrate that our model achieves a prediction accuracy of over 98%. In addition, the performance of our model are compared with that of other models such as convolutional neural network (CNN) and multi layer perceptron (MLP), and the results establish the superiority of our model.

Study of Major Insect Pests on Rice and Corn in Four Provinces in Red River Delta of Vietnam During 2018- 2022

  • Thuy Linh Pham;Ohseok Kwon
    • Proceedings of the National Institute of Ecology of the Republic of Korea
    • /
    • v.5 no.1
    • /
    • pp.21-27
    • /
    • 2024
  • Harmful pet insects, if not controlled, can negatively affect people, plants and their surrounding environment. In Vietnam, all crops are regularly impacted by pest insects. In serious cases, crops can be totally destroyed by insect pests. Harmful insects that damage crops often grow fast and increase rapidly. Therefore, research on insects is crucial for managing pests, protecting crops, and forecasting pest situation in the following years. This study aimed to collect data regarding changes of pests on rice and corn as two main crops in four provinces in Red River Delta of Vietnam, including Thai Binh, Nam Dinh, Ha Nam, and Hung Yen, from 2018 to 2022. Primary data were collected from reports of government agencies and official statistics. Based on these data, this study evaluated changes of pest insects in five years, discussed reasons for such changes and response methods, and forecasted pest's behavior in the following years. Significant findings of this study include the fact that Vietnam has to face many difficulties to develop its agricultural sector. For insect management, an essential action is to do ground surveys to gather all related data including weather data, pesticide data, crop yield, and product quality. This information is meaningful for finding out causes of changes, understanding relationships between insects and surrounding factors, and predicting the situation in the following years.

Analysis of evacuation for fishery training ship HANMIR using SEA-Pro (SEA-Pro를 이용한 어선실습선 한미르호의 피난 분석)

  • KIM, Won-Ouk;KIM, Seok-Jae
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
    • /
    • v.57 no.3
    • /
    • pp.228-235
    • /
    • 2021
  • Marine accidents caused by ships are very diverse, such as collision, sinking, stranding, grounding and fire. In particular, persons on passenger ship are unspecified and not trained, so it makes evacuation harder. For this reason, an evacuation plan that considers diverse situation in ship is needed. Effective evacuation planning requires training in consideration of various evacuation situations. In this paper, we investigated the time elapsed on evacuation in various situations from "HANMIR," the fishery training ship of the Korean Institute of Maritime and Fisheries Technology, using a Ship Evacuation Analysis Program (SEA-Pro) which is introduced to the society. We assumed a situation that has not only inconveniences for real training but also the possibilities of happening. Not all trainees are resting in their cabin, so we assumed positions such as they are in the bridge or engine room and applied fire and flooding situations. We assumed that the time for alerting the situation would be short, so we applied only elapsed time of movement. Those analyses could be helpful in three ways. The first is predicting the consequence of possible accidents. There are some conditions that can be appliable to this model, such as the decreased area of sight in those situations. The second is concluding the optimal limit of carriage and placement of safety instruments on building a new ship. The third is to be a base data for ships to make a new effective evacuation plan based on these analyses.

A Proposal of an Elastic Modulus Equation for High-Strength and Ultra High-Strength Concrete

  • Jang, II-Young;Park, Hoon-Kyu;Yoon, Young-Soo
    • International Journal of Concrete Structures and Materials
    • /
    • v.18 no.1E
    • /
    • pp.43-48
    • /
    • 2006
  • This paper presents an elastic modulus equation more appropriate for predicting the elastic modulus of structural materials designed for and made of high- and ultra high-strength concrete under current domestic situation in Korea. In order to validate and assess the proposed elastic modulus equation, more than 400 laboratory test data available in the domestic literature on compressive strength of concrete in the range between 400 to 1,000 $kgf/cm^2$ were used and analyzed statistically. Comparison analyses of the proposed elastic modulus equation with previously suggested equations of ACI363R, CEB-FIP, NS3473 and New-RC are also presented to demonstrate its applicability in domestic practice.