• Title/Summary/Keyword: Predicted Impact Point

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Appraisal of spatial characteristics and applicability of the predicted ensemble rainfall data (강우앙상블 예측자료의 공간적 특성 및 적용성 평가)

  • Lee, Sang-Hyeop;Seong, Yeon-Jeong;Kim, Gyeong-Tak;Jeong, Yeong-Hun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.11
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    • pp.1025-1037
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    • 2020
  • This study attempted to evaluate the spatial characteristics and applicability of the predicted ensemble rainfall data used for heavy rain alarms. Limited area ENsemble prediction System (LENS) has 13 rainfall ensemble members, so it is possible to use a probabilistic method in issuing heavy rain warnings. However, the accessibility of LENS data is very low, so studies on the applicability of rainfall prediction data are insufficient. In this study, the evaluation index was calculated by comparing one point value and the area average value with the observed value according to the heavy rain warning system used for each administrative district. In addition, the accuracy of each ensemble member according to the LENS issuance time was evaluated. LENS showed the uncertainty of over or under prediction by member. Area-based prediction showed higher predictability than point-based prediction. In addition, the LENS data that predicts the upcoming 72-hour rainfall showed good predictive performance for rainfall events that may have an impact on a water disaster. In the future, the predicted rainfall data from LENS are expected to be used as basic data to prepare for floods in administrative districts or watersheds.

Experimental Analysis of the Parameters Governing Scour in Plunge Pool with Cohesionless Bed Material (침강지내 비점성하상의 세굴 지배인자에 대한 실험적 해석)

  • Son, Kwang Ik;Lee, Won Hwan;Cho, Won Cheol
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.123-129
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    • 1993
  • Because the existing scour prediction formulas for plunge pools of pipe culverts and spillways give a wide range of predicted scour depths, it is difficult to estimate actual scour depths. A review of literature showed that wide range of predicted values was caused mostly by lack of thorough analysis of the scour mechanism. In this study, the effects of the parameters govering scour were examined, and the scour potentials were measured. The major variables govering scour were the velocity and size of jet impinging into the plunge pool, the submerged weight of bed material, the ratio of jet size to bed material size, the tail watr depth of the plunge pool, and the angle of jet impact on water surface. The ratio of jet size to bed material size to bed material size was found to be another significant parameter affecting scour for larger bed materials. A densimetric Froude nember of the bed material in incipient motion was formulated. This number represented the scour potential of the jet at the point where the bed material was tested.

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The Effects of Consumer Beliefs for Food Certifications on Purchasing Intention Biases for the Certified Agricultural Products - A Case Analysis based on Tofu - (인증농산물의 구매편향성에 관한 연구 - 두부를 사례로 -)

  • Park, Jeong-A;Jang, Young-Soo
    • The Korean Journal of Food And Nutrition
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.952-961
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    • 2016
  • The objective of this study is to examine the effects of consumer beliefs regarding three food certifications on their behavioral intention and the behavioral intention biases to purchase (purchasing intention biases) certified agricultural products as predicted by a subjective probability model. The food certifications used for this study are 'Organic food', 'Traceability system of food products,' and 'Hazard Analysis Critical Control Point (HACCP)'. Tofu (bean curd) was selected as being representative of agricultural food products, for the purposes of this study. In 2016, we surveyed 243 consumers regarding the strength of their belief regarding their prior beliefs relative to each certification, as well as the strength of their intention to purchase certified tofu based on their belief strengths for this study. The study resulted in the following findings: Firstly, consumers hold more than two different prior beliefs for each of the three certifications included in this study. Consumers' prior beliefs regarding these certifications have an impact on their consideration as to whether they plan to buy those certified agricultural products. Secondly, consumers try to persuade themselves to ensure that their particular belief about the product's certification could lead to a purchasing decision regarding that agricultural product.

Influential Factors of Social Entrepreneurial Intention in Bangladesh

  • AKHTER, Ayeasha;HOSSAIN, Md. Uzzal;ASHEQ, Ahmed Al
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.8
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    • pp.645-651
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    • 2020
  • The concept of social entrepreneurship (SE) is gaining attention in developing economies for the purpose of greater societal welfare maximization. Still, findings in the field of SE studies have been riddled with conflicting results and counterstatement. Also, the determinants of developing SE are not robustly investigated in developing economies like Bangladesh. This context has mobilized the authors of this current study to focus on determining student's intention to pursue SE as their career choice. Hence, the study aims to examine the predictive determinants of social entrepreneurial intentions (SEI) among Bangladeshi students. The study has investigated the influence of entrepreneurial self-efficacy, social support, prior experience, and educational support on SEI. The survey was conducted from a public university of Bangladesh, and 231 students participated in the study. Questionnaire items under each construct variable have been adopted from pre-tested research studies. Five-point Likert scale questionnaire was applied to measure the variables. SPSS version 23.0 has been used for statistical analysis through which correlation and multiple regression analysis were conducted to measure the impact of the independent variables on SEI. Results exhibited that self-efficacy, social support, and educational support positively and significantly predicted SEI, while prior experience does not influence SEI.

Effects of Self- and Social-Reference Point Diagnosticity Interfaces on Unbalanced Information Consumption in the Mobile News Context (자기 준거 진단 인터페이스와 사회적 준거 진단 인터페이스가 정보 편식에 미치는 영향: 모바일 뉴스를 중심으로)

  • Kang, HyeBin;Lee, Seongwon;Suh, Kil-Soo
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.219-238
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    • 2015
  • As Internet and IT have been developed, people have been exposed to large amounts of information. So, many online information providers recommend relevant information to users to relieve an information overload. However, information recommendation which is based on the taste and preference of a user can lead to a problem of unbalanced information consumption. Prior research about online information has not investigated the side-effect of a recommendation function. This research suggests IT solutions for alleviating unbalanced information consumption behavior. Based on adaptation level theory and expectancy theory, we proposed self-reference point diagnosticity interface and social-reference point diagnosticity interface to help people to consume information following their own information consuming goal. We hypothesized positive impacts of these two interfaces on the self-awareness about information consuming pattern. And we predicted that self-awareness has a positive impact on the motivation and actual behavior to conform the ideal information consuming pattern which the user sets. Laboratory experiment was executed as a research method. As a result, the self-reference diagnosticity interface leaded to higher self-awareness and mitigated the unbalanced information consumption. But, the social-reference diagnosticity interface and the motivation to improve the information consuming behavior had no significant results. Academic and practical implications are discussed.

A Case Study on the Impact of Ground-based Glaciogenic Seeding on Winter Orographic Clouds at Daegwallyeong (겨울철 대관령지역 지형성 구름에 대한 지상기반 구름씨뿌리기 영향 사례연구)

  • Yang, Ha-Young;Chae, Sanghee;Jeong, Jin-Yim;Seo, Seong-Kyu;Park, Young-San;Kim, Baek-Jo
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.301-314
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the impact of ground-based glaciogenic seeding on orographic clouds in the Daegwallyeong area on 13 March, 2013. The experiments was conducted by releasing silver iodide (AgI) under following conditions: surface temperature below $-4^{\circ}C$, wind direction between 45 and $130^{\circ}$, and wind speed less than $5ms^{-1}$. Two seeding rates, $38gh^{-1}$ (SR1) and $113gh^{-1}$ (SR2), were tested to obtain an appropriate AgI ratio for snowfall enhancement in the Daegwallyeong area. Numerical simulations were carried out by using the WRF (Weather Research and Forecast) model with AgI point-source module which predicted dispersion fields of AgI particles. The results indicated that the target orographic clouds contained adequate amount of supercooled liquid water and that the dispersion of AgI particles tended to move along the prevailing wind direction. To validate the seeding effects, the observation data from FM-120 and MPS as well as PARSIVEL disdrometer were analyzed. In this case study, glaciogenic seeding significantly increased the concentration of small ice particles below 1 mm in diameter. The observation results suggest that SR1 seeding be reasonable to use the ground-based seeding in the Daegwallyeong area.

Introduction plan of future integrated water circulation management system using LID facility model verification (LID시설 모델검증을 활용한 미래형 통합 물순환관리시스템 도입방안)

  • Lee, Jiwon;Gil, Kyungik
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.67-73
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    • 2021
  • As the impermeable area increases due to urbanization and industrialization, the influence of non-point pollutants caused by rainfall runoff on the water system is increasing. In the past, the best management practices(BMP) were used a lot to manage non-point pollutants, but recently, technology that naturally treats them through LID (Low Impact Development) technology is widely used. In this study, various rainfall events were simulated through the SWMM model based on the data of rainfall monitoring in bioretention among natural facilities. The characteristic of LID modeling research is that it is difficult to build accurate modeling data with short-term data because real data is the result obtained through natural facilities, and it is difficult to implement an accurate model. In this study, the data monitored for 3 years It is significant in that it has built a precise model. The actual data monitored a total of 18 times was simulated, and the inflow and outflow and the removal efficiency of five pollutants were simulated. As a result of performing the performance evaluation, most of the 7 items showed excellent indicators, and the TN and TP showed relatively low simulation performance. In the future, it is expected that Korea will introduce an integrated water management system in which the water supply system and the sewage system are substantially integrated and operated. Therefore, the results of this study are considered to play an important role in the initial stage of rainfall management in the future integrated water management system, and the extent of rainfall runoff reduction and pollutant reduction in the expected installation area can be predicted in advance. This is expected to prevent overdesign of bioretention.

Designing Tracking Method using Compensating Acceleration with FCM for Maneuvering Target (FCM 기반 추정 가속도 보상을 이용한 기동표적 추적기법 설계)

  • Son, Hyun-Seung;Park, Jin-Bae;Joo, Young-Hoon
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SC
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    • v.49 no.3
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    • pp.82-89
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    • 2012
  • This paper presents the intelligent tracking algorithm for maneuvering target using the positional error compensation of the maneuvering target. The difference between measured point and predict point is separated into acceleration and noise. Fuzzy c-mean clustering and predicted impact point are used to get the optimal acceleration value. The membership function is determined for acceleration and noise which are divided by fuzzy c-means clustering and the characteristics of the maneuvering target is figured out. Divided acceleration and noise are used in the tracking algorithm to compensate computational error. The filtering process in a series of the algorithm which estimates the target value recognize the nonlinear maneuvering target as linear one because the filter recognize only remained noise by extracting acceleration from the positional error. After filtering process, we get the estimates target by compensating extracted acceleration. The proposed system improves the adaptiveness and the robustness by adjusting the parameters in the membership function of fuzzy system. To maximize the effectiveness of the proposed system, we construct the multiple model structure. Procedures of the proposed algorithm can be implemented as an on-line system. Finally, some examples are provided to show the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm.

A Numerical Study on the Effects of Meteorological Conditions on Building Fires Using GIS and a CFD Model (GIS와 전산유체역학 모델을 이용한 기상 조건이 건물 화재에 미치는 영향 연구)

  • Mun, Da-Som;Kim, Min-Ji;Kim, Jae-Jin
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.395-408
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    • 2021
  • In this study, we investigated the effects of wind speed and direction on building fires using GIS and a CFD model. We conducted numerical simulations for a fire event that occurred at an apartment in Ulsan on October 8, 2020. For realistic simulations, we used the profiles of wind speeds and directions and temperatures predicted by the local data assimilation and prediction system (LDAPS). First, using the realistic boundary conditions, we conducted two numerical simulations (a control run, CNTL, considered the building fire and the other assumed the same conditions as CNTL except for the building fire). Then, we conducted the additional four simulations with the same conditions as CNTL except for the inflow wind speeds and direction. When the ignition point was located on the windward of the building, strong updraft induced by the fire had a wide impact on the building roof and downwind region. The evacuation floor (15th floor) played a role to spread fire to the downwind wall of the building. The weaker the wind speed, the narrower fire spread around the ignition point, but the higher the flame above the building reaches. When the ignition point was located on the downwind wall of the building, the flame didn't spread to the upwind wall of the building. The results showed that wind speed and direction were important for the flow and temperature (or flame) distribution around a firing building.

Eco-river Restoration and River Management in Response to Climate Change (기후변화를 고려한 생태하천 복원 및 관리방향에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Hyeongsik
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.155-165
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    • 2014
  • In this study, using a complex of physical, chemical, and biological evaluation factors, the ecological vulnerability to climate change were evaluated at each river in the Nakdong river basin. First, runoff, sediment rate, and low flow discharge changes according to AIB climate change scenario using the SWAT model were simulated. Also, for the assessment of chemical and biological factors, 48 points that water quality monitoring sites and ecological health measurement points are matched with each other was selected. The water quality data of BOD and T-P and the biological data of IBI and KSI in each point were reflected in the assessment. Also, the future rise in water temperature of the rivers in Nakdong river basin was predicted, and the impact of water temperature rise on the fish habitat was evaluated. The top 10 most vulnerable points was presented through a summary of each evaluation factor. This study has a contribution to river restoration or management plan according to the characteristics of each river.