• Title/Summary/Keyword: Power Usage Prediction

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3-Dimensional UAV Path Optimization Based on Battery Usage Prediction Model (배터리 사용량 예측 모델 기반 3차원 UAV 경로 최적화)

  • Kang, Tae Young;Kim, Seung Hoon;Park, Kyung In;Ryoo, Chang-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.49 no.12
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    • pp.989-996
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    • 2021
  • In the case of an unmanned aerial vehicle using a battery as a power source, there are restrictions in performing the mission because the battery capacity is limited. To extend the mission capability, it is important to minimize battery usage while the flight to the mission area. In addition, by using the battery usage prediction model, the possibility of mission completeness can be determined and it can be a criterion for selecting an emergent landing point in the mission planning stage. In this paper, we propose a battery usage prediction model considering as one of the environmental factors in the three-dimensional space. The required power is calculated according to the flight geometry of an unmanned aerial vehicle. True battery usage which is predicted from the required power is verified through the comparison with the battery usage prediction model. The optimal flight trajectory that minimizes battery usage is produced and compared with the shortest travel distance.

A Study on the Energy Usage Prediction and Energy Demand Shift Model to Increase Energy Efficiency (에너지 효율 증대를 위한 에너지 사용량 예측과 에너지 수요이전 모델 연구)

  • JaeHwan Kim;SeMo Yang;KangYoon Lee
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.57-66
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    • 2023
  • Currently, a new energy system is emerging that implements consumption reduction by improving energy efficiency. Accordingly, as smart grids spread, the rate system by timing is expanding. The rate system by timing is a rate system that applies different rates by season/hour to pay according to usage. In this study, external factors such as temperature/day/time/season are considered and the time series prediction model, LSTM, is used to predict energy power usage data. Based on this energy usage prediction model, energy usage charges are reduced by analyzing usage patterns for each device and transferring power energy from the maximum load time to the light load time. In order to analyze the usage pattern for each device, a clustering technique is used to learn and classify the usage pattern of the device by time. In summary, this study predicts usage and usage fees based on the user's power data usage, analyzes usage patterns by device, and provides customized demand transfer services based on analysis, resulting in cost reduction for users.

Spectrum Usage Forecasting Model for Cognitive Radio Networks

  • Yang, Wei;Jing, Xiaojun;Huang, Hai
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.1489-1503
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    • 2018
  • Spectrum reuse has attracted much concern of researchers and scientists, however, the dynamic spectrum access is challenging, since an individual secondary user usually just has limited sensing abilities. One key insight is that spectrum usage forecasting among secondary users, this inspiration enables users to obtain more informed spectrum opportunities. Therefore, spectrum usage forecasting is vital to cognitive radio networks (CRNs). With this insight, a spectrum usage forecasting model for the occurrence of primary users prediction is derived in this paper. The proposed model is based on auto regressive enhanced primary user emergence reasoning (AR-PUER), which combines linear prediction and primary user emergence reasoning. Historical samples are selected to train the spectrum usage forecasting model in order to capture the current distinction pattern of primary users. The proposed scheme does not require the knowledge of signal or of noise power. To verify the performance of proposed spectrum usage forecasting model, we apply it to the data during the past two months, and then compare it with some other sensing techniques. The simulation results demonstrate that the spectrum usage forecasting model is effective and generates the most accurate prediction of primary users occasion in several cases.

Optimal Relocating of Compensators for Real-Reactive Power Management in Distributed Systems

  • Chintam, Jagadeeswar Reddy;Geetha, V.;Mary, D.
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.2145-2157
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    • 2018
  • Congestion Management (CM) is an attractive research area in the electrical power transmission with the power compensation abilities. Reconfiguration and the Flexible Alternating Current Transmission Systems (FACTS) devices utilization relieve the congestion in transmission lines. The lack of optimal power (real and reactive) usage with the better transfer capability and minimum cost is still challenging issue in the CM. The prediction of suitable place for the energy resources to control the power flow is the major requirement for power handling scenario. This paper proposes the novel optimization principle to select the best location for the energy resources to achieve the real-reactive power compensation. The parameters estimation and the selection of values with the best fitness through the Symmetrical Distance Travelling Optimization (SDTO) algorithm establishes the proper controlling of optimal power flow in the transmission lines. The modified fitness function formulation based on the bus parameters, index estimation correspond to the optimal reactive power usage enhances the power transfer capability with the minimum cost. The comparative analysis between the proposed method with the existing power management techniques regarding the parameters of power loss, cost value, load power and energy loss confirms the effectiveness of proposed work in the distributed renewable energy systems.

Design and Implementation of Deep Learning Models for Predicting Energy Usage by Device per Household (가구당 기기별 에너지 사용량 예측을 위한 딥러닝 모델의 설계 및 구현)

  • Lee, JuHui;Lee, KangYoon
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.127-132
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    • 2021
  • Korea is both a resource-poor country and a energy-consuming country. In addition, the use and dependence on electricity is very high, and more than 20% of total energy use is consumed in buildings. As research on deep learning and machine learning is active, research is underway to apply various algorithms to energy efficiency fields, and the introduction of building energy management systems (BEMS) for efficient energy management is increasing. In this paper, we constructed a database based on energy usage by device per household directly collected using smart plugs. We also implement algorithms that effectively analyze and predict the data collected using RNN and LSTM models. In the future, this data can be applied to analysis of power consumption patterns beyond prediction of energy consumption. This can help improve energy efficiency and is expected to help manage effective power usage through prediction of future data.

Development of On-line Life Monitoring System Software for High-temperature Components of Power Boilers (보일러 고온요소의 수명 감시시스템 소프트웨어 개발)

  • 윤필기;정동관;윤기봉
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Energy Engineering kosee Conference
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    • 1999.05a
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    • pp.171-176
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    • 1999
  • Nondestructive inspection and accompanying life analysis based on fracture mechanics were the major conventional methods for evaluating remaining life of critical high temperature components in power plants. By using these conventional methods, it has been difficult to perform in-service inspection for life prediction. Also, quantitative damage evaluation due to unexpected abrupt changes in operating temperature was almost impossible. Thus, many efforts have been made for evaluating remaining life during operation of the plants and predicting real-time life usage values based on the shape of structures, operating history, and material properties. In this study, a core software for on-line life monitoring system which carries out real-time life evaluation of a critical component in power boiler(high temperature steam headers) is developed. The software is capable of evaluating creep and fatigue life usage from the real-time stress data calculated by using temperature/stress transfer Green functions derived for the specific headers and by counting transient cycles. The major benefits of the developed software lie in determining future operating schedule, inspection interval, and replacement plan by monitoring real-time life usage based on prior operating history.

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The Prediction and Analysis of the Power Energy Time Series by Using the Elman Recurrent Neural Network (엘만 순환 신경망을 사용한 전력 에너지 시계열의 예측 및 분석)

  • Lee, Chang-Yong;Kim, Jinho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.41 no.1
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    • pp.84-93
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, we propose an Elman recurrent neural network to predict and analyze a time series of power energy consumption. To this end, we consider the volatility of the time series and apply the sample variance and the detrended fluctuation analyses to the volatilities. We demonstrate that there exists a correlation in the time series of the volatilities, which suggests that the power consumption time series contain a non-negligible amount of the non-linear correlation. Based on this finding, we adopt the Elman recurrent neural network as the model for the prediction of the power consumption. As the simplest form of the recurrent network, the Elman network is designed to learn sequential or time-varying pattern and could predict learned series of values. The Elman network has a layer of "context units" in addition to a standard feedforward network. By adjusting two parameters in the model and performing the cross validation, we demonstrated that the proposed model predicts the power consumption with the relative errors and the average errors in the range of 2%~5% and 3kWh~8kWh, respectively. To further confirm the experimental results, we performed two types of the cross validations designed for the time series data. We also support the validity of the model by analyzing the multi-step forecasting. We found that the prediction errors tend to be saturated although they increase as the prediction time step increases. The results of this study can be used to the energy management system in terms of the effective control of the cross usage of the electric and the gas energies.

Study on Simulator for computing Demand Rate using Index of Transformer's Demand Rate (변압기 용량 지수를 이용한 수용률 산정 시뮬레이터 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Young-Il
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2007.11c
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    • pp.97-100
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    • 2007
  • There are regulations on each building for its classification and It is corresponding determined contract demand. For transformer's capability calculation algorithm, cumulated power information of each customer is used to analysis the correlation between power usage and Demand Rate. By modeling this using Least Square Method, it can be targeted to recognize the pattern of transformer use in the past and make a prediction on it in the future.

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Development of an AI-Based Energy Management System for Factory Power Saving (공장 전력 절감을 위한 인공지능 기반의 에너지 관리 시스템 개발)

  • Ilyosbek Rakhimjon-Ugli Numonov;Bo Peng;Yanxia Li;Yuldashev Izzatillo Hakimjon Ugli;TaeO Lee;Tae-Kook Kim
    • Journal of Internet of Things and Convergence
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.49-55
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    • 2024
  • In this paper, AI models for predicting peak power usage were developed and comparatively analyzed using data collected from the Jeju Samdasoo factory through a big data collection system based on IoT sensing technology. The LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) model demonstrated the highest prediction accuracy for univariate time-series data, achieving an R2 of 0.98, RMSE of 0.039, and MAE of 0.026. Meanwhile, the XGBoost (eXtreme Gradient Boosting) model effectively handled multivariate data, achieving an R2 of 0.93, RMSE of 0.018, and MAE of 0.013. Various data preprocessing methods and feature combinations were experimentally applied to optimize model performance, highlighting the significant impact of preprocessing and variable selection on prediction accuracy. The findings suggest that optimized AI models for peak power prediction can reduce power costs and achieve approximately 10-15% reductions in carbon emissions. This study offers companies pursuing ESG (environmental, social, and governance) management practical and specific strategies for achieving sustainability, while demonstrating the applicability of the predictive model across various industries, including manufacturing, logistics, and smart factories.

Routing Protocol for Hybrid Ad Hoc Network using Energy Prediction Model (하이브리드 애드 혹 네트워크에서의 에너지 예측모델을 이용한 라우팅 알고리즘)

  • Kim, Tae-Kyung
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.165-173
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    • 2008
  • Hybrid ad hoc networks are integrated networks referred to Home Networks, Telematics and Sensor networks can offer various services. Specially, in ad hoc network where each node is responsible for forwarding neighbor nodes' data packets, it should net only reduce the overall energy consumption but also balance individual battery power. Unbalanced energy usage will result in earlier node failure in overloaded nodes. it leads to network partitioning and reduces network lifetime. Therefore, this paper studied the routing protocol considering efficiency of energy. The suggested algorithm can predict the status of energy in each node using the energy prediction model. This can reduce the overload of establishing route path and balance individual battery power. The suggested algorithm can reduce power consumption as well as increase network lifetime.

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