• Title/Summary/Keyword: Power Estimation

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Development of seismic fragility curves for high-speed railway system using earthquake case histories

  • Yang, Seunghoon;Kwak, Dongyoup;Kishida, Tadahiro
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.179-186
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    • 2020
  • Investigating damage potential of the railway infrastructure requires either large amount of case histories or in-depth numerical analyses, or both for which large amounts of effort and time are necessary to accomplish thoroughly. Rather than performing comprehensive studies for each damage case, in this study we collect and analyze a case history of the high-speed railway system damaged by the 2004 M6.6 Niigata Chuetsu earthquake for the development of the seismic fragility curve. The development processes are: 1) slice the railway system as 200 m segments and assigned damage levels and intensity measures (IMs) to each segment; 2) calculate probability of damage for a given IM; 3) estimate fragility curves using the maximum likelihood estimation regression method. Among IMs considered for fragility curves, spectral acceleration at 3 second period has the most prediction power for the probability of damage occurrence. Also, viaduct-type structure provides less scattered probability data points resulting in the best-fitted fragility curve, but for the tunnel-type structure data are poorly scattered for which fragility curve fitted is not meaningful. For validation purpose fragility curves developed are applied to the 2016 M7.0 Kumamoto earthquake case history by which another high-speed railway system was damaged. The number of actual damaged segments by the 2016 event is 25, and the number of equivalent damaged segments predicted using fragility curve is 22.21. Both numbers are very similar indicating that the developed fragility curve fits well to the Kumamoto region. Comparing with railway fragility curves from HAZUS, we found that HAZUS fragility curves are more conservative.

Study on the estimation of uncertainty for the air-borne noise measurements in a naval ship (함정 내 소음 평가를 위한 불확도 추정 기법 연구)

  • Kim, Seong-Yong
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.38 no.4
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    • pp.396-402
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    • 2014
  • The measurement of air-borne noise in a naval ship is a crucial element. Because the noise in a naval ship interferes with a communication between crews and finally it causes to reduce the combat power. Thus, most of newly built ships have to satisfy the criteria of air-borne noise in the stage of delivery of a naval ship. In order to evaluate success or failure of criteria, uncertainty of the measurement should be considered. This study introduces the test method for the measurement of the air-borne noise in a naval ship and is concerned with the evaluation of uncertainty. The uncertainty results which was from the measurement of air-borne noise in 7 naval ships newly built satisfy the error tolerance(2dB). Therefore, it is need to reduce the error tolerance for the reliable measurement result.

Lifetime Estimation of an Axle Drive Shaft by Calibrated Accelerated Life Test Method (CALT 방법을 이용한 액슬구동축의 수명 예측)

  • Kim, Do-Sik;Kim, Hyoung-Eui;Yoon, Sung-Han;Kang, E-Sok
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.273-281
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, a method to predict the fatigue life of an axle drive shaft by the calibrated accelerated life test (CALT) method is proposed. The CALT method is very effective for predicting lifetimes, significantly reducing test time, and quantifying reliability. The fatigue test is performed by considering two high stress and one low stress levels, and the lifetime at the normal stress level is predicted by extrapolation. In addition, in this study, the major reliability parameters such as the lifetime, accelerated power index, shape parameter, and scale parameter are determined by conducting various experiments. The lifetime prediction of the axle drive shaft is verified by comparing the experimental results with load spectrum data. The results confirm that the CALT method is effective for lifetime prediction and requires a short test time.

Analysis of Shadows Effect in Seoul Area for the Estimation of Roof-type PV Power Calculation (지붕형 태양광 발전량 산정을 위한 서울지역 그림자 효과 분석)

  • Yun, ChangYeol;Jung, BoRin;Kim, ShinYoung;Kim, ChangKi;Kim, JinYoung;Kim, HyunGoo;Kang, YongHeack;Kim, YongIl
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.45-53
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    • 2018
  • For the preliminary step for estimating the performance of roof-type photovoltaic system in urban areas, we analyzed the solar radiation reduction ratio by shadow effect by buildings using DSM (Digital Surface Model) and GIS (Geographical Information System) tools. An average loss by the shadow is about 19% in Seoul. The result was related to the building density and distribution. Monthly results show that the winter season (December and January) was more affected by the shading than during the summer season (June and July). It is expected that useful empirical formulas can be made if more detailed correlation studies are performed.

A Study on the Supply Criteria for the Tax-exempted Vessel Fuel (어선 면세유류 공급기준량 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Kang Yeon-Sil;Kim Dae-hyon
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.36 no.3 s.69
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    • pp.89-117
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    • 2005
  • Currently, the tax - exempted vessel fuel is provided for commercial fishing in order to increase the competitive power of fishery production thorough the National Federation of Fisheries Cooperatives. The National Federation of Fisheries Cooperatives should predict the exact amount of fuel consumption for fishing every year to request the fuel from the government. Unfortunately, there is no sophisticated model to predict the tax - exempted vessel fuel consumption. In 2003, the consumption of the tax- exempted vessel fuel was only $25.1\%$ of the estimation amount by the National Federation of Fisheries Cooperatives. This causes an inefficiency in the petroleum management. Moreover, we need some data such as the annual average fishing hours, fishing days and fishing behavior to adopt a new policy regarding fishing. Up to now, the data have been obtained by survey with response in the fishery field. In the most case, we have a small number of data because we spend so much time and money consuming for collecting fishing data. As a result, the level of confidence of the data is associated with the sample size and normally low. In order to achieve more accurate data, we need to develope an efficient method for collecting fishing data. In this research, we proposed a new method to predict the tax- exempted vessel fuel consumption more exactly. The prediction results from the proposed method has been compared with the results from the current method. According to the results in this research, the method proposed here produced much better accuracy than the current method. In addition, we also proposed in the paper for collecting fishing data of the annual average fishing hours using the tax - exempted vessel fuel consumption and the gasoline consumption of vessel engine. The fishing data obtained by using the method proposed in this research could be much more efficient and accurate because it doesn't need to estimate from survey sample data.

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Estimation of Tritium Concentration in the Environment based upon Global Tritium Cycling Model (글로벌 삼중수소 순환 모델을 이용한 삼중수소 환경 방사능 추정)

  • Choi, Heui-Joo;Lee, Han-Soo;Kang, Hee-Suk;Lee, Chang-Woo
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2003
  • The periodic safety review of operational nuclear power plants requires that the plants should keep a well organized environmental monitoring program. The past records of environment monitoring data were analyzed. and the tritium concentrations of the samples in the surface and ground water around Kori site were measured. It was shown that the tritium concentrations around the Kori site were slightly higher than that of natural background. The change of background tritium concentration was estimated through a numerical modeling. Two different versions of 7 compartments model - the world and the northern hemisphere - defined in NCRP-62 were modeled for the global tritium cycling. The numerical solution of the model was obtained using a computer program, AMBER. The four cases of tritium source-terms into the atmosphere were considered. The results showed that the tritium concentration in the surface soil water was higher than that in sea water or surface stream water. Also, it was shown that the tritium produced by the interaction between cosmic rays and the gases were the major source of tritium, and the tritium produced by nuclear weapon test decreased considerably.

Analysis on the estimation errors of the lowest and highest astronomical tides for the southwestern 2.5 GW offshore wind farm, Korea

  • Ko, Dong Hui;Jeong, Shin Taek;Cho, Hong-Yeon;Kang, Keum-Seok
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.85-94
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    • 2018
  • For the design of wind-power facilities, the highest and lowest astronomical tides (HAT and LAT, respectively) are needed for the tidal-water levels regarding international designs; however, the approximate highest high water and approximate lowest low water AHHW and ALLW, respectively, have been used in Korea. The HAT and LAT in the wind-farm test-bed sea should be estimated to satisfy the international standard. In this study, the HAT and LAT are therefore estimated using the hourly tidal-elevation data of the Eocheongdo, Anmado, Younggwang, Gunsan, Janghang, and Seocheon tidal-gauging stations that are located in the adjacent coastal sea. The nodal variation patterns of the major lunar components, such as $M_2$, $O_1$, and $K_1$ are analyzed to check the expected long-term lunar cycle, i.e., 18.61 year's nodal-variation patterns. The temporal amplitude variations of the $M_2$, $O_1$, and $K_1$ clearly show the 18.61-years periodic patterns in the case of the no-nodal correction condition. In addition, the suggested HAT and LAT elevations, estimated as the upper and lower confidence limits of the yearly HAT and LAT elevations, are 50 cm greater than the AHHW and 40 cm lower than the ALLW, respectively.

Improved Progressive Photon Mapping Using Photon Probing (포톤 탐사법을 이용한 개선된 점진적 포톤 매핑)

  • Lee, Sang-Gil;Shin, Byeong-Seok
    • Journal of the Korea Computer Graphics Society
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.41-48
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    • 2010
  • Photon mapping is a traditional global illumination method using many photons emitted from the light source for photo-realistic rendering. However, this method needs a lot of resources to perform tracing of millions of photons. Progressive photon mapping solves this problem. Typical progressive photon mapping performs ray tracing at first to find the hit points on diffuse surface of objects. Next, light source repeatedly emits a small number of photons in photon tracing pass, and power of photons in each sphere that has a fixed radius with the hit points in the center is accumulated. This method requires less resources than previous photon mapping, but it spends much time for gathering enough photons since each of photons progresses through a random direction and rendering high quality image. To improve the method, we propose photon probing that calculates variance of photons in the sphere and controls radius of sphere. In addition, we apply cone filter in radiance estimation step for reducing aliasing at the edges in result image.

Prediction Equation for Post-Cessation Weight Gain in Men (남성에서 금연 후 체중 증가 예측을 위한 공식)

  • Lee, Gyu-Seung
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.8 no.9
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    • pp.347-355
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to develop a formula for predicting weight gain after six months of smoking cessation in men. The subjects are 412 men who succeeded in quitting smoking for 6 months at public health center smoking cessation clinic. They have been undergone nicotine patch therapy and weekly counseling for 8 weeks. The final success of smoking cessation has been confirmed by urinalysis. I have measured body composition and vascular compliance before and after the program. Weight(0.98) and BMI(0.85) have shown high positive correlation. The prediction is as follows. Post Weight(kg) = 1.04636 * Pre-Weight - 0.19535 * Pre-BMI + 4.43528. The explanatory power of this estimation equation is 82.46%(<.0001). Based on these results, it is necessary to develop education and programs for effective counseling of the smoking cessation clinic. In addition, research on women is needed.

Autolanding Mission Planning of the IT Convergence Hoverable UAV (IT 융합 회전익 무인항공기의 자동 착륙 임무수행)

  • Jung, Sunghun;Kim, Hyunsu
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.9-16
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    • 2017
  • Researchers are now faced with a limited flight time of the hoverable UAV due to the sluggish technological advances of the Li-Po energy density and try to find a bypassing solution for the fully autonomous hoverable UAV mission planning. Although there are several candidate solutions, automated wireless charging is the most likely and realistic candidate and we are focusing on the autolanding strategy of the hoverable UAV in this paper since it is the main technology of it. We developed a hoverable UAV flight simulator including Li-Po battery pack simulator using MATLAB/Simulink and UAV flight and battery states are analyzed. The maximum motor power measured as 1,647 W occurs during the takeoff and cell voltage decreases down to 3.39 V during the procedure. It proves that the two Li-Po battery packs having 22 Ah and connected in series forming 12S1P are appropriate for the autolanding mission planning.