• Title/Summary/Keyword: Population models

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Performance of Spiked Population Models for Spectrum Sensing

  • Le, Tan-Thanh;Kong, Hyung-Yun
    • Journal of electromagnetic engineering and science
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.203-209
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    • 2012
  • In order to improve sensing performance when the noise variance is not known, this paper considers a so-called blind spectrum sensing technique that is based on eigenvalue models. In this paper, we employed the spiked population models in order to identify the miss detection probability. At first, we try to estimate the unknown noise variance based on the blind measurements at a secondary location. We then investigate the performance of detection, in terms of both theoretical and empirical aspects, after applying this estimated noise variance result. In addition, we study the effects of the number of SUs and the number of samples on the spectrum sensing performance.

Constraining Physical Properties of High-redshift Galaxies : Effects of Star-formation Histories

  • Lee, Seong-Kook
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.59.2-59.2
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    • 2011
  • Constraining physical (or stellar population) properties - such as stellar mass, star-formation rate, stellar population age, and dust-extinction - of galaxies from observation is crucial in the study of galaxy evolution. This is very challenging especially for high-redshift galaxies, and a widely-used method to estimate physical properties of high-redshift galaxies is to compare their photometric spectral energy distributions (SEDs) to spectral templates from stellar population synthesis models. I will show that the SED-fitting results of high-redshift galaxies are strongly dependent on the assumed forms of star-formation histories. I will also present the results of SED-fitting analysis of observed Lyman-break galaxies which show that parametric models with gradually increasing star-formation histories provide better estimates of physical parameters of high-redshift (z>3) star-forming galaxies than traditionally-used exponentially declining star-formation histories. This result is also consistent with the predictions from the modern galaxy formation models.

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Consideration on assumption and transition of mortality model for Korea - Discussion on the kinds of Lee-carter - (우리나라 사망력 모형의 변천과 가정 고찰 - Lee-Carter 류를 중심으로 -)

  • Oh, Jinho;Kim, Soon-Young
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.637-653
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    • 2018
  • Rapid aging of the population affects population structure and population aging. Consequently, developed countries have focused on population aging as a major issue in regards to pension sustainability finances as well as health and the elderly welfare system. Mortality projections that result from population structure changes and population aging are increasingly important. This paper compares six mortality models using KOSTAT's life table from 1970 to 2016. The models are rooted in the Lee-Carter (LC) model (Lee and Carter, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 87, 659-671, 1992) and have been modified and improved on the assumptions of the LC model. We examined the improvement process and the check assumption by models in order to find a suitable mortality model for Korea. Korea shows rapid aging and declined mortality rate by age; therefore, it is desirable to estimate and predict mortality from LL&LC-ER models by combining LC-ER, LL, and LC-ER models that reflect the phenomena and modify age-specific mortality patterns without major changes in expected life expectancy.

Relationship between Change of Demographic Composition and Crime : Comparing Areas with Growth in Population to Areas with Decline

  • Lee, Soochang;Kim, Daechan
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.63-70
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    • 2022
  • This study is to investigate that population change as a result of the decline in population has a correlation with a decrease in crime, with the change in the demographic composition by comparing with two models: model with growth in population and one with the decline in population. We collected demographic data for all cities in Korea from the 2010 Census to 2020 offered by the Korean Statistical Information Service, with crime data comprising serious reported crime events from the Korean Nation Police Agency through requesting data related to the total number of crimes at the same as the period of demographic data. This study can identify the impacts of demographic changes as a result of population change on crime change through a comparative analysis between areas with population growth and ones with population decline. We can confirm that there are differences in determinants of crime between areas with population increase and one with population decrease from the analysis of the impact of demographic change as a result of population change on crime change.

Bayesian Prediction under Dynamic Generalized Linear Models in Finite Population Sampling

  • Dal Ho Kim;Sang Gil Kang
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.795-805
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    • 1997
  • In this paper, we consider a Bayesian forecasting method for the analysis of repeated surveys. It is assumed that the parameters of the superpopulation model at each time follow a stochastic model. We propose Bayesian prediction procedures for the finite population total under dynamic generalized linear models. Some numerical studies are provided to illustrate the behavior of the proposed predictors.

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STELLAR POPULATIONS IN EXTERNAL GALAXIES

  • Whang, Yun-Oh;Lee, Sang-Gak
    • Journal of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.1-24
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    • 1989
  • By applying population synthesis method, stellar populations in the nuclei of M31 and M32 are studied. We obtained five and four models for M31 and M32 respectively, for different main sequence turn-offs and keeping the astrophysical constraints as loose as possible. The best models for M31 and M32 are thought to have G0-5 and F5-8 main sequence trun-offs respectively. These models show that the main sequence stars outnumber the giants, which indicates the dwarf-dominance in external galactic nuclei. Even though there are some computational difficulties because of non-uniqueness in solution, two major points can be pointed out when compared to the previous papers. First, the ultraviolet deficiency expected from the conventional metal rich population models is not detected in our models, Instead ultraviolet radiation turns out to be somewhat higher than that of observation. Second one is the minor contribution from the Super Metal Rich (SMR) K giants to the integrated light of the program galaxies. That is, in our models, the SMR contribution is at best the same level as normal giants contrary to the SMR dominance of previous models. Since the loose astrophysical constraints are the major difference of our study from the previous ones, one should re-examine carefully for their validity further.

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A Bayesian Approach to Finite Population Sampling Using the Concept of Pivotal Quantity

  • Hwang, Hyungtae
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.647-654
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    • 2003
  • Bayesian probability models for finite populations are considered assuming so-called the super-population. We find the posterior distribution of population mean by a new approach, using the concept of pivotal quantity for the small sample case. A large sample theory is also treated throught the concept of asymptotically pivotal quantity.

A Model to Estimate Population by Sex, Age and District Based on Fuzzy Theory

  • Pak. Pyong-Sik;Kim, Gwan
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2002.10a
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    • pp.42.1-42
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    • 2002
  • A model to predict population by sex, age and district over a long-range period is proposed based on fuzzy theories. First, a fuzzy model is described. Second, a method to estimate the social increase by sex and age in each district is proposed based on a fuzzy clustering method for dealing with long-range socioeconomic changes in population migration. By the proposed methods, it became possible to predict the population by sex, age and district over a long-range period. Third, the structure and characteristics of the three models of employment model, time distance model, and land use model constructed to predict various socioeconomic indicators, which are require...

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Population Forecasting System Based on Growth Curve Models (성장곡선모형에 의한 인구예측 시스템)

  • 최종후;최봉호;양우성;김유진
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.197-215
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    • 2000
  • 이 논문에서는 선형·비선형 성장곡선모형의 종류와 특성을 살펴보고, 이들을 비교·검토하고, 모형선호기준 통계량에 입각하여 추정결과를 비교한다. 또한 최종사용자 환경을 위한 SAS/AF로 구현한 성장곡선모형에 의한 인구예측시스템을 소개한다.

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A Comparative Study on the Genetic Algorithm and Regression Analysis in Urban Population Surface Modeling (도시인구분포모형 개발을 위한 GA모형과 회귀모형의 적합성 비교연구)

  • Choei, Nae-Young
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.107-117
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    • 2010
  • Taking the East-Hwasung area as the case, this study first builds gridded population data based on the municipal population survey raw data, and then measures, by way of GIS tools, the major urban spatial variables that are thought to influence the composition of the regional population. For the purpose of comparison, the urban models based on the Genetic Algorithm technique and the regression technique are constructed using the same input variables. The findings indicate that the GA output performed better in differentiating the effective variables among the pilot model variables, and predicted as much consistent and meaningful coefficient estimates for the explanatory variables as the regression models. The study results indicate that GA technique could be a very useful and supplementary research tool in understanding the urban phenomena.