• 제목/요약/키워드: Population data estimation

검색결과 387건 처리시간 0.026초

시군구 실업자 총계 추정을 위한 설계기반 간접추정법 (Design-Based Small Area Estimation for the Korean Economically Active Population Survey)

  • 정연수;이계오;이우일
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2003
  • 본 연구에서는 현행 경제활동인구조사 체계에 근거하여 대영역 내의 시군구 단위 행정자치구역들에 대한 실업통계들을 생산할 수 있는 소지역 추정법이 제안된다. 고려된 소지역 추정량들은 합성 추정량, 복합추정량과 같은 설계기반 간접 추정량들이며 이러한 추정량들에 대한 평균제곱오차 추정식이 경제활동인구조사 체계 하에서 산정되어 시군구 단위 소지역 추정값들에 대한 정확도의 측도로써 활용된다. 2000년 12월 충북지역의 경제활동인구조사 자료로부터 이 지역 내의 10개 시군구 단위 행정자치구역들에 대한 실업자 총계 및 잭나이프 평균제곱오차가 본 연구에서 제시된 추정절차에 의해 추정된다. 시군구 단위 실업자 총계 추정값들의 신뢰성은 이들 추정값들의 상대편향(Relative Bias)과 상대오차제곱근(Relative Root Mean Square Error)에 의해 평가된다. 현행 한국 경제활동인구조사체계 하에서 복합추정량이 다른 추정량들에 비해 매우 안정적임을 밝힌다.

Comparison of EM with Jackknife Standard Errors and Multiple Imputation Standard Errors

  • Kang, Shin-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.1079-1086
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    • 2005
  • Most discussions of single imputation methods and the EM algorithm concern point estimation of population quantities with missing values. A second concern is how to get standard errors of the point estimates obtained from the filled-in data by single imputation methods and EM algorithm. Now we focus on how to estimate standard errors with incorporating the additional uncertainty due to nonresponse. There are some approaches to account for the additional uncertainty. The general two possible approaches are considered. One is the jackknife method of resampling methods. The other is multiple imputation(MI). These two approaches are reviewed and compared through simulation studies.

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대구·경북지역의 고등학교 3학년 학생수 추계 (Projections of the high-school graduate in Daegu·Gyoungbook)

  • 김종태
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.907-914
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    • 2015
  • 저출산으로 인한 학생수의 감소는 교육 행정 정책에 있어서 매우 많은 변화들을 예고하고 있다. 본 연구는 2032년까지 정확한 학생 (인구) 수를 예측하기 위하여 연령 진급률 혹은 학년 진급률을 이용한 학생 (인구) 수를 추계하는 방법을 제시하는데 목적이 있다. 비례법을 이용한 이동평균비례법과 가중비례이동평균법이 인구추계의 방법으로 제시되었다. 제시된 방법들의 측정오차들에 대한 평균과 표준편차들을 모의실험을 통하여 구하였다. 본 연구에서 제시된 가중비례이동평균법과 이동평균비례법의 예측결과들은 낮게 추정되는 현상이 나타나고 있다. 이를 보완하여 대구 경북 지역의 고등학교 3학년 학생수를 추계하였다.

모터 토크 추정을 통한 보행보조기의 의지파악 알고리즘 (Walking Will Recognition Algorithm for Walking Aids Based on Torque Estimation)

  • 공정식
    • 대한의용생체공학회:의공학회지
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    • 제31권2호
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    • pp.162-169
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    • 2010
  • This paper deals with the recognition algorithm of walking will based on torque estimation. Recently, concern about walking assistant aids is increasing according to the increase in population of elder and handicapped person. However, most of walking aids don't have any actuators for its movement. So, general walking aids have weakness for its movement to upward/download direction of slope. To overcome the weakness of the general walking aids, many researches for active type walking aids are being progressed. Unfortunately it is difficult to control aids during its movement, because it is not easy to recognize user's walking will. Many kinds of methods are proposed to recognize of user's walking will. In this paper, we propose walking will recognition algorithm by using torque estimation from wheels. First, we measure wheel velocity and voltage at the walking aids. From these data, external forces are extracted. And then walking will that is included by walking velocity and direction is estimated. Here, all the processes are verified by simulation and experiment in the real world.

大氣汚染豫測을 위한 面汚染源排出量 算定模型의 開發에 關한 硏究 (A Study on the Estimation Technique of Area Source Emissions for Air Pollution Prediction)

  • 박준대;김정욱
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.43-50
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    • 1990
  • In the estimation of grid type area source emissions, the factors by which emissions are distributed spatially must be considered comprehensively. The estimation process can be approached systematically by connecting the emission activity of air pollutants with land use pattern and the various impacts can be taken into account in the process by using such area information as land use, population, distribution of households, types of housing units, fuel consumption and so on. The estimation procedure was computerized in order to calculate area source emissions by grid information system. This computerization helped to augment effectiveness and efficiency not only by managing enormous data but also by performing diverse functions.

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Logistic Regression Type Small Area Estimations Based on Relative Error

  • Hwang, Hee-Jin;Shin, Key-Il
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.445-453
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    • 2011
  • Almost all small area estimations are obtained by minimizing the mean squared error. Recently relative error prediction methods have been developed and adapted to small area estimation. Usually the estimators obtained by using relative error prediction is called a shrinkage estimator. Especially when data set consists of large range values, the shrinkage estimator is known as having good statistical properties and an easy interpretation. In this paper we study the shrinkage estimators based on logistic regression type estimators for small area estimation. Some simulation studies are performed and the Economically Active Population Survey data of 2005 is used for comparison.

2001 국민건강.영양조사 자료를 이용한 빈곤층 가구의 식료품비 추정 (Estimation of Food Cost for Low Income Families Using Food Consumption Data of the 2001 Korean National Health and Nutrition Survey)

  • 노민영;심재은;정효지;이인희;류정순;백희영
    • 대한가정학회지
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    • 제44권8호
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    • pp.79-87
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study was to estimate the minimum monthly food cost for the low income population. The food consumption data of 9,311 individuals from the 2001 Korean National Health and Nutrition Survey was used. The monthly food cost was calculated using the Consumer Food Price Database for the year 2001 provided by the Public Health Nutrition Laboratory, Seoul National University. The low income population (n = 1,310) was characterized as older age, lower income, smaller family size, lower education level, and lower energy intake as compared with the total population (n = 8,001). The estimated food cost showed that men in the low income population needed 15% more money for purchasing food to maintain the energy intake level at the average energy intake level of men in the total population. It was also estimated that women in the low income population needed 9% more money for purchasing food to maintain the energy intake level at the average energy intake level of women in the total population. There were differences in monthly food costs depending on the sex and age, and family size. The results of this study could be used as basic information to establish minimum food cost for the low income population in Korea.

오수관 설계유량 산정법이 설계유속에 미치는 영향 (Design Flow Velocity Changes According to the Design Flow Determination Methods in the Sanitary Sewer)

  • 현인환;원승현;김형준;이제인
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제19권6호
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    • pp.749-757
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    • 2005
  • The present study analyzed actual cases of designed flow estimation method and designed flow rate of sewage pipe lines. In order to examine the effects of peak-hour demand factor estimation with given daily highest peak loading, we analyzed its effects on designed flow rate with changing the peak-hour demand factor from 2.0 to 10.0. The results of this study are as follows. When reviewing the recent designs, we found that 59.4% of pipe line with 250mm and 300mm diameter, which fall under minimum allowable pipeline did not meet the minimum velocity which is specified as 0.6m/sec in design standards. The pipe line that have minimal access population or have very low slope did not satisfy the minimum velocity. In estimating the designed sewage flow, the applied daily highest peak loading and hourly highest peaking loading were the load factor for the entire population of the planned area, and for the peak loading of the initial pipes connected to a very small population, we applied the same factor as that applied to the entire area and, as a result, the hourly highest flow was underestimated. Because, in case of the initial pipes, the method of applying the same peak loading to all subject areas is highly possible to produce underestimated design flow, when estimating the designed flow of the initial pipes connected to a small population need to adopt a rational flow factor according to the size of population. For this, it is considered to investigate and analyze raw data on daily and hourly variation of sewage flow.

Usage of auxiliary variable and neural network in doubly robust estimation

  • Park, Hyeonah;Park, Wonjun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.659-667
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    • 2013
  • If the regression model or the propensity model is correct, the unbiasedness of the estimator using doubly robust imputation can be guaranteed. Using a neural network instead of a logistic regression model for the propensity model, the estimators using doubly robust imputation are approximately unbiased even though both assumed models fail. We also propose a doubly robust estimator of ratio form using population information of an auxiliary variable. We prove some properties of proposed theory by restricted simulations.

GLFP 모형하에서의 가속수명시험 데이터 분석 (Analyses of Accelerated Life Tests Data from General Limited Failure Population)

  • 김종만
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제36권1호
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    • pp.31-39
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    • 2008
  • This paper proposes a method of estimating the lifetime distribution at use condition for constant stress accelerated life tests when an infant-mortality failure mode as well as wear-out one exists. General limited failure population model is introduced to describe these failure modes. It is assumed that the log lifetime of each failure mode follows a location-scale distribution and a linear relation exists between the location parameter and the stress. An estimation procedure using the expectation and maximization algorithm is proposed. Specific formulas for Weibull distribution are obtained. An illustrative example and the simulation results are given.