• Title/Summary/Keyword: Poll

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A Performance Evaluation of CF-Poll Piggyback Algorithm for HCCA (HCCA의 CF-Poll 피기백 알고리즘의 성능평가)

  • Lee Hyun-Jin;Kim Jae-Hyun;Cho Sung-Hyun
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.31 no.9B
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    • pp.785-791
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    • 2006
  • A CF-Poll frame which contains the channel reservation time can be piggybacked in QoS-Data frame to increase the channel efficiency in HCCA. However, if any QSTA in the network uses the low physical transmission rate, the QoS-Data frame which includes the CF-Poll frame must be transmitted by the minimum transmission rate. Therefore, it can cause the decrease of the channel efficiency and the increase of the frame transmission delay for other traffic streams when any QSTA has the low physical transmission rate. In this paper, we define this phenomenon as the piggyback problem at the low physical transmission rate and evaluate the effect of this problem. In the simulation results, when a CF-Poll piggyback is used, the delay is increased about 25% if any QSTA has the low physical transmission rate, while the delay is decreased about 7.8% if all QSTA has the high physical transmission rate. We also found that the gain of the CF-Poll piggyback mechanism is achieved when all QSTA has higher physical transmission rate than 24 or 36Mbps.

Systematic Forecasting Bias of Exit Poll: Analysis of Exit Poll for 2010 Local Elections (출구조사의 체계적인 예측 편향에 대한 분석: 2010년 지방선거 출구조사를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Young-Won;Choi, Yun-Jung
    • Survey Research
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.25-48
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we overview the sample design, sampling error, non-response rate and prediction errors of the exit poll conducted for 2010 local elections and discusses how to detect a prediction bias in exit poll. To investigate the bias problem in exit poll in regional(Si-Do) level, we analyze exit poll data for 2007 presidential election and 2006 local elections as well as 2010 local elections in Korea. The measure of predictive accuracy A proposed by Martin et al.(2005) is used to assess the exit poll bias. The empirical studies based on three exit polls clearly show that there exits systematic bias in exit poll and the predictive bias of candidates affiliated to conservative party (such as Hannara-Dang) is serious in the specific regions. The result of this study on systematic bias will be very useful to improving the exit poll methodology in Korea.

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Election Forecasting and Exit-poll : The 16th Presidential Election in Korea (선거예측과 출구조사 : 16대 대선을 중심으로)

  • 김정훈
    • Survey Research
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.87-102
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    • 2003
  • Till now, much progress has been made in election forecasting. But fixed-line telephone survey has limitations, because it has become more and more difficult to get a representative sample, Exit poll has been considered to provide a new solution. From the beginning, exit poll provided more accurate predictions than those based on surveys using fixed-line phone. In 2002 presidential election, prediction based on exit poll was perfect. Its predictive error was zero. This paper describes how the exit poll was done in 2002 presidential elections. Specifically, we are to show the estimating procedures as well as sampling and polling process. Among many factors, sampling procedure has been fond to be the most important factor in exit poll accuracy.

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"This Unfavorable Poll Result for My Candidate Doesn't Affect Me but Others": Third-Person Perception in Election Poll Coverage

  • Shin-Il Moon;Yunjin Choi;Sungeun Chung
    • Asian Journal for Public Opinion Research
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.274-303
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    • 2023
  • The third-person perception phenomenon can consistently be found in opinion poll news, but it remains unknown what determines the degree of the third-person perception (TPP) about specific election poll news. We investigated how respondents' preferred candidate's status in the poll affects the perceived impact of polling news on both themselves (PMI1) and on others (PMI3) as well as TPP (PMI3 - PMI1). We also examined the effect of subjective political knowledge and the perceived level of political knowledge of others on TPP. An online experiment was conducted in the context of a gubernatorial election in South Korea, in which the leading candidate in the poll and the question order (self-question first vs. other-question first) were manipulated. The results indicated that PMI1 and PMI3 were greater when the respondent's preferred candidate was leading in the poll. TPP did not differ depending on subjective knowledge, but it was greater when the others were non-experts (vs. experts). Lastly, question order was found to be a method factor that affected both PMI1 and PMI3. The theoretical and practical implications of these findings are discussed.

A Total Survey Error Analysis of the Exit Polling for General Election 2008 in Korea (2008 총선 출구조사의 총조사오차 분석)

  • Kim, Young-Won;Kwak, Eun-Sun
    • Survey Research
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.33-55
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    • 2010
  • In this study, we newly define the Total Survey Error(TSE) in exit poll and investigate the TSEs of the exit poll survey for the 18th general election of 2008 to analyse the cause of the exit poll prediction error. To explore the main cause and effect of the total survey error, the total survey error was divided by the sampling error which comes from sampling process of poll stations and the non-sampling error which comes from selecting voter and collecting responses from sampled voters in each electoral district. We consider the relationship between non-response rates and total survey error as well as non-sampling error. Also, we study the representativeness of the exit poll sample by comparing the sex/age distribution of the exit poll data and the National Election Commission poll data.

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Analysis of Anchoring Effects on the Internet : In the Case of Instant Poll (인터넷에서의 Anchoring 효과 분석 : Instant Poll을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Jong-Jin;Yang, Kwang-Min
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.21-36
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    • 2007
  • We face with numerous situation of decision making. In this situation, we would make decision through individual's own information, or others' decision making with ignoring private information, Also we would make decision through compromise of private information and others' information. like this, we call situation to imitate information of previous decision maker, with disregarding private own information,'information cascades' Also, anchoring effects are results of insufficient adjustment from an arbitrary value. In this paper, we examined how information cascades effects and anchoring effects would be generated in the people who use IT technique as instant poll of website. And this paper presents alternatives to decrease information cascades effects and anchoring effects. This exercise provides facts anchoring effects occur when voters can see poll result. And this paper shows that more degree of output difference is deepened, and more anchoring effects occur. Also this paper shows that when website gives positive payoff, more anchoring effects occur.

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A study on the criteria of opinion poll by the sampling survey (표본조사론 관점에서의 여론조사)

  • 고봉성;남궁평
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.203-213
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    • 1997
  • This paper studied criteria of the domestic and international opinion poll for the news publication which is necessary to report and analyze its opinion poll results. Adequate criteria are provided and case studies are performed. Therefore present study is aiming at drawing the further discussion about the criteria of the news publication.

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A History and the Improvable Direction of Exit Poll (출구조사의 역사와 개선방향)

  • 류제복
    • Survey Research
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.31-48
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    • 2003
  • We consider a history of exit poll which is generally used in the election forecasting survey. And we discuss some problems and improving items based on the results of executed in Korea. In addition, we consider the errors due to the insufficient preparation for exit poll and methods to reduce these errors. From this study, we expect the election forecasting will be more accurate.

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Internet Poll System

  • Kim, Yon-Hyong;Oh, Min-Gweon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.927-935
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    • 2000
  • In this paper we propose a poll system n the internet. This system expects to increase the confidence of the internet poll results by sampling theory(proportional allocation). This system provides a cross-tale and result of hypothesis test which plays an important role for decision making. These results do offer a few statistical packages(such as SAS, SPSS) in the world wide web.

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Numerical Analysis of Power Save Multi-poll Operation in IEEE 802.11 WLANs (IEEE 802.11 무선랜의 Power Save Multi-Poll 동작의 수학적 성능 분석)

  • Jin, Sung Geun
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.13-18
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, We Numerically Analyze the Performance of the 802.11 Power Save Multi-Poll (PSMP) Operation. From the Analysis, we have Power Saving Efficiency Indicating how much time is Used for Power Consumption Over the Entire Operation Time. Consequently, we can Estimate the Operational Efficiency of the PSMP Operation.