• Title/Summary/Keyword: Poisson Distribution

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Order Based Performance Evaluation of a CONWIP System with Compound Poisson Demands (복합포아송 수요를 가지는 CONWIP 시스템에서 고객집단의 성능평가)

  • Park Chan-U;Lee Hyo-Seong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.8-12
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    • 2004
  • In this study we consider a CONWIP system in which the processing times at each station follow a Coxian distribution and the demands for the finished products arrive according to a compound Poisson process. The demands that are not satisfied are backordered according to the number of demands that exist at their arrival instants. For this system we develop an approximation method to calculate order based performance measures such as the mean time of fulfilling a customer order and the mean number o: customer orders. For the analysis of the proposed CONWIP system, we model the CONWIP system as a closed queueing network with a synchronization station and analyze the closed queueing network using a product form approximation method. Numerical tests show that the approximation method provides fairly good estimation of the performance measures of interest.

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Fuzzy Hypothesis Test by Poisson Test for Most Powerful Test (최강력 검정을 위한 퍼지 포아송 가설의 검정)

  • Kang, Man-Ki;Seo, Hyun-A
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.809-813
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    • 2009
  • We want to show that the construct of best fuzzy tests for certain fuzzy situations of Poisson distribution. Due to Neyman and Pearson theorem, if we have ${\theta}_0$ and ${\theta}_1$ be distinct fuzzy values of ${\Omega}=\{{\theta}\;:\;{\theta}\;=\;{\theta}_0,\;{\theta}_1\}$ such that $L({\theta}_0\;:\;X)/L({\theta}_1\;:\;X)$ < k, then k is a fuzzy number. For each fuzzy random samples point $X\;{\subset}\;C$, we have most power test for fuzzy critical region C by agreement index.

Analysis on the lgnition Charac teristics of Pseudospark Discharge Using Hybrid Fluid-Particle(Monte Carlo) Method (혼성 유체-입자(몬테칼로)법을 이용한 유사스파크 방전의 기동 특성 해석)

  • 심재학;주홍진;강형부
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers
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    • v.11 no.7
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    • pp.571-580
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    • 1998
  • The numerical model that can describe the ignition of pseudospark discharge using hybrid fluid-particle(Monte Carlo )method has been developed. This model consists of the fluid expression for transport of electrons and ions and Poisson's equation in the electric field. The fluid equation determines the spatiotemporal dependence of charged particle densities and the ionization source term is computed using the Monte carlo method. This model has been used to study the evolution of a discharge in Argon at 0.5 torr, with an applied voltage if 1kV. The evolution process of the discharge has been divided into four phases along the potential distribution : (1) Townsend discharge, (2) plasma formation, (3) onset of hollow cathode effect, (4) plasma expansion. From the numerical results, the physical mechanisms that lead to the rapid rise in current associated with the onset of pseudospark could be identified.

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Accuracy Measures of Empirical Bayes Estimator for Mean Rates

  • Jeong, Kwang-Mo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.845-852
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    • 2010
  • The outcomes of counts commonly occur in the area of disease mapping for mortality rates or disease rates. A Poisson distribution is usually assumed as a model of disease rates in conjunction with a gamma prior. The small area typically refers to a small geographical area or demographic group for which very little information is available from the sample surveys. Under this situation the model-based estimation is very popular, in which the auxiliary variables from various administrative sources are used. The empirical Bayes estimator under Poissongamma model has been considered with its accuracy measures. An accuracy measure using a bootstrap samples adjust the underestimation incurred by the posterior variance as an estimator of true mean squared error. We explain the suggested method through a practical dataset of hitters in baseball games. We also perform a Monte Carlo study to compare the accuracy measures of mean squared error.

Electric double layers interactions under condition of variable dielectric permittivity

  • Payam, Amir Farrokh;Fathipour, Morteza
    • Interaction and multiscale mechanics
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.157-171
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, a theoretical method has been developed for the electric double layer interaction under condition of the variable dielectric permittivity of water. Using Poisson-Boltzmann equation (PBE), for one plate and two plates having similar or dissimilar constant charge or constant potential, we have investigated the electric double layer potential, its gradient and the disjoining pressure as well as the effect of variation of dielectric permittivity on these parameters. It has been assumed that plates are separated by a specific distance and contain a liquid solution in between. It is shown that reduction of the dielectric permittivity near the interfaces results in compression of electric double layers and affects the potential and its gradient which leads to a decreased electrostatic repulsion. In addition, it is shown that variation of dielectric permittivity in the case of higher electrolyte concentration, leads to a greater change in potential distribution between two plates.

Integer-Valued HAR(p) model with Poisson distribution for forecasting IPO volumes

  • SeongMin Yu;Eunju Hwang
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.273-289
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    • 2023
  • In this paper, we develop a new time series model for predicting IPO (initial public offering) data with non-negative integer value. The proposed model is based on integer-valued autoregressive (INAR) model with a Poisson thinning operator. Just as the heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) model with daily, weekly and monthly averages in a form of cascade, the integer-valued heterogeneous autoregressive (INHAR) model is considered to reflect efficiently the long memory. The parameters of the INHAR model are estimated using the conditional least squares estimate and Yule-Walker estimate. Through simulations, bias and standard error are calculated to compare the performance of the estimates. Effects of model fitting to the Korea's IPO are evaluated using performance measures such as mean square error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) etc. The results show that INHAR model provides better performance than traditional INAR model. The empirical analysis of the Korea's IPO indicates that our proposed model is efficient in forecasting monthly IPO volumes.

Threshold Voltage Shift for Doping Profile of Asymmetric Double Gate MOSFET (도핑분포함수에 따른 비대칭 이중게이트 MOSFET의 문턱전압이동현상)

  • Jung, Hakkee
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.903-908
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    • 2015
  • This paper has analyzed threshold voltage shift for doping profile of asymmetric double gate(DG) MOSFET. Ion implantation is usually used in process of doping for semiconductor device and doping profile becomes Gaussian distribution. Gaussian distribution function is changed for projected range and standard projected deviation, and influenced on transport characteristics. Therefore, doping profile in channel of asymmetric DGMOSFET is affected in threshold voltage. Threshold voltage is minimum gate voltage to operate transistor, and defined as top gate voltage when drain current is $0.1{\mu}A$ per unit width. The analytical potential distribution of series form is derived from Poisson's equation to obtain threshold voltage. As a result, threshold voltage is greatly changed by doping profile in high doping range, and the shift of threshold voltage due to projected range and standard projected deviation significantly appears for bottom gate voltage in the region of high doping concentration.

Analysis of Drain Induced Barrier Lowering for Double Gate MOSFET Using Gaussian Distribution (가우스분포를 이용한 이중게이트 MOSFET의 드레인유기장벽감소분석)

  • Jung, Hak-Kee;Han, Ji-Hyung;Jeong, Dong-Soo;Lee, Jong-In;Kwon, Oh-Shin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2011.10a
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    • pp.878-881
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, drain induced barrier lowering(DIBL) has been analyzed as one of short channel effects occurred in double gate(DG) MOSFET to be next-generation devices. Since Gaussian function been used as carrier distribution for solving Poisson's equation to obtain analytical solution of potential distribution, we expect our results using this model agree with experimental results. DIBL has been investigated according to projected range and standard projected deviation as variables of Gaussian function, and channel thickness and channel doping intensity as device parameter. Since the validity of this analytical potential distribution model derived from Poisson's equation has already been proved in previous papers, DIBL has been analyzed using this model.

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The Comparative Study of Software Optimal Release Time Based on Weibull Distribution Property (와이블 분포 특성에 근거한 소프트웨어 최적 방출시기에 관한 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Park, Hyoung-Keun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.10 no.8
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    • pp.1903-1910
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, we were researched decision problem called an optimal release policies after testing a software system in development phase and transferring it to the user. The applied model of release time exploited infinite failure non-homogeneous Poisson process This infinite failure non-homogeneous Poisson process is a model which reflects the possibility of introducing new faults when correcting or modifying the software. The failure life-cycle distribution used the Weibull distribution which has the efficient various property which has the place efficient quality. Thus, optimal software release policies which minimize a total average software cost of development and maintenance under the constraint of satisfying a software reliability requirement becomes an optimal release policies. In a numerical example, after trend test applied and estimated the parameters using maximum likelihood estimation of inter-failure time data, estimated software optimal release time.

The Bayesian Inference for Software Reliability Models Based on NHPP (NHPP에 기초한 소프트웨어 신뢰도 모형에 대한 베이지안 추론에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Sang-Sik;Kim, Hui-Cheol;Song, Yeong-Jae
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartD
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    • v.9D no.3
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    • pp.389-398
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    • 2002
  • Software reliability growth models are used in testing stages of software development to model the error content and time intervals between software failures. This paper presents a stochastic model for the software failure phenomenon based on a nonhomogeneous Poisson process(NHPP) and performs Bayesian inference using prior information. The failure process is analyzed to develop a suitable mean value function for the NHPP ; expressions are given for several performance measure. Actual software failure data are compared with several model on the constant reflecting the quality of testing. The performance measures and parametric inferences of the suggested models using Rayleigh distribution and Laplace distribution are discussed. The results of the suggested models are applied to real software failure data and compared with Goel model. Tools of parameter point inference and 95% credible intereval was used method of Gibbs sampling. In this paper, model selection using the sum of the squared errors was employed. The numerical example by NTDS data was illustrated.