• Title/Summary/Keyword: Poisson Distribution

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Comparative Study of Model Selection Using Bayes Factor through Simulation : Poisson vs. Negative Binomial Model Selection and Normal, Double Exponential vs. Cauchy Model Selection (시뮬레이션을 통한 베이즈요인에 의한 모형선택의 비교연구 : 포아송, 음이항모형의 선택과 정규, 이중지수, 코쉬모형의 선택)

  • 오미라;윤소영;심정욱;손영숙
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.335-349
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, we use Bayesian method for model selection of poisson vs. negative binomial distribution, and normal, double exponential vs. cauchy distribution. The fractional Bayes factor of O'Hagan (1995) was applied to Bayesian model selection under the assumption of noninformative improper priors for all parameters in the models. Through the analyses of real data and simulation data, we examine the usefulness of the fractional Bayes factor in comparison with intrinsic Bayes factors of Berger and Pericchi (1996, 1998).

A 2-D Model for the Potential Distribution and Threshold Voltage of Fully Depleted Short-Channel Ion-Implanted Silicon MESFET's

  • Jit, S.;Morarka, Saurabh;Mishra, Saurabh
    • JSTS:Journal of Semiconductor Technology and Science
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.173-181
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    • 2005
  • A new two dimensional (2-D) model for the potential distribution of fully depleted short-channel ion-implanted silicon MESFET's has been presented in this paper. The solution of the 2-D Poisson's equation has been considered as the superposition of the solutions of 1-D Poisson's equation in the lateral direction and the 2-D homogeneous Laplace equation with suitable boundary conditions. The minimum bottom potential at the interface of the depletion region due to the metal-semiconductor junction at the Schottky gate and depletion region due to the substrate-channel junction has been used to investigate the drain-induced barrier lowering (DIBL) and its effects on the threshold voltage of the device. Numerical results have been presented for the potential distribution and threshold voltage for different parameters such as the channel length, drain-source voltage, and implanted-dose and silicon film thickness.

Analysis of Drain Induced Barrier Lowering for Double Gate MOSFET According to Channel Doping Intensity (채널도핑강도에 대한 DGMOSFET의 DIBL분석)

  • Jung, Hak-Kee
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2011.10a
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    • pp.888-891
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, drain induced barrier lowering(DIBL) has been analyzed as one of short channel effects occurred in double gate(DG) MOSFET. The DIBL is very important short channel effects as phenomenon that barrier height becomes lower since drain voltage influences on potential barrier of source in short channel. The analytical potential distribution of Poisson equation, validated in previous papers, has been used to analyze DIBL. Since Gaussian function been used as carrier distribution for solving Poisson's equation to obtain analytical solution of potential distribution, we expect our results using this model agree with experimental results. The change of DIBL has been investigated for device parameters such as channel thickness, oxide thickness and channel doping intensity.

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Grain distribution and electrical property according to grain size variation in polysilicon TFTs (다결정 실리콘 TFT소자의 채널길이 변화에 따른 grain의 분포와 전기적 특성)

  • Lee, Eun-Nyung;Song, Ho-Young;Park, Se-Geun;Lee, Taek-Joo;O, Beom-Hoan;Lee, Seung-Gol;Lee, El-Hang
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.128-131
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    • 2003
  • The number of grain is determined based on Poisson distribution in respectively different active channel and it is converted to grain size which affects to the mobility and threshold voltage. the acquired data is applied to the SPICE for observing the variation of I-V characteristic with several channel lengths. we can confirm the effect on device.

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Studies on the Infection Rate and Distribution Pattern of Metacercaria of Clonorchis sinensis in Pseudorasbora Parva (참붕어내 간흡충 피낭유충의 감염률 및 분포양상에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Ki-Hong;Yie, Jae-Hyun;Joo, Kyoung-Hwan;Lee, Joon-Sang;Rim, Han-Jong
    • Journal of agricultural medicine and community health
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.44-53
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    • 1989
  • The distribution pattern of Clonorchis sinensis metacercaria in Pseudorasvora parva population and correlation between P. parva and metacercaria of C. sinensis were studied. The surveved areas were Chomanpo and Bulamdong, Kim-Hae Gun which were endemic area of clonorchiasis, and wansa, Sa-Chon Gun, Souh Kyong-Sang Do. The results are as follows: 1) The areas of Chornanpo and Wansa showed high infectivity in 99-100% of infection rate and 282-308 of average infection number per-fish. But the area of Bulamdong showed relatively. low infectivity in 95.8% of infection rate and 44 of average infection number. 2) The distribution patterns of C. sinensis metacercaria in P. parva population which were collected in Chomanpo and Wansa were shown Poisson distribution and the distribution pattern in Bulamdong showed mid-pattern of shifting over from Poisson distribution to Negative binomial distribution. 3) The correlation between P. parva length and average number of C. sinensis metacercaria in the present studied areas represented as direct proportion relationship.

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Movement of Conduction Path for Electron Distribution in Channel of Double Gate MOSFET (DGMOSFET에서 채널내 전자분포에 따른 전도중심의 이동)

  • Jung, Hak-Kee
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.805-811
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, movement of conduction path has been analyzed for electron distribution in the channel of double gate(DG) MOSFET. The analytical potential distribution model of Poisson equation, validated in previous researches, has been used to analyze transport characteristics. DGMOSFETs have the adventage to be able to reduce short channel effects due to improvement for controllability of current by two gate voltages. Since short channel effects have been occurred in subthreshold region including threshold region, the analysis of transport characteristics in subthreshold region is very important. Also transport characteristics have been influenced on the deviation of electron distribution and conduction path. In this study, the influence of electron distribution on conduction path has been analyzed according to intensity and distribution of doping and channel dimension.

Dependence of Subthreshold Current for Channel Structure and Doping Distribution of Double Gate MOSFET (DGMOSFET의 채널구조 및 도핑분포에 따른 문턱전압이하 전류의존성)

  • Jung, Hak-Kee
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.793-798
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, dependence of subthreshold current has been analyzed for doping distribution and channel structure of double gate(DG) MOSFET. The charge distribution of Gaussian function validated in previous researches has been used to obtain potential distribution in Poisson equation. Since DGMOSFETs have reduced short channel effects with improvement of current controllability by gate voltages, subthreshold characteristics have been enhanced. The control of current in subthreshold region is very important factor related with power consumption for ultra large scaled integration. The deviation of threshold voltage has been qualitatively analyzed using the changes of subthreshold current for gate voltages. Subthreshold current has been influenced by doping distribution and channel dimension. In this study, the influence of channel length and thickness on current has been analyzed according to intensity and distribution of doping.

A Bayesian Extreme Value Analysis of KOSPI Data (코스피 지수 자료의 베이지안 극단값 분석)

  • Yun, Seok-Hoon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.833-845
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    • 2011
  • This paper conducts a statistical analysis of extreme values for both daily log-returns and daily negative log-returns, which are computed using a collection of KOSPI data from January 3, 1998 to August 31, 2011. The Poisson-GPD model is used as a statistical analysis model for extreme values and the maximum likelihood method is applied for the estimation of parameters and extreme quantiles. To the Poisson-GPD model is also added the Bayesian method that assumes the usual noninformative prior distribution for the parameters, where the Markov chain Monte Carlo method is applied for the estimation of parameters and extreme quantiles. According to this analysis, both the maximum likelihood method and the Bayesian method form the same conclusion that the distribution of the log-returns has a shorter right tail than the normal distribution, but that the distribution of the negative log-returns has a heavier right tail than the normal distribution. An advantage of using the Bayesian method in extreme value analysis is that there is nothing to worry about the classical asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimators even when the regularity conditions are not satisfied, and that in prediction it is effective to reflect the uncertainties from both the parameters and a future observation.

Analysis of Changes in Rainfall Frequency Under Different Thresholds and Its Synoptic Pattern (절점기준에 따른 강우빈도 변화 및 종관기후학적 분석)

  • Kim, Tae-Jeong;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.36 no.5
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    • pp.791-803
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    • 2016
  • Recently, frequency of extreme rainfall events in South Korea has been substantially increased due to the enhanced climate variability. Korea is prone to flooding due to being surrounded by mountains, along with high rainfall intensity during a short period. In the past three decades, an increase in the frequency of heavy rainfall events has been observed due to enhanced climate variability and climate change. This study aimed to analyze extreme rainfalls informed by their frequency of occurrences using a long-term rainfall data. In this respect, we developed a Poisson-Generalized Pareto Distribution (Poisson-GPD) based rainfall frequency method which allows us to simultaneously explore changes in the amount and exceedance probability of the extreme rainfall events defined by different thresholds. Additionally, this study utilized a Bayesian approach to better estimate both parameters and their uncertainties. We also investigated the synoptic patterns associated with the extreme events considered in this study. The results showed that the Poisson-GPD based design rainfalls were rather larger than those of based on the Gumbel distribution. It seems that the Poisson-GPD model offers a more reasonable explanation in the context of flood safety issue, by explicitly considering the changes in the frequency. Also, this study confirmed that low and high pressure system in the East China Sea and the central North Pacific, respectively, plays crucial roles in the development of the extreme rainfall in South Korea.

Study on Probabilistic Analysis for Fire·Explosion Accidents of LPG Vaporizer with Jet Fire (Jet Fire를 수반한 국내외 LPG 기화기의 화재·폭발사고에 관한 확률론적 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Ko, Jae-Sun
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.31-41
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    • 2012
  • This study collected 5,100 cases of gas accident occurred in Korea for 14 years from 1995 to 2008, established Database and based on it, analyzed them by detailed forms and reasons. As the result of analyzing the whole city gas accidents with Poisson analysis, the item of "Careless work-Explosion-Pipeline' showed the highest rate of accidents for the next 5 years. And, "Joint Losening and corrosion-Release-Pipeline" showed the lowest rate of accident. In addition, for the result of analyzing only accidents related to LPG vaporizer, "LPG-Vaporizer-Fire" showed the highest rate of accident and "LPG-Vaporizer-Products Faults" showed the lowest rate of accident. Also, as the result of comparing and analyzing foreign LPG accident accompanied by Jet fire, facility's defect which is liquid outflow cut-off device and heat exchanger's defect were analyzed as the main reason causing jet fire, like the case of Korea, but the number of accidents for the next 5 years was the highest in "LPG-Mechanical-Jet fire" and "LPG-Mechanical-Vapor Cloud" showed the highest rate of accidents. By grafting Poisson distribution theory onto gas accident expecting program of the future, it's expected to suggest consistent standard and be used as the scale which can be used in actual field.