• Title/Summary/Keyword: Persistence 현상

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An exploratory study on the characteristics of technology innovation persistence of Korean firms (한국 기업의 기술혁신 지속 특성에 대한 탐색적 연구)

  • Song, Changhyeon;Lee, Jungwoo;Jang, Pilseong
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.1-31
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    • 2021
  • With the growing importance of technology innovation as a key factor for firms' competitive advantage, 'innovation persistence' became also an important research subject. 'Innovation Persistence' is a concept that indicates whether or not firms' innovation activity or performance continues. However, the data used for innovation studies are carried out as cross-sectional surveys in most countries. For this reason, studies dealing with longitudinal aspect of innovation persistence are rare. In particular, there is almost no research on innovation persistence using Korean innovation survey data. This study reviews the concepts and characteristics of innovation persistence based on extant literature, and perform an empirical analysis on the status and features of Korean firms' technology innovation persistence. Based on the data of the Korean Innovation Survey (KIS) conducted every other year from 2012 to 2018, panel data on 3,379 firms which observed multiple times are constructed. As a result, only part of the firms with persistent innovation were observed (for innovation performance 10~12%, for innovation activity 15~17%), and it was found that the persistence of non-innovation was remarkable(about 52~57%). And it was confirmed that the persistence of innovation activities is stronger than that of innovation performance. Besides, some features by sub-types of innovation appeared. Product innovation showed higher persistence than process innovation, and internal R&D also showed higher persistence than joint/external R&D. As a result of additional logit analysis to identify factors, it was found that radical or gradual product innovation is the most influential factor in persisting innovation in the next period. Since the sample selection bias due to a limitations of raw data might exist in the panel data constructed in this study, it should be noted that faulty generalization of the results are not allowed. Nevertheless, this is the first study to examine the technology innovation persistence targeting Korean firms and is expected to be a starting point for follow-up studies. It is anticipated that advanced research results will be drawn through the establishment of official panel data and improved methodologies.

Validating Iconic Memory According to the Phenomenological and Ecological Criticisms (현상학적, 생태학적 비판에 기초한 영상기억의 타당성)

  • Hyun, Joo-Seok
    • Korean Journal of Cognitive Science
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.239-268
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    • 2019
  • Since last several decades, iconic memory has been accepted theoretically valid for its role of the first storage mechanism in visual memory process. However, there have been relatively less interests in iconic memory among researchers than their interests in visual short- and long-term memory. Such little interests seem to arise from a lack of detailed understandings of theories and methodologies about iconic memory and visual persistence. This study aimed to achieve the understandings by reviewing theories and empirical studies of iconic memory and visual persistence. The study further discussed future direction of iconic memory research according to the essential aspects of phenomenological and ecological criticisms against the validity of iconic memory.

A Numerical Study on CUSUM Test for Volatility Shifts Against Long-Range Dependence (변동성 변화와 장기억성을 구분하는 CUSUM 검정통계량에 대한 실증분석)

  • Lee, Youngsun;Lee, Taewook
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.291-305
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    • 2014
  • Persistence is one of the typical characteristics appearing in the volatility of financial time series. According to the recent researches, the volatility persistence may be due to either volatility shifts or long-range dependence. In this paper, we consider residual-based CUSUM tests to distinguish volatility persistence, long-range dependence and volatility shifts in GARCH models. It is observed that this test procedure achieve reasonable powers without a size distortion. Moreover, we employ AIC and BIC criteria to estimate the change points and the number of change points in volatility. We demonstrate the superiority of residual-based CUSUM tests on various Monte Carlo simulations and empirical data analysis.

Application of Self-Organizing Map Theory for the Development of Rainfall-Runoff Prediction Model (강우-유출 예측모형 개발을 위한 자기조직화 이론의 적용)

  • Park, Sung Chun;Jin, Young Hoon;Kim, Yong Gu
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.4B
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    • pp.389-398
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    • 2006
  • The present study compositely applied the self-organizing map (SOM), which is a kind of artificial neural networks (ANNs), and the back propagation algorithm (BPA) for the rainfall-runoff prediction model taking account of the irregular variation of the spatiotemporal distribution of rainfall. To solve the problems from the previous studies on ANNs, such as the overestimation of low flow during the dry season, the underestimation of runoff during the flood season and the persistence phenomenon, in which the predicted values continuously represent the preceding runoffs, we introduced SOM theory for the preprocessing in the prediction model. The theory is known that it has the pattern classification ability. The method proposed in the present research initially includes the classification of the rainfall-runoff relationship using SOM and the construction of the respective models according to the classification by SOM. The individually constructed models used the data corresponding to the respectively classified patterns for the runoff prediction. Consequently, the method proposed in the present study resulted in the better prediction ability of runoff than that of the past research using the usual application of ANNs and, in addition, there were no such problems of the under/over-estimation of runoff and the persistence.

Application of Artificial Neural Networks Technique for the Improvement of Flood Forecasting and Warning System (홍수 예.경보시스템 개선을 위한 인공신경망 이론의 적용)

  • Park, Sung-Chun;Kim, Yong-Gu;Jeong, Choen-Lee;Jin, Young-Hoon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1265-1271
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    • 2009
  • 본 연구에서는 강우의 시 공간적 분포의 불규칙한 변동성을 고려한 강우-유출예측모형을 위해 인공신경망(Artificial Neural Networks: ANNs)의 기법의 일종인 자기조직화(Self Organizing Map: SOM) 이론과 역전파 학습 알고리즘(Back Propagation Algorithm: BPA) 이론을 복합적으로 이용하였다. 기존의 인공신경망 연구에서 야기된 저 갈수기의 유출량에 대한 과대평가, 홍수기의 유출량에 대한 과소평가, 예측값이 연속적으로 선행 유출량을 나타내는 Persistence 현상을 해결하기 위하여 패턴분류 성능을 지닌 SOM 이론을 예측모형의 전처리 과정으로 이용하였다. 먼저, 본 연구에서 제안한 방법은 SOM에 의해 강우-유출 관계를 분류하고, SOM에 의한 분류에 따라 각각의 모형을 구성한다. 개별적으로 구축된 모형은 유출량의 예측을 위해 각각의 양상에 따라 분류된 자료를 이용한다. 결과적으로 본 연구에서 제안한 방법은 과거의 인공신경망의 일반적인 적용에 의한 결과보다 더 나은 예측능력을 보여주었으며, 더불어 유출량의 과소 및 과대추정과 Persistence 현상과 같은 문제점이 나타나지 않았다. 또한 강우량 및 유출량의 범위에 제한을 받지 않는 강우-유출예측 모형의 개발 및 홍수기로부터 갈수기까지의 보다 넓은 범위의 유출량의 예측에 기여할 것으로 기대된다.

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Development of Rainfall-Runoff Prediction Model for Self Organizing Map (SOM에 강우-유출 예측모형 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Yong-Gu;Jin, Young-Hoon;Lee, Han-Min;Park, Sung-Chun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.301-306
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    • 2006
  • 본 연구에서는 강우의 시 공간적 분포의 불규칙한 변동성을 고려한 강우-유출예측을 위해 인공신경망(Artificial Neural Networks: ANNs)의 기법의 일종인 자기조직화(Self Organizing Map: SOM) 이론과 역전파 학습 알고리즘(Back Propagation Algorithm: BPA) 이론을 복합적으로 이용하였다. 기존의 인공신경망 연구에서 야기된 저..갈수기의 유출량에 대한 과대평가, 홍수기의 유출량에 대한 과소평가, 예측값이 선행 유출량의 지속성을 갖는 Persistence 현상을 해결하기 위하여 패턴분류 성능을 지닌 SOM 이론을 도입하여 예측모형의 전처리 과정으로 이용하였다. 이는 기존의 인공신경망 모형이 하나의 모형을 구성하여 유출량의 전 범위에 해당하는 자료를 예측하는 방법을 개선한 것으로 SOM에 의해 패턴이 분류된 강우-유출관계의 각 패턴별 예측모형을 통해 분류된 자료들의 예측을 수행하는 방법이다. 이와 같이 SOM을 강우-유출예측모형의 전처리과정으로 이용함으로서 기존의 인공신경망 연구에서 야기된 현상들을 해결할 수 있었고, 예측력 또한 기존의 인공신경망 모형의 결과에 비해 우수하였다.

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Propeller Display Using POV Phenomenon (POV 현상을 이용한 프로펠러 디스플레이)

  • Dong-Uk, Lee;Doo-Young, Ga;Dong-Ho, Lee;Yong-Wook, Park
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.1181-1186
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    • 2022
  • In this study, we have researched for a high-efficiency display with low power, less complicated configuration, and more attractive features than using conventional displays (CRT, LCD, LED, etc.) by manufacturing a propeller display using the POV(Persistence of Vision) phenomenon. After setting the reference point using the Hall sensor, the channel recognition signal and voice recognition signal are transmitted to the display using Bluetooth through the mobile phone application created based on the App program, and the display performs different operations according to the commanded Bluetooth signal. Finally, it was confirmed that the desired information is expressed on the display screen at a motor speed of 1,030 rpm.

Signal Detection Using Wavelet Transform in Fractional Brownian Motion (Fractional Brownian Motion 잡음환경 하에서 웨이브렛 변환을 이용한 신호의 검출)

  • 김명진
    • Proceedings of the Korea Institute of Convergence Signal Processing
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    • 2000.08a
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    • pp.21-24
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    • 2000
  • Fractional Brownian motion(fBm)은 long-term persistence 특성을 가진 자연 현상, 1/f 잡음, 깊이가 낮은 해저에서의 배경음향잡음 등을 모델링하는데 많이 사용된다. 이 fBm은 nonstationary 유색잡음이다. 이러한 유색잡음 환경 하에서 신호를 검출하기 위한 한 방법은 Fredholm 적분방정식의 해를 구하는 것이다. 이 방정식을 이산화 하면 잡음의 공분산 행렬의 역행렬이 포함되어 계산량이 많다 본 논문에서는 fBm 잡음의 공분산 행렬을 웨이브렛 변환하여 얻어지는 행렬, 즉 fBm의 멀티스케일 성분들의 공분산행렬은 밴드화된 블록들로 근사화할 수 있다는 성질을 이용하여 적은 계산량으로 신호를 검출하는 알고리즘을 제안한다.

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Mutual Funds Trading and its Impact on Stock Prices (뮤추얼펀드의 자금흐름과 주식거래가 주가에 미치는 효과)

  • Kho, Bong-Chan;Kim, Jin-Woo
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.35-62
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    • 2010
  • This paper examines the existence of the fund performance persistence and the smart money effect in Korean stock market and tests the flow-induced price pressure (FIPP) hypothesis, that is, fund flows affect individual stock returns and mutual fund performance. This paper also tests whether the FIPP effect can cause the performance persistence using the monthly returns and stock holdings data of 2,702 Korean mutual funds from January 2002 to June 2008. The empirical results indicate that the performance persistence exists significantly for a long time but the smart money effect does not. The hedge portfolio constructed by buying funds with the highest past 12 months performance and selling funds with the lowest past 12 months performance earns 0.11%~1.05% monthly abnormal returns, on average, in 3 years from portfolio formation month, but the hedge portfolio constructed by buying funds with the highest past net fund inflows and selling funds with the lowest past net fund inflows cannot earn positive monthly abnormal returns and the size of negative abnormal returns of the portfolio increase as time goes on. We find the evidence that the FIPP hypothesis is significantly supported. We first estimate the FIPP measure for each individual stock using the trading volume resulting from past fund flows and then construct the hedge portfolio by buying stocks with the highest FIPP measure and selling stocks with the lowest FIPP measure. That portfolio earns significantly positive abnormal return, 1.01% at only portfolio formation month and cannot earn significant abnormal returns after formation month. But, the FIPP effect cannot cause the performance persistence because, within the same FIPP measure group, funds with higher past performance still earn higher monthly abnormal returns than those with lower past performance by 0.08%~0.77%, on average, in 2 years. These results imply that the main cause of the performance persistence in Korean stock market is the difference of fund managers' ability rather than the FIPP effect.

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Study on Development of Artificial Neural Network Forecasting Model Using Runoff, Water Quality Data (유출량 및 수질자료를 이용한 인공신경망 예측모형 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Chang-Ryeol;Jin, Young-Hoon;Kim, Dong-Ryeol;Park, Sung-Chun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.41 no.10
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    • pp.1035-1044
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    • 2008
  • It is critical to study on data charateristics analysis and prediction for the flood disaster prevention and water quality monitoring because discharge and TOC data in a river channel are strongly nonlinear. Therefore, in the present study, prediction models for discharge, TOC, and TOC load data were developed using approximation component in the last level and detail components segregated by wavelet transform. The results show that the developed model overcame the persistence phenomenon which could be seen from previous models and improved the prediciton accuracy comparing with the previous models. It might be expected that the results from the present study can mitigate flood disaster damage and construct active alternatives to various water quality problems in the future.