• Title/Summary/Keyword: Peak-over-threshold

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The Analysis for Flood Damage on Nam-sa Down Stream Region (남사천 하류지역 홍수피해 분석)

  • 김가현;이영대;서진호;민일규
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.217-223
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    • 2001
  • Where no records are available at a site, a preliminary estimate may be made from relations between floods and catchment chatacteristics. A number of these chatacteristics were chosen for testing and were measured for those catchments where mean annual flood estimates were available. Although the improvement using extended data in regression of flood estimates on catchment characteristics was small, this may be due to the limitations of the regression model. When an individual short term record is to be extended, more detailed attention can be given; an example is presented of the technique which should be adopted in practice, particularly when a short term record covers a period which is known to be biassed. A method of extending the peaks over a threshold series is presented with a numerical example. The extension of records directly from rainfall by means of a conceptual model is discussed, although the application of such methods is likely to be limited by lack of recording raingauge information. Methods of combining information from various sources are discussed in terms of information from catchment characteristics supplemented by records. but are generally applicable to different sources of information. The application of this technique to estimating the probable maximum flood requires more conservative assumptions about the antecedent condition, storm profile and unit hydrograph. It is suggested that the profile and catchment wetness index at the start of the design duration should be based on the assumption that the estimated maximum rainfall occurs in all durations centered on the storm peak.

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Numerical Analysis of Nonlinear Shoaling Process of Random Waves - Centered on the Evolution of Wave Height Distribution at the Varying Stages of Shoaling Process (불규칙 파랑 비선형 천수 과정 수치해석 - 천수 단계별 파고분포 변화를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Yong Hee;Cho, Yong Jun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.106-121
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    • 2020
  • In order to make harbor outskirt facilities robust using the reliability-based design, probabilistic models of wave heights at varying stage of shoaling process optimized for Korean sea waves are prerequisite. In this rationale, we numerically simulate the nonlinear shoaling process of random waves over the beach with a sandbar at its foreshore. In doing so, comprehensive numerical models made of spatially filtered Navier-Stokes Eq., LES [Large Eddy Simulation], dynamic Smagorinsky turbulence closure were used. Considering the characteristics of swells observed at the east coast of Korean Peninsula, random waves were simulated using JONSWAP wave spectrum of various peak enhancement coefficients and random phase method. The coefficients of probabilistic models proposed in this study are estimated from the results of frequency analysis of wave crests and its associated trough detected by Wave by Wave Analysis of the time series of numerically simulated free surface displacements based on the threshold crossing method. Numerical results show that Modified Glukhovskiy wave height distribution, the most referred probabilistic models at finite water depth in the literature, over-predicts the occurring probability of relatively large and small wave heights, and under predicts the occurrence rate of waves of moderate heights. On the other hand, probabilistic models developed in this study show vary encouraging agreements. In addition, the discrepancy of the Modified Glukhovskiy distribution from the measured one are most visible over the surf zone, and as a result, the Modified Glukhovskiy distribution should be applied with caution for the reliability-based design of harbor outskirt facilities deployed near the surf-zone.

Multi-stage and Variable-length Peak Windowing Techniques for PAPR Reduction of OFDMA Downlink Systems (OFDMA 하향링크 시스템에서의 PAPR 저감을 위한 다단계 및 가변길이 첨두 윈도윙 기법들)

  • Lee, Sung-Eun;Min, Hyun-Kee;Bang, Keuk-Joon;Hong, Dae-Sik
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TC
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.67-74
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    • 2008
  • This paper proposes two peak-windowing algorithms for peak-to-average power reduction(PAPR) of orthogonal frequency division multiple access(OFDMA) downlink systems. The Proposed algorithms mitigate the effect of excessive suppression due to successive peaks or relatively high peaks of the signal. First, multi-stage peak windowing algorithm is proposed, which exploits multiple threshold of target PAPR in order to step down the peaks gradually. Secondary, variable-length peak windowing algorithm is proposed, which adapts the window length with respect to the existence of successive peaks within a half of window length. Therefore, the proposed method reduces the distortion of signal amplitude caused by window overlapping. The proposed algorithms outperform the conventional peak windowing with the aid of window-length adaptation or sequential peak power reduction. Simulation results show the efficiency of the proposed algorithms over OFDMA downlink systems, especially WiBro systems.

A Study on Design of Narrow Beamwidth Multimode Feed Horn Antenna for High Power Microwave Antenna System (초고출력 안테나 시스템 급전용 좁은 빔폭의 다중모드 혼 안테나 설계에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Sang-Heun;Ahn, Ji-Hwan;Yoon, Young-Joong;So, Joon-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Electromagnetic Engineering Society Conference
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.361-366
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, a modified multimode hem antenna is designed to have 142 mm horn aperture radius and 921 mm length in order to be safe under 100 MW peak pulse power at 3 cm wave length through breakdown phenomenon study that threshold field strengths for the air breakdown phenomena is decided to be 3.78 MV/m. The proposed antenna is measured gain over 27 dBi and the -25 dB beam width of 29$^{\circ}$ in vertical plane.

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A New Pixel Structure with Vth Variation Compensation Scheme for Poly-Si TFT AMOELD

  • Kim, Yang-Wan;Lee, Sung-Ryong;Kwon, Oh-Kyong;Kim, Keum-Nam;Park, Yong-Sung;Yang, Sun-A;Shin, Dong-Young;Kim, Byung-Hee;Chung, Ho-Kyoon
    • 한국정보디스플레이학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2002.08a
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    • pp.167-170
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    • 2002
  • We have proposed new pixel structures for Active Matrix OELD (AMOELD) to improve the uniformity of luminance and manufactured a full-color 3.6-inch QVGA AMOELD. The proposed pixel structures, composed of four TFTs and one capacitor, can display 64 gray scales by compensating threshold voltage (Vth) variation of driving TFTs. Nonuniformity and peak intensity of measured luminance are under 14% and over $200cd/m^2$, respectively.

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A Study on the fSDF Phase Filter for a Distortion Invariant Optical pattern Recognition (왜곡불변 광패턴인식을 위한 fSDF위상필터에 관한 연구)

  • 전석희;은재정;박완현;박한규
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.137-142
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    • 1990
  • A theory for the synthesis of a SDF including the filter modulation is suggested. In the filter synthesis, the iteration equation was used to iterate trial solution vectors. A computer simulation of the fSDF method using threshold binary images of the flight objects over a range of aspect angles was performed for POF and BPOF. The constructed fSDF filters are capable of obtaining the specified peak correlation response within a 1.7%-4.0% error range, after several iterations. However, the conventional pSDF/POFs, BPOFs are not. The results indicate POFs and BPOs can be made to perform well for distortion invariant optical pattern recognition using the fSDF method.

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The Gringorten estimator revisited

  • Cook, Nicholas John;Harris, Raymond Ian
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.355-372
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    • 2013
  • The Gringorten estimator has been extensively used in extreme value analysis of wind speed records to obtain unbiased estimates of design wind speeds. This paper reviews the derivation of the Gringorten estimator for the mean plotting position of extremes drawn from parents of the exponential type and demonstrates how it eliminates most of the bias caused by the classical Weibull estimator. It is shown that the coefficients in the Gringorten estimator are the asymptotic values for infinite sample sizes, whereas the estimator is most often used for small sample sizes. The principles used by Gringorten are used to derive a new Consistent Linear Unbiased Estimator (CLUE) for the mean plotting positions for the Fisher Tippett Type 1, Exponential and Weibull distributions and for the associated standard deviations. Analytical and Bootstrap methods are used to calibrate the bias error in each of the estimators and to show that the CLUE are accurate to better than 1%.

A Study on Optimal Time Distribution of Extreme Rainfall Using Minutely Rainfall Data: A Case Study of Seoul (분단위 강우자료를 이용한 극치강우의 최적 시간분포 연구: 서울지점을 중심으로)

  • Yoon, Sun-Kwon;Kim, Jong-Suk;Moon, Young-Il
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.45 no.3
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    • pp.275-290
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    • 2012
  • In this study, we have developed an optimal time distribution model through extraction of peaks over threshold (POT) series. The median values for annual maximum rainfall dataset, which are obtained from the magnetic recording (MMR) and the automatic weather system(AWS) data at Seoul meteorological observatory, were used as the POT criteria. We also suggested the improved methodology for the time distribution of extreme rainfall compared to Huff method, which is widely used for time distributions of design rainfall. The Huff method did not consider changing in the shape of time distribution for each rainfall durations and rainfall criteria as total amount of rainfall for each rainfall events. This study have suggested an extracting methodology for rainfall events in each quartile based on interquartile range (IQR) matrix and selection for the mode quartile storm to determine the ranking cosidering weighting factors on minutely observation data. Finally, the optimal time distribution model in each rainfall duration was derived considering both data size and characteristics of distribution using kernel density function in extracted dimensionless unit rainfall hyetograph.

Application of Dynamic Reliability Model to Analysis of Armor Stability of Rouble-Mound Breakwaters (경사제 피복재의 안정성 해석에 대한 동적 신뢰성 모형의 적용)

  • Kim, Sung-Ho;Lee, Cheol-Eung
    • Journal of Industrial Technology
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    • v.24 no.A
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    • pp.215-226
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    • 2004
  • A dynamic reliability model which can take into account the time history of loading sequences may be applied to the analyses of the hydraulic stability of armor units on rubble-mound breakwaters. All the parameters related to the stability of structures have been considered to be constants in the deterministic model until now. Thus, it is impossible to study the effects of some uncertainties of the related random variables on the stability of structures. In this paper, the dynamic reliability model can be developed by POT(Peak Over Threshold) method in order to take into account the time history of loading sequences and to investigate the temporal behaviors of stability of structure with its loading history. Finally, it is confirmed that the results of dynamic reliability model agree with straight- forwardly those of AFDA(Approximate Full Distribution Approach) of the static reliability model for the same input conditions. In addition, the temporal behaviors of probability of failure can be studied by the dynamic reliability model developed to analyze the hydraulic stability of armor units on rubble-mound breakwaters. Therefore, the present results may be useful for the management of repair and maintenance over the whole life cycle of structure.

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Usefulness and Limitations of Extreme Value Theory VAR model : The Korean Stock Market (극한치이론을 이용한 VAR 추정치의 유용성과 한계 - 우리나라 주식시장을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Kyu-Hyong;Lee, Joon-Haeng
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.119-146
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    • 2005
  • This study applies extreme value theory to get extreme value-VAR for Korean Stock market and showed the usefulness of the approach. Block maxima model and POT model were used as extreme value models and tested which model was more appropriate through back testing. It was shown that the block maxima model was unstable as the variation of the estimate was very large depending on the confidence level and the magnitude of the estimates depended largely on the block size. This shows that block maxima model was not appropriate for Korean Stock market. On the other hand POT model was relatively stable even though extreme value VAR depended on the selection of the critical value. Back test also showed VAR showed a better result than delta VAR above 97.5% confidence level. POT model performs better the higher the confidence level, which suggests that POT model is useful as a risk management tool especially for VAR estimates with a confidence level higher than 99%. This study picks up the right tail and left tail of the return distribution and estimates the EVT-VAR for each, which reflects the asymmetry of the return distribution of the Korean Stock market.

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