• Title/Summary/Keyword: Pareto and Lognormal Distribution

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Estimation on composite lognormal-Pareto distribution based on doubly censored samples (결합 로그노말-파레토 분포에서 추출된 양쪽 중도 절단된 표본을 이용한 모수추정)

  • Lee, Kwang-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.171-177
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    • 2011
  • With the development of the actuarial and insurance industries, the distributions of the insurance payments data are deeply studied by many authors. It is known that theses types of distribution are very highly positively skewed and have a long thick upper tail such as Pareto or lognormal distribution. In 2005, Cooray and Ananda proposed a new model which is composed lognormal distribution and Pareto distribution. They said it as composite lognormal-Preto distribution. They showed that the proposed distribution was better fitted than lognormal or Pareto distribution. On the other hand many agreements about the insurance payment have some options for a trivially small payment or extremely large one because of the limits of total payment. Appling these cases, in this paper we consider the parameter estimation on the composite lognormal-Pareto distribution based on doubly censored samples.

A Robust Estimation for the Composite Lognormal-Pareto Model

  • Pak, Ro Jin
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.311-319
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    • 2013
  • Cooray and Ananda (2005) proposed a composite lognormal-Pareto model to analyze loss payment data in the actuarial and insurance industries. Their model is based on a lognormal density up to an unknown threshold value and a two-parameter Pareto density. In this paper, we implement the minimum density power divergence estimation for the composite lognormal-Pareto density. We compare the performances of the minimum density power divergence estimator (MDPDE) and the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) by simulations and an example. The minimum density power divergence estimator performs reasonably well against various violations in the distribution. The minimum density power divergence estimator better fits small observations and better resists against extraordinary large observations than the maximum likelihood estimator.

Characterizing the Tail Distribution of Android IO Workload (안드로이드 입출력 부하의 꼬리분포 특성분석)

  • Park, Changhyun;Won, Youjip;Park, Yongjun
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.8 no.10
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    • pp.245-250
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    • 2019
  • The use of NAND flash memory has increased rapidly due to the development of mobile fields. However, NAND flash memory has a limited lifespan, so studies are underway to predict its lifespan. Workload is one of the factors that significantly affect the life of NAND flash memory, and workload analysis studies in mobile environments are insufficient. In this paper, we analyze the distribution of workload in the mobile environment by collecting traces generated by using Android-based smartphones. The collected traces can be divided into three groups of hotness. Also they are distributed in the form of heavy tails. We fit this to the Pareto, Lognormal, and Weibull distributions, and Traces are closest to the Pareto distribution.

Time-varying modeling of the composite LN-GPD (시간에 따라 변화하는 로그-정규분포와 파레토 합성 분포의 모형 추정)

  • Park, Sojin;Baek, Changryong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.109-122
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    • 2018
  • The composite lognormal-generalized Pareto distribution (LN-GPD) is a mixture of right-truncated lognormal and GPD for a given threshold value. Scollnik (Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, 2007, 20-33, 2007) shows that the composite LN-GPD is adequate to describe body distribution and heavy-tailedness. This paper considers time-varying modeling of the LN-GPD based on local polynomial maximum likelihood estimation. Time-varying model provides significant detailed information of time dependent data, hence it can be applied to disciplines such as service engineering for staffing and resources management. Our work also extends to Beirlant and Goegebeur (Journal of Multivariate Analysis, 89, 97-118, 2004) in the sense of losing no data by including truncated lognormal distribution. Our proposed method is shown to perform adequately in simulation. Real data application to the service time of the Israel bank call center shows interesting findings on the staffing policy.

Investigations into Coarsening Continuous Variables

  • Jeong, Dong-Myeong;Kim, Jay-J.
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.325-333
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    • 2010
  • Protection against disclosure of survey respondents' identifiable and/or sensitive information is a prerequisite for statistical agencies that release microdata files from their sample surveys. Coarsening is one of popular methods for protecting the confidentiality of the data. Grouped data can be released in the form of microdata or tabular data. Instead of releasing the data in a tabular form only, having microdata available to the public with interval codes with their representative values greatly enhances the utility of the data. It allows the researchers to compute covariance between the variables and build statistical models or to run a variety of statistical tests on the data. It may be conjectured that the variance of the interval data is lower that of the ungrouped data in the sense that the coarsened data do not have the within interval variance. This conjecture will be investigated using the uniform and triangular distributions. Traditionally, midpoint is used to represent all the values in an interval. This approach implicitly assumes that the data is uniformly distributed within each interval. However, this assumption may not hold, especially in the last interval of the economic data. In this paper, we will use three distributional assumptions - uniform, Pareto and lognormal distribution - in the last interval and use either midpoint or median for other intervals for wage and food costs of the Statistics Korea's 2006 Household Income and Expenditure Survey(HIES) data and compare these approaches in terms of the first two moments.

New composite distributions for insurance claim sizes (보험 청구액에 대한 새로운 복합분포)

  • Jung, Daehyeon;Lee, Jiyeon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.363-376
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    • 2017
  • The insurance market is saturated and its growth engine is exhausted; consequently, the insurance industry is now in a low growth period with insurance companies that face a fierce competitive environment. In such a situation, it will be an important issue to find the probability distributions that can explain the flow of insurance claims, which are the basis of the actuarial calculation of the insurance product. Insurance claims are generally known to be well fitted by lognormal distributions or Pareto distributions biased to the left with a thick tail. In recent years, skew normal distributions or skew t distributions have been considered reasonable distributions for describing insurance claims. Cooray and Ananda (2005) proposed a composite lognormal-Pareto distribution that has the advantages of both lognormal and Pareto distributions and they also showed the composite distribution has a higher fitness than single distributions. In this paper, we introduce new composite distributions based on skew normal distributions or skew t distributions and apply them to Danish fire insurance claim data and US indemnity loss data to compare their performance with the other composite distributions and single distributions.

Medium-Small and Venture Firm Size Distribution and Trade Welfare (중소벤처기업규모와 무역후생)

  • Cho, Sang Sup;Min, Kyung Se
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.41-47
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    • 2017
  • This study is an empirical analysis of the welfare of small and medium venture company trade. In the past, although the study analyzes the trade welfare for representative firm, this research is focusing on the distribution of an entire industry of companies analyzed. In this study, medium-to venture enterprise-scale for logarithmic normal distribution and Pareto distribution is estimated, and this study investigates the trading welfare changes. Results of the analysis can be summarized as follows. First of all, greater trade benefits enterprise-scale heterogeneity appeared to be significant. The result of this finding appeared to be the same to large firms as well as small and medium ventures. Trading welfare, assuming the distribution of Pareto rather than logarithmic normal distribution it's supposed to be overwhelmingly large. Secondly, the case of large corporations shows the more trade welfare than that of small and medium venture companies. Third, assuming homogeneous distribution of enterprise-scale trade welfare differences did not exist. Finally, from the point of view of increasing the welfare of trade, the diversity aiming of venture business is a very important role in the long term, because of the small and medium-sized ventures trade role.

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Estimation of Design Rainfall Considering the Change of the Number of Years for Observed Data (관측년수변화를 고려한 설계강우량 산정)

  • Ryoo, Kyong-Sik;Lee, Soon-Hyuk;Hwang, Man-Ha;Lee, Sang-Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.284-287
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    • 2005
  • The objective of this study is to check into variation trends of design rainfall according to change of the number of years for observed data. To make comparative study of the relation between design rainfall and recorded year, this study was used maximum rainfall for 24-hr consecutive duration at Gangneung, Seoul, Incheon, Chupungnyeong, Pohang, Daegu, Jeonju, Ulsan, Gwangju, Busan, Mokpo and Yeosu rainfall stations. The tests for Independence, Homogeneity and detection of outliers were used Wald-Wolfowitz's test, Mann-Whitney's test and Grubbs and Beck test respectively. To select appopriate distribution, the distribution of genaralized pareto(GPA), generalized extreme value(GEV), generalized logistic(GLO), lognormal and pearson type 3 distribution is judged by L-moment ratio diagram and Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) test. Design rainfall was estimated by at-site frequency analysis using L-moments and Generalized extreme value(GEV) distribution according to change of the number of years for observed data. Through the comparative analysis for design rainfall induced by L-moments and GEV distribution, relationship between design rainfall and recorded year is provided.

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A Study of the effective approach method for median control chart of non-normally distributed process (비정규분포공정에서 계량치관리를 위한 메디안 특수 관리도의 모형설계와 그 적용에 관한 실용에 연구)

  • 신용백
    • Journal of the Korean Professional Engineers Association
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.19-32
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    • 1988
  • Whereas is non-symmetrical distribution manufacturing process the traditional X-chart by Shewhart is not plotted relatively on the central line but plotted on the skew of upper-hand side or lower-hand side. That is to say, for the purpose of producing either upper-specification-oriented items or lower-specification-oriented items, and when we carry out tighter control so as to have them pass only its specifications, the distribution shape naturally has a non-normal distribution. In the Shewhart X-chart, which is the most widely used one in Korea, such skewed distributions make tile plots to be inclined below or above the central line or outside the control limits although no assignable causes can be found. To overcome such short comings is non-normally distributed processes, a distribution-free type of confidence interval can be used, which should be haled on order statistics. This thesis is concerned with the design of control chart based on a sample median which is easy to use in practical situation and therefore properties for non-normal distributions, such as Gamma, Beta, Lognormal, Weibull, Pareto, and Truncated-normal distributions, may be easily analyzed. To enhance this improvement, I proved the property of practical applications of control chart method by comparing and analyzing the case studies of practical application of special purpose control chart method, and also by introducing the new designed median control chart.

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An Empirical Study on the Technology Innovation Distribution, Technology Imitation Distribution and New International Trade Theory (기술혁신분포, 기술모방분포 그리고 신 국제무역이론에 대한 실증연구)

  • Cho, Sang Sup;Min, Kyung Se;Cho, Byung Sun;Hwang, Ho Young
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.860-874
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    • 2018
  • This study aims at empirical analysis of the new international trade theory (Melitz, 2012, 2014, 2015). The new international trade theory is centered on the effect of heterogeneous firms on the technological competitiveness on the trade effect and resulted from the important assumption that the form of the enterprise technology distribution determines the trade effect. This study empirically estimated the distribution of enterprise technology in Korean manufacturing. For the purpose of this study, we divided Korea's total enterprise technology distribution into technological innovation and technical imitation distribution, then statistically verified the distribution type and evaluated the appropriateness of the new international trade theory. Based on the empirical results of this study, we briefly suggested the direction of technology policy.