• Title/Summary/Keyword: Parameter estimator

Search Result 475, Processing Time 0.028 seconds

Use of beta-P distribution for modeling hydrologic events

  • Murshed, Md. Sharwar;Seo, Yun Am;Park, Jeong-Soo;Lee, Youngsaeng
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.25 no.1
    • /
    • pp.15-27
    • /
    • 2018
  • Parametric method of flood frequency analysis involves fitting of a probability distribution to observed flood data. When record length at a given site is relatively shorter and hard to apply the asymptotic theory, an alternative distribution to the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution is often used. In this study, we consider the beta-P distribution (BPD) as an alternative to the GEV and other well-known distributions for modeling extreme events of small or moderate samples as well as highly skewed or heavy tailed data. The L-moments ratio diagram shows that special cases of the BPD include the generalized logistic, three-parameter log-normal, and GEV distributions. To estimate the parameters in the distribution, the method of moments, L-moments, and maximum likelihood estimation methods are considered. A Monte-Carlo study is then conducted to compare these three estimation methods. Our result suggests that the L-moments estimator works better than the other estimators for this model of small or moderate samples. Two applications to the annual maximum stream flow of Colorado and the rainfall data from cloud seeding experiments in Southern Florida are reported to show the usefulness of the BPD for modeling hydrologic events. In these examples, BPD turns out to work better than $beta-{\kappa}$, Gumbel, and GEV distributions.

Improved Responsiveness of Model-Based Sensorless Control for Electric-Supercharger Motor using an Position Error Compensation (위치 오차 보상을 통한 전동식 슈퍼차저 모터의 모델 기반 센서리스 응답성 개선)

  • Park, Gui-Yeol;Hwang, Yo-Han;Heo, Nam;Lee, Ju
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Power Electronics
    • /
    • v.24 no.1
    • /
    • pp.9-15
    • /
    • 2019
  • Sensorless electric superchargers have recently been actively developed to provide a large amount of oxygen to engines in order assist the combustion process for miniaturizing the engines and improving fuel efficiency. The model-based sensorless method for surface-mounted permanent magnet synchronous motors has a disadvantage in that the system may become unstable due to parameter variations in low-speed operation and the rapid-acceleration section. An electric supercharger requires fast response to improve the engine response delay, such as the turbocharger turbo-rack. Therefore, the responsiveness must be improved to use the model-based sensorless system. The position compensation algorithm designed in this study is controlled by converting the position error into the beta, which is the angle formed by the d-axis and the stator current during sudden speed change. In this study, we improved the response of the model-based sensorless system through the algorithm and verified the algorithm validity by applying the algorithm to an actual dual-motor supercharger.

A model-based adaptive control method for real-time hybrid simulation

  • Xizhan Ning;Wei Huang;Guoshan Xu;Zhen Wang;Lichang Zheng
    • Smart Structures and Systems
    • /
    • v.31 no.5
    • /
    • pp.437-454
    • /
    • 2023
  • Real-time hybrid simulation (RTHS), which has the advantages of a substructure pseudo-dynamic test, is widely used to investigate the rate-dependent mechanical response of structures under earthquake excitation. However, time delay in RTHS can cause inaccurate results and experimental instabilities. Thus, this study proposes a model-based adaptive control strategy using a Kalman filter (KF) to minimize the time delay and improve RTHS stability and accuracy. In this method, the adaptive control strategy consists of three parts-a feedforward controller based on the discrete inverse model of a servohydraulic actuator and physical specimen, a parameter estimator using the KF, and a feedback controller. The KF with the feedforward controller can significantly reduce the variable time delay due to its fast convergence and high sensitivity to the error between the desired displacement and the measured one. The feedback control can remedy the residual time delay and minimize the method's dependence on the inverse model, thereby improving the robustness of the proposed control method. The tracking performance and parametric studies are conducted using the benchmark problem in RTHS. The results reveal that better tracking performance can be obtained, and the KF's initial settings have limited influence on the proposed strategy. Virtual RTHSs are conducted with linear and nonlinear physical substructures, respectively, and the results indicate brilliant tracking performance and superb robustness of the proposed method.

Classical and Bayesian inferences of stress-strength reliability model based on record data

  • Sara Moheb;Amal S. Hassan;L.S. Diab
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.31 no.5
    • /
    • pp.497-519
    • /
    • 2024
  • In reliability analysis, the probability P(Y < X) is significant because it denotes availability and dependability in a stress-strength model where Y and X are the stress and strength variables, respectively. In reliability theory, the inverse Lomax distribution is a well-established lifetime model, and the literature is developing inference techniques for its reliability attributes. In this article, we are interested in estimating the stress-strength reliability R = P(Y < X), where X and Y have an unknown common scale parameter and follow the inverse Lomax distribution. Using Bayesian and non-Bayesian approaches, we discuss this issue when both stress and strength are expressed in terms of lower record values. The parametric bootstrapping techniques of R are taken into consideration. The stress-strength reliability estimator is investigated using uniform and gamma priors with several loss functions. Based on the proposed loss functions, the reliability R is estimated using Bayesian analyses with Gibbs and Metropolis-Hasting samplers. Monte Carlo simulation studies and real-data-based examples are also performed to analyze the behavior of the proposed estimators. We analyze electrical insulating fluids, particularly those used in transformers, for data sets using the stress-strength model. In conclusion, as expected, the study's results showed that the mean squared error values decreased as the record number increased. In most cases, Bayesian estimates under the precautionary loss function are more suitable in terms of simulation conclusions than other specified loss functions.

Analysis of influence of parameter error for extended EMF based sensorless control and flux based sensorless control of PM synchronous motor (영구자석 동기전동기의 확장 역기전력 기반 센서리스 제어와 자속기반 센서리스 제어의 파라미터 오차의 영향 분석)

  • Park, Wan-Seo;Cho, Kwan-Yuhl;Kim, Hag-Wone
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.20 no.3
    • /
    • pp.8-15
    • /
    • 2019
  • The PM synchronous motor drives with vector control have been applied to wide fields of industry applications due to its high efficiency. The rotor position information for vector control of a PM synchronous motor is detected from the rotor position sensors or rotor position estimators. The sensorless control based on the mathematical model of PM synchronous motor is generally used and it can be classified into back EMF -based sensorless control and magnet flux-based sensorless control. The rotor position estimating performance of the back EMF-based sensorless control is deteriorated at low speeds since the magnitude of back EMF is proportional to the motor speed. The magnitude of the magnet flux for estimating rotor position in the flux-based sensorless control is independent on the motor speed so that the estimating performance is excellent for wide speed ranges. However, the estimation performance of the model-based sensorless control may be influenced by the motor parameter variation since the rotor position estimator uses the mathematical model of the PM synchronous motor. In this paper, the rotor position estimation performance for the back EMF based- and flux-based sensorless controls is analyzed theoretically and is compared through the simulation and experiment when the motor parameters including stator resistance and inductance are varied.

Structural Safety Assessment Using Equation Error Function and Response Error Function (방정식 오차함수와 응답 오차함수를 사용한 구조 안전성 평가)

  • Park, Woo-Jin
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.10 no.10
    • /
    • pp.2819-2830
    • /
    • 2009
  • Load bearing structural members in a wide variety of applications accumulate damage over their service life. During experiment much effort and cost is needed for measuring structural safety assessment. The sparseness and errors of measured data have to be considered during the safety estimation of structures. This paper introduces parameter estimation and damage identification algorithm by a system identification using static and dynamic response. The equation error estimator and response error widely used in system identification are based on the minimization of least squared error between measured and calculated responses by a mathematical model of a structure. Since each estimator has a specific form of application in noisy environment and proposes different definitions for these forms. To study the behaviour of the estimators in noisy environment Using Monte Carlo simulation, and a data measured pertubation scheme is adopted to investigate the influence of measurement errors on identification results. The assessment result by static and dynamic response were compared, and the efficiency and applicabilities of the proposed algorithm are demonstrated through simulated static and dynamic responses of a dimensional truss type structures.

A Development of Groundwater Level Fluctuations Due To Precipitations and Infiltrations (강우에 의한 지하수위 변동 예측모델의 개발 및 적용)

  • Park, Eun-Gyu
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
    • /
    • v.12 no.4
    • /
    • pp.54-59
    • /
    • 2007
  • In this study, a semi-analytical model to address groundwater level fluctuations in response to precipitations and its infiltration is developed through mathematical modeling based on water balance equation. The developed model is applied to a prediction of groundwater level fluctuations in Hongcheon area. The developed model is calibrated through a nonlinear parameter estimator by using daily precipitation rates and groundwater fluctuations data of a same year 2003. The calibrated input parameters are directly applied to the prediction of groundwater fluctuations of year 2004 and the simulated curve successfully mimics the observed. The developed model is also applied to practical problems such as a prediction of a effect of reduced recharge due to surface coverage change and a induced water level reduction. Through this study, we found that recharge to precipitation ratio is not a constant and may be a function of a precipitation pattern.

LMS based Iterative Decision Feedback Equalizer for Wireless Packet Data Transmission (무선 패킷데이터 전송을 위한 LMS기반의 반복결정 귀환 등화기)

  • Choi Yun-Seok;Park Hyung-Kun
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
    • /
    • v.10 no.7
    • /
    • pp.1287-1294
    • /
    • 2006
  • In many current wireless packet data system, the short-burst transmissions are used, and training overhead is very significant for such short burst formats. So, the availability of the short training sequence and the fast converging algorithm is essential in the adaptive equalizer. In this paper, the new equalizer algorithm is proposed to improve the performance of a MTLMS (multiple-training least mean square) based DFE (decision feedback equalizer)using the short training sequence. In the proposed method, the output of the DFE is fed back to the LMS (least mean square) based adaptive DEF loop iteratively and used as an extended training sequence. Instead of the block operation using ML (maximum likelihood) estimator, the low-complexity adaptive LMS operation is used for overall processing. Simulation results show that the perfonnance of the proposed equalizer is improved with a linear computational increase as the iterations parameter in creases and can give the more robustness to the time-varying fading.

An effective online delay estimation method based on a simplified physical system model for real-time hybrid simulation

  • Wang, Zhen;Wu, Bin;Bursi, Oreste S.;Xu, Guoshan;Ding, Yong
    • Smart Structures and Systems
    • /
    • v.14 no.6
    • /
    • pp.1247-1267
    • /
    • 2014
  • Real-Time Hybrid Simulation (RTHS) is a novel approach conceived to evaluate dynamic responses of structures with parts of a structure physically tested and the remainder parts numerically modelled. In RTHS, delay estimation is often a precondition of compensation; nonetheless, system delay may vary during testing. Consequently, it is sometimes necessary to measure delay online. Along these lines, this paper proposes an online delay estimation method using least-squares algorithm based on a simplified physical system model, i.e., a pure delay multiplied by a gain reflecting amplitude errors of physical system control. Advantages and disadvantages of different delay estimation methods based on this simplified model are firstly discussed. Subsequently, it introduces the least-squares algorithm in order to render the estimator based on Taylor series more practical yet effective. As a result, relevant parameter choice results to be quite easy. Finally in order to verify performance of the proposed method, numerical simulations and RTHS with a buckling-restrained brace specimen are carried out. Relevant results show that the proposed technique is endowed with good convergence speed and accuracy, even when measurement noises and amplitude errors of actuator control are present.

Empirical Bayesian Misclassification Analysis on Categorical Data (범주형 자료에서 경험적 베이지안 오분류 분석)

  • 임한승;홍종선;서문섭
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.14 no.1
    • /
    • pp.39-57
    • /
    • 2001
  • Categorical data has sometimes misclassification errors. If this data will be analyzed, then estimated cell probabilities could be biased and the standard Pearson X2 tests may have inflated true type I error rates. On the other hand, if we regard wellclassified data with misclassified one, then we might spend lots of cost and time on adjustment of misclassification. It is a necessary and important step to ask whether categorical data is misclassified before analyzing data. In this paper, when data is misclassified at one of two variables for two-dimensional contingency table and marginal sums of a well-classified variable are fixed. We explore to partition marginal sums into each cells via the concepts of Bound and Collapse of Sebastiani and Ramoni (1997). The double sampling scheme (Tenenbein 1970) is used to obtain informations of misclassification. We propose test statistics in order to solve misclassification problems and examine behaviors of the statistics by simulation studies.

  • PDF