• 제목/요약/키워드: Panel data model

검색결과 1,198건 처리시간 0.03초

Restricted maximum likelihood estimation of a censored random effects panel regression model

  • Lee, Minah;Lee, Seung-Chun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.371-383
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    • 2019
  • Panel data sets have been developed in various areas, and many recent studies have analyzed panel, or longitudinal data sets. Maximum likelihood (ML) may be the most common statistical method for analyzing panel data models; however, the inference based on the ML estimate will have an inflated Type I error because the ML method tends to give a downwardly biased estimate of variance components when the sample size is small. The under estimation could be severe when data is incomplete. This paper proposes the restricted maximum likelihood (REML) method for a random effects panel data model with a censored dependent variable. Note that the likelihood function of the model is complex in that it includes a multidimensional integral. Many authors proposed to use integral approximation methods for the computation of likelihood function; however, it is well known that integral approximation methods are inadequate for high dimensional integrals in practice. This paper introduces to use the moments of truncated multivariate normal random vector for the calculation of multidimensional integral. In addition, a proper asymptotic standard error of REML estimate is given.

LM Tests in Nested Serially Correlated Error Components Model with Panel Data

  • Song, Seuck-Heun;Jung, Byoung-Cheol;Myoungshic Jhun
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제30권4호
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    • pp.541-550
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    • 2001
  • This paper considers a panel data regression model in which the disturbances follow a nested error components with serial correlation. Given this model, this paper derives several Lagrange Multiplier(LM) testis for the presence of serial correlation as well as random individual effects, nested effects, and for existence of serial correlation given random individual and nested effects.

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Estimation of Random Coefficient AR(1) Model for Panel Data

  • Son, Young-Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.529-544
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    • 1996
  • This paper deals with the problem of estimating the autoregressive random coefficient of a first-order random coefficient autoregressive time series model applied to panel data of time series. The autoregressive random coefficients across individual units are assumed to be a random sample from a truncated normal distribution with the space (-1, 1) for stationarity. The estimates of random coefficients are obtained by an empirical Bayes procedure using the estimates of model parameters. Also, a Monte Carlo study is conducted to support the estimation procedure proposed in this paper. Finally, we apply our results to the economic panel data in Liu and Tiao(1980).

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An analysis of the effect of the inequality of income to the inequality of health: Using Panel Analysis of the OECD Health data from 1980 to 2013

  • Lee, Hun-Hee;Lee, Jung-Seo
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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    • 제22권10호
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    • pp.145-150
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    • 2017
  • This study aims to analyze panel data using OECD Health data of 34 years to examine how significant the inequality of income is to the inequality of health. The data was from OECD's pooled Health data of 32 countries from 1980 to 2013. The process of determining analysis model was as follows; First, through the descriptive statistics, we examined averages and standard deviation of variables. Second, Lagrange multiplier test has done. Third, through the F-test, we compared Least squares method and Fixed effect model. Lastly, by Hausman test, we determined proper model and examined effective factor using the model. As a result, rather than Pooled OLS Model, Fixed Effect Model was shown as effective in order to consider the characteristics of individual in the panel. The results are as follows: First, as relative poverty rate(${\beta}=-19.264$, p<.01) grows, people's life expectancy decreases. Second, as the rate of smoking(${\beta}=-.125$, p<.05) and the rate of unemployment (${\beta}=-.081$, p<.01) grows, people's life expectancy decreases. Third, as health expenditure(${\beta}=.414$, p<.01) shares more amount of GDP and as the number of hospital beds(${\beta}=-.190$, p<.05) grows, people's life expectancy increases.

간헐적인 패널 1차 자기회귀과정들의 동질성 검정과 적용 (Test of Homogeneity for Intermittent Panel AR(1) Processes and Application)

  • 이성덕;김선우;조나래
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제27권7호
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    • pp.1163-1170
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    • 2014
  • 간헐적인 패널 시계열 자료의 개념과 구조를 소개하고, 간헐적인 패널 시계열 자료의 모형으로 간헐적인 패널 1차 자기회귀 모형을 고려하였다. 간헐적인 패널 1차 자기회귀 모형의 동질성 검정을 위하여 Wald 검정통계량을 제안하고, 그 극한분포를 제시하였다. 또한 동질성이 만족되는 경우 시점 별 평균을 이용하여 종합한 자료로 모형을 적합하였다. 이 모형의 동질성 검정 통계량의 극한분포가 $^x2$분포에 잘 따르는지를 알아보기 위해 모의실험을 실시하고, 실제 자료 분석으로 지역별 월별 Mumps 자료에 간헐적인 패널 1차 자기회귀 모형을 적합하여 동질성 검정을 수행한 결과 동질성을 만족하였다. 동질성이 만족된 지역별 월별 Mumps 자료를 시점 별 평균을 이용하여 종합하고 1차 자기회귀 모형으로 적합하였다.

An analytical approach of behavior change for concrete dam by panel data model

  • Gu, Hao;Yang, Meng;Gu, Chongshi;Cao, Wenhan;Huang, Xiaofei;Su, Huaizhi
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • 제36권5호
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    • pp.521-531
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    • 2020
  • The behavior variation of concrete dam is investigated, based on a new method for analyzing the data model of concrete dam in service process for the limitation of wavelet transform for solving concrete dam service process model. The study takes into account the time and position of behavior change during the process of concrete dam service. There is no dependence on the effect quantity for overcoming the shortcomings of the traditional identification method. The panel data model is firstly proposed for analyzing the behavior change of composite concrete dam. The change-point theory is used to identify whether the behavior of concrete dams changes during service. The phase space reconstruction technique is used to reconstruct the phase plane of the trend effect component. The time dimension method is used to solve the construction of multi-transformation model of composite panel data. An existing 76.3-m-high dam is used to investigate some key issues on the behavior change. Emphasis is placed on conversion time and location for three time periods consistent with the practical analysis report for evaluating the validity of the analysis method of the behavior variation of concrete dams presented in this paper.

패널자료를 이용한 가로구간 교통사고분석 - 청주시 간선도로를 사례로 - (Traffic Accident Analysis of Link Sections Using Panel Data in the Case of Cheongju Arterial Roads)

  • 김준용;나희;박병호
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.141-146
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    • 2012
  • This study deals with the accident model using panel data which are composed of time series data of 2005 through 2007 and cross sectional data of link sections in Cheongju. Panel data are repeatedly collected over time from the same sample. The purpose of the study is to develop the traffic accident model using the above panel data. In pursuing the above, this study gives particular attentions to deriving the optimal models among various models including TSCSREG (Time Series Cross Section Regression). The main results are as follows. First, 8 panel data models which explained the various effects of accidents were developed. Second, $R^2$ values of fixed effect models were analyzed to be higher than those of random effect models. Finally, such the variables as the sum of the number of crosswalk on intersections and sum of the number of intersections were analyzed to be positive to the accidents.

제18대 대통령 선거에서 이념의 영향: 패널 데이터 분석 결과 (The Role of Political Ideology in the 2012 Korean Presidential Election: Evidence from Panel Data Analysis)

  • 김성연
    • 의정연구
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.147-177
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    • 2017
  • 한국 선거에서 정치 이념의 역할에 대해 그동안 수많은 연구가 이루어졌으나, 지금까지의 연구들은 예외 없이 횡단면 데이터(cross-sectional data) 분석에 전적으로 의존하였다. 기존의 연구들과 달리 이 연구는 지난 제18대 대통령 선거에서 나타난 이념 투표의 영향을 패널 데이터 분석(panel data analysis)을 통해 보다 엄밀하게 검증한다. 구체적으로, "EAI 총선대선패널조사, 2012"를 이용하여 지난 18대 대통령 선거 시기(2012년 4월 중순-12월 하순)에 정치적이념이 유권자들의 후보 호오도(candidate evaluation)와 후보 선택(vote choice)에 미친 영향을 고정 효과(fixed effects) 분석과 변동 효과(random effect) 분석 등 표준적인 패널 데이터 분석을 통해 살펴보았다. 또한 이념투표의 대표적 설명 모형인 근접성 모형(proximity model)과 방향성 모형(directional change model)을 적용한 결과를 비교 분석하였다. 분석 결과, 지난 18대 대통령 선거에서 진보와 보수의 정치적 이념은 박근혜와 문재인후보에 대한 호오도 및 이들에 대한 지지에 독립적이고 유의미한 영향을 미쳤다고 할 수 있다. 즉, 유권자들은 특정 후보와의 이념적 차이가 크다고 느낄수록 그후보에 대한 지지 확률 및 호오도가 상대적으로 낮아졌다. 그리고 이러한 이념투표의 영향은 근접성 모형보다 방향성 모형에서 상대적으로 뚜렷하게 나타났다.

패널 중선형 시계열 모형의 동질성 검정 (Test of Homogeneity for Panel Bilinear Time Series Model)

  • 이신형;김선우;이성덕
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.521-529
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    • 2013
  • 패널 시계열자료 분석에서 모수축약의 원칙에 충실하기 위해서 동질성 검정을 수행한다. 본 논문에서는 독립적인 중선형 시계열 패널 자료의 동질성 검정을 수행하기 위하여 먼저 중선형 시계열 모형의 정상성 조건을 구하고 최우추정량과 동질성 검정통계량과 극한 분포를 이끌어내며, 실증분석으로 우리나라 8도의 Mumps 패널자료를 이용해 8개 지역의 발병 추이에 대한 동질성 검정을 수행한다.

패널자료를 이용한 지구별·업종별 수산업협동조합의 수익에 영향을 미치는 요인 분석 (Empirical Analysis on the Factors Affecting the Net Income of Regional and Industrial Fisheries Cooperatives Using Panel Data)

  • 김철현;남종오
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제51권1호
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    • pp.81-96
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this paper is to analyze factors affecting the net income of regional and industrial fisheries cooperatives in South Korea using panel data. This paper utilizes linear or GLS regression models such as pooled OLS model, fixed effects model, and random effects model to estimate affecting factors of the net income of regional and industrial fisheries cooperatives. After reviewing various tests, we eventually select random effects model. The results, based on panel data between 2013 and 2018 year and 64 fisheries cooperatives, indicate that capital and area dummy variables have positive effects and employment has negative effect on the net income of regional and industrial fisheries cooperatives as predicted. However, debt are opposite with our predictions. Specifically, it turns out that debt has positive effect on the net income of regional and industrial fisheries cooperatives although it has been increased. Additionally, this paper shows that the member of confreres does not show any significant effect on the net income of regional and industrial fisheries cooperatives in South Korea. This study is significant in that it analyzes the major factors influencing changes in the net income that have not been conducted recently for the fisheries cooperatives by region and industry.