• Title/Summary/Keyword: PRICE model

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Causal Relationship among Bioethanol Production, Corn Price, and Beef Price in the U.S.

  • Seok, Jun Ho;Kim, GwanSeon;Kim, Soo-Eun
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.521-544
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    • 2018
  • This paper investigates the impact of ethanol mandate on the price relationship between corn and beef using the monthly time-series data from January 2003 through December 2013. In addition, we examine the non-linearity in ethanol, corn, and beef markets. Based on the threshold cointegration test, we find the symmetric relationship in pairs with ethanol production-corn price and ethanol production-beef price whereas there is the asymmetric relationship between prices of corn and beef. Employing the threshold vector error correction and vector error correction models, we also find that the corn price in the U.S is caused by both ethanol production and beef price in a long-run when the beef price is relatively high. On the other hand, the corn price does not cause both ethanol production and beef price in the long run. Findings from this study imply that demanders for corn such as ethanol and beef producers have price leadership on corn producers.

A Study on Price Discovery Process for International Crude Oil using Error Correction Model and Graph Theory (오차수정모형과 그래프 이론을 이용한 국제유가의 동시 및 단기 가격발견과정에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Hojeong;Yun, Won-Cheol
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.479-504
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    • 2006
  • This paper analyzes a price discovery process for international crude oils including the WTI, Brent and Dubai. Error correction model is employed considering non-stationarity property of crude oil price and the contemporaneous causality is constructed by graph theory to analyze the short-term causality. The empirical analysis for January 4., 1999 to July 15., 2005 reveals that the Brent price interconnects between the WTI price and the Dubai price. This result implies the substantial influence of the Brent price as a marker oil.

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Asymmetric Transmission between Producer and Wholesale Prices in Farmed Olive Flounder Market (양식넙치 산지-도매가격간 비대칭적 가격전이 분석)

  • Lee, Heon-Dong;Ma, Chang-Mo
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.51 no.4
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    • pp.69-83
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this paper is to empirically investigate whether asymmetric price transmission exists in the distribution stage of farmed olive flounder market. For the analysis, time series data were used for the producer prices of Jeju and Wando, and the wholesale prices of Incheon, Hanam and Busan. Through the Granger causality test, the causal relationship from the producer price to the wholesale price was derived and the asymmetric price transmission was analyzed using the autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL). As a result of the analysis, it was found that there is a phenomenon of 'positive asymmetric price transmission' from the producer price to the wholesale price. This result can be one evidence that excess profits are received in the intermediate distribution stage, and can be said to be a result showing the incompleteness and inefficiency of the distribution structure of the farmed olive flounder. In the future, it is required to establish an information-sharing system in all stages of production, distribution, and consumption that can create a competitive environment for distribution participants and resolve information asymmetry. Also, it is necessary to review the distribution center specializing in live fish from the viewpoint of the establishment of new distribution channels and sales diversification strategy under the rapidly changing fisheries environment.

A Study on the Effect of Macroeconomic Variables on Apartment Rental Housing Prices by Region and the Establishment of Prediction Model (거시경제변수가 지역 별 아파트 전세가격에 미치는 영향 및 예측모델 구축에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Eun-Mi
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.52 no.2
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    • pp.211-231
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    • 2022
  • This study attempted to identify the effects of macroeconomic variables such as the All Industry Production Index, Consumer Price Index, CD Interest Rate, and KOSPI on apartment lease prices divided into nationwide, Seoul, metropolitan, and region, and to present a methodological prediction model of apartment lease prices by region using Long Short Term Memory (LSTM). According to VAR analysis results, the nationwide apartment lease price index and consumer price index in Lag1 and 2 had a significant effect on the nationwide apartment lease price, and likewise, the Seoul apartment lease price index, the consumer price index, and the CD interest rate in Lag1 and 2 affect the apartment lease price in Seoul. In addition, it was confirmed that the wide-area apartment jeonse price index and the consumer price index had a significant effect on Lag1, and the local apartment jeonse price index and the consumer price index had a significant effect on Lag1. As a result of the establishment of the LSTM prediction model, the predictive power was the highest with RMSE 0.008, MAE 0.006, and R-Suared values of 0.999 for the local apartment lease price prediction model. In the future, it is expected that more meaningful results can be obtained by applying an advanced model based on deep learning, including major policy variables

Duopoly Model of a Congested Market

  • Oh, Hyung-Sik
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.113-120
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    • 1994
  • A duopoly model is developed in order to examine the effect of imperfect competition on the price-setting behavior of competing providers in a congested market. Multiple Nash price equilibria are found and the implications of such multiple price equilibria are discussed.

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Design of e-commerce business model through AI price prediction of agricultural products (농산물 AI 가격 예측을 통한 전자거래 비즈니스 모델 설계)

  • Han, Nam-Gyu;Kim, Bong-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.12 no.12
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    • pp.83-91
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    • 2021
  • For agricultural products, supply is irregular due to changes in meteorological conditions, and it has high price elasticity. For example, if the supply decreases by 10%, the price increases by 50%. Due to these fluctuations in the prices of agricultural products, the Korean government guarantees the safety of prices to producers through small merchants' auctions. However, when prices plummet due to overproduction, protection measures for producers are insufficient. Therefore, in this paper, we designed a business model that can be used in the electronic transaction system by predicting the price of agricultural products with an artificial intelligence algorithm. To this end, the trained model with the training pattern pairs and a predictive model was designed by applying ARIMA, SARIMA, RNN, and CNN. Finally, the agricultural product forecast price data was classified into short-term forecast and medium-term forecast and verified. As a result of verification, based on 2018 data, the actual price and predicted price showed an accuracy of 91.08%.

Deal price model in Deal-or-No-Deal game (딜또는노딜 게임에서 딜금액 결정 모형)

  • Song, Seolhee;Ahn, Soohan
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.697-703
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    • 2014
  • Deal-or-No-Deal game is a famous TV show program of NBC, USA, which is composed of 10 stages at most. At each stage from the first and the ninth, a banker suggests a deal price to participants. In this paper, we intend to reveal the banker's deal price model using a constrained linear model and quadratic program. As results, we provide a linear model in relation to the deal price at each stage and then show using simulation data that the deal price is equal to the nearest integer of the value to be obtained by the provided linear model.

A Dynamic Pricing Model with a Multiplicative Functional Form (승산적 형태를 가진 동태적 가격결정 모형)

  • Cha Kyoung-Cheon;Jun Duk-Bin
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.97-105
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    • 2006
  • Brand Pricing is the most important issue for the brand manager in the dynamic market. in the typical dynamic pricing model, a linear function has been used based on the assumption that the non-Price Influences and the price influences were independent. However, to incorporate the characteristics of the dynamic market, it is natural to consider the multiplicative relationship. We are going to try the multiplicative linkage between the non-price Influences and the price influences and suggest a new dynamic pricing model with e multiplicative functional form. An empirical study of 19 brands in the Korean cigarette market shows the feasibility of the suggested model.

A Strategy Bayesian Model to Predict Profit of Construction Projects

  • Park, Sung-Hyuk;Kim, Sang-Yong
    • Architectural research
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.49-56
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    • 2011
  • Competitive bidding in construction is concerned with contractors making strategic decisions in respect of determination of bid price if contractors opt to bid. This study presents a strategy model for deciding optimum tender price with reflecting appropriate profit in competitive bidding using Bayesian regression analysis (BRA). The purpose of the developed model is to help contractors to secure suitable profitability by predicting the actual profit based on key variables. They may affect construction cost at bidding phase, ultimately which help contractors to secure high quality output. The model was tested empirically by application to a bidding dataset collected from a large South Korea contractor. BRA allows contractors to estimate more accurate actual profit by reflecting not only objective information but also subjective experiences and judgments. Consequently, the model can contribute to improvement of decision-making process for setting an optimum tender price.