• Title/Summary/Keyword: PRICE S Model

Search Result 989, Processing Time 0.03 seconds

Competitive Bidding Model with Reserve Price (최저입찰가와 참가비가 있는 경쟁입찰모형)

  • 김여근;박순달
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
    • /
    • v.9 no.2
    • /
    • pp.9-14
    • /
    • 1984
  • The competitive bidding model with the reserve price has been studied by Riley and Samuelson. We extend their studies to the competitive model with the reserve price and the entry fee. First we present the bidder's optimal strategy, the winner's expected profit, the auctioner's expected revenue in the first-price sealed bidding model, and next those in the second-price sealed bidding model.

  • PDF

A Study on Calibration of PRICE Model Using Historical Cost Data (실적자료를 활용한 PRICE 모델의 보정방안 연구)

  • Jung, Tae-Kyun;Lee, Yong-Bok;Kang, Sung-Jin
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
    • /
    • v.36 no.1
    • /
    • pp.29-38
    • /
    • 2010
  • In Korea weapon system acquisition processes, it's required a cost estimation report obtained from a commercial cost model. The PRICE model is generally used as a cost estimation model in Korea. However, the model uses American historical R&D data and it's output cost component is different from our cost component of defense accounting system. Also, we found that estimating results show about 10% of difference when we comparing with actual costs in 44 finished weapon acquisition projects. There are some limitations in calibration to increase an accuracy of the PRICE model because it's difficult obtain good real input data, detailed cost and technical data in low level WBS. So, only 8% of the defense R&D projects are calibrated and validation of calibration results is more difficult. Therefore, we studied the standard calibration process and performed the calibration about the MCPLXS/E parameters of the PRICE model based on actual cost data. In order to obtain a good calculation result, we collected the actual material costs from the defense industry companies. Our results can be used for an reference in similar weapon system R&D and production cost estimation cases.

A Study on the Value of Environmental-friendly's Certification for the Rice (쌀의 친환경인증 가치에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Ji-Hoon;Yang, Sung-Bum
    • Korean Journal of Organic Agriculture
    • /
    • v.25 no.1
    • /
    • pp.23-35
    • /
    • 2017
  • The objective of this study is to analyze a price of environment-friendly and conventional rice with POS data. And we estimate the value of environment-friendly's certification with hedonic price model. In case of price level, organic and pesticide-free rice is higher than conventional rice, 22.5% and 10.6%, respectively. In contrast, price variation of conventional rice is higher environment-friendly rice. The value of organic and pesticide are 839.5 Won and 313.7 Won, respectively. As time goes by, the certification's value goes down in environment-friendly rice. In particular, price level and certification's value of pesticide-free rice is similar with conventional rice. The results of this study show that price of the environment-friendly rice is not higher than expected. Therefore it is necessary to establish a new marketing and promotion strategies for environment-friendly rice.

Expectation-Based Model Explaining Boom and Bust Cycles in Housing Markets (주택유통시장에서 가격거품은 왜 발생하는가?: 소비자의 기대에 기초한 가격 변동주기 모형)

  • Won, Jee-Sung
    • Journal of Distribution Science
    • /
    • v.13 no.8
    • /
    • pp.61-71
    • /
    • 2015
  • Purpose - Before the year 2000, the housing prices in Korea were increasing every decade. After 2000, for the first time, Korea experienced a decrease in housing prices, and the repetitive cycle of price fluctuation started. Such a "boom and bust cycle" is a worldwide phenomenon. The current study proposes a mathematical model to explain price fluctuation cycles based on the theory of consumer psychology. Specifically, the model incorporates the effects of buyer expectations of future prices on actual price changes. Based on the model, this study investigates various independent variables affecting the amplitude of price fluctuations in housing markets. Research design, data, and methodology - The study provides theoretical analyses based on a mathematical model. The proposed model uses the following assumptions of the pricing mechanism in housing markets. First, the price of a house at a certain time is affected not only by its current price but also by its expected future price. Second, house investors or buyers cannot predict the exact future price but make a subjective prediction based on observed price changes up to the present. Third, the price is determined by demand changes made in previous time periods. The current study tries to explain the boom-bust cycle in housing markets with a mathematical model and several numerical examples. The model illustrates the effects of consumer price elasticity, consumer sensitivity to price changes, and the sensitivity of prices to demand changes on price fluctuation. Results - The analytical results imply that even without external effects, the boom-bust cycle can occur endogenously due to buyer psychological factors. The model supports the expectation of future price direction as the most important variable causing price fluctuation in housing market. Consumer tendency for making choices based on both the current and expected future price causes repetitive boom-bust cycles in housing markets. Such consumers who respond more sensitively to price changes are shown to make the market more volatile. Consumer price elasticity is shown to be irrelevant to price fluctuations. Conclusions - The mechanism of price fluctuation in the proposed model can be summarized as follows. If a certain external shock causes an initial price increase, consumers perceive it as an ongoing increasing price trend. If the demand increases due to the higher expected price, the price goes up further. However, too high a price cannot be sustained for long, thus the increasing price trend ceases at some point. Once the market loses the momentum of a price increase, the price starts to drop. A price decrease signals a further decrease in a future price, thus the demand decreases further. When the price is perceived as low enough, the direction of the price change is reversed again. Policy makers should be cognizant that the current increase in housing prices due to increased liquidity can pose a serious threat of a sudden price decrease in housing markets.

Measuring the Factor Influencing Tourist Preferences for Leaf Mustard Kimchi (관광객의 갓김치에 대한 선호도에 미치는 영향요인 평가)

  • Jeong, Hang-Jin;Kang, Jong-Heon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Food Culture
    • /
    • v.21 no.4
    • /
    • pp.414-419
    • /
    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study was to measure the factor influencing tourist preferences for leaf mustard iimchi. Among 250 questionnaires, 230 questionnaires were utilized for the analysis. Frequencies, conjoint model, max. utility model, BTL model, Logit model, K-means cluster analysis, and one-way ANOVA analysis were used for this study. The findings from this study were as follows. First, the Pearson's R and Kendall's tau statistics showed that the model fitted the data well. Second, it was found that total respondents and three clusters regarded taste and price as the very important factor. Third, it was found that the first cluster most preferred product with light red color, plain package, and mild taste sold at a cheap price in factory. The second cluster most preferred product with light red color, plain package, and moderately pungent taste sold at a expensive price in factory. The third cluster most preferred product with dark red color, shaped package, and highly pungent taste sold at a cheap price in factory. Fourth, it was found that the first cluster most preferred simulation product with light red color, shaped package, and mild taste sold at a cheap price in factory. The second cluster most preferred simulation product with light red color, shaped package, and moderately pungent taste sold at a cheap price in factory. The third clutter most preferred simulation product with dark red color, shaped package, and highly pungent taste sold at a cheap price in factory.

Prediction of Budget Prices in Electronic Bidding using Deep Learning Model (딥러닝 모델을 이용한 전자 입찰에서의 예정가격 예측)

  • Eun-Seo Lee;Gwi-Man Bak;Ji-Eun Lee;Young-Chul Bae
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
    • /
    • v.18 no.6
    • /
    • pp.1171-1176
    • /
    • 2023
  • In this paper, we predicts the estimated price using the DNBP (Deep learning Network to predict Budget Price) model with bidding data obtained from the bidding websites, ElecNet and OK EMS. We use the DNBP model to predict four lottery preliminary price, calculate their arithmetic mean, and then estimate the expected budget price ratio. We evaluate the model's performance by comparing it with the actual expected budget price ratio. We train the DNBP model by removing some of the 15 input nodes. The prediction results showed the lowest RMSE of 0.75788% when the model had 6 input nodes (a, g, h, i, j, k).

A Cost Estimation Technique using the PRICE S Model for Embedded Software in Weapon Systems (PRICE S 모델을 이용한 무기체계 내장형 소프트웨어 비용 추정 기법)

  • Shin, Eon-Hee;Kang, Sung-Jin
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartD
    • /
    • v.13D no.5 s.108
    • /
    • pp.717-724
    • /
    • 2006
  • The cost estimation of software is getting more important as the portion of software is increasing in acquiring weapon systems. However, the cost estimation of embedded software in a weapon system follows the cost estimation method for general purpose softwares and uses the PRICE S model as a tool. However, any validation result of the estimated cost through an evaluated software size is not well known. Hence, we propose an approach to estimate the cost through evaluating the embedded software site in weapon systems. In order to achieve our research goal, we evaluate the software size of using the line of codes and function points which are produced by the PRICE S model. Finally, we compare the estimated cost data the actual cost data provided by the production company. As a result, we propose an approach to estimate the size and the cost of embedded software in weapon systems which are not easy to estimate objectively. We also expect that the Proposed approach is used for the cost validation and negotiation in the acquisition of weapon systems in the future.

Policy evaluation of the rice market isolation system and production adjustment system

  • Dae Young Kwak;Sukho Han
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
    • /
    • v.50 no.4
    • /
    • pp.629-643
    • /
    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study was to examine the effectiveness and efficiency of a policy by comparing and analyzing the impact of the rice market isolation system and production adjustment system (strategic crops direct payment system that induces the cultivation of other crops instead of rice) on rice supply, rice price, and government's financial expenditure. To achieve this purpose, a rice supply and demand forecasting and policy simulation model was developed in this study using a partial equilibrium model limited to a single item (rice), a dynamic equation model system, and a structural equation system that reflects the casual relationship between variables with economic theory. The rice policy analysis model used a recursive model and not a simultaneous equation model. The policy is distinct from that of previous studies, in which changes in government's policy affected the price of rice during harvest and the lean season before the next harvest, and price changes affected the supply and demand of rice according to the modeling, that is, a more specific policy effect analysis. The analysis showed that the market isolation system increased government's financial expenditure compared to the production adjustment system, suggesting low policy financial efficiency, low policy effectiveness on target, and increased harvest price. In particular, the market isolation system temporarily increased the price during harvest season but decreased the price during the lean season due to an increase in ending stock caused by increased production and government stock. Therefore, a decrease in price during the lean season may decrease annual farm-gate prices, and the reverse seasonal amplitude is expected to intensify.

Factors Influencing the Price Acceptability and Cognitive Dissonance for the Purchaser of Digital Knowledge Goods (디지털 지식상품의 가격수용도와 구매인지부조화 영향요인에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Dae-Yul
    • The Journal of Information Systems
    • /
    • v.22 no.4
    • /
    • pp.85-115
    • /
    • 2013
  • Digital knowledge and information goods as experience goods have some unique characteristics such as close to zero reproduction and distribution cost, high price volatility, and low price acceptability. For the reasons, the pricing policies of digital knowledge goods are very difficult and complicate. Also, most consumers of digital goods have experienced cognitive dissonance after buying decision. The purpose of this paper is to investigate what factors affect the price acceptability level and cognitive dissonance of digital knowledge goods buyers. This paper suggest a structural model that was established by the cognitive dissonance theory and S-O-R(Stimulus-Organization-Response) model. The model is consisted of four exogenous variables and three endogenous variables. The empirical test and statistical analysis suggest following results and practical implications. The variables such as product involvement and perception of price fairness that have positive roles to price acceptability have strong influence on the all the three endogenous variables. But the variables such as sale proneness and price mavenism that have negative roles to price acceptability have little influence on the all the three endogenous variables. In the model, the payment intention was very important mediating variable between exogenous variables and two dependent variables, ie. price acceptability and cognitive dissonance. These results imply that the digital knowledge portals must have some differentiated pricing policies to the customers who have price consciousness and price mavenism. Also, they need some special promotions to whom have positive attitude to the value of digital goods.

Distributor's Lot-sizing and Pricing Policy with Ordering Cost inclusive of a Freight Cost under Trade Credit in a Two-stage Supply Chain

  • Shinn, Seong-Whan
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
    • /
    • v.8 no.1
    • /
    • pp.62-70
    • /
    • 2020
  • As an effective means of price discrimination, some suppliers offer trade credit to the distributors in order to stimulate the demand for the product they produce. The availability of the delay in payments from the supplier enables discount of the distributor's selling price from a wider range of the price option in anticipation of increased customer's demand. Since the distributor's lot-size is affected by the demand for the customer, the distributor's lot-size and the selling price determination problem is interdependent and must be solved at the same time. Also, in many common business transactions, the distributor pays the shipping cost for the order and hence, the distributor's ordering cost consists of a fixed ordering cost and the shipping cost that depend on the order quantity. In this regard, we deal with the joint lot-size and price determination problem when the supplier allows delay in payments for an order of a product. The positive effects of credit transactions can be integrated into the EOQ (economic order quantity) model through the consideration of retailing situations, where the customer's demand is a function of the distributor's selling price. It is also assumed that the distributor's order cost consists of a fixed ordering cost and the variable shipping cost. We formulate the distributor's mathematical model from which the solution algorithm is derived based on properties of an optimal solution. A numerical example is presented to illustrate the algorithm developed.