• Title/Summary/Keyword: PDF-Ratio

Search Result 71, Processing Time 0.026 seconds

Monthly Runoff Forecasting of Citarum River Basin by means of ESP-PDF Technique (ESP-PDF 기법을 이용한 Citarum 유역의 월 유출 예측)

  • Kim, Joo-Cheol;Kim, Jeong-Kon;Lee, Sang-Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2012.05a
    • /
    • pp.318-318
    • /
    • 2012
  • 인도네시아의 Citarum 유역을 대상으로 구축된 RRFS를 이용하여 해당유역의 상류에 위치한 다목적 댐인 Saguling 댐에 대한 2005년 월 유입량예측을 수행하여 보았다. 실제 예측과정에는 ESP 기법을 적용하였고 여기에 기상전망을 고려할 수 있는 사전처리기법인 PDF ratio 방법을 이용하여 유출량 시나리오의 발생확률을 갱신하였다. 이를 위하여 대상유역의 월 강우량 관측 자료에 대한 초보예측을 통하여 2005년 관측 강우량에 따라 기상전망을 생성하였다. 또한 Saguling 댐의 월 유입량 과거 관측자료에 대한 초보예측을 통하여 High Flow, Normal Flow, Low Flow에 대한 예측구간을 구성하여 보았다. Fig. 1과 Fig. 2는 각각 ESP 기법과 PDF ratio 방법을 이용하여 산정한 Normal Flow와 Low Flow의 상한계 유입량의 발생확률의 변화를 도시한 것이다. 관측 유입량이 발생한 구간의 예측확률을 기반으로 예측점수를 산정해 본 결과 ESP 기법에 의한 예측점수가 0.333을 상회하고 있음을 볼 수 있었다. 이는 ESP 기법에 의한 예측결과가 초보예측보다 정확도가 높음을 의미하는 것으로 본 연구에서 구성한 ESP 시스템의 적용성을 확인할 수 있다. 또한 고무적인 결과로서 PDF ratio 방법에 의한 예측점수가 ESP 기법에 의한 예측점수를 상회하고 있음을 확인할 수 있다. 이는 ESP 기법에 의한 예측결과를 확률기상전망을 이용하여 갱신할 경우 예측 정확도를 개선시킬 수 있음을 의미하는 것이다.

  • PDF

Noisy Speech Enhancement Based on Complex Laplacian Probability Density Function (복소 라플라시안 확률 밀도 함수에 기반한 음성 향상 기법)

  • Park, Yun-Sik;Jo, Q-Haing;Chang, Joon-Hyuk
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
    • /
    • v.44 no.6
    • /
    • pp.111-117
    • /
    • 2007
  • This paper presents a novel approach to speech enhancement based on a complex Laplacian probability density function (pdf). With a use of goodness-of-fit (GOF) test we show that the complex Laplacian pdf is more suitable to describe the conventional Gaussian pdf. The likelihood ratio (LR) is applied to derive the speech absence probability in the speech enhancement algorithm. The performance of the proposed algorithm is evaluated by the objective test and yields better results compared with the conventional Gaussian pdf-based scheme.

Study on Applicability of Frequency Domain-Based Fatigue Analysis for Wide Band Gaussian Process I : Rayleigh PDF (광대역 정규 프로세스에 대한 주파수 영역 기반 피로해석법의 적용성에 관한 연구 I : 레일리 PDF)

  • Choung, Joon-Mo;Kim, Kyung-Su;Nam, Ji-Myung;Koo, Jeong-Bon;Kim, Min-Soo;Shim, Yong-Lae;Urm, Hang-Sub
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
    • /
    • v.49 no.4
    • /
    • pp.350-358
    • /
    • 2012
  • This paper deals with accuracy of accumulated fatigue damage estimation using stochastic fatigue analysis method based on Rayleigh PDF. From full scale measurement data on an 8100TEU container vessel, zero-order spectral moments for wave- and vibration-induced energy spectral densities are determined on the probability level of 99%. 80 simulation cases in total are prepared according to the variation of ratio of zero-order spectral moments and center frequency of vibration ESD. By using inverse Fourier transformation and rainflow cycle counting for the combined ESD of wave and vibration, exact fatigue damages are derived. Fatigue damages in frequency domain based on Rayleigh PDF show large conservativeness compared to exact fatigue damages in times domain. The main cause of the excessive conservativeness is analyzed by two aspects: ratio of zero crossing and peak frequencies and ratio of initial zero order spectral moments and zero order spectral moments from rainflow stress range distributions. Finally, a guideline of applicability of Rayleigh PDF is proposed for wide band processes.

Prediction of Andong Reservoir Inflow Using Ensemble Technique (앙상블 기법을 이용한 안동댐 유입량 예측)

  • Kang, Min Suk;Yu, Myungsu;Yi, Jaeeung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.34 no.3
    • /
    • pp.795-804
    • /
    • 2014
  • In this study, Andong Reservoir monthly and ten days inflows from July 2011 to September 2011 are predicted using SWAT model and ensemble technique. The weight method using monthly and ten days rainfall forecasts from Korea Meteorological Administration is applied for accurate analysis. If the rainfall prediction announced by Korea Meteorological Administration is close to the actual rainfall, the PDF-Ratio Method shows the best result. If the past high rainfall occurrence is close to the actual rainfall, the modified PDF-Ratio method shows the best result. This method can improve the prediction accuracy even though the Korea Meteorological Administration forecast is not accurate. On the contrary, if Korea Meteorological Administration forecast is different from the actual rainfall and the past rainfall occurrence statistics of lower section, the uniform method shows the best result.

Comparative Effects of Sodium Gluconate, Mannan Oligosaccharide and Potassium Diformate on Growth Performances and Small Intestinal Morphology of Nursery Pigs

  • Poeikhampha, T.;Bunchasak, C.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
    • /
    • v.24 no.6
    • /
    • pp.844-850
    • /
    • 2011
  • This study was conducted to compare the effects of dietary supplementation of Sodium Gluconate (SG), Mannan Oligosaccharide (MOS) and Potassium Diformate (PDF) on growth performance and small intestinal morphology in nursery piglets. One hundred forty four female piglets ($11.69{\pm}0.71\;kg$) were divided into 4 treatments with six replicates of six pigs each. The pigs received a control diet or diets supplemented with SG, MOS and PDF at 2,500, 3,000 and 8,000 ppm; respectively, for 6 weeks. Supplementation of SG, MOS or PDF increased final body weight, average daily gain and tended to improve feed to gain ratio (p = 0.02, 0.04 and 0.16; respectively), other than average daily feed intake, intestinal pH and the bacterial populations were not influenced by the dietary treatments. SG significantly decreased the ammonia concentration in the caecum (p<0.05) and supplementation of SG, MOS or PDF tended to increase lactic acid and total short chain fatty acid concentration in the caecum (p = 0.08, 0.09; respectively), in addition SG, MOS or PDF slightly increased butyric acid concentration in the caecum (p = 0.14). SG highly significant increased the villous height in jejunum (p<0.01) and supplementing SG, MOS or PDF significantly increased crypt depth in jejunum (p<0.05), moreover, PDF significantly increased villous height and crypt depth ratio in jejunum (p<0.05) compared with control. The dietary treatments did not influence villous height and crypt depth in duodenum and villous height in jejunum (p>0.05). It can be concluded that supplementing SG, MOS or PDF as a feed additive has the potential to improve the growth performance, the intestinal lactic acid bacteria population, intestinal short-chain fatty acid concentration and the intestinal morphology of pigs.

Probabilistic Daecheong Dam Streamflow Prediction using Weather Outlook Weighted Ensemble Streamflow Prediction (확률론적 통계분석을 이용한 대청댐 유입량 예측)

  • Lee, Sang-Jin;Kim, Jeong-Kon;Kim, Joo-Cheol;Woo, Dong-Hyeon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2011.05a
    • /
    • pp.303-303
    • /
    • 2011
  • 효율적인 수자원 관리를 위해서는 미래 수문자료의 예측치에 대한 구간을 추정하여 미래에 관측될 자료에 대한 정보를 얻는 문제는 어렵지만 중요한 부분에 해당한다. 특히 중장기 유량예측은 입력변수의 불확실성이 크므로 확률론적 방법을 적용한 예측이 유리하다. 본 연구에서는 SSARR 모형을 이용하여 현재 유역의 상태에 과거에 재현되었던 강우를 결합한 앙상블 유출시나리오를 생성하였다. 그리고 대청댐 월 유입량에 대한 확률론적 예측방안을 제시하기위하여 과거 시나리오의 관측 ESP(Ensemble Streamflow Prediction)확률 및 Croley방법, PDF-Ratio방법을 한국의 기상예측정보 실정에 맞는 가중치 부여방안으로 적용하여 분석하였다. 2010년도 상반기를 기준으로 각 분석 기법별 정확성을 검증한 결과 Croley, PDF-Ratio 등 기상전망을 가중치로 부여한 확률론적 예측기법의 효용성을 확인하였다.

  • PDF

The Application of Thera-band on Non-weight Bearing Leg Influence Hip Abductor Activities During Pelvic Drop Exercise in Patients With Gluteus Medius Weakness

  • Su-hwan Cha;Seok-hyun Kim;Seung-min Baik;Heon-seock Cynn
    • Physical Therapy Korea
    • /
    • v.30 no.1
    • /
    • pp.68-77
    • /
    • 2023
  • Background: The weakness of the gluteus medius (GM) is associated with various musculoskeletal disorders. The increasing GM activity without synergistic dominance should be considered when prescribing pelvic drop exercise (PD). Isometric hip extension or flexion of the non-weight bearing leg using thera-band at the ankle during PD may influence hip abductor activities. Objects: To determine how isometric hip extension or flexion of the non-weight bearing leg using thera-band at the ankle during PD influences the activities of three subdivisions of GM (anterior, GMa; middle, GMm; posterior, GMp), tensor fasciae latae (TFL), contralateral quadratus lumborum (QL), and GMp/TFL, GMm/QL activity ratios in patients with GM weakness. Methods: Twenty-three patients with GM weakness were recruited. Three types of PD were performed: PD, PD with an isometric hip extension of the non-weight bearing leg (PDE), and PD with an isometric hip flexion of the non-weight bearing leg (PDF). Surface electromyography (SEMG) was used to measure hip abductor activities. One-way repeated-measures analysis of variance was used to assess the statistical significance of muscle activities and muscle activity ratios. Results: GMa, GMm, and GMp activities were significantly greater during PDF than during PD and PDE (p < 0.001, p = 0.001; p = 0.001, p = 0.005; p = 0.004, p = 0.004; respectively). TFL activity was significantly greater during PDE than during PD and PDF (p < 0.001, p < 0.001, respectively). QL activity was significantly greater during PDF than during PD (p = 0.003). GMp/TFL activity ratio was significantly lower during PDE than during PD and PDF (p = 0.001, p = 0.001, respectively). There were no significant differences in the GMm/QL activity ratio. Conclusion: PDF may be an effective exercise to increase the activities of all three GM subdivisions while minimizing the TFL activity in patients with GM weakness.

Improvement of Mid/Long-Term ESP Scheme Using Probabilistic Weather Forecasting (확률기상예보를 이용한 중장기 ESP기법 개선)

  • Kim, Joo-Cheol;Kim, Jeong-Kon;Lee, Sang-Jin
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.44 no.10
    • /
    • pp.843-851
    • /
    • 2011
  • In hydrology, it is appropriate to use probabilistic method for forecasting mid/long term streamflow due to the uncertainty of input data. Through this study, it is expanded mid/long term forecasting system more effectively adding priory process function based on PDF-ratio method to the RRFS-ESP system for Guem River Basin. For implementing this purpose, weight is estimated using probabilistic weather forecasting information from KMA. Based on these results, ESP probability is updated per scenario. Through the estimated result per method, the average forecast score using ESP method is higher than that of naive forecasting and it confirmed that ESP method results in appropriate score for RRFS-ESP system. It is also shown that the score of ESP method applying revised inflow scenario using probabilistic weather forecasting is higher than that of ESP method. As a results, it will be improved the accuracy of forecasting using probabilistic weather forecasting.

Probability Density Function of Samples' Amplitude of ASSS OFDM Signal

  • Wang, Lei;Yoon, Dong-Weon;Park, Sang-Kyu
    • Journal of electromagnetic engineering and science
    • /
    • v.8 no.2
    • /
    • pp.59-63
    • /
    • 2008
  • The adaptive symbol selection scheme(ASSS) is popular in reducing peak to average power ratio(PAPR) for orthogonal frequency division multiplexing(OFDM) signals. The probability density function(pdf) of the samples' amplitudes of the adaptively selected OFDM signal without over-sampling has been considered to be approximately equal to the Rayleigh pdf. In this paper, we derive a more precise pdf which shows the relationship between the probability distribution of the samples' amplitudes and the number of the candidate symbols for ASSS. Using the newly derived pdf in the theoretical analysis, more accurate calculation results can be obtained.

A Study on Volume of Difference of Two Joint pdf′s, Focused on the Relation to Normal Theory LR Tests

  • Lee, Kwangjin
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.10 no.3
    • /
    • pp.749-764
    • /
    • 2003
  • In this paper we explain that normal theory likelihood-ratio tests(z, t, $x^2$. F) for mean(s) or variance(s) can be geometrically related to volume of difference of two joint pdf's. One is an estimated joint pdf under null parameter space $\omega$ and the other is an estimated joint pdf under full parameter space $\Omega$. For explanations, ‘distance between two distributions’ is defined. We study properties of it, and derive some results on the distance between two multivariate normal distributions.