• 제목/요약/키워드: Output prediction algorithm

검색결과 155건 처리시간 0.028초

A new model approach to predict the unloading rock slope displacement behavior based on monitoring data

  • Jiang, Ting;Shen, Zhenzhong;Yang, Meng;Xu, Liqun;Gan, Lei;Cui, Xinbo
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제67권2호
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    • pp.105-113
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    • 2018
  • To improve the prediction accuracy of the strong-unloading rock slope performance and obtain the range of variation in the slope displacement, a new displacement time-series prediction model is proposed, called the fuzzy information granulation (FIG)-genetic algorithm (GA)-back propagation neural network (BPNN) model. Initially, a displacement time series is selected as the training samples of the prediction model on the basis of an analysis of the causes of the change in the slope behavior. Then, FIG is executed to partition the series and obtain the characteristic parameters of every partition. Furthermore, the later characteristic parameters are predicted by inputting the earlier characteristic parameters into the GA-BPNN model, where a GA is used to optimize the initial weights and thresholds of the BPNN; in the process, the numbers of input layer nodes, hidden layer nodes, and output layer nodes are determined by a trial method. Finally, the prediction model is evaluated by comparing the measured and predicted values. The model is applied to predict the displacement time series of a strong-unloading rock slope in a hydropower station. The engineering case shows that the FIG-GA-BPNN model can obtain more accurate predicted results and has high engineering application value.

Concrete compressive strength prediction using the imperialist competitive algorithm

  • Sadowski, Lukasz;Nikoo, Mehdi;Nikoo, Mohammad
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.355-363
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    • 2018
  • In the following paper, a socio-political heuristic search approach, named the imperialist competitive algorithm (ICA) has been used to improve the efficiency of the multi-layer perceptron artificial neural network (ANN) for predicting the compressive strength of concrete. 173 concrete samples have been investigated. For this purpose the values of slump flow, the weight of aggregate and cement, the maximum size of aggregate and the water-cement ratio have been used as the inputs. The compressive strength of concrete has been used as the output in the hybrid ICA-ANN model. Results have been compared with the multiple-linear regression model (MLR), the genetic algorithm (GA) and particle swarm optimization (PSO). The results indicate the superiority and high accuracy of the hybrid ICA-ANN model in predicting the compressive strength of concrete when compared to the other methods.

Hybrid Type II fuzzy system & data mining approach for surface finish

  • Tseng, Tzu-Liang (Bill);Jiang, Fuhua;Kwon, Yongjin (James)
    • Journal of Computational Design and Engineering
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    • 제2권3호
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    • pp.137-147
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    • 2015
  • In this study, a new methodology in predicting a system output has been investigated by applying a data mining technique and a hybrid type II fuzzy system in CNC turning operations. The purpose was to generate a supplemental control function under the dynamic machining environment, where unforeseeable changes may occur frequently. Two different types of membership functions were developed for the fuzzy logic systems and also by combining the two types, a hybrid system was generated. Genetic algorithm was used for fuzzy adaptation in the control system. Fuzzy rules are automatically modified in the process of genetic algorithm training. The computational results showed that the hybrid system with a genetic adaptation generated a far better accuracy. The hybrid fuzzy system with genetic algorithm training demonstrated more effective prediction capability and a strong potential for the implementation into existing control functions.

Posterior density estimation for structural parameters using improved differential evolution adaptive Metropolis algorithm

  • Zhou, Jin;Mita, Akira;Mei, Liu
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.735-749
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    • 2015
  • The major difficulty of using Bayesian probabilistic inference for system identification is to obtain the posterior probability density of parameters conditioned by the measured response. The posterior density of structural parameters indicates how plausible each model is when considering the uncertainty of prediction errors. The Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method is a widespread medium for posterior inference but its convergence is often slow. The differential evolution adaptive Metropolis-Hasting (DREAM) algorithm boasts a population-based mechanism, which nms multiple different Markov chains simultaneously, and a global optimum exploration ability. This paper proposes an improved differential evolution adaptive Metropolis-Hasting algorithm (IDREAM) strategy to estimate the posterior density of structural parameters. The main benefit of IDREAM is its efficient MCMC simulation through its use of the adaptive Metropolis (AM) method with a mutation strategy for ensuring quick convergence and robust solutions. Its effectiveness was demonstrated in simulations on identifying the structural parameters with limited output data and noise polluted measurements.

An On-Line Fuzzy Identification Method utilizing Fuzzy Model Evaluation

  • Bae, Sang-Wook;Park, Tae-Hong-;Lee, Kee-Sang-;Park, Gwi-Tae-
    • 한국지능시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국퍼지및지능시스템학회 1993년도 Fifth International Fuzzy Systems Association World Congress 93
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    • pp.1226-1229
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    • 1993
  • This paper proposes a new on-line fuzzy model identification(ONFID) algorithm in which the fuzzy model evaluation stage is incorporated. The fuzzy model evaluation is performed by the fuzzy equality index which is known to be a useful tool to evaluate the performance of the identified fuzzy model. Then the fuzzy model is updated according to the result of the evaluation. Proposed ONFID algorithm can sensibly identify to the system changes. To show the usefulness of the proposed algorithm, it is applied to the fuzzy model identification problem of the gas furnace and the output prediction problem of the flexible joint manipulator which is a nonlinear system.

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EM 알고리즘 기반 강인한 진동 특징을 이용한 고 신뢰성 유도 전동기 다중 결함 분류 (High-Reliable Classification of Multiple Induction Motor Faults Using Vibration Signatures based on an EM Algorithm)

  • 장원철;강명수;최병근;김종면
    • 한국소음진동공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국소음진동공학회 2013년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.346-353
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    • 2013
  • Industrial processes need to be monitored in real-time based on the input-output data observed during their operation. Abnormalities in an induction motor should be detected early in order to avoid costly breakdowns. To early identify induction motor faults, this paper effectively estimates spectral envelopes of each induction motor fault by utilizing a linear prediction coding (LPC) analysis technique and an expectation maximization (EM) algorithm. Moreover, this paper classifies induction motor faults into their corresponding categories by calculating Mahalanobis distance using the estimated spectral envelopes and finding the minimum distance. Experimental results shows that the proposed approach yields higher classification accuracies than the state-of-the-art approach for both noiseless and noisy environments for identifying the induction motor faults.

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수중 통신에서 다중 밴드 성능 예측 기법 연구 (A Study on Performance Prediction Methods for Multi-Band Underwater Communication)

  • 정지원
    • 한국정보전자통신기술학회논문지
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.61-68
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    • 2023
  • 수중통신에서 다중 밴드 기법은 채널 부호화된 동일한 데이터를 여러 주파수 밴드로 나누어 전송하는 기법인데, 이는 수중에서 다중 경로, 도플러 확산 등으로 인한 특정 주파수의 선택적 페이딩 현상을 극복하면서 성능을 향상시키는 기법이다. 이러한 다중 밴드 통신의 단점은 성능이 열악한 특정한 밴드가 전체 성능에 영향을 미친다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 다중 밴드 통신에서 각 밴드의 성능을 예측하여 가장 신뢰성이 높은 밴드를 선택함으로써 성능을 향상시키는데, 본 논문에서는 세 가지 성능을 예측하는 기법을 제시하였으며, 실험을 통하여 프리엠블 오류율을 이용하는 방법이 가장 효율적인 방법임을 확인하였다.

저전송률 비디오 압축에서 초기 QP 결정 알고리즘 (Initial QP Determination Algorithm for Low Bit Rate Video Coding)

  • 박상현
    • 한국정보통신학회논문지
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    • 제13권10호
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    • pp.2071-2078
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    • 2009
  • 비디오 코팅에서 첫 번째 프레임은 많은 비트를 발생시키는 인트라 모드로 압축되고 다음 프레임의 인터 모드 압축에 사용되기 때문에 첫 프레임을 위한 초기 QP (Quantization Parameter) 값은 첫 프레임뿐만 아니라 이후 프레임에도 영향을 주게 된다. 일반적으로 초기 QP 값은 bpp 값에 따라 4가지 값 중에 하나로 설정되는데, 저 전송률 비디오 코딩의 경우 전송률에 상관없이 35의 값으로 설정된다. 이렇게 설정하는 것은 간단한 반면 부정확한 문제가 있다. 정확한 초기 QP 값 예측을 위해서는 bpp 뿐만 아니라 영상의 복잡도와 전송률도 함께 고려하여야 한다. 제안하는 알고리즘에서는 전송 대역폭과 최적 초기 QP 값 사이에 존재하는 선형 반비례 관계를 모델링하기 위하여 선형 모델을 사용하였고, 첫 프레임의 공간적 복잡도에 따라 모델 파라미터를 결정하였다. 실험 결과는 제안하는 방법이 기존의 JM 알고리즘에 비해 정확하게 최적의 초기 QP 값을 예측하고 PSNR 성능도 더 우수함을 보여준다.

Power Ramp Rate를 이용한 풍력 발전량 예측모델 구축 (Building of Prediction Model of Wind Power Generationusing Power Ramp Rate)

  • 황미영;김성호;윤은일;김광득;류근호
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.211-218
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    • 2012
  • 전 세계적으로 화석연료의 많이 사용이 증가되고 있으며 이로 인해 온실가스가 배출되어 지구 온난화와 환경오염이 심각해지고 있는 실정이다. 지구의 환경오염을 줄이기 위해서 무공해 청정에너지인 신재생에너지에 대한 관심이 증가되는 추세인데, 그중에서도 풍력발전은 환경오염 물질을 배출하지 않고, 자원량이 무한대이기 때문에 많은 관심을 받고 있다. 하지만, 풍력발전은 전력 생산량이 불규칙한 단점을 갖고 있어 풍력 터빈의 손상과 전력 생산량이 불규칙적인 문제를 야기하여 이러한 문제점을 보완하기 위해 풍력 발전량을 정확하게 예측하는 것이 중요하다. 풍력 발전량을 정확하게 예측하기 위해서 전력 생산량이 급증 또는 급감하는 것을 의미하는 ramp의 특성을 잘 활용해야 한다. 이 논문에서는 예측의 정확도를 높이기 위하여 다계층 신경망을 이용해 예측모델을 구축하였다. 구축된 예측모델은 흔히 사용되는 풍속, 풍향 속성뿐만 아니라 Power Ramp Rate(PRR) 속성까지 사용하였다. 구축된 풍력 발전량 예측모델은 앞서 말한 세 가지 속성을 모두 사용한 경우, 두 속성을 조합하여 사용한 경우 총 4가지 예측모델을 구축하였다. 구축된 4가지 예측모델을 성능평가 한 결과 PRR, 풍속, 풍향의 속성 모두를 사용한 예측모델의 예측 값이 풍력 터빈에서 관측된 관측 값에 가장 근접하였다. 그로 인해 PRR 속성을 사용하면 풍력 발전량의 예측 정확도를 향상 시킬 수 있었다.

최적제어와 신경회로망을 이용한 능동형 현가장치 제어 (Active Suspension System Control Using Optimal Control & Neural Network)

  • 김일영;정길도;이창구
    • 한국정밀공학회지
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.15-26
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    • 1998
  • Full car model is needed for investigating as a entire dynamics of vehicle. In this study, 7DOF of full car model's dynamics is selected. This paper proposes the output feedback controller based on optimal control theory. Input data and output data from the optimal controller are used for neural network system identification of the suspension system. To do system identification, neural network which has robustness against nonlinearities and disturbances is adapted. This study uses back-propagation algorithm to train a multil-layer neural network. After obtaining a neural network model of a suspension system, a neuro-controller is designed. Neuro-controller controls suspension system with off-line learning method and multistep ahead prediction model based on the neural network model and a neuro-controller. The optimal controller and the neuro-controller are designed and then, both performances are compared through. For simulation, sinusoidal and rectangular virtual bumps are selected.

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