• 지능정보연구
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• 제22권4호
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• pp.177-192
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• 2016

기계학습(Machine Learning)은 인공 지능의 한 분야로, 데이터를 이용하여 기계를 학습시켜 기계 스스로가 데이터 분석 및 예측을 하게 만드는 것과 관련한 컴퓨터 과학의 한 영역을 일컫는다. 그중에서 SVM(Support Vector Machines)은 주로 분류와 회귀 분석을 목적으로 사용되는 모델이다. 어느 두 집단에 속한 데이터들에 대한 정보를 얻었을 때, SVM 모델은 주어진 데이터 집합을 바탕으로 하여 새로운 데이터가 어느 집단에 속할지를 판단해준다. 최근 들어서 많은 금융전문가는 기계학습과 막대한 데이터가 존재하는 금융 분야와의 접목 가능성을 보며 기계학습에 집중하고 있다. 그러면서 각 금융사는 고도화된 알고리즘과 빅데이터를 통해 여러 금융업무 수행이 가능한 로봇(Robot)과 투자전문가(Advisor)의 합성어인 로보어드바이저(Robo-Advisor) 서비스를 발 빠르게 제공하기 시작했다. 따라서 현재의 금융 동향을 고려하여 본 연구에서는 기계학습 방법의 하나인 SVM을 활용하여 매매성과를 올리는 방법에 대해 제안하고자 한다. SVM을 통한 예측대상은 한국형 변동성지수인 VKOSPI이다. VKOSPI는 금융파생상품의 한 종류인 옵션의 가격에 영향을 미친다. VKOSPI는 흔히 말하는 변동성과 같고 VKOSPI 값은 옵션의 종류와 관계없이 옵션 가격과 정비례하는 특성이 있다. 그러므로 VKOSPI의 정확한 예측은 옵션 매매에서의 수익을 낼 수 있는 중요한 요소 중 하나이다. 지금까지 기계학습을 기반으로 한 VKOSPI의 예측을 다룬 연구는 없었다. 본 연구에서는 SVM을 통해 일 중의 VKOSPI를 예측하였고, 예측 내용을 바탕으로 옵션 매매에 대한 적용 가능 여부를 실험하였으며 실제로 향상된 매매 성과가 나타남을 증명하였다.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
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• 제25권3호
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• pp.93-106
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• 2021

In this paper, an efficient hybrid numerical method for solving two-asset option pricing problem is presented based on the Crank-Nicolson and the radial basis function methods. For this purpose, the two-asset Black-Scholes partial differential equation is considered. Also, the convergence of the proposed method are proved and implementation of the proposed hybrid method is specifically studied on Exchange and Call on maximum Rainbow options. In addition, this method is compared to the explicit finite difference method as the benchmark and the results show that the proposed method can achieve a noticeably higher accuracy than the benchmark method at a similar computational time. Furthermore, the stability of the proposed hybrid method is numerically proved by considering the effect of the time step size to the computational accuracy in solving these problems.

• East Asian Economic Review
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• 제18권3호
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• pp.301-335
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• 2014

In this paper, we consider a small open economy under the New Keynesian model with unemployment of Gal$\acute{i}$ (2011a, b) to discuss the design of the monetary policy. Our findings can be summarized in three parts. First, even with the existence of unemployment, the optimal policy is to minimize variance of domestic price inflation, wage inflation, and the output gap when both domestic price and wage are sticky. Second, stabilizing unemployment rate is important in reducing the welfare loss incurred by both technology and labor supply shocks. Therefore, introducing the unemployment rate as an another argument into the Taylor-rule type interest rate rule will be welfare-enhancing. Lastly, controlling CPI inflation is the best option when the policy is not allowed to respond to unemployment rate. Once the unemployment rate is controlled, however, stabilizing power of CPI inflation-based Taylor rule is diminished.

• Journal of Trauma and Injury
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• 제24권2호
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• pp.155-158
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• 2011

Mechanical ventilation is usually the treatment of choice for severe respiratory failure associated with trauma. However, in case of severe hypoxia, mechanical ventilation may not be sufficient for gas exchange in lungs. Patients with Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS) undergo difficulties in oxygen and carbon dioxide exchange. Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation (ECMO) is the ideal therapeutic option for those patients with severe traumatic injuries. ECMO allows lungs to reserve their functions and decreases further lung injuries while increasing survival rate at the same time. We report two cases of patients with traumatic ARDS and Multiple Organ Failure including compromised heart function. The preservation of lung function was successful using ECMO therapy.

• 한국유체기계학회 논문집
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• 제19권6호
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• pp.19-25
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• 2016

Anti-icing is important in gas turbines because ice formation on compressor inlet components, especially inlet guide vane, can cause performance degradation and mechanical damages. In general, the compressor bleeding anti-icing system that supplies hot air extracted from the compressor discharge to the engine intake has been used. However, this scheme causes considerable performance drop of gas turbines. A new method is proposed in this study for the anti-icing in combined cycle power plants(CCPP). It is a heat exchange heating method, which utilizes heat sources from the heat recovery steam generator(HRSG). We selected several options for the heat sources such as steam, hot water and exhaust gas. Performance reductions of the CCPP by the various options as well as the usual compressor bleeding method were comparatively analyzed. The results show that the heat exchange heating system would cause a lower performance decrease than the compressor bleeding anti-icing system. Especially, the option of using low pressure hot water is expected to provide the lowest performance reduction.

• Agribusiness and Information Management
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• 제4권1호
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• pp.24-31
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• 2012

This case study investigates the KIKO currency option that has been a social issue in recent years among developing countries, especially Korea, where the financial derivatives market is in a state of rapid growth. The forward transaction which becomes a basis of derivatives is intended to hedge risks that may be caused by a future change in asset prices. Although it originates from a simple form of agricultural transactions, there currently exists a variety of derivatives in more sophisticated forms. In the Korean agricultural industry, the need to use such derivatives is great, as there is a huge risk of price fluctuation in agricultural products due to frequent adverse weather. In addition, many developing countries with export-led industrial structures similar to Korea's, of necessity must resort to currency hedging as a method of reducing relevant risk. However, in most cases, the lack of understanding about financial derivatives results in an inappropriate application of these derivatives. The KIKO in this study represents such cases. Since 2007, KIKO has been sold in Korea to many small- and medium-sized export companies for the purpose of currency hedging when the exchange rate between the Korean won and the U.S. dollar was in a downward spiral. The main focus of this study is a case which is most representative of KIKO. As inflation rapidly increased during the financial crisis in the U.S. at the end of 2007, derivatives became a hot issue in the courts rather than in the financial markets. This case study investigates what KIKO and the fierce legal debates over it imply, from the perspective of the option of value evaluation in order to suggest not only a direction in which companies can utilize financial derivatives, but also a roadmap for the future derivatives market.

• 한국중재학회지:중재연구
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• 제26권1호
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• pp.89-105
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• 2016

2008 began with the American financial crisis which gave way to the liquidity crisis (Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac) situation in which 'the withdrawal of investment initiated from the insufficiency of the U.S. subprime mortgage loan companies', 'the large size loss situation of the financial company (Bear Stearns) due to the American structured bond insufficiency' and the second half opening part national debt mortgage company. Within the American financial crisis was propagated the crisis of international derivatives. Due to this, the withdrawal of foreign investment progressed in the interior of a country with the considerable. By the end of 2007, the exchange rate fluctuation was absorbed in the domestic financial circle on the belief the potentiality of the domestic financial market had been growing drastically through the expansion of the foreign currency debt according to this and it came to the defence but while the exchange rate jumped up to the dollar shortage according to the international crisis, the small and medium companies making the banks and exchange rate-related derivatives contract were going bankrupt due to the derivatives loss. The small and medium factories establish the bank exchange rate-related derivatives has nose (KIKO), pivot (PIVOT), and snowball (Snowball) etc. at that time and the damage which it is the KIKO grasped at 6 end of the months in 2008 caused by reaches to 1 thousand billion 4 thousand hundred million dollars. Small and medium companies in which the dollar which it has to denounce among small and medium companies bearing the KIKO contract in fact with the Knock-In generation city bank exceeds the amount of sales were known to be 68 enterprises among 480 enterprises. This paper departs in this awareness of a problem and tries to look into the risk factor of the derivatives, including nose and study the essential ring risk management plan of small and medium manufacturer.

• 가정과삶의질연구
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• 제28권3호
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• pp.81-95
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• 2010

The purpose of this study was to examine the dissatisfaction level of consumers buying foreign goods through Internet shopping malls and their complaint behavior. As there is growing demand for foreign brands along with a rapid increase in the Internet user population, a lot of ongoing studies have focused on Internet-based transaction. The dissatisfaction level of selected consumers was checked in terms of system, price, quality, information/hype, shipping and refund/exchange, and it's found that complaint behavior linked to refund/exchange was most prevalent. The most dominant way for them to respond to such situations was talking friends, relatives or neighbors about that. And they had an intention to buy foreign goods through Internet shopping malls again to greater or lesser extents, though they were unsatisfied. It indicates that the consumers didn't have a wide option in the consumer market.

• 아태비즈니스연구
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• 제14권4호
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• pp.319-330
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• 2023

Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to examine the connectedness between categorical economic policy uncertainty (monetary, fiscal, trade and foreign exchange policy uncertainty) indexes and option-implied volatility index in Korea, Japan and the US. Design/methodology/approach - This paper employs the Diebold-Ylmaz (2012) model based on a VAR and generalized forecast error variance decomposition. This paper also conducts regression analyses to investigate whether the volatility indexes are explained by categorical policy uncertainty indexes. Findings - First, we find the total connectedness is stronger in Korea and Japan relative to the US. Second, monetary, fiscal, and foreign exchange policy uncertainty indexes are connected to each other but trade policy uncertainty index is not. Third, the volatility index in Japan and the US is mainly associated with monetary policy uncertainty while the volatility index in Korea is explained by fiscal policy uncertainty index. Research implications or Originality - To our knowledge, this is the first study to investigate the connectedness among categorical policy uncertainty indexes and the volatility index in Korea, Japan, and the US. The empirical results on the connectedness suggest that transparent policy and communication with the market in one type of policy would reduce the uncertainty in other policies.

• 동아시아경상학회지
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• 제6권4호
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• pp.1-12
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• 2018

Purpose - This paper tests the effect of the structure of manufacturing and marketing subsidiary network on FX exposure of Korean MNEs. Furthermore, the moderating effect of pass-through ability on the relationship between the subsidiary network and FX exposure is explored. Research design and methodology - This study utilizes a sample of 309 Korean MNEs constructed from database offered by KOTRA and KIS-VALUE. Results - As operational flexibility arising from having operations in multiple locations provides an option for firms to tackle FX exposure, greater breadth of manufacturing subsidiary network reduces FX exposure, and greater depth increases FX exposure. However, both the breadth and depth of marketing subsidiary network decrease FX exposure due to the firm's higher level of market presence and knowledge to devise an appropriate marketing strategy that can buffer adverse exchange rate movement. Such an effect is intensified when MNE's have FX exposure pass-through ability stemming from differentiated good. Conclusions - Empirical findings suggest that types and structure of Korean MNEs' foreign subsidiary network are closely related to the level of FX exposure they are experiencing. Also, they can utilize marketing subsidiary network more efficiently when having a higher R&D intensity.