• Title/Summary/Keyword: Occurrence distribution

Search Result 1,351, Processing Time 0.03 seconds

Comparison of probability distributions to analyze the number of occurrence of torrential rainfall events (집중호우사상의 발생횟수 분석을 위한 확률분포의 비교)

  • Kim, Sang Ug;Kim, Hyeung Bae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.49 no.6
    • /
    • pp.481-493
    • /
    • 2016
  • The statistical analysis to the torrential rainfall data that is defined as a rainfall amount more than 80 mm/day is performed with Daegu and Busan rainfall data which is collected during 384 months. The number of occurrence of the torrential rainfall events can be simulated usually using Poisson distribution. However, the Poisson distribution can be frequently failed to simulate the statistical characteristics of the observed value when the observed data is zero-inflated. Therefore, in this study, Generalized Poisson distribution (GPD), Zero-Inflated Poisson distribution (ZIP), Zero-Inflated Generalized Poisson distribution (ZIGP), and Bayesian ZIGP model were used to resolve the zero-inflated problem in the torrential rainfall data. Especially, in Bayesian ZIGP model, a informative prior distribution was used to increase the accuracy of that model. Finally, it was suggested that POI and GPD model should be discouraged to fit the frequency of the torrential rainfall data. Also, Bayesian ZIGP model using informative prior provided the most accurate results. Additionally, it was recommended that ZIP model could be alternative choice on the practical aspect since the Bayesian approach of this study was considerably complex.

Prediction of Potential Distributions of Two Invasive Alien Plants, Paspalum distichum and Ambrosia artemisiifolia, Using Species Distribution Model in Korean Peninsula (한반도에서 종 분포 모델을 이용한 두 침입외래식물, 돼지풀과 물참새피의 잠재적 분포 예측)

  • Lee, SeungHyun;Cho, Kang-Hyun;Lee, Woojoo
    • Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
    • /
    • v.3 no.3
    • /
    • pp.189-200
    • /
    • 2016
  • The species distribution model would be a useful tool for understanding how invasive alien species spread over the country and what environmental variables contribute to their distributions. This study is focused on the potential distribution of two invasive alien species, the common ragweed (Ambrosia artemisiifolia) and knotgrass (Paspalum distichum) in the Korean Peninsula. The maximum entropy (Maxent) model was used for the prediction of their distribution by inferring their climatic environmental requirements from localities where they are currently known to occur. We obtained their presence data from the Global Biodiversity Information Facility and the Korean plant species databases and bioclimatic data from the WorldClim dataset. As a results of the modelling, the potential distribution predicted by global occurrence data was more accurate than that by native occurrence data. The variables determining the common ragweed distribution were precipitation of the driest month and annual mean temperature. Both annual and the coldest quarter mean temperatures were critical factors in determining the knotgrass distribution. The Maxent model could be a useful tool for the prediction of alien species invasion and the management of their expansion.

Spatial Pattern of Larix gmelini in a Spruce-fir Valley Forest of Xiaoxing'an Mountains, China

  • Jin, Guangze;Liu, Liang;Liu, Zhili;Kim, Ji-Hong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
    • /
    • v.99 no.5
    • /
    • pp.720-725
    • /
    • 2010
  • On the basis of vegetation data in the 9.12 ha (380 m ${\times}$ 240 m) permanent sample plot of the spruce-fir valley forest in Liangshui National Reserve of Xiaoxing'an Mountains, the study was conducted to evaluate spatial distribution pattern and spatial association by using point pattern analysis for living and dead trees of Larix gmelini by DBH size class. The number of L. gmelini were counted as 59 living stems/ha (6.42 $m^2$/ha of basal area) and 34 dead stems/ha (2.86 $m^2$/ha of basal area). The distributional curve of diameter class exhibited bimodal shape. The analysis of spatial distribution patterns of all living larch stems noted the clumped distribution on the whole. The size of larch aggregates of dead stems was decreased as diameter class was increased. The distribution of dead stems became gradually randomized with decreased clumped size as the scale increased. Living stems and dead stems of the larch had positive spatial association at most of scales, illustrating that the occurrence of mortality of the larch tree was closely related to the distribution pattern of living larch trees.

Optimum failure-censored step-stress partially accelerated life test for the truncated logistic life distribution

  • Srivastava, P.W.;Mittal, N.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
    • /
    • v.13 no.1
    • /
    • pp.19-35
    • /
    • 2012
  • This paper presents an optimum design of step-stress partially accelerated life test (PALT) plan which allows the test condition to be changed from use to accelerated condition on the occurrence of fixed number of failures. Various life distribution models such as exponential, Weibull, log-logistic, Burr type-Xii, etc have been used in the literature to analyze the PALT data. The need of different life distribution models is necessitated as in the presence of a limited source of data as typically occurs with modern devices having high reliability, the use of correct life distribution model helps in preventing the choice of unnecessary and expensive planned replacements. Truncated distributions arise when sample selection is not possible in some sub-region of sample space. In this paper it is assumed that the lifetimes of the items follow Truncated Logistic distribution truncated at point zero since time to failure of an item cannot be negative. Optimum step-stress PALT plan that finds the optimal proportion of units failed at normal use condition is determined by using the D-optimality criterion. The method developed has been explained using a numerical example. Sensitivity analysis and comparative study have also been carried out.

  • PDF

An Theoretical study on Spalling Mechanism of Concrete (콘크리트 폭렬발생 메카니즘에 관한 이론적 고찰)

  • Kim, Hyung-Jun;Kim, Heung-Youl;Kim, Gyeong-Ok
    • Proceedings of the Korea Institute of Fire Science and Engineering Conference
    • /
    • 2008.11a
    • /
    • pp.422-427
    • /
    • 2008
  • The major cause of Concrete Spalling at high temperatures can be divided into the Vapor Pressure Rising, caused by the increase in free water temperature within the concrete, and Pore Pressure Rising induced by the vapor moving into dense pores within the concrete. Although the occurrence of spalling within concrete caused by these pressure increases can be assessed experimentally, a close examination into Mechanistic influence against various spalling factors shall be carried out first by using Mathematical Modeling and Theoretical Equations. The Spalling Prospect Process by theoretical mechanism is expedited in order of the following; selection of heating condition (fire strength and flame heating direction), a selection of constituent elements, an analysis of heat transmission, an analysis of moisture movement, distribution of water content, an analysis of pore/vapor pressure, and assessment of spalling occurrence.

  • PDF

Bisphenol A and other alkylphenols in the environment - occurrence, fate, health effects and analytical techniques

  • Zhu, Zhuo;Zuo, Yuegang
    • Advances in environmental research
    • /
    • v.2 no.3
    • /
    • pp.179-202
    • /
    • 2013
  • Bisphenol A and other alkylphenols are widely used in plastic and other industrial consumer products. Release of these compounds into the aquatic environment during their manufacture, use and disposal has been a great scientific and public concern due to their toxicity at high concentrations and endocrine disrupting effects at low concentration on aquatic wildlife and human beings. This paper reviews the published data and researches on the environmental occurrence, distribution, health effects and analytical techniques of bisphenol A and alkylphenols. The aim is to provide an overview of the current understanding about bisphenol A and alkylphenols in the environment and the difficulties faced today in order to establish standard and systematic environmental analysis and assessment process for these endocrine disruptor compounds.

Taxonomical and Phytochemical Studies of Citrus Plants Native to Je Ju Island (I) -Flavour Patterns of the Citrus Peel Oils and One of the Citrus Flavonoids- (제주도(濟州島) 재래감귤(在來柑橘)의 식물학적(植物學的) 연구(硏究)(I) -재래감귤(在來柑橘)의 정유성분상(精油成分相)과 flavonoid성분(成分)-)

  • Kim, Chang-Min;Kim, Kyung-Sik;Kim, Moon-Hong;Huh, In-Ok
    • Korean Journal of Pharmacognosy
    • /
    • v.10 no.1
    • /
    • pp.13-16
    • /
    • 1979
  • The essential oil composition by means of gas liquid chromatography, and the occurrence and distribution of flavonoid glycosides in leaves, peels and barks of citrus plants native to Je Ju island were investigated. Results indicate that the occurrence of p-cymene, d,l-limonene, linalool, geraniol and linalyl acetate in the essential oils, and of hesperidin in leaves, peels and barks are fairly common to these species.

  • PDF

In situ horizontal stress effect on plastic zone around circular underground openings excavated in elastic zones

  • Komurlu, Eren;Kesimal, Ayhan;Hasanpour, Rohala
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
    • /
    • v.8 no.6
    • /
    • pp.783-799
    • /
    • 2015
  • In this study, effect of horizontal in situ stress on failure mechanism around underground openings excavated in isotropic, elastic rock zones is investigated. For estimating the plastic zone occurrence, an induced stress influence area approach (Bray Equations) was modified to define critical stress ratio according to the Mohr-Coulomb failure criterion. Results obtained from modified calculations were compared with results of some other analytical solutions for plastic zone thickness estimation and the numerical modelling (finite difference method software, FLAC2D) study. Plastic zone and its geometry around tunnels were analyzed for different in situ stress conditions. The modified equations gave similar results with those obtained from the other approaches. However, safer results were calculated using the modified equations for high in situ stress conditions and excessive ratio of horizontal to vertical in situ stresses. As the outcome of this study, the modified equations are suggested to use for estimating the plastic zone occurrence and its thickness around the tunnels with circular cross-section.

Occurrence of X-ray Contrast Media (Iopromide) in the Nakdong River Basin (낙동강 수계에서의 X-선 조영제(Iopromide)의 분포 특성)

  • Yoom, Hoon-Sik;Son, Hee-Jong;Ryu, Dong-Choon;Jang, Seung-Ho
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
    • /
    • v.21 no.9
    • /
    • pp.1131-1138
    • /
    • 2012
  • The aims of this study were to investigate and confirm the occurrence and distribution patterns of iodinated X-ray contrast media (iopromide) in Nakdong river basin (mainstream and its tributaries). Iopromide was detected in 16 sampling sites. The concentration levels of iopromide on February 2011 and on October 2011 in surface water samples ranged from not detected (ND) to 1481.1 ng/L and ND to 1168.2 ng/L, respectively. The highest concentration level of iopromide in the mainstream and tributaries in Nakdong river were Goryeong and Jincheon-cheon, respectively. The sewage treatment plants (STPs) along the river affect the iopromide levels in river and the iopromide levels decreased with downstream because of dilution effects.

Characteristics of a Corona between a Wiring Clamp (Dead End Clamp) and a Porcelain Insulator Used in a 154kV Power Receptacle

  • Han, Woon-Ki
    • International Journal of Safety
    • /
    • v.7 no.1
    • /
    • pp.21-25
    • /
    • 2008
  • The occurrence of a corona is that electrical discharge due to the heterogeneity that occurs when an electrical field is concentrated in an electrode due to a cusp formed on said electrode. Wire treatment at the end of a 154kV dead end clamp for end users accelerates the occurrence of corona, which in turn leads to power loss and noise. In this study, the characteristics of the corona which occurs between porcelain insulators and support clamps of overhead lines used in l54kV power receiving facilities for end users were investigated. The corona, which cannot be identified by one common method, was measured utilizing a UV image camera. A risk assessment for fire damage and its status was suggested. The stress distribution of the electrical field by length of bare wire was suggested by means of the finite element method (FEMLAB). As a result, it was found to affect a porcelain insulators. These results can be utilized for the enhancement of clamp installation and safety in power facilities.