• Water for future
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• v.27 no.2
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• pp.147-154
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• 1994

The occurrence condition of debris fiow due to rainfall is given by solving the equations for fiow on a slope. The solution shows that a debris fiow will occur on a slope when the accumulated rainfall within the time of concentration exceeds a certain value determined by the properties of the slope. To estimate this critical value, the system analysis technique would be commendable. In this study, a procedure to fine the critical rainfall from the rainfall data whith and without debris flows is proposed. Reliability of this method is verified by applying to the debris flows in Unzen Volcano which recently began to erupt. Discharge of debris flow in a stream is obtained by solving the equation of continuity using the kinematic wave theory and assuming the cross sectional area to be a function of discharge. The computed hydrographs agree weel with the ones observed at the rivers in Sakurajima and Unzen Volcanos. It is found from the derived equation that the runoff intensity of debris flow is in proportion to the rainfall intensity and accumulated rainfall, jointly. This gives a theoretical basis to the conventional method which has been widely used.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.49 no.1
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• pp.41-49
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• 2016

This study proposed a new drought index considering the accumulative pattern of daily rainfall, i.e., Rainfall Accumulation Drought Index (RADI). The RADI can be easily calculated at daily scale by comparing the long-term averaged cumulative rainfall to the observed cumulative rainfall for a specific duration. This study evaluated the availability of the RADI in the field of monitoring short-term and long-term droughts by investigating the spatial and temporal variability and the recurrence cycle of drought in South Korea. To present the short-term and long-term droughts, the various SPIs with different durations should be used in practice. However, the RADI can present and monitor both short-term and long-term droughts as a single index. By investigating the national average of the RADI, specific drought patterns of 20-year cycle were identified in this study. This study also proposed a five-level drought classification considering occurrence probability that would be a suitable alternative as a drought criterion for drought forecast/response.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.43 no.4
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• pp.337-351
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• 2010

There is a growing dissatisfaction with use of conventional statistical methods for the prediction of extreme events. Conventional methodology for modeling extreme event consists of adopting an asymptotic model to describe stochastic variation. However asymptotically motivated models remain the centerpiece of our modeling strategy, since without such an asymptotic basis, models have no rational for extrapolation beyond the level of observed data. Also, this asymptotic models ignored or overestimate the uncertainty and finally decrease the reliability of uncertainty. Therefore this article provide the research example of the extreme rainfall event and the methodology to reduce the uncertainty. In this study, the Bayesian MCMC (Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo) and the MLE (Maximum Likelihood Estimation) methods using a quadratic approximation are applied to perform the at-site rainfall frequency analysis. Especially, the GEV distribution and Gumbel distribution which frequently used distribution in the fields of rainfall frequency distribution are used and compared. Also, the results of two distribution are analyzed and compared in the aspect of uncertainty.

• Journal of the Korean earth science society
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• v.35 no.2
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• pp.115-130
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• 2014

The growing possibility of the disaster due to severe weather calls for disaster prevention and water management measures in South Korea. In order to prevent a localized heavy rain from occurring, the rainfall must be observed and predicted quantitatively. In this study, we developed an adjustment algorithm to estimate the radar precipitation applying to the local gauge correction (LGC) method which uses geostatistical effective radius of errors of the radar precipitation. The effective radius was determined from the errors of radar rainfall using geostatistical method, and we adjusted radar precipitation for four heavy rainfall events based on the LGC method. Errors were decreased by about 40% and 60% in adjusted hourly rainfall accumulation and adjusted total rainfall accumulation for four heavy rainfall events, respectively. To estimate radar precipitation for localized heavy rain events in summer, therefore, we believe that it was appropriate for this study to use an adjustment algorithm, developed herein.

• Atmosphere
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• v.17 no.4
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• pp.393-405
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• 2007

Simulation results of WRF for the case of typhoon 'Rusa' were analyzed, comparing with observed data especially forjavascript:confirm_mark('abe', '1'); the Gangneung area around to examine its ability in numerical simulation. From the hourly precipitation time series, two peaks were found at Gangneung and Daegwallyeong, while only one peak was found from those of inland regions else. Especially, for the Yeongdong region, the first peak was directly related to spiral bands generated in front of the typhoon. Convective cells that were developed within the spiral bands moved to the eastern coastal area from the sea so that local heavy rainfall occurred in the Yeongdong region. The second peak was mainly related to the accompanying rain band of typhoon itself, topographic effect and the convergence near Gangneung area. Precipitation in Gangneung was simulated as much as about 30% of observed one. The main reason of this result came from a poor representation of wind directions in Gangneung area of WRF model. Observed wind direction was northwesterly but simulated one was nearly easterly in the area. This might shift a local heavy rainfall area downstream to the mountain area rather than the coastal area.

• Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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• v.46 no.4
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• pp.999-1006
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• 2019

Recently, the quantitative management of agricultural water supply, which is the main source for water consumption in Korea, has become more important due to the effective water management organization of the Korean government. In this study, the estimation method for irrigation supply based on agricultural reservoir storage data was improved compared to previous research, in which drought year selection was unclear, and the outlier data for the rainfall-irrigation supply were not eliminated in the regression analysis. In this study, the drought year was selected by the ratio of annual precipitation to mean annual precipitation and the storage rate observed before the start of irrigation. The outlier data for the rainfall-irrigation supply were eliminated by the Grubbs & Beck test. The proposed method was applied to nine agricultural reservoirs for validation. As a result, the ratio of annual precipitation to mean annual precipitation is less than 53% and the storage rate observed before the start of irrigation is less than 55% it was judged to be the drought year. In addition, the drought supply factor, K, was found to be 0.70 on average, showing closer results to the observed reservoir rates. This shows that water management at the real is appling drought year practice. It was shown that the performance of the proposed method was satisfactory with NSE (Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency coefficient) and R² (coefficient of determiniation) except for a few cases.

• Journal of Environmental Science International
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• v.18 no.10
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• pp.1115-1121
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• 2009

The purpose of this study is to estimate the impact of rainfall measurement according to the installation conditions of rain gauges: windbreak, grass mat, installation elevation or obstacle. Rain gauges were installed by the standards of Korea Meteorological Administration(KMA), and the rainfall measurement was conducted daily unit during two years(2007~2008). In conclusion, observed error of rain gauge did not affect whether windbreak was installed or not. If there is the obstacle around rain gauge, average error rate was increased about 3.3%: (2007year-2.49%, 2008year-4.10%). If rain gauge is located in a high place, average error rate was increased about 4.89%. Additionally, the observed error of rain gauge according to the wind speed has a positive correlation with obstacle and installation elevation and has a negative correlation with windbreak and has no affection with grass mat.

• Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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• v.25 no.4
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• pp.573-579
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• 2009

The performance of Rainfall-Runoff Forecasting System (RRFS), the watershed management model for the Geum river basin, is evaluated based on the agreement between the simulated and observed hydrographs and the behavioral characteristics of the flow-duration curves. As a result, the simulated hydrographs are well agreed with the observed ones except high flow discharges. It is inferred that most of the errors in the simulated hydrographs are due to the misestimation of agricultural water use in $2^{nd}$ quarter and the discrepancy of the peak discharges in $3^{rd}$ quarter. It is however judged that RRFS would give the reliable runoff hydrographs from the point of view of continuous model application. And simulated flow-duration curves and flow-duration coefficients are also similar to the observed ones except flood flow region. From the above result it is confirmed that the construction of Yongdam dam improves the state of flow-duration curve at the Gongjoo station.

• Journal of Wetlands Research
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• v.12 no.3
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• pp.99-106
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• 2010

In this study unit hydrograph and infiltration capacity curves have been determined based on rainfall-runoff data for the upper Ansung stream basin. Infiltration capacity curve also has been computed based on measurements of accumulated infiltration. Accumulated infiltration curve which has close relationship with unit hydrograph has been found in adopting the following two approach methods. In the first method the mean infiltration capacity with infiltration index method and the Kostiakov accumulation infiltration curves have been computed based on hydrological data for the GongDo gauging station of the upper Ansung stream basin. In the second method the accumulation curve has been determined through directly observed infiltration data for four points in the upper basin and has been compared with the infiltration capacity curves by three observed rainfall-runoff event.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.49 no.4
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• pp.283-291
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• 2016

As the infrastructures and populations are the condensed in the mega city, urban flood management becomes very important due to the severe loss of lives and properties. For the more accurate calculation of runoff from the urban catchment, hourly or even minute rainfall data have been utilized. However, the time steps of the measured or forecasted data under climate change scenarios are longer than hourly, which causes the difficulty on the application. In this study, daily rainfall data was disaggregated into hourly using the stochastic method. Based on the historical hourly precipitation data, Gram Schmidt orthonormalization process and K-Nearest Neighbor Resampling (KNNR) method were applied to disaggregate daily precipitation into hourly. This method was originally developed to disaggregate yearly runoff data into monthly. Precipitation data has smaller probability density than runoff data, therefore, rainfall patterns considering the previous and next days were proposed as 7 different types. Disaggregated rainfall was resampled from the only same rainfall patterns to improve applicability. The proposed method was applied rainfall data observed at Seoul weather station where has 52 years hourly rainfall data and the disaggregated hourly data were compared to the measured data. The proposed method might be applied to disaggregate the climate change scenarios.