• 제목/요약/키워드: Objective Prediction

검색결과 1,088건 처리시간 0.029초

열간압연 공정에서 롤 프로파일 예측모델 향상 (Improvement of Roll Profile Prediction Model in Hot Strip Rolling)

  • 정제숙;유종우;박해두
    • 소성∙가공
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.250-253
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    • 2007
  • In hot strip rolling, the work roll profile is one of the main factors in predicting and correcting the strip profile. Various studies concerning the wear profile and the thermal crown of work roll have been performed, and the results of these studies have shown that the work roll profile must be predicted accurately so as to efficiently control the strip qualities such as thickness, crown, flatness, and camber. Therefore, a precise prediction model of roll profile is called for in a perfect shape control system. In this paper, a genetic algorithm was applied to improve on the roll profile prediction model in hot strip rolling. In this approach, the optimal design problem is formulated on the basis of a numerical model so as to cover the diverse design variables and objective functions. A genetic algorithm was adopted for conducting design iteration for optimization to determine the coefficient of the numerical model for minimization of errors in the result of the calculated value and the measured data. A comparative analysis showed a satisfactory conformity between them.

Hyundai Motor's 4th NVH open BMT - Wind noise prediction on the HSM (Hyundai simplified model) using Ansys Fluent and LMS Virtual.Lab

  • Hallez, Raphael;Lee, Sang Yeop;Khondge, Ashok;Lee, Jeongwon
    • 한국소음진동공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국소음진동공학회 2014년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.562-562
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    • 2014
  • Assessment of aerodynamic noise is becoming increasingly important for automotive manufacturers. Flow passing a vehicle may indeed lead to high interior noise level and affect cabin comfort. Interior noise results from various mechanisms including aerodynamic fluctuations of the disturbed flow around the side mirror or pillar, hydrodynamic and acoustic loading of the car panels and windows, vibration of these panels and acoustic radiation inside the vehicle. Objective of the present study is to capture these important mechanisms in a simulation model and demonstrate the ability of the combined simulation tools Fluent / Virtual.Lab to provide accurate aerodynamic and interior noise prediction results. Previous study focused on the noise generated by the turbulence around the A-pillar structure of the HSM (Hyundai simplified model). The present study also includes the effect of the side-mirror and rain-gutter structures. Complete modeling process is presented including details on the unsteady CFD simulation and the vibro-acoustic model with absorption materials. Guidelines and best practices for building the simulation model are also discussed.

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육류 신선도 판별을 위한 휴대용 전자코 시스템 설계 및 성능 평가 II - 돈육의 미생물 총균수 예측을 통한 전자코 시스템 성능 검증 (Design and performance evaluation of portable electronic nose systems for freshness evaluation of meats II - Performance analysis of electronic nose systems by prediction of total bacteria count of pork meats)

  • 김재곤;조병관
    • 농업과학연구
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    • 제38권4호
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    • pp.761-767
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    • 2011
  • The objective of this study was to predict total bacteria count of pork meats by using the portable electronic nose systems developed throughout two stages of the prototypes. Total bacteria counts were measured for pork meats stored at $4^{\circ}C$ for 21days and compared with the signals of the electronic nose systems. PLS(Partial least square), PCR (Principal component regression), MLR (Multiple linear regression) models were developed for the prediction of total bacteria count of pork meats. The coefficient of determination ($R_p{^2}$) and root mean square error of prediction (RMSEP) for the models were 0.789 and 0.784 log CFU/g with the 1st system for the pork loin, 0.796 and 0.597 log CFU/g with the 2nd system for the pork belly, and 0.661 and 0.576 log CFU/g with the 2nd system for the pork loin respectively. The results show that the developed electronic system has potential to predict total bacteria count of pork meats.

Application of Artificial Neural Network method for deformation analysis of shallow NATM tunnel due to excavation

  • Lee, Jae-Ho;Akutagawa, Shnichi;Moon, Hong-Duk;Han, Heui-Soo;Yoo, Ji-Hyeung;Kim, Kwang-Yeun
    • 한국암반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국암반공학회 2008년도 국제학술회의
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    • pp.43-51
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    • 2008
  • Currently an increasing number of urban tunnels with small overburden are excavated according to the principle of the New Austrian Tunneling Method (NATM). For rational management of tunnels from planning to construction and maintenance stages, prediction, control and monitoring of displacements of and around the tunnel have to be performed with high accuracy. Computational method tools, such as finite element method, have been and are indispensable tool for tunnel engineers for many years. It is, however, a commonly acknowledged fact that determination of input parameters, especially material properties exhibiting nonlinear stress-strain relationship, is not an easy task even for an experienced engineer. Use and application of the acquired tunnel information is important for prediction accuracy and improvement of tunnel behavior on construction. Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model is a form of artificial intelligence that attempts to mimic behavior of human brain and nervous system. The main objective of this paper is to perform the deformation analysis in NATM tunnel by means of numerical simulation and artificial neural network (ANN) with field database. Developed ANN model can achieve a high level of prediction accuracy.

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Use of a Machine Learning Algorithm to Predict Individuals with Suicide Ideation in the General Population

  • Ryu, Seunghyong;Lee, Hyeongrae;Lee, Dong-Kyun;Park, Kyeongwoo
    • Psychiatry investigation
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    • 제15권11호
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    • pp.1030-1036
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    • 2018
  • Objective In this study, we aimed to develop a model predicting individuals with suicide ideation within a general population using a machine learning algorithm. Methods Among 35,116 individuals aged over 19 years from the Korea National Health & Nutrition Examination Survey, we selected 11,628 individuals via random down-sampling. This included 5,814 suicide ideators and the same number of non-suicide ideators. We randomly assigned the subjects to a training set (n=10,466) and a test set (n=1,162). In the training set, a random forest model was trained with 15 features selected with recursive feature elimination via 10-fold cross validation. Subsequently, the fitted model was used to predict suicide ideators in the test set and among the total of 35,116 subjects. All analyses were conducted in R. Results The prediction model achieved a good performance [area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC)=0.85] in the test set and predicted suicide ideators among the total samples with an accuracy of 0.821, sensitivity of 0.836, and specificity of 0.807. Conclusion This study shows the possibility that a machine learning approach can enable screening for suicide risk in the general population. Further work is warranted to increase the accuracy of prediction.

인공지능을 활용한 교통사고 발생 예측에 대한 연구 (A Study on the Prediction of Traffic Accidents Using Artificial Intelligence)

  • 김가을;김정현;손혜지;김도현
    • 한국정보통신학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보통신학회 2021년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.389-391
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    • 2021
  • 국민의 안전을 위해 교통사고를 방지하고자 교통 규제는 계속 확대되고 있지만, 교통사고는 여전히 줄어들지 않고 있다. 본 연구에서는 기상청의 날씨 예측 데이터, 도로교통공단의 요일, 시간대, 장소별 교통사고 발생 데이터, 특정 위치 정보 등 다양한 요인들의 연관관계를 인공지능을 활용하여 분석함으로써 특정 시간, 장소에 대한 교통사고 발생 확률을 예측하고자 한다. 본 연구는 이전의 수많은 교통사고 발생에 대한 객관적인 데이터와 기존의 다른 연구들에서 활용되지 않은 다양한 추가 요소들을 접목시켜 더욱 향상된 교통사고 발생 확률 예측 모델을 도출한다. 본 연구 결과는 국민의 안전한 삶을 위한 다양한 교통 관련 서비스에 유용하게 활용될 수 있을 것이다.

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중·상층 항공난류 예측모델의 성능 평가와 개선 (Performance Evaluation and Improvement of Operational Aviation Turbulence Prediction Model for Middle- and Upper- Levels)

  • 강유정;최희욱;최유나;이상삼;황혜원;이혁제;이용희
    • 한국항공운항학회지
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    • 제31권3호
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    • pp.30-41
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    • 2023
  • Aviation turbulence, caused by atmospheric eddies, is a disruptive phenomenon that leads to abrupt aircraft movements during flight. To minimize the damages caused by such aviation turbulence, the Aviation Meteorological Office provides turbulence information through the Korea aviation Turbulence Guidance (KTG) and the Global-Korean aviation Turbulence Guidance (GKTG). In this study, we evaluated the performance of the KTG and GKTG models by comparing the in-situ EDR observation data and the generated aviation turbulence prediction data collected from the mid-level Korean Peninsula region from January 2019 to December 2021. Through objective validation, we confirmed the level of prediction performance and proposed improvement measures based on it. As a result of the improvements, the KTG model showed minimal difference in performance before and after the changes, while the GKTG model exhibited an increase of TSS after the improvements.

저출생 문제해결을 위한 한자녀 기혼여성의 후속 출산의향 예측: 머신러닝 방법의 적용 (Predicting the Subsequent Childbirth Intention of Married Women with One Child to Solve the Low Birth Rate Problem in Korea: Application of a Machine Learning Method)

  • 전효정
    • 한국보육지원학회지
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.127-143
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    • 2024
  • Objective: The purpose of this study is to develop a machine learning model to predict the subsequent childbirth intention of married women with one child, aiming to address the low birth rate problem in Korea, This will be achieved by utilizing data from the 2021 Family and Childbirth Survey conducted by the Korea Institute for Health and Social Affairs. Methods: A prediction model was developed using the Random Forest algorithm to predict the subsequent childbirth intention of married women with one child. This algorithm was chosen for its advantages in prediction and generalization, and its performance was evaluated. Results: The significance of variables influencing the Random Forest prediction model was confirmed. With the exception of the presence or absence of leave before and after childbirth, most variables contributed to predicting the intention to have subsequent childbirth. Notably, variables such as the mother's age, number of children planned at the time of marriage, average monthly household income, spouse's share of childcare burden, mother's weekday housework hours, and presence or absence of spouse's maternity leave emerged as relatively important predictors of subsequent childbirth intention.

NUMERICAL STUDY OF AN EXTERNAL STORE RELEASED FROM A FIGHTER AIRCRAFT

  • Yoon, Young-Hyun;Cho, Hwan-Kee;Chung, H.S.;Lee, S.H.;Han, C.H.
    • 한국전산유체공학회지
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.80-85
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    • 2008
  • The prediction of the separation trajectories of external stores released from a military aircraft is an important task in the aircraft design area having the objective to define the operational and release envelopes. This paper presents the results obtained for store separation by employing commercial softwares, FLUENT and CFD-FASTRAN. FLUENT treats the rigid body motion by employing a remeshing scheme. CFD-FASTRAN uses Chimera(overset) grid and interpolations. It was found that, for the prediction of the trajectories and behavior of the stores separated from the wing, both codes show the good agreement with the experimental results.

미분류 데이터의 초기예측을 통한 군집기반의 부분지도 학습방법 (A Clustering-based Semi-Supervised Learning through Initial Prediction of Unlabeled Data)

  • 김응구;전치혁
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제33권3호
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    • pp.93-105
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    • 2008
  • Semi-supervised learning uses a small amount of labeled data to predict labels of unlabeled data as well as to improve clustering performance, whereas unsupervised learning analyzes only unlabeled data for clustering purpose. We propose a new clustering-based semi-supervised learning method by reflecting the initial predicted labels of unlabeled data on the objective function. The initial prediction should be done in terms of a discrete probability distribution through a classification method using labeled data. As a result, clusters are formed and labels of unlabeled data are predicted according to the Information of labeled data in the same cluster. We evaluate and compare the performance of the proposed method in terms of classification errors through numerical experiments with blinded labeled data.