• 제목/요약/키워드: Number of Accidents

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PLS 구조방정식을 이용한 자전거사고 요인분석 (A Factor Analysis for Bicycle Accidents Using the PLS Structural Equation)

  • 오주택
    • 한국ITS학회 논문지
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.26-40
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    • 2018
  • 본 연구는 자전거사고에 영향을 주는 요인들을 분석하기 위해 PLS 구조방정식을 이용하여 자전거사고모형을 개발한다. 본 연구에서는 자전거사고를 전국 시 군 구를 대상으로 전체 사고건수, 중상이상 사고, 경상사고로 사고유형을 구분하였다. 본 연구에서 개발된 사고모형들을 통해 자전거사고의 주요 원인들을 살펴보면 도시화의 확대가 자전거사고의 가장 큰 요인임을 알 수 있다. 자전거사고모형들에 포함된 주요 요소들을 살펴보면 인구수, 경제활동인구비율, 교차로밀도, 시가화 면적비율, 상업과 공업의 토지이용, 운전면허소지자, 자동차등록대수, 교육기관 설립수, 공원수 등의 증가가 자전거사고의 증가로 이어졌다. 또한 자전거도로연장, 자전거보유대수, 자전거수단분담률의 증가 등 각 지자체 별로 활성화되고 있는 자전거이용의 확산 역시 자전거사고를 증가시키는 주요 요소들로 밝혀졌다.

공사유형별 건설수주액을 고려한 건설재해수준 평가기법 (Assessment of Accident Level Based on Contract Amount by Type of Construction)

  • 이규진
    • 한국건축시공학회지
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.157-163
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    • 2021
  • 재해자수를 상시근로자수로 나눈 값이 재해율이다. 건설공사의 경우 공사실적과 노무비율을 기준으로 하여 상시근로자수를 추정하고 이를 이용하여 재해율을 산정하므로 재해율의 정확도가 낮아질 수 있다. 또한 현행 재해율 산정기준은 공사유형간의 특성을 반영하고 있지 않다. 본 연구는 공사종류별 특성을 고려한 재해율 보완방식을 제시하는 것으로 목적으로 진행하였으며, 지난 18년간의 공사실적 및 재해건수 통계자료를 바탕으로 상관분석과 선형회귀분석, 중회귀분석 등을 실시하여 공사유형과 재해유형간의 관계를 나타내는 회귀식을 도출하였다. 본 연구에서 제시한 수식은 기존의 건설공사 재해율의 단점을 보완하여 재해의 증감 및 예년대비 재해율의 높고낮음을 판단하는 보조지표로서의 활용이 가능할 것으로 기대된다.

영유소아기 가정사고의 원인과 예방에 관한 연구 (A Study on Home Accidents of Preschool Children (from 1 to 6) in Korea and Prevention Measures)

  • 변수자
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.107-120
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    • 1974
  • Necessity and purpose of this study: In a large number of countries it has been founded that children′s domestic accidents are at great risk year by year In the United States, they publish detailed accident statistics at regular intervals. In Korea. there have been just a few studies on Accidents-At-Home of preschool children. But it can not be said that there have been any systematic statistics about this area. and any study accounting for the relations of home accidents and preschool: children in detail, Therefore, the purpose of this thesis was focused on the inquire of these relations so as to make a little contribution to Korean preschool children′s health and security measures. So, the detail-purposes are to study following questions and to testify following hypothesis. Prob. 1. What the types of accidents of Preschool children, where the place accidents occurred\ulcorner Prob. 2. What the cause of accidents and, the main factors of the cause\ulcorner Prob. 3. How about the number of their children. the disparity of age among their children and mother′s age in each case of accidents\ulcorner hypothesis 1. There will be differences in the density of protection of parents according to the number of their children. hypothesis 2, There will be differences in accident-types and first-aid methods according to parents socio-economic background. Method; This study employed the interviewing survey method, in which 130 preschool children ware random.sampled, who visit hospital to have medical care. These children (from 1 to 6 years olds) were selected at the emergency room of five hospitals in Seoul (Hosp: Severance, Woosok, Medical Center, Hanyang Medical College Hospital and Seoul Medical Col1age Hospital during study-period (from Aug. to Oct, 1973). Four head nurses in above Hospitals were employed as accident members for this study. Concerning research analysis, the method of hypothesis verifying is used. Conclusion: As two American experts on this subject. Dr, Raymond Neuter and Mr. Ross Mc Garland have drawn attention to "minor epidemics of accidents" that could be avoided by fairly simple measures. preschool children′s accidents could be avoided by parents fair attentions. In other words, one of the most common causes of preschool children′s accidents derived from their parent′s inattention. Therefore, one important task on this subject is to instruct the parents fairly about the children′s accidents. Many accidents could be avoided by the exorcist of a little self-discipline. Also, as much the prevention of accidents is important, as the first-aid Is Important and necessary at the case of the accidents. So, the methods of proper first-aid treatment must be emphasized, and must be taught in school, especially in girls school. And there could be other means available for prevention of accidents. Firstly, the public authorities can take legal measures. More stringent safety standards can be made enforceable by law. Building materials and equipment for domestic us: ought to meat minimum safety criteria at all times. Next the public itself has to understand the seriousness of the problem, and here the dissemination of information is of great importance. All mass media should be brought into play to promote greater public awareness of the question. At last, it will be needed to obtain more detailed epidemiological data through additional surveys and statistics after this study.

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비교그룹방법을 통한 백색 중앙분리대측 실선 도입의 사고감소효과 연구 (Estimation of Traffic Accident Effectiveness of White Left Shoulder Line Using a Comparison Group Method)

  • 박시내;임준범;김동인;김진홍;최명호
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제18권5호
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    • pp.127-134
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    • 2016
  • PURPOSES : Visibility of lanes on the road improves as retro-reflectivity rises. This helps reduce traffic accidents at nighttime or in bad weather. This study aimed to evaluate the effects of improved visibility on reduction of traffic accidents when the color of the lane in the median of the highway was changed from yellow to white. METHODS : In order to evaluate the accident reduction effect of the white left shoulder line, Hauer (1997)'s Comparison-Group method was chosen as an analysis methodology. The JungBu-2 highway, which is equipped with the white left shoulder line and is in trial operation, was chosen as a target for analysis. Data of accidents for 10 months before and after installation was collected and analyzed. In addition to the number of accidents, the types of accidents were classified into nighttime accidents, accidents in bad weather, and median collisions. The accident reduction effect of improved visibility of lanes was analyzed. RESULTS : The analysis' finding showed that installation of the white left shoulder line decreased the number of accidents by 28%. Moreover, improvement in visibility was effective in reducing nighttime accidents by 67.63%, accidents in bad weather by 55.19%, and median collisions by 48.55%. CONCLUSIONS : Based on the analysis' results in this study, it was concluded that white left shoulder line on the freeway contributed to reduce traffic accidents, especially nighttime accidents, accidents in bad weather, and median collisions.

CHARACTERISTICS OF ACCIDENTS IN CONSTRUCTION PROJECT IN KOREA

  • Kyeong-Seok Chae;Chan-Sik Lee
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 4th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management Organized by the University of New South Wales
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    • pp.603-608
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    • 2011
  • According to the labor related data from Korea Occupational Safety & Health Agency, accident victims of construction industry are increasing 6% annually since 2006. The major reason why the rate of accidents increases in Korea is that lots of labor working with another trades works simultaneously in various type of works. This study analyzes the current accident status in view of the type of building, type of works, and project size for the latest 3 years (2007~2009). As a result, 'single family & semi-detached houses' has the largest number of accidents among buildings. In addition, 'finishing work' shows the highest number in terms of work type. For the size, accidents occurred much for 'less than 300 million'. The results of this study can be used to focus on managing the highly hazardous area where the construction accidents mostly occur; therefore, it is anticipated to contribute to improve efficiency of safety management.

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여객선사고의 원인분석 -정책불응의 관점을 중심으로 (An analysis of th cause of passenger ship accident -from the perspestive of policy non-compliance)

  • 배점모
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.51-71
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    • 1997
  • As passenger ship accidents so frequently have occurred, crisis consciousness is highly aroused in Korean society. Although bombastic policy guidlines were suggested in accordance with every passenger ship accident, there remains a still high possibility of such an accident reoccurring because passenger ship accidents occur from the perspective of non-compliance. The research objective of this study is to government's safety regulatory policies. Data for the analysis was collected from literature review. A Case study related to passenger ship accident is adopted for the analysis. The research methods utilized in this study consist of extensive quantitative analysis of 138 passenger ship accidents which had happened over last 10 years from 1984 to 1993 in Korea and a qualitative analysis of the passenger ship accident of the Seohae Ferry in October 1993. The results of the quantitive analysis on the 138 passenger ship accidents are as follows; Seeing the accidents yearly, the accidents which occurred by policy non-compliance are still exist, only somewhat reduced as years gone by. Seeing the accidents from the perspective of types of accident, fire accidents and death and injury accidents had more non-compliance factors than contact accidents and one-side collision accidents, etc. had. Seeing the accidents from the perspectives of types of passenger ship, large ships like car ferries and general passenger ship accidents had more non-compliance factors than any other kinds of ships had. Seeing the accidents from the perspectives of tons of passenger ships, large ships weighing more than 1, 000 tons and small ships weighing less than 50tons contained a lots of non-compliance factors. The results of the qualitative analysis of the passenger ship accident of the Seohae Ferry in Octovber 1993 are as follows; From the viewpoint of the human factor, there were non-compliance to the recruiting of required number of qualified crew members and non-compliance to the rule which prohibited them from leaving port in bad weather and high wave conditions. From the viewpoint of the ship factor, there were defects in the ship. So we might say that there was non-compliance which was aroused from the lacks of technical skills. From the viewpoint of the administrative factor, there were many non-compliance factors such as sailor education, shipping management, rescue, safety equipment. From the viewpoint of the passenger factor, there were passengers' threats which compelled the crews to leave the port under bad weather conditions. In conclusion, the principal non-compliances factors are passenger ship company did not follow safety rules such as shipping the permitted number of passengers, loading permitted tons of freight and fastening freights properly and recruiting required number of qualified crew. In order to reduce accidents, firstly we should find out the causes which play key roles in passenger ship companies' non-compliance to the government's safety regulations. Secondly we should tackle the causes.

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계절 ARIMA 모형을 이용한 고령운전자의 안전운전불이행에 의한 교통사고건수 예측분석 (Predictive Analysis of Traffic Accidents caused by Negligence of Safe Driving in Elderly using Seasonal ARIMA)

  • 김재문;장성호;김성수
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제40권1호
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    • pp.65-78
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    • 2017
  • Even though cars have a good effect on modern society, traffic accidents do not. There are traffic laws that define the regulations and aim to reduce accidents from happening; nevertheless, it is hard to determine all accident causes such as road and traffic conditions, and human related factors. If a traffic accident occurs, the traffic law classifies it as 'Negligence of Safe Driving' for cases that are not defined by specific regulations. Meanwhile, as Korea is already growing rapidly elderly population with more than 65 years, so are the number of traffic accidents caused by this group. Therefore, we studied predictive and comparative analysis of the number of traffic accidents caused by 'Negligence of Safe Driving' by dividing it into two groups : All-ages and Elderly. In this paper, we used empirical monthly data from 2007 to 2015 collected by TAAS (Traffic Accident Analysis System), identified the most suitable ARIMA forecasting model by using the four steps of the Box-Jenkins method : Identification, Estimation, Diagnostics, Forecasting. The results of this study indicate that ARIMA $(1, 1, 0)(0, 1, 1)_{12}$ is the most suitable forecasting model in the group of All-ages; and ARIMA $(0, 1, 1)(0, 1, 1)_{12}$ is the most suitable in the group of Elderly. Then, with this fitted model, we forecasted the number of traffic accidents for 2 years of both groups. There is no large fluctuation in the group of All-ages, but the group of Elderly shows a gradual increase trend. Finally, we compared two groups in terms of the forecast, suggested a countermeasure plan to reduce traffic accidents for both groups.

교통안전시설 설치의 교통사고 발생에 대한 선행성 분석 (Precedence Analysis of Traffic Safety Facilities Installation for Traffic Accidents)

  • 주일엽
    • 시큐리티연구
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    • 제55호
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    • pp.31-55
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    • 2018
  • 본 연구는 교통안전표지, 교통신호기기 등 교통안전표지 설치의 교통사고 발생에 대한 선행성을 분석하는데 목적이 있다. 시계열분석(time series analysis) 중 하나인 교차상관분석(cross-correlation analysis)을 실시하여 도출한 주요 연구결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 교통안전시설 설치건수의 교통사고 발생건수에 대한 선행성은 교통안전표지(전체) 설치건수(시차수 1), 교통안전표지(주의) 설치건수(시차수 7), 교통안전표지(규제) 설치건수(시차수 7), 교통안전표지(지시) 설치건수(시차수 4)가 각각 부(-)의 관계로 교통사고 발생건수를 선행(先行)한다. 둘째, 교통신호기기 설치건수의 교통사고 발생건수에 대한 선행성은 교통신호기기(보행등) 설치건수(시차수 2)가 부(-)의 관계로 교통사고 발생건수를 선행(先行)한다. 셋째, 교통안전시설 설치건수 증감률의 교통사고 발생 증감률에 대한 선행성은 교통안전표지(전체) 설치 증감률(시차수 1), 교통안전표지(주의) 설치 증감률(시차수 1), 교통안전표지(지시) 설치 증감률(시차수 1), 교통안전표지(보조) 설치 증감률(시차수 1)이 각각 부(-)의 관계로 교통사고 발생 증감률을 선행(先行)한다. 넷째, 교통신호기기 설치 증감률의 교통사고 발생 증감률에 대한 선행성은 교통신호기기(보행등) 설치 증감률(시차수 0)이 정(+)의 관계로 동행(同行)한다.

자전거 교통 사고 현황 및 예측 분석 (Analysis and Prediction of Bicycle Traffic Accidents in Korea)

  • 최승희;이구연
    • 전자공학회논문지
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    • 제53권9호
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    • pp.89-96
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    • 2016
  • 국내의 자전거 이용 활성화 정책에 따라 자전거 노선 및 자전거 교통 인프라가 계속 확장되는 추세이다. 자전거 인구가 증가함에 따라 해마다 자전거 교통사고도 증가하고 있다. 본 논문은 도로교통공단의 2007년부터 2014년까지의 자전거 교통사고 데이터를 분석하여 교통사고 현황에 대한 통계량을 제시하였다. 또한 기상청의 종관기상관측소 서울지점의 기상 정보를 활용하여 서울지역의 일별 교통사고 발생 건수에 대한 회귀분석을 실시하였다. 그리고 의사결정 트리 분석 방법을 적용하여 교통사고 정보의 교통사고 심각도를 분류 예측하였다. 이러한 기술 분석 및 예측 분석을 통해 향후 자전거 교통사고 예방을 위한 자전거 교통사고 데이터 수집 정책 및 사고 예방 대책 수립에 도움이 되고자 한다.

제조업의 인적오류 관련 사고분석을 위한 HFACS-K의 개발 및 사례연구 (HFACS-K: A Method for Analyzing Human Error-Related Accidents in Manufacturing Systems: Development and Case Study)

  • 임재근;최종덕;강태원;김병철;함동한
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제35권4호
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    • pp.64-73
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    • 2020
  • As Korean government and safety-related organizations make continuous efforts to reduce the number of industrial accidents, accident rate has steadily declined since 2010, thereby recording 0.48% in 2017. However, the number of fatalities due to industrial accidents was 1,987 in 2017, which means that more efforts should be made to reduce the number of industrial accidents. As an essential activity for enhancing the system safety, accident analysis can be effectively used for reducing the number of industrial accidents. Accident analysis aims to understand the process of an accident scenario and to identify the plausible causes of the accident. Accident analysis offers useful information for developing measures for preventing the recurrence of an accident or its similar accidents. However, it seems that the current practice of accident analysis in Korean manufacturing companies takes a simplistic accident model, which is based on a linear and deterministic cause-effect relation. Considering the actual complexities underlying accidents, this would be problematic; it could be more significant in the case of human error-related accidents. Accordingly, it is necessary to use a more elaborated accident model for addressing the complexity and nature of human-error related accidents more systematically. Regarding this, HFACS(Human Factors Analysis and Classification System) can be a viable accident analysis method. It is based on the Swiss cheese model and offers a range of causal factors of a human error-related accident, some of which can be judged as the plausible causes of an accident. HFACS has been widely used in several work domains(e.g. aviation and rail industry) and can be effectively used in Korean industries. However, as HFACS was originally developed in aviation industry, the taxonomy of causal factors may not be easily applied to accidents in Korean industries, particularly manufacturing companies. In addition, the typical characteristics of Korean industries need to be reflected as well. With this issue in mind, we developed HFACS-K as a method for analyzing accidents happening in Korean industries. This paper reports the process of developing HFACS-K, the structure and contents of HFACS-K, and a case study for demonstrating its usefulness.