• Title/Summary/Keyword: Nonlinear regression analysis

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Fuzzy Nonlinear Regression Model (퍼지비선형회귀모형)

  • Hwang, Seung-Gook;Park, Young-Man;Seo, Yoo-Jin;Park, Kwang-Pak
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.99-105
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    • 1998
  • This paper is to propose the fuzzy regression model using genetic algorithm which is fuzzy nonlinear regression model. Genetic algorithm is used to classify the input data for better fuzzy regression analysis. From this partition. each data can be have the grade of membership function which is belonged to a divided data group. The data group, from optimal partition of the region of each variable, have different fuzzy parameters of fuzzy linear regression model one another. We compound the fuzzy output of each data group so as to obtain the final fuzzy number for a data. We show the efficiency of this method by means of demonstration of a case study.

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Development of Prediction Model for Flexibly-reconfigurable Roll Forming based on Experimental Study (실험적 연구를 통한 비정형롤판재성형 예측 모델 개발)

  • Park, J.W.;Kil, M.G.;Yoon, J.S.;Kang, B.S.;Lee, K.
    • Transactions of Materials Processing
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.341-347
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    • 2017
  • Flexibly-reconfigurable roll forming (FRRF) is a novel sheet metal forming technology conducive to produce multi-curvature surfaces by controlling strain distribution along longitudinal direction. Reconfigurable rollers could be arranged to implement a kind of punch die set. By utilizing these reconfigurable rollers, desired curved surface can be formed. In FRRF process, three-dimensional surface is formed from two-dimensional curve. Thus, it is difficult to predict the forming result. In this study, a regression analysis was suggested to construct a predictive model for a longitudinal curvature of FRRF process. To facilitate investigation, input parameters affecting the longitudinal curvature of FRRF were determined as maximum compression value, curvature radius in the transverse direction, and initial blank width. Three-factor three-level full factorial experimental design was utilized and 27 experiments using FRRF apparatus were performed to obtain sample data of the regression model. Regression analysis was carried out using experimental results as sample data. The model used for regression analysis was a quadratic nonlinear regression model. Determination factor and root mean square root error were calculated to confirm the conformity of this model. Through goodness of fit test, this regression predictive model was verified.

Study on Effective Arrangement of Main Engine Top-Bracing (메인 엔진 탑-브레이싱의 효과적 배치에 관한 연구)

  • Choung, Joon-Mo;Min, Dug-Ki
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.48 no.4
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    • pp.289-298
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    • 2011
  • This paper provides procedures to effectively determine arrangement of hydraulic type top-bracings, which are popular for the main engine of the mid and large sized commercial vessels. Analyzing the operation mechanism of hydraulic top-bracing, ideal unified nonlinear stiffness curve is presented for linear frequency response analysis and nonlinear transient response analysis. Nonlinear stiffnesses of the curve are determined based on the regression analysis of test results. It is noted from linear frequency response analysis, initial setting pressure is most important among the setting values of the other stiffness intervals. From transient response analyses for two top-bracing arrangement scenarios, it is recognized that, as far as initial setting pressure is well controlled for the concerning vessels, only two top-bracings are enough to suppress H-mode excitation forces from main engine.

Forecasting Energy Consumption of Steel Industry Using Regression Model (회귀 모델을 활용한 철강 기업의 에너지 소비 예측)

  • Sung-Ho KANG;Hyun-Ki KIM
    • Journal of Korea Artificial Intelligence Association
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.21-25
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study was to compare the performance using multiple regression models to predict the energy consumption of steel industry. Specific independent variables were selected in consideration of correlation among various attributes such as CO2 concentration, NSM, Week Status, Day of week, and Load Type, and preprocessing was performed to solve the multicollinearity problem. In data preprocessing, we evaluated linear and nonlinear relationships between each attribute through correlation analysis. In particular, we decided to select variables with high correlation and include appropriate variables in the final model to prevent multicollinearity problems. Among the many regression models learned, Boosted Decision Tree Regression showed the best predictive performance. Ensemble learning in this model was able to effectively learn complex patterns while preventing overfitting by combining multiple decision trees. Consequently, these predictive models are expected to provide important information for improving energy efficiency and management decision-making at steel industry. In the future, we plan to improve the performance of the model by collecting more data and extending variables, and the application of the model considering interactions with external factors will also be considered.

Nonlinear approach to modeling heteroscedasticity in transfer function analysis (시계열 전이함수분석 이분산성의 비선형 모형화)

  • 황선영;김순영;이성덕
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.311-321
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    • 2002
  • Transfer function model(TFM) capturings conditional heteroscedastic pattern is introduced to analyze stochastic regression relationship between the two time series. Nonlinear ARCH concept is incorporated into the TFM via threshold ARCH and beta- ARCH models. Steps for statistical analysis of the proposed model are explained along the lines of the Box & Jenkins(1976, ch. 10). For illustration, dynamic analysis between KOSPI and NASDAQ is conducted from which it is seen that threshold ARCH performs the best.

Probabilistic Distribution of Displacement Response of Frictionally Damped Structures under Earthquake Loads (지진하중을 받는 마찰형 감쇠를 갖는 구조물의 변위 응답 확률 분포)

  • Lee, Sang-Hyun;Park, Ji-Hun;Youn, Kyung-Jo;Min, Kyung-Won
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 2007.04a
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    • pp.639-644
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    • 2007
  • The accurate peak response estimation of a seismically excited structure with frictional damping system(FDS) is very difficult since the structure with FDS shows nonlinear behavior dependent on the structural period, loading characteristics, and relative magnitude between the frictional force and the excitation load. Previous studies have estimated that by replacing a nonlinear system with an equivalent linear one or by employing the response spectrum obtained based on nonlinear time history and statistical analysis. In the case that on earthquake load is defined with probabilistic characteristics, the corresponding response of the structure with FDS has probabilistic distribution. In this study, nonlinear time history analyses were performed for the structure with FDS subjected to artificial earthquake loads generated using Kanai-Tajimi filter. An equation for the probability density function (PDF) of the displacement response is proposed by adapting the PDF of the normal distribution. Finally, coefficients of the proposed PDF is obtained by regression analysis of the statistical distribution of the time history responses. Finally, the correlation between PDFs and statistical response distribution is presented.

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Population Pharmacokinetic Modeling of Vancomycin in Patients with Cancer (암환자에게 반코마이신의 집단약물동태학 모델연구)

  • 최준식;민영돈;범진필
    • YAKHAK HOEJI
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.160-168
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    • 1999
  • The purpose of this study was to determine pharmacokinetic parameters of vancomycin using peak and trough plasma level (PTL) and Bayesian analysis in 20 Korean normal volunteers, 16 gastric cancer and 12 lymphoma patients and also using the compartment model dependent (nonlinear least squares regression: NLSR) and compartment model independent (Lagrange) analysis in 10 ovarian cancer patients. Nonparametric expected maximum (NPEM) algorithm for calculation of the population pharmacokinetic parameters was used, and these parameters were applied for clinical pharmacokinetic parameters by Bayesian analysis. Vancomycin was administered as dose of 1.0 g every 12 hrs for 3 days by IV infusion over 60 minutes in normal volunteers, gastric cancer and lymphoma patients. Population pharmacokinetic parameters, K and Vd in gastric cancer and lymphoma patients using NPEM algorithm were $0.158{\pm}0.014{\;}hr^{-1},{\;}0.630{\pm}0.043{\;}L/kg{\;}and{\;}0.131{\pm}0.0261{\;}hr^{-1},{\;}0.631{\pm}0.089{\;}L/kg$ respectively. The K and Vd in gastric cancer and lymphoma patients using Bayesian analysis were $0.151{\pm}0.027,{\;}0.126{\pm}0.056{\;}hr^{-1}{\;}and{\;}0.62{\pm}0.105,{\;}0.63{\pm}0.095{\;}L/kg$. The K and Vd in ovarian cancer patient using the NLSR and Lagrange analysis were $0.109{\pm}0.008,{\;}0.126{\pm}0.012{\;}hr^{-1}{\;}and{\;} 0.76{\pm}0.08,{\;}0.69{\pm}0.19{\;}L/kg$, respectively. It is necessary for effective dosage regimen of vancomycin in cancer patients to use these population parameters.

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Clinical Pharmacokinetics of Gentamicin in Gastrointestinal Surgical Patients (위장관 수술환자에서 겐타마이신의 임상약물동태)

  • Choi, Jun-Shik;Moon, Hong-Seog;Choi, In;Burm, Jin-Pil
    • YAKHAK HOEJI
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 1996
  • The purpose of this investigation was to determine pharmacokinetic parameters of gentamicin using nonlinear least square regression(NLSR) and Bayesian analysis in Korean normal volunteers and gastrointestinal surgical patients. Nonparametric expected maximum(NPEM) method for population pharmacokinetic parameters was used. Gentamicin was administered every 8 hours for 3 days by infusion over 30 minutes. The volume of distribution(V) and elimination rate constant(K) of gentamicin were $0.226{\pm}0.032,\;0.231{\pm}0.063L/Kg\;and\;0.357{\pm}0.024,\;0.337{\pm}0.041hr^{-1}$ for normal volunteers and gastrointestinal surgical patients using NLSR analysis. Population pharmacokinetic parameters, KS and VS were $0.00344{\pm}0.00049(hr{\cdot}ml/min/1.73m^2)^{-1}\;and\;0.214{\pm}0.0502L/Kg$ for gastrointestinal surgical patients using NPEM method. The V and K were $0.216{\pm}0.048L/Kg\;and\;0.336{\pm}0.043hr^{-1}$ for gastrointestinal surgical patients using Bayesian analysis. There were no differences in gentamicin pharmacokinetics between NLSR and Bayesian analysis in gastrointestinal surgical patient.

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Comparison between Logistic Regression and Artificial Neural Networks as MMPI Discriminator (MMPI 분석도구로서 인공신경망 분석과 로지스틱 회귀분석의 비교)

  • Lee, Jaewon;Jeong, Bum Seok;Kim, Mi Sug;Choi, Jee Wook;Ahn, Byung Un
    • Korean Journal of Biological Psychiatry
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.165-172
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    • 2005
  • Objectives:The purpose of this study is to 1) conduct a discrimination analysis of schizophrenia and bipolar affective disorder using MMPI profile through artificial neural network analysis and logistic regression analysis, 2) to make a comparison between advantages and disadvantages of the two methods, and 3) to demonstrate the usefulness of artificial neural network analysis of psychiatric data. Procedure:The MMPI profiles for 181 schizophrenia and bipolar affective disorder patients were selected. Of these profiles, 50 were randomly placed in the learning group and the remaining 131 were placed in the validation group. The artificial neural network was trained using the profiles of the learning group and the 131 profiles of the validation group were analyzed. A logistic regression analysis was then conducted in a similar manner. The results of the two analyses were compared and contrasted using sensitivity, specificity, ROC curves, and kappa index. Results:Logistic regression analysis and artificial neural network analysis both exhibited satisfactory discriminating ability at Kappa index of greater than 0.4. The comparison of the two methods revealed artificial neural network analysis is superior to logistic regression analysis in its discriminating capacity, displaying higher values of Kappa index, specificity, and AUC(Area Under the Curve) of ROC curve than those of logistic regression analysis. Conclusion:Artificial neural network analysis is a new tool whose frequency of use has been increasing for its superiority in nonlinear applications. However, it does possess insufficiencies such as difficulties in understanding the relationship between dependent and independent variables. Nevertheless, when used in conjunction with other analysis tools which supplement it, such as the logistic regression analysis, it may serve as a powerful tool for psychiatric data analysis.

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A Prediction Algorithm for a Heavy Rain Newsflash using the Evolutionary Symbolic Regression Technique (진화적 기호회귀 분석기법 기반의 호우 특보 예측 알고리즘)

  • Hyeon, Byeongyong;Lee, Yong-Hee;Seo, Kisung
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.20 no.7
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    • pp.730-735
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    • 2014
  • This paper introduces a GP (Genetic Programming) based robust technique for the prediction of a heavy rain newsflash. The nature of prediction for precipitation is very complex, irregular and highly fluctuating. Especially, the prediction of heavy precipitation is very difficult. Because not only it depends on various elements, such as location, season, time and geographical features, but also the case data is rare. In order to provide a robust model for precipitation prediction, a nonlinear and symbolic regression method using GP is suggested. The remaining part of the study is to evaluate the performance of prediction for a heavy rain newsflash using a GP based nonlinear regression technique in Korean regions. Analysis of the feature selection is executed and various fitness functions are proposed to improve performances. The KLAPS data of 2006-2010 is used for training and the data of 2011 is adopted for verification.