• 제목/요약/키워드: Neural networks modeling

검색결과 390건 처리시간 0.027초

이력 데이터를 사용한 노무생산성 모델링 및 측정 (Measuring and Modeling Labor Productivity using Historical Data)

  • 박영준;손창백;이동은
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2012년도 추계 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.141-142
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    • 2012
  • Estimating the productivity of labor has relied on the experience and intuition of an estimator, or productivity data, such as standard in practical estimation. However, when new technologies and new construction methods employed in the construction industry, Dependence of a quantity surveyor's intuition is increased. This is because of the lack of a systematic methodology which models, estimates, and measures the labor productivity, Due to the historical productivity data is unavailable. Even thought project history data contains information that is important to predict the performance of a project, It can not provide valuable information to model, estimate, and measure the labor productivity. This is because 1) the absence of the productivity measurement system with consistency, 2) the difficulty of reusability of historical data collected. Therefor, this study suggests a methodology which build a productivity model by measuring the productivity of labor and collecting the historical data systematically. In addition, this methology is applied to develop a productivity model of shop-drawing and manufacturing process using descrete event simulation.

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A case of corporate failure prediction

  • Shin, Kyung-Shik;Jo, Hongkyu;Han, Ingoo
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국경영과학회 1996년도 추계학술대회발표논문집; 고려대학교, 서울; 26 Oct. 1996
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    • pp.199-202
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    • 1996
  • Although numerous studies demonstrate that one technique outperforms the others for a given data set, there is often no way to tell a priori which of these techniques will be most effective to solve a specific problem. Alternatively, it has been suggested that a better approach to classification problem might be to integrate several different forecasting techniques by combining their results. The issues of interest are how to integrate different modeling techniques to increase the prediction performance. This paper proposes the post-model integration method, which means integration is performed after individual techniques produce their own outputs, by finding the best combination of the results of each method. To get the optimal or near optimal combination of different prediction techniques. Genetic Algorithms (GAs) are applied, which are particularly suitable for multi-parameter optimization problems with an objective function subject to numerous hard and soft constraints. This study applied three individual classification techniques (Discriminant analysis, Logit and Neural Networks) as base models to the corporate failure prediction context. Results of composite prediction were compared to the individual models. Preliminary results suggests that the use of integrated methods will offer improved performance in business classification problems.

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The Hybrid Systems for Credit Rating

  • Goo, Han-In;Jo, Hong-Kyuo;Shin, Kyung-Shik
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.163-173
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    • 1997
  • Although numerous studies demonstrate that one technique outperforms the others for a given data set, it is hard to tell a priori which of these techniques will be the most effective to solve a specific problem. It has been suggested that the better approach to classification problem might be to integrate several different forecasting techniques by combining their results. The issues of interest are how to integrate different modeling techniques to increase the predictive performance. This paper proposes the post-model integration method, which tries to find the best combination of the results provided by individual techniques. To get the optimal or near optimal combination of different prediction techniques, Genetic Algorithms (GAs) are applied, which are particularly suitable for multi-parameter optimization problems with an object function subject to numerous hard and soft constraints. This study applies three individual classification techniques (Discriminant analysis, Logit model and Neural Networks) as base models for the corporate failure prediction. The results of composite predictions are compared with the individual models. Preliminary results suggests that the use of integrated methods improve the performance of business classification.

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광역도시 에너지계획단계에서의 DB기반 에너지수요예측 시스템 개발 (Development of the DB-Based Energy Demand Prediction System Urban Community Energy Planning)

  • 공동석;이상문;이병정;허정호
    • 대한설비공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한설비공학회 2009년도 하계학술발표대회 논문집
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    • pp.940-945
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    • 2009
  • Energy planning for hybrid energy system is important to increase the flexibility in the urban community and national energy systems. Expected maximum loads, load profiles and yearly energy demands are important input parameters to plan for the technical and environmental optimal energy system for a planning area. The method for energy demand prediction has been based on artificial neural networks(ANN). The advantage of ANN with respect to the other method is their ability of modeling a multivariable problem given by the complex relationships between the variables. This method can produce 10% of errors hourly load profile from individual building to urban community. As the results of this paper, energy demand prediction system has been developed based on simulink.

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Removing Out - Of - Distribution Samples on Classification Task

  • Dang, Thanh-Vu;Vo, Hoang-Trong;Yu, Gwang-Hyun;Lee, Ju-Hwan;Nguyen, Huy-Toan;Kim, Jin-Young
    • 스마트미디어저널
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.80-89
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    • 2020
  • Out - of - distribution (OOD) samples are frequently encountered when deploying a classification model in plenty of real-world machine learning-based applications. Those samples are normally sampling far away from the training distribution, but many classifiers still assign them high reliability to belong to one of the training categories. In this study, we address the problem of removing OOD examples by estimating marginal density estimation using variational autoencoder (VAE). We also investigate other proper methods, such as temperature scaling, Gaussian discrimination analysis, and label smoothing. We use Chonnam National University (CNU) weeds dataset as the in - distribution dataset and CIFAR-10, CalTeach as the OOD datasets. Quantitative results show that the proposed framework can reject the OOD test samples with a suitable threshold.

호소수의 강우-저류량 및 TOC변동 특성분석을 위한 자기조직화 방법의 적용 (Application of Self-Organizing Map for the Characteristics Analysis of Rainfall-Storage and TOC Variation in a Lake)

  • 김용구;진영훈;정우철;박성천
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제24권5호
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    • pp.611-617
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    • 2008
  • It is necessary to analysis the data characteristics of discharge and water quality for efficient water resources management, aggressive alternatives to inundation by flood and various water pollution accidents, the basic information to manage water quality in lakes and to make environmental policy. Therefore, the present study applied Self-Organizing Map (SOM) showing excellent performance in classifying patterns with weights estimated by self-organization. The result revealed five patterns and TOC versus rainfall-storage data according to the respective patterns were depicted in two-dimensional plots. The visualization presented better understanding of data distribution pattern. The result in the present study might be expected to contribute to the modeling procedure for data prediction in the future.

고효율 Solar Cell 제조를 위한 Firing 공정 조건의 최적화 (Optimization of the firing process condition for high efficiency solar cells on single-crystalline silicon)

  • 정세원;이성준;홍상진;한승수
    • 한국표면공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국표면공학회 2006년도 추계학술발표회 초록집
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    • pp.4-5
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    • 2006
  • This paper represents modeling and optimization techniques for solar cell process on single-crystalline float zone (FZ) wafers with high efficiency; There were the four significant processes : i)emitter formation by diffusion, anti-reflection-coating (ARC) with silicon nitride using plasma-enhanced chemical vapor deposition (PECVD); iii)screen-printing for front and back metallization; and iv)contact formation by firing. In order to increase the performance of solar cells, the contact formation process is modeled and optimized. This paper utilizes the design of experiments (DOE) in contact formation to reduce process time, fabrication costs. The experiments were designed by using central composite design which is composed of $2^4$ factorial design augmented by 8 axial points with three center points. After contact formation process, the efficiency of the solar cell is modeled using neural networks. This model is used to analyse the characteristics of the process, and to optimize the process condition using genetic algorithms (GA). Finally, find optimal recipe for solar cell efficiency.

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적응 뉴로-퍼지 제어기를 이용한 비선형 시스템의 안정화 제어 (Stabilization Control of Nonlinear System Using Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Controller)

  • Lee, In-Yong;Tack, Han-Ho;Lee, Sang-Bae;Park, Boo-Gue
    • 한국정보통신학회논문지
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    • 제5권4호
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    • pp.730-737
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    • 2001
  • 본 논문에서는 적응 뉴로-퍼지 제어기를 이용하여 비선형 복합시스템 모델의 안정화 제어 방법에 적용한다. 제안된 적응 뉴로-퍼지 제어기는 언어적 퍼지추론, 프로세스의 입출력 데이터를 이용하는 신경회로망, 최적이론 등이 포함된 인공지능을 시스템구조와 파라메터 검증에 필요한 도구로 이용한다. 그 결과 제안된 방법이 이전에 연구되었던 다른 방법보다 아주 높은 인공지능 모델을 제시하였다.

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DeepPTP: A Deep Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction Model for Traffic Intersection

  • Lv, Zhiqiang;Li, Jianbo;Dong, Chuanhao;Wang, Yue;Li, Haoran;Xu, Zhihao
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제15권7호
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    • pp.2321-2338
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    • 2021
  • Compared with vehicle trajectories, pedestrian trajectories have stronger degrees of freedom and complexity, which poses a higher challenge to trajectory prediction tasks. This paper designs a mode to divide the trajectory of pedestrians at a traffic intersection, which converts the trajectory regression problem into a trajectory classification problem. This paper builds a deep model for pedestrian trajectory prediction at intersections for the task of pedestrian short-term trajectory prediction. The model calculates the spatial correlation and temporal dependence of the trajectory. More importantly, it captures the interactive features among pedestrians through the Attention mechanism. In order to improve the training speed, the model is composed of pure convolutional networks. This design overcomes the single-step calculation mode of the traditional recurrent neural network. The experiment uses Vulnerable Road Users trajectory dataset for related modeling and evaluation work. Compared with the existing models of pedestrian trajectory prediction, the model proposed in this paper has advantages in terms of evaluation indicators, training speed and the number of model parameters.

Machine learning model for predicting ultimate capacity of FRP-reinforced normal strength concrete structural elements

  • Selmi, Abdellatif;Ali, Raza
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제85권3호
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    • pp.315-335
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    • 2023
  • Limited studies are available on the mathematical estimates of the compressive strength (CS) of glass fiber-embedded polymer (glass-FRP) compressive elements. The present study has endeavored to estimate the CS of glass-FRP normal strength concrete (NSTC) compression elements (glass-FRP-NSTC) employing two various methodologies; mathematical modeling and artificial neural networks (ANNs). The dataset of 288 glass-FRP-NSTC compression elements was constructed from the various testing investigations available in the literature. Diverse equations for CS of glass-FRP-NSTC compression elements suggested in the previous research studies were evaluated employing the constructed dataset to examine their correctness. A new mathematical equation for the CS of glass-FRP-NSTC compression elements was put forwarded employing the procedures of curve-fitting and general regression in MATLAB. The newly suggested ANN equation was calibrated for various hidden layers and neurons to secure the optimized estimates. The suggested equations reported a good correlation among themselves and presented precise estimates compared with the estimates of the equations available in the literature with R2= 0.769, and R2 =0.9702 for the mathematical and ANN equations, respectively. The statistical comparison of diverse factors for the estimates of the projected equations also authenticated their high correctness for apprehending the CS of glass-FRP-NSTC compression elements. A broad parametric examination employing the projected ANN equation was also performed to examine the effect of diverse factors of the glass-FRP-NSTC compression elements.