• 제목/요약/키워드: Neural network prediction

검색결과 1,927건 처리시간 0.033초

신경망을 이용한 유연성 디스크 연삭가공공정 인자 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Flexible Disk Grinding Process Parameter Prediction Using Neural Network)

  • 유송민
    • 한국공작기계학회논문집
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    • 제17권5호
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    • pp.123-130
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    • 2008
  • In order to clarify detailed mechanism of the flexible disk grinding system, workpiece length was introduced and its performance was evaluated. Flat zone ratio increased as the workpiece length increased. Increasing wheel speed and depth of cut also enhanced process performance by producing larger flat zone ratio. Neural network system was successfully applied to predict minimum depth of engagement and flat zone ratio. An additional input parameter as workpiece length to the neural network system enhanced the prediction performance by reducing error rate. By rearranging the Input combinations to the network, the workpiece length was precisely predicted with the prediction error rate lower than 2.8% depending on the network structure.

Cancer Prediction Based on Radical Basis Function Neural Network with Particle Swarm Optimization

  • Yan, Xiao-Bo;Xiong, Wei-Qing;Hu, Liang;Zhao, Kuo
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제15권18호
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    • pp.7775-7780
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    • 2014
  • This paper addresses cancer prediction based on radial basis function neural network optimized by particle swarm optimization. Today, cancer hazard to people is increasing, and it is often difficult to cure cancer. The occurrence of cancer can be predicted by the method of the computer so that people can take timely and effective measures to prevent the occurrence of cancer. In this paper, the occurrence of cancer is predicted by the means of Radial Basis Function Neural Network Optimized by Particle Swarm Optimization. The neural network parameters to be optimized include the weight vector between network hidden layer and output layer, and the threshold of output layer neurons. The experimental data were obtained from the Wisconsin breast cancer database. A total of 12 experiments were done by setting 12 different sets of experimental result reliability. The findings show that the method can improve the accuracy, reliability and stability of cancer prediction greatly and effectively.

Application of Artificial Neural Networks for Prediction of the Strength Properties of CSG Materials

  • Lim, Jeongyeul;Kim, Kiyoung;Moon, Hongduk;Jin, Guangri
    • 한국지반환경공학회 논문집
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    • 제19권5호
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    • pp.13-22
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    • 2018
  • The number of researches on the mechanical properties of cemented sand and gravel (CSG) materials and the application of the CSG Dam has been increased. In order to explain the technical scheme of strength prediction model about the artificial neural network, we obtained the sample data by orthogonal test using the PVA (Polyvinyl alcohol) fiber, different amount of cementing materials and age, and established the efficient evaluation and prediction system. Combined with the analysis about the importance of influence factors, the prediction accuracy was above 95%. This provides the scientific theory for the further application of CSG, and will also be the foundation to apply the artificial neural network theory further in water conservancy project for the future.

A Prediction Model of the Sum of Container Based on Combined BP Neural Network and SVM

  • Ding, Min-jie;Zhang, Shao-zhong;Zhong, Hai-dong;Wu, Yao-hui;Zhang, Liang-bin
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제15권2호
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    • pp.305-319
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    • 2019
  • The prediction of the sum of container is very important in the field of container transport. Many influencing factors can affect the prediction results. These factors are usually composed of many variables, whose composition is often very complex. In this paper, we use gray relational analysis to set up a proper forecast index system for the prediction of the sum of containers in foreign trade. To address the issue of the low accuracy of the traditional prediction models and the problem of the difficulty of fully considering all the factors and other issues, this paper puts forward a prediction model which is combined with a back-propagation (BP) neural networks and the support vector machine (SVM). First, it gives the prediction with the data normalized by the BP neural network and generates a preliminary forecast data. Second, it employs SVM for the residual correction calculation for the results based on the preliminary data. The results of practical examples show that the overall relative error of the combined prediction model is no more than 1.5%, which is less than the relative error of the single prediction models. It is hoped that the research can provide a useful reference for the prediction of the sum of container and related studies.

가중치 손실 함수를 가지는 순환 컨볼루션 신경망 기반 주가 예측 (A Stock Price Prediction Based on Recurrent Convolution Neural Network with Weighted Loss Function)

  • 김현진;정연승
    • 정보처리학회논문지:소프트웨어 및 데이터공학
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    • 제8권3호
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    • pp.123-128
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    • 2019
  • 본 논문에서는 RCNN (recurrent convolution neural network) 계층 모델을 채택한 인공 지능에 기반을 둔 주가 예측을 제안한다. LSTM (long-term memory model) 기반 신경망은 시계열 데이터의 예측에 사용된다. 다른 한편, 컨볼루션 신경망은 데이터 필터링, 평균화 및 데이터 확장을 제공한다. 제안된 주가 예측에서는 위에서 언급 한 장점들을 RCNN 모델에서 결합하여 적용함으로써 다음날의 주가 종가를 예측한다. 그리고 최근의 시계열의 데이터를 강조하기 위해 커스텀 가중치 손실 함수가 채택되었다. 또한 시장의 상황을 반영하기 위해 주가 인덱스에 관련된 데이터를 입력으로 포함하였다. 제안된 주가 예측 방식은 실제 주가를 대상으로 한 실험에서 3.19%로 테스트 오차를 줄였으며, 다른 방법보다 약 19%의 성능 향상을 거둘 수 있었다.

Smart Control System Using Fuzzy and Neural Network Prediction System

  • Kim, Tae Yeun;Bae, Sang Hyun
    • 통합자연과학논문집
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    • 제12권4호
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    • pp.105-115
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, a prediction system is proposed to control the brightness of smart street lamps by predicting the moving path through the reduction of consumption power and information of pedestrian's past moving direction while meeting the function of existing smart street lamps. The brightness of smart street lamps is adjusted by utilizing the walk tracking vector and soft hand-off characteristics obtained through the motion sensing sensor of smart street lamps. In addition, the motion vector is used to analyze and predict the pedestrian path, and the GPU is used for high-speed computation. Pedestrians were detected using adaptive Gaussian mixing, weighted difference imaging, and motion vectors, and motions of pedestrians were analyzed using the extracted motion vectors. The preprocessing process using linear interpolation is performed to improve the performance of the proposed prediction system. Fuzzy prediction system and neural network prediction system are designed in parallel to improve efficiency and rough set is used for error correction.

실시간 기상자료를 이용한 다지점 강우 예측모형 연구 (A Study on Multi-site Rainfall Prediction Model using Real-time Meteorological Data)

  • 정재성;이장춘;박영기
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제6권3호
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    • pp.205-211
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    • 1997
  • For the prediction of multi-site rainfall with radar data and ground meteorological data, a rainfall prediction model was proposed, which uses the neural network theory, a kind of artifical Intelligence technique. The Input layer of the prediction model was constructed with current ground meteorological data, their variation, moving vectors of rain- fall field and digital terrain of the measuring site, and the output layer was constructed with the predicted rainfall up to 3 hours. In the application of the prediction model to the Pyungchang river basin, the learning results of neural network prediction model showed more Improved results than the parameter estimation results of an existing physically based model. And the proposed model comparisonally well predicted the time distribution of ralnfall.

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Application of A Neural Network To Dynamic Draft Model

  • Park, Yeong-Soo;Lee, Kyou-Seung;Park, Won-Yeop
    • 한국농업기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농업기계학회 1996년도 International Conference on Agricultural Machinery Engineering Proceedings
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    • pp.423-433
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    • 1996
  • This study was conducted to predict the drafts of various tillage tools with a model tool and a neural network. Drafts of tillage tools were measured and a time lagged recurrent neural network was developed. The neural network had a structure to predict dynamic draft, having a function of one step ahead prediction . The results showed the model tool draft had linear relations with high coefficient of determinations to the drafts of the tillage tools. Also, the drafts of tillage tools were successfully predicted by the developed neural network.

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Neural network을 이용한 OPR예측과 short circulation 동특성 분석 (Dynamic analysis of short circulation with OPR prediction used neural network)

  • 전준석;여영구;박시한;강홍
    • 한국펄프종이공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국펄프종이공학회 2004년도 춘계학술발표논문집
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    • pp.86-96
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    • 2004
  • Identification of dynamics of short circulation during grade change operations in paper mills is very important for the effective plant operation. In the present study a prediction method of One Pass Retention(OPR) is proposed based on the neural network. The present method is used to analyze the dynamics of short circulation during grade change. Properties of the product paper largely depend upon the change in the OPR. In the present study the OPR is predicted from the training of the network by using grade change operation data. The results of the prediction are applied to the modeling equation to give flow rates and consistencies of short circulation.

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A comparative Study of ARIMA and Neural Network Model;Case study in Korea Corporate Bond Yields

  • Kim, Steven H.;Noh, Hyunju
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국경영과학회 1996년도 추계학술대회발표논문집; 고려대학교, 서울; 26 Oct. 1996
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    • pp.19-22
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    • 1996
  • A traditional approach to the prediction of economic and financial variables takes the form of statistical models to summarize past observations and to project them into the envisioned future. Over the past decade, an increasing number of organizations has turned to the use of neural networks. To date, however, many spheres of interest still lack a systematic evaluation of the statistical and neural approaches. One of these lies in the prediction of corporate bond yields for Korea. This paper reports on a comparative evaluation of ARIMA models and neural networks in the context of interest rate prediction. An additional experiment relates to an integration of the two methods. More specifically, the statistical model serves as a filter by providing estimtes which are then used as input into the neural network models.

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