• Title/Summary/Keyword: Nash Model

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Parameter Estimation for Nash Model and Diskin Model by Optimization Techniques (최적화 기법을 이용한 Nash 모형과 Diskin 모형의 매개변수 추정)

  • Choi, Min-Ha;Ahn, Jae-Hyun;Kim, Joong-Hoon;Yoon, Yong-Nam
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.1 no.3 s.3
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 2001
  • This study examines the applicability of the Nash model and the Diskin model, which are linear and nonlinear runoff models, respectively, by applying optimization techniques to the parameter calibration of the two models. Nonlinear programming which is one of traditional optimization techniques and Genetic Algorithm which has been actively applied recently are used in this study. The Nash and Diskin models which use the calibrated parameter with a flood events are applied to a different flood event in Soyang Dam basin. The results obtained from the parameter calibration show slight discrepancy depending upon the flood events. It has been found in the comparion between the observed hydrograph and the hydrographs obtained from the parameter calibration that the Diskin model can better simulate the observed hydrograph than the Nash model can, especially, for the peak flow. This can be analyzed that the Diskin model which is a nonlinear runoff model is better off in simulating the nonlinear characteristic of the rainfall-runoff process.

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Approach for Evaluating the Nash Equilibrium of Cournot Game Model for N-Gencos by Using Payoff Matrix in Wholesale Electricity Market (도매전력시장에서 N-발전사업자의 보수행렬을 이용한 꾸르노 모델의 내쉬균형점 도출을 위한 방법론)

  • Park Jong-Bae;Lim Jung-Youl;Lee Ki-Song;Shin Joong-Rin
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.54 no.2
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    • pp.97-106
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    • 2005
  • This paper presents a method for evaluating the nash equilibrium of the Cournot model for N-Gencos in wholesale electricity market. In wholesale electricity market, the strategies of N-Gencos can be applied to the game model under the conditions, which the Gencos determine their strategies to maximize their benefit. Generally, the Lemke algorithm has known as the approach to evaluate the mixed nash equilibrium in the only two-player game model. In this paper, we have developed the necessary condition for obtaining the mixed nash equilibrium of N-player by using the Lemke algorithms. However, it is difficult to find the mixed nash equilibrium of two more players by using the analytic method since those have the nonlinear characteristics. To overcome the above problem, we have formulated the object function satisfied with the proposed necessary conditions for N-player nash equilibrium and applied the modified particle swarm optimization (PSO) method to obtain the equilibrium for N-player. To present the effectiveness the proposed necessary condition and the evaluation approach, this paper has shown the results of equilibrium of sample system and the cournot game model for 3-players.

Assessment of Uncertainty for Applying Nash's Model Using the Hydrologic Similarity of Basins (유역의 수문학적 상사성을 이용한 Nash 모형의 불확실성 평가)

  • Seong, Kee-Won
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.36 no.3 s.134
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    • pp.399-411
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    • 2003
  • An approach determining a confidence interval of Nash's observed mean instantaneous unit hydrograph is developed. In the approach, both two parameters are treated as correlated gaussian random variables based on the theory of Box-Cox transformation and the regional similarity relation, so that linear statistical parameter estimation is possible. A parametric bootstrap method is adopted to give the confidence interval of the mean observed hydrograph. The proposed methodology is also applicable to estimate the parameters of Nash's model for un-gauged basins. An application to a watershed has shown that the proposed approach is adequate to assess the uncertainty of the Nash's hydrograph and to evaluate parameters for un-gauged basins.

Decision of Storage Coefficient and Concentration Time of Observed Basin Using Nash Model's Structure (Nash 모형의 구조를 이용한 관측유역의 저류상수 및 집중시간 결정)

  • Yoo, Chul-Sang;Shin, Jung-Woo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.43 no.6
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    • pp.559-569
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    • 2010
  • This study proposes an empirical method for estimating the concentration time and storage coefficient of a basin using the Nash unit hydrograph. This method is based on the analytically derived concentration time and storage coefficient of the Nash model. More fundamentally, this method recursively searches convergent number of linear reservoirs and storage coefficient of linear reservoir representing the basin given. This method is to overcome the problem of HEC-HMS to use an optimization technique to estimate the basin concentration time and storage coefficient. The proposed method was applied to the Bangrim station of the Pyungchang river basin, also found to estimate physically reasonable values.

The Impact of Characteristic Velocities Considering Geomorphological Dispersion on Shape of Instantaneous Unit Hydrograph (지형학적 분산을 고려한 특성유속이 순간단위도 형상에 미치는 영향)

  • Choi, Yong-Joon;Kim, Joo-Cheol;Hwang, Man-Ha
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.399-408
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    • 2010
  • The sensitivity of Nash model parameters is analyzed about characteristic velocities considering geomorphological dispersion in the present study. And changing shape of IUH compared and analyzed as variation of characteristic velocities through numerical experiment. Application watersheds are selected 4 subwatersheds which are located at main stream of Bocheong basin. The mean and variance of hillslope and stream path length are estimated in each watershed with GIS. And Nash model parameters are estimated with moments of path lengths and characteristic velocities. The changing trend about IUH which is derived Nash model parameters are compared as variation of characteristic velocities. The Major results of this study are summarized as follows. The Nash model parameters sensitively present changes about hillslope characteristic velocity. And the effect of the peak discharge and shape of recession in IUH dominate with hillslope's characteristic velocity, the effect of the peak time and shape of ascension in IUH dominate with channel's characteristic velocity.

Derivation and Comparison of Nash and Diskin Models for IUH (Nash 모형과 Diskin 모형을 이용한 순간단위도의 유도 및 비교 연구)

  • Park, Jin-Uk;Yu, Cheol-Sang;Kim, Jung-Hun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.123-132
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    • 2000
  • In the study the instantaneous unit hydrographs (IUHs) based on the linear Nash (1957) and the nonlinear Diskin (1964) models are derived and compared for the Soyang river basin. Total 14 rainfall runoff events are used for the study and the model parameters are estimated by minimizing the sum of square error considering runoff hydrograph ordinates as relative weights. The representative IUHs for both models are decided to show an average shape of derived IUHs. In the application of the representative IUHs of Nash and Diskin, Diskin model shows better performances in reproducing the observed outflows, especially the peak flow. In the comparison of two Diskin models little difference could be found between the IUHs with the same or different number of two characteristic reservoirs.rvoirs.

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Analysis of the Nash Model Using the Similarities of Hydrogeomorphologic and Time Response Characteristics (수문지형특성 및 시간응답특성의 상사성을 이용한 Nash 모형 해석)

  • Seong, Gi-Won
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.97-106
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    • 1997
  • Parameters of the Nash model were analyzed using similarity concepts for the hydrogeomorphologic and the time response characteristics, then the application of parameter estimation was performed for a basin where no data are available. The self-similarity was investigated to evaluate the similarity of hydrogeomorphologic characteristics and to derive a equation for the time of concentration. The relation between model parameters and time characteristics such as travel and lag time, were developed to obtain their properties of similarity. There were remarkable results about the assessment for basin similarity and the application to an ungaged basin in Wi stream basin.

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Rainfall-Runoff Model for River Runoff Prediction (하천유출예측을 위한 강우-유출 모델)

  • Ji, Hong-Gi;Nam, Seon-U;Lee, Sun-Taek
    • Water for future
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.347-354
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    • 1986
  • To predict flood runoff from rainfall and watershed Characteristics, Nash's parameters of N, K are needed to be determined. Also parameters of IUH N and K are derived by the moment method. Nash's model whose parameters are derived from rainfall characteristics is applied to the Wi-stream basin, which is a tributary located in the Nakdong river. For the derivation of IUH by applying linear conceptual model, the storage constant, K, with the rainfall characteristics was adopted as K=1.327 $$.$$$.$$$.$$$.$$$.$$ having a highly significant correlation coefficient, 0.970. Gamma function argumetn, N, derived with such rainfall characteristics was found to be N=0.032$$.$$$.$$$.$$$.$$$.$$ having a highly significant correlation coefficient, 0.970. From the tested results it is proved that Nash's IUH and consequently flood runoff can be predicted from rainfall characteristics.

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